Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Delta Downs
Saturday - November 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
DED-1   11/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GETTINHOT'NHERE   (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.50 53% 0.90 3.00 W
2  LUCKY BREAK   (g)DE CRUZ 123 2.50 12% 7.20 2.50 P
4  SPORTY FLYER   (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 5.00 ★ 2.10 S
5  J C'S IN TOWN   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 3.50 7.30  
8  WEDINGTON   (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 6.00 5.00  
3  THIRTYEIGHTCALIBER   (sturro)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 117 12.00 5% 19.00 29.80  
7  AUTOCRATIC   (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 118 20.00 5% 17.70 44.90  
9  BALKY   (melancon do)FLORES S 120 20.00 65.40  
SCR  M AND M'S CUSTOM   (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 10.00    
 
DED-2   11/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GOTTATAKEHIMTO   (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 3.50 1.50  
1  CHAPEL OF DREAMS   (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 121 4.50 10% 9.00 3.90 P
3  DOUBLE PRIORITY   (beavin judy)FLORES S 123 6.00 11.60  
2  SASSI ASPEN   (da walter)TORRES HUGO 116 6.00 ★ 6.30  
5  GRAND PRODUCTION   (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 12.00 19.10  
8  SHOT ON WINDY HILL   (cormier hous)BARRERA J 118 12.00 5% 18.50 41.60  
7  ST BASIL   (senegal dalto)VARGAS P 123 8.00 5% 19.00 25.90  
6  JUST PLAIN MAD   (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 49% 1.10 2.50  
 
DED-3   11/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($26K) 2 ALL PT- 6:51
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MOR BIG LEE   (gelner jayd)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 1.80 25% 2.90 1.30 W
6  COUNTRY CAT JAKE   (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 116 2.50 ★ 2.10 P
2  ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE   (thompson kev)BARRERA J 116 10.00 16.40  
3  ZIPPY TOGA   (breaux samuel)STOKES A 121 4.50 19% 4.30 2.90  
1  KNIGHT OF HONOR   (averett ronn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 10.00 19% 4.30 5.90  
SCR  CUSTOM TAT   (gelner scot)RAMIREZ PAULINA 121 3.50 ★    
 
DED-4   11/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TAPPED OUT   (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 3.00 21% 3.70 1.50 W
7  NUGGET OF GRACE   (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 123 1.80 22% 3.50 2.20 P
2  COUNTRY CUT   (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 5.00 18% 4.60 2.90 S
3  UNBRIDLED PULPIT   (west henry)LEDET THEODRICK 120 8.00 46.70  
1  VALIANT DEFENDER   (zenon charles)BOURQUE J 123 8.00 31.00  
4  MARVINS GOLD   (gelner j)BIRZER E 123 5.00 ★ 8.20  
6  MICHAEL'S BAD BOY   (cormier houston)FUSILIER C 123 10.00 17% 5.00 10.70  
 
DED-5   11/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:47
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FASTED   (mojica a)BIRZER E 123 8.00 2.40  
10  MEAN AMERICAN   (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 50% 1.00 1.50 P
7  SECRET MELODY   (jacobs dory)COTTO L 121 6.00 ★ 9.60 S
9  MARIAH'S CANDY   (gelner j)ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.50 16% 5.30 3.90  
5  FLAT ROSE   (bourque war)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 8.00 5% 17.50 9.10  
3  BOSTON BELLE   (segura kearney)FUSILIER C 118 12.00 32.50  
2  JUST A WIN   (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 5% 19.00 17.00  
4  I LOVE YOU MORE   (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 121 15.00 57.10  
6  UGOTTAGO   (washington )RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 20.00 ######  
1  ABSOLUTELY MINDY   (charles jonatha)BOURQUE J 120 20.00 ######  
SCR  ATOMIC ROSE   (lorefi)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 20.00    
 
DED-6   11/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FIRSTSLATE   (melancon do)FLORES S 118 10.00 ★ 11.90  
8  HAMAZING LACE   (richard chris)BIRZER E 118 3.50 5% 19.00 6.50 P
6  PUZZLING PRIORITY   (thomas lee)COTTO L 115 8.00 4.60  
4  ANGELA'S CELERITY   (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 111 12.00 52.30  
3  GEE GEE   (cox l)MCMAHON J 118 12.00 18.50  
2  LIGHTNING HART   (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 116 4.50 18% 4.50 3.30  
5  PAISLEY CROSS   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 115 2.00 36% 1.80 2.10  
1  SHADES OF TRUTH   (devereux pa)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00 17% 4.80 3.90  
 
DED-7   11/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CABRO TORO   (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.50 7.60  
5  DIXIE STAR   (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 15.00 17.60  
9  NINEJUANJUAN CALL   (tracy greg)BARRERA J 110 4.50 ★ 8.70 S
8  WOODS N WATER   (thomas lee)POMPELL L 115 4.00 ★ 2.60  
6  TWIRLING CHIEF   (guillory henr)VARGAS P 120 20.00 17.80  
10  SEEHOSS   (landry ray)BIRZER E 117 8.00 6.90  
2  R T'S D'ORO   (sam w)STOKES A 115 15.00 56.20  
7  UNIFIED ASSETS   (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.00 66% 0.50 2.00  
4  POPEYES HEART   (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 113 8.00 ★ 8.80  
1  SMART ANALYSIS   (latour nicholas)ROMAN KEVIN 115 20.00 30.70  
SCR  BLURT   (g)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
SCR  BRYKEN N MITCHELL   (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 115 8.00 9% 10.20    
 
DED-8   11/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:11
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIED PEPPER   (mojica edit)MORALES ROBERTO 118 10.00 5% 17.80 6.90 W
10  CREEKMORE   (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00 3.90  
9  STEPHEN'S ANSWER   (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 118 8.00 ★ 4.50 S
7  GENTRIFIED   (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 120 12.00 9.20  
8  FRANK THE MAYOR   (alberto anto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 6.00 7.10  
3  POWERSHOT   (gomez c)COTTO L 118 15.00 14.40  
4  MASTERLY (ARG)   (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 115 4.00 17% 4.90 15.30  
2  BET AGAIN   (toups brent)POMPELL L 115 10.00 27.60  
6  HIS GIANT   (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00 20% 4.00 4.70  
5  DECEMBER SEVEN   (tracy greg)BIRZER E 118 5.00 33% 2.00 6.00  
 
DED-9   11/19/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:41
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CHARGED TEMP   (tracy greg)BIRZER E 118 3.50 54% 0.80 0.80 W
5  REBECCA G   (gelner jayd)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 6.00 4.80  
8  KAITLYN'S COURT   (constantine)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 20.00 46.40  
7  MISSGREELEY'SSONG   (west henry)BARRERA J 115 20.00 74.30  
9  ELIZABETH RENEE   (chevis a)STOKES A 120 15.00 21.00  
1  WHO DAT GREY   (beavin judy)FLORES S 120 10.00 39.50  
10  CRAFTY PRINCESS   (arndt theodo)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 12.00 21.20  
4  ANOTHERINTHEFIRE   (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 10% 8.80 4.50  
6  BEAUX TOX   (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 6% 15.00 5.00  
SCR  CUSTOM MAIDEN   (washington ri)VARGAS P 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GIFTED TALENT   (beavin judy)TORRES HUGO 115 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.