Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Thursday - November 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   11/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORO SMOKE Oct20         (gustafson austin)BIRZER E 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  FIRE AND SPEIGHT Sep19 Aug14 Jul02 May06   (roubion steve)ROMAN KEVIN 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
3  GYPSY SOUL Oct20 Sep04 Jul30 Jul09 Jun27 (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 118 15.00    
4  CALL ME DARLIN Oct19 Aug04 Jul16 Jul02 Jun10 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.50 27% 2.70    
5  DON'T LOOK ETHEL Nov03 Oct06 Sep11 Jul30 Jul19 (ward ronnie)THORNTON G 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
6  MO DIXIE DIVA Nov03 Oct06 Sep05     (melancon do)FLORES S 118 10.00    
7  GRACE'S VISION Oct19 Aug27 Aug10 Jul27 Jul14 (senegal dalto)VARGAS P 120 15.00    
SCR  A. P. STYLE Oct28 Aug28 May10 Mar25 Mar02 (dison m)POMPELL L 120 15.00    
9  MAYWON Oct22 Oct06 Aug13     (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00    
10  CRAPAUD         (toups brent)FUSILIER C 120 15.00    
SCR  ROADSIDE GIRL Nov03 May29 May21     (fontenot curle)BACA L 118 3.50 ★    
SCR  AMELIES DREAMER Nov03 Oct13       (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 20.00    
 
DED-2   11/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRON IN THE FIRE Oct19 May19 Apr21 Mar27   (landry ray)STOKES J 116 8.00 12% 7.60    
2  MONARCH'S MISCHIEF Oct26 Oct06 Aug30 Aug15 Jul02 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 15.00    
3  SARAH'S VISION         (klanfer al)MARQUEZ L 118 15.00    
4  BIND FAITH Nov04 Oct07 Aug03 Jun30 Jun10 (brinkman bre)MAGNON H 116 8.00 ★    
5  JACK BOB AND LARRY May08 Mar26 Mar06 Feb11   (johnson b)POMPELL L 116 5.00 ★    
6  CPRIORITY Oct15 Sep10 Aug15 Jun07 Jan15 (thomas lee)COTTO L 118 8.00    
7  KAHAAL Oct19 Aug16 Jul21 Jun14 May21 (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 4.00 ★    
8  JUSTA BUSTER Nov04 Aug03 Jun18 Jun03 May18 (cormier hous)BARRERA J 113 20.00    
9  JANET'S DEVIL Oct28 Jul27 Jun10 May19 Apr13 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 121 8.00    
10  FORTY THREE Oct08 Sep05 Jul23 Jul05 Jun18 (balderas alfo)VARGAS P 116 2.50 63% 0.60    
 
DED-3   11/17/2022 4950ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGOLA VACATION Oct22 Oct05 Aug26 Aug12 Jul27 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 15.00    
2  CHAN Oct22 Aug25       (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  WAR TROLLEY Oct22 Sep24 Sep05 Aug01 Jun18 (west g)TORRES HUGO 116 3.50 7% 14.20    
4  TOUGH START Oct22 Sep26 Sep04 Aug03 Jul07 (alberto antonio)STOKES A 121 8.00    
5  ACABELLA Oct26 Apr30 Feb19 Feb05   (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 121 6.00 27% 2.70    
6  GRAY DANE Oct28 Aug24 Aug06     (bernar)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
7  SOULOLOGY Oct26 Oct05 Aug17 Jul16 May19 (segura kearney)MCMAHON J 121 3.00 34% 1.90    
8  TED STRIKER Oct26 Oct12 Jul18 Jun26 May23 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 6.00    
9  COTTONCLUB SOLDIER Oct29 Oct19 Oct05 Aug24 Aug06 (zenon )RUIZ GARCIA 121 15.00    
10  PLAY MASTER Aug26 Aug12 Jul15 Jun29 Jun16 (mojica a)BIRZER E 121 20.00    
SCR  KATS PICK Oct29 Aug24 Jul15 May26   (alberto ant)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 10.00    
SCR  WILD T RANGER Oct29 Sep24 Aug20 Jul26 Jul02 (wilson shan)FLORES S 121 15.00    
 
DED-4   11/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  LOOKIN GOOD SO FAR Oct29 Oct08 Sep27 Jul22 Jun25 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 2.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  COSTANARMANDALEG Nov09 Oct28 Oct07 Jul24 Jun11 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 2.00    
2  NOSBOR Oct29 Oct02 Aug22 Jul11 Jul01 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 3.50 ★    
3  FLUFFPOINT Oct29 Aug24 Jun08 May14 Apr15 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 112 15.00    
4  METALLIC SILVER Jun17 May30 May07 Mar26 Mar11 (r)DE CRUZ 117 5.00 6% 16.00    
5  MOVE IT Oct21 Jul29 Jul01 May28 Apr30 (cox l)POMPELL L 123 8.00 7% 13.50    
6  RATHER PRECOCIOUS Oct26 Jun09 May28 Apr30 Apr21 (ramirez eduardo)STOKES J 120 6.00 31% 2.20    
7  HOT ARTIE Oct29 Sep27 Sep13 Aug29 Aug08 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00    
8  B B MOODY Feb24 Jan29 Jan15     (cox l)THORNTON G 117 10.00    
 
DED-5   11/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUCINA Nov02 Sep16 Jul16 Jun25 May12 (diodoro roberti)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.50 ★    
SCR  ENTERTAINMENT Sep24 Jul19 Mar19     (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 2.50    
3  EXTIRPATOR Oct13 Sep04 Aug02 Jun06 May21 (turner patti)BIRZER E 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
4  UNION STATION Nov02 Aug17 Jul20 May25 May06 (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 120 5.00 23% 3.30    
5  SABER RUN Oct08 Jul09 Jun09 May15 Feb20 (pedigo randy)BACA L 117 12.00    
6  BINDING AGREEMENT Aug17 Jul20 Jun25 Jun02 Apr22 (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00    
7  RELUCTANT WARRIOR Sep27 Jul19 Jun26 May16 Mar06 (gomez c)COTTO L 117 10.00 9% 10.40    
8  PINCH ASSAULT Oct27 Oct13 Aug20 Aug03 Jul14 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 6.00 18% 4.70    
 
DED-6   11/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MORO FLYBOY Oct27 Oct14 Sep23 Aug22 Jun24 (gustafson a)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.00 26% 2.80    
2  HALF A BUCK Nov02 Oct21 Sep11 Jul25 Jul02 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 118 6.00    
3  MR. CURLIN Nov04 Oct20 Jul22 May14 Apr27 (mojica a)POMPELL L 120 4.50 ★    
4  CORN SOUP Aug25 Jul27 Jul09 Jun23 Jun08 (patt r)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00    
5  FLASHY PREMO Oct20 Aug24 Aug05 Jul15 Jun22 (morrell cyn)RAMIREZ PAULINA 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  WHISKEY GENT Nov04 Oct12 Aug11 Jun15 May26 (alberto antoni)THORNTON G 121 10.00 15% 5.50    
7  BIG RUSSSS Oct27 Aug25 Aug13 Jul29 Jul13 (robbins jr)MELANCON G 118 3.00 ★    
 
DED-7   11/17/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODEE BODEE Oct28 Oct08 Sep13 Aug15 Jul18 (turner patt)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
2  CHEATIN CHARLIE Oct28 Jul27 Jun15 May27 May05 (mojica a)BIRZER E 118 1.80 11% 7.90    
3  HOPE FOR CHANGE Oct19 Sep27 Sep11 Aug25 Aug13 (milburn katina)BOURQUE J 120 8.00 ★    
4  MY BOOK Oct22 Oct06 Jul27 Jul08 Jun25 (cormier hous)BARRERA J 115 6.00 ★    
5  GRAHAM 'S CRUISER Aug13 Apr30 Apr13 Mar24 Feb26 (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 118 4.00    
6  IT'S A BIRD Oct28 Oct19 Mar27 Mar18 Mar04 (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 5.00 10% 8.90    
 
DED-8   11/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE FRANK Oct12 Aug19 May28 Apr16 Feb16 (sturrock bil)MAGNON H 118 5.00 ★    
2  HERZEN Oct22 Sep23 Aug27 Jul30 Jul11 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 8.00 11% 7.90    
3  HIGHTAIL COWBOY Nov04 Oct15 Sep15 Aug21 Jul13 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 6.00    
4  DOCTOR LEO Oct13 Aug19 Aug04 Jun22 May28 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 115 3.50 43% 1.30    
5  PALATIAL TIMES Oct14 Oct01 Sep23 Aug05 Jun27 (govea cesar)THORNTON G 118 12.00 7% 12.50    
6  HOLY EMPEROR Oct08 Sep11 Jul31 Jul12 Jun13 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00    
7  GUITAR SLIM Oct27 Sep20 Aug12 Jul19 May30 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 113 2.50    
8  WISE VERDICT Nov03 Oct13 Jun22 Jun01 May18 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 115 4.50 10% 8.80    
 
DED-9   11/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 9:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S MY LOUIE V.         (flint steve)THORNTON G 121 6.00    
2  TRIPLE L'S CUTTER Oct22         (gelner j)POMPELL L 121 3.50 45% 1.20    
3  YOU HAVE NO IDEA Oct22 Sep24 Aug28     (gustafson austi)ROMAN KEVIN 121 4.00 17% 4.80    
4  BONANZA GRADE Oct26 Jul22       (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 3.00 10% 9.20    
5  COZZOLANI Nov02         (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW Oct29         (gomez c)BACA L 121 8.00    
7  THISONESFORLOVE         (briley lonni)TAYLOR BETHANY 121 15.00    
8  REAUX BINA         (dixon tim)FLORES S 121 15.00    
SCR  SUZY DOLL'S READY Nov02 Oct08 Sep20 Sep04 Jul04 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.