Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - October 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-4   10/01/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:221 :452       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GETALOADOFTHIS 1 1 1½     12 17 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.00 35% 1.90 0.70 W
ITS A DEAL 5 3 2½     32 27 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 120 8.00 3.40 P
CHERUBIM 2 5 6     6 3 (ness john)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 29.80 S
DRYSPELL 8 4 42     4 4 (marquez l)MARTIN A 124 12.00 18.50  
ALL SHACKED UP 6 2 32     22 5 (haar j)WALES T 124 4.00 29% 2.50 9.60  
JACK WITH SEVEN 3 8 5     5 611¼ (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 10% 8.80 8.30  
EL DIABLO GRANDE 7 6 77     7 711½ (chavez juan)RAMOS B 124 4.50 6.90  
ZCAT'S CHATAIN 4 7 811     810¼ 816¾ (coughlin chris)BETHKE A 124 3.50 31.30  
 
ARP-5   10/01/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:221 :452       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE BALL 6 5 5 52   4¾ 1½ (roberts m)WALES T 124 3.50 9.20  
PREACHER 4 4 4¾ 3½   3.2 2½ (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 2.00 24% 3.20 0.60 P
COUGAR COUNTRY 2 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 3¾ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 28% 2.60 2.60 S
GEE WHIZ WHO 3 2 3.2 41   5 4 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 14.60  
MOST AMUSING 1 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 5 (anderson c)HERRERA HUGO 124 4.50 20% 4.10 5.60  
WEST COAST BROKER 5 6 6 610   610¾ 610½ (ibanez alber)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 28.30  
 
ARP-6   10/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:223 :454 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ WONDERFULLY 5 1 1 14   12 1 (muckey john)BETHKE A 124 12.00 14% 6.30 1.20 W
REMARKABLE CHARM 4 3 33 24   22 2 (roberts m)WALES T 124 8.00 5.10 P
PORSUMSUGARONME 3 5 4 3   34 310¾ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.50 39% 1.60 1.70 S
T. P. RIGHT LANE 2 4 2 5   510½ 413 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 5.80  
ULTRA CORDIAL 6 2 5 4   410 515¾ (danyluk ken)HERRERA HUGO 124 6.00 25% 3.10 7.00  
SCR  JUST REMEMBER               ( )TBA null      
SCR  MAD TABBY               (dieter dalton)LUARK T 124 15.00    
 
ARP-7   10/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:222 :452 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUZ'N OLLIE 6 1 2½ 2½   1nk 111¾ (gerke cimmaron)WALES T 121 4.00 19% 4.40 0.40 W
J P'S WEST ACRES 4 3 1½ 1½   2nk 211¾ (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50 56% 0.80 2.70 P
LAST CALL LEROY 5 2 5 45   33 311¾ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 7.40  
TAPPIN' THE BLING 3 6 6 6   6 412¾ (mitchell stetso)CARDOSO DAVID 120 10.00 43.30  
DOCS CARO CAT 1 5 32 3   4 515¼ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 2.50 8.40  
ROYAL OUTLAW 2 4 4 5   5 616¼ (anderson c)HERRERA HUGO 120 4.50 17.50  
SCR  JOEL'S GIRL               (muckey john)GONZALEZ V 121 20.00    
 
ARP-8   10/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($13.7K) 2 ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCYS MAJOR MIRCLE 1 4 1½ 14   12 16 (vicchrilli russe)HERRERA HUGO 117 2.50 43% 1.30 0.70 W
BARTSTER 5 1 3 24   22 26 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 3.50 2.60  
YOU'RE MY ROCK 2 5 6 49   411 323¾ (hudson raina)BETHKE A 120 8.00 12.00  
BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY 6 2 4 39   310 423¾ (rushton temp)GONZALEZ V 120 20.00 10.90  
RAMOS 4 6 5 612½   515 528 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 120 4.50 5.60  
CHIEF RULES 3 3 2½ 5   619 633¼ (parsons riley)AGUILAR DANIEL 117 15.00 14.20  
SCR  GRACIE'S A TIGER               (martinez a)WALES T 117 6.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  TIZKANDOIT               (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 10.00    
 
ARP-9   10/01/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:12     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAYETTE WARRIOR 4 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 1 (bethke a)BETHKE A 124 4.50 5.10  
HYPER DRIVE 5 6 5 53   42 2 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.50 15% 5.60 11.30 P
BURGAMEISTER 2 4 4 2nk   2nk 3 (haar j)WALES T 124 6.00 19% 4.30 5.10 S
PRAIRIE SQUALL 7 3 3½ 3½   3½ 4 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 2.50  
WE MISS GENO 6 2 2nk 41   54 513 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.00 39% 1.60 1.50  
HOLY MUCHACHO 8 7 6 67   6 613 (haar j)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 20.90  
BUD MINISTER 3 5 7 78   77 713½ (marquez l)MARTIN A 124 8.00 26.30  
MY TRUE REWARD 1 9 911¼ 812   89 818 (young a)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00 28.00  
GIMME SPACE 9 8 810¾ 913   915 927½ (childs russell )CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00 27.10  
SCR  LOOKING FOR BULL               (hancock davi)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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