The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Delta Downs
Saturday - November 19, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
DED-1   11/19/2022 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
:222 :463       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GETTINHOT'NHERE 5 2 11½ 13   13 11 (gonzalez v)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.50 53% 0.90 3.00 W
2  LUCKY BREAK 1 4 21½ 23   23 21 (govea cesar)DE CRUZ 123 2.50 12% 7.20 2.50 P
4  SPORTY FLYER 3 7 69 66½   56½ 34 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 5.00 ★ 2.10 S
5  J C'S IN TOWN 4 5 55 45½   35 44¼ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 3.50 7.30  
8  WEDINGTON 7 3 32 33½   46 59¾ (turner patti)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 6.00 5.00  
3  THIRTYEIGHTCALIBER 2 8 812½ 812½   711½ 610¾ (sturrock billy)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 117 12.00 5% 19.00 29.80  
7  AUTOCRATIC 6 6 710½ 711½   812 711¼ (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 118 20.00 5% 17.70 44.90  
9  BALKY 8 1 43 55½   610½ 813¼ (melancon donald)FLORES S 120 20.00 65.40  
SCR  M AND M'S CUSTOM               (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 10.00    
 
DED-2   11/19/2022 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
:231 :482 1:154     1:30   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GOTTATAKEHIMTO 4 8 812½ 75½   11½ 12½ (ramirez eduardo)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 3.50 1.50  
1  CHAPEL OF DREAMS 1 4 79½ 65½   41¾ 22½ (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 121 4.50 10% 9.00 3.90 P
3  DOUBLE PRIORITY 3 7 69 54½   52¾ 33¼ (beavin judy)FLORES S 123 6.00 11.60  
2  SASSI ASPEN 2 5 34½ 31½   31½ 43¼ (da walter)TORRES HUGO 116 6.00 ★ 6.30  
5  GRAND PRODUCTION 5 3 23 2½   21½ 55¾ (larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 12.00 19.10  
8  SHOT ON WINDY HILL 8 6 56 43½   63¾ 66¼ (cormier houston)BARRERA J 118 12.00 5% 18.50 41.60  
7  ST BASIL 7 1 45 85¾   77¾ 77 (senegal jr)VARGAS P 123 8.00 5% 19.00 25.90  
6  JUST PLAIN MAD 6 2 13 1½   812¾ 820¼ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 49% 1.10 2.50  
 
DED-3   11/19/2022 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($26K) 2 ALL PT- 6:51
:224 :471       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MOR BIG LEE 4 1 2nk 11   13 110¼ (gelner j)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 1.80 25% 2.90 1.30 W
6  COUNTRY CAT JAKE 5 4 1nk 21   23 210¼ (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 116 2.50 ★ 2.10 P
2  ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE 2 2 31½ 33   35 312½ (thompson kevin)BARRERA J 116 10.00 16.40  
3  ZIPPY TOGA 3 3 42 44½   49 419¾ (breaux samuel)STOKES A 121 4.50 19% 4.30 2.90  
1  KNIGHT OF HONOR 1 5 53½ 56   511 529½ (averett ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 10.00 19% 4.30 5.90  
SCR  CUSTOM TAT               (gelner scott)RAMIREZ PAULINA 121 3.50 ★    
 
DED-4   11/19/2022 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
:24 :484 1:153 1:44   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TAPPED OUT 5 3 2nk 2nk 2½ 11 1½ (larrosa a)VARGAS P 121 3.00 21% 3.70 1.50 W
7  NUGGET OF GRACE 7 2 1nk 1nk 1½ 21 2½ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 123 1.80 22% 3.50 2.20 P
2  COUNTRY CUT 2 5 51¼ 43¼ 32 33 33½ (melancon donald)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 5.00 18% 4.60 2.90 S
3  UNBRIDLED PULPIT 3 6 64¼ 67¾ 46 45½ 45¼ (west henry)LEDET THEODRICK 120 8.00 46.70  
1  VALIANT DEFENDER 1 7 710¼ 712¾ 713 58 57½ (zenon charles)BOURQUE J 123 8.00 31.00  
4  MARVINS GOLD 4 4 3.2 33 57 68 618½ (gelner j)BIRZER E 123 5.00 ★ 8.20  
6  MICHAEL'S BAD BOY 6 1 41¼ 54¾ 613 718 741¾ (cormier houston)FUSILIER C 123 10.00 17% 5.00 10.70  
 
DED-5   11/19/2022 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:47
:241 :484 1:154     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FASTED 8 4 31½ 3.2   11½ 13½ (mojica a)BIRZER E 123 8.00 2.40  
10  MEAN AMERICAN 10 6 67 53¾   21½ 23½ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 50% 1.00 1.50 P
7  SECRET MELODY 7 10 911 77¾   63¾ 34½ (jacobs dory)COTTO L 121 6.00 ★ 9.60 S
9  MARIAH'S CANDY 9 5 44½ 43¼   43½ 46 (gelner j)ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.50 16% 5.30 3.90  
5  FLAT ROSE 5 3 56 64¾   53¾ 56¾ (bourque warren)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 8.00 5% 17.50 9.10  
3  BOSTON BELLE 3 2 1½ 1nk   33½ 613¾ (segura kearney)FUSILIER C 118 12.00 32.50  
2  JUST A WIN 2 1 2½ 2nk   75¼ 714¾ (landry ray)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 5% 19.00 17.00  
4  I LOVE YOU MORE 4 9 1019 1017¾   89¼ 815½ (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 121 15.00 57.10  
6  UGOTTAGO 6 7 79 99¾   1010¾ 918¾ (washington richard)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 20.00 ######  
1  ABSOLUTELY MINDY 1 8 89½ 89¼   99¾ 1018¾ (charles jonathan)BOURQUE J 120 20.00 ######  
SCR  ATOMIC ROSE               (lorefice matt)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 20.00    
 
DED-6   11/19/2022 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
:22 :461       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FIRSTSLATE 7 2 21 2½   11 14¼ (melancon donald)FLORES S 118 10.00 ★ 11.90  
8  HAMAZING LACE 8 3 54½ 53   42½ 24¼ (richard chris)BIRZER E 118 3.50 5% 19.00 6.50 P
6  PUZZLING PRIORITY 6 5 31½ 3½   31½ 35 (thomas lee)COTTO L 115 8.00 4.60  
4  ANGELA'S CELERITY 4 8 65½ 64   53½ 45½ (bryant allan)TORRES HUGO 111 12.00 52.30  
3  GEE GEE 3 6 75½ 76   75 55½ (cox l)MCMAHON J 118 12.00 18.50  
2  LIGHTNING HART 2 4 11 1½   21 66½ (dixon tim)GUERRERO ANDRES 116 4.50 18% 4.50 3.30  
5  PAISLEY CROSS 5 1 42½ 42½   64 78½ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 115 2.00 36% 1.80 2.10  
1  SHADES OF TRUTH 1 7 86½ 87½   89 811 (devereux jr)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00 17% 4.80 3.90  
 
DED-7   11/19/2022 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
:232 :482 1:143     1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CABRO TORO 3 3 11 11   11 1nk (beavin judy)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.50 7.60  
5  DIXIE STAR 5 10 97 72   21 2nk (breaux samuel)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 15.00 17.60  
9  NINEJUANJUAN CALL 9 4 63½ 51¾   33 33½ (tracy greg)BARRERA J 110 4.50 ★ 8.70 S
8  WOODS N WATER 8 1 53 83   65 43¾ (thomas lee)POMPELL L 115 4.00 ★ 2.60  
6  TWIRLING CHIEF 6 7 43 41¼   44 58½ (guillory jr)VARGAS P 120 20.00 17.80  
10  SEEHOSS 10 5 74 61¾   55 612½ (landry ray)BIRZER E 117 8.00 6.90  
2  R T'S D'ORO 2 9 1010 105   78 713½ (sam w)STOKES A 115 15.00 56.20  
7  UNIFIED ASSETS 7 8 85½ 93½   98¼ 816¼ (ramirez eduardo)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.00 66% 0.50 2.00  
4  POPEYES HEART 4 6 21 21   108½ 918 (bryant allan)TORRES HUGO 113 8.00 ★ 8.80  
1  SMART ANALYSIS 1 2 32 31   88¼ 1018¼ (latour nicholas)ROMAN KEVIN 115 20.00 30.70  
SCR  BLURT               (govea cesar)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
SCR  BRYKEN N MITCHELL               (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 115 8.00 9% 10.20    
 
DED-8   11/19/2022 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:11
:23 :47 1:142     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIED PEPPER 1 2 56¼ 53¾   21 12½ (mojica a)MORALES ROBERTO 118 10.00 5% 17.80 6.90 W
10  CREEKMORE 10 5 2nk 2nk   11 22½ (gonzalez v)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00 3.90  
9  STEPHEN'S ANSWER 9 6 67¾ 65¾   33 34¼ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 118 8.00 ★ 4.50 S
7  GENTRIFIED 7 9 89¼ 76¼   43 45 (grudzien rylee)MAGNON H 120 12.00 9.20  
8  FRANK THE MAYOR 8 8 99¼ 87¼   53¼ 55¾ (alberto antonio)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 6.00 7.10  
3  POWERSHOT 3 10 1015¼ 1010¾   74¼ 67 (gomez c)COTTO L 118 15.00 14.40  
4  MASTERLY 4 7 78¾ 98¾   84¾ 77¼ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 115 4.00 17% 4.90 15.30  
2  BET AGAIN 2 3 44¼ 42¼   64¼ 813½ (toups brent)POMPELL L 115 10.00 27.60  
6  HIS GIANT 6 1 1nk 1nk   106 915½ (richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00 20% 4.00 4.70  
5  DECEMBER SEVEN 5 4 34 32   95¾ 1016 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 118 5.00 33% 2.00 6.00  
 
DED-9   11/19/2022 4950ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:41
:234 :484 1:151     1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CHARGED TEMP 1 2 31 31½   2nk 11¼ (tracy greg)BIRZER E 118 3.50 54% 0.80 0.80 W
5  REBECCA G 3 4 11 11   1nk 21¼ (gelner j)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 6.00 4.80  
8  KAITLYN'S COURT 7 9 910¼ 917   78¾ 38½ (constantine carol)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 20.00 46.40  
7  MISSGREELEY'SSONG 5 6 75¼ 711   55¼ 49 (west henry)BARRERA J 115 20.00 74.30  
9  ELIZABETH RENEE 8 8 88¼ 813   67¼ 59 (chevis a)STOKES A 120 15.00 21.00  
1  WHO DAT GREY 6 1 21 21   45¼ 613¼ (beavin judy)FLORES S 120 10.00 39.50  
10  CRAFTY PRINCESS 9 5 53¼ 67   911¾ 718 (arndt theodore)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 12.00 21.20  
4  ANOTHERINTHEFIRE 2 3 41¼ 42   35 818¼ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 10% 8.80 4.50  
6  BEAUX TOX 4 7 63¾ 55   810¾ 923¼ (turner patti)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 6% 15.00 5.00  
SCR  CUSTOM MAIDEN               (washington richard)VARGAS P 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GIFTED TALENT               (beavin judy)TORRES HUGO 115 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.