Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - November 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   11/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  M AND M'S CUSTOM Nov10 Oct19 Jul16 Jun30 Jun08 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 10.00    
2  LUCKY BREAK Nov04 Oct20 Sep27 Sep05 Aug15 (g)DE CRUZ 123 2.50 12% 7.20    
3  THIRTYEIGHTCALIBER Oct29 Jul14 Jan21     (sturro)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPORTY FLYER Nov04 Aug05 Jul04 Jun10 Mar20 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 5.00 ★    
5  J C'S IN TOWN Oct28 Oct08 Jun11 May18   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 3.50    
6  GETTINHOT'NHERE Nov10 Oct21 Sep16 Sep03 Jul16 (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.50 53% 0.90    
7  AUTOCRATIC Oct21 Sep03 Aug07 Jul23 Jul04 (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 118 20.00 5% 17.70    
8  WEDINGTON Oct29 Oct06 Sep24 Sep05 Aug15 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 6.00    
9  BALKY Nov10 Jun24 Jun09 May27 Apr07 (melancon do)FLORES S 120 20.00    
 
DED-2   11/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAPEL OF DREAMS Nov09 Oct20 Aug11 Jul22 Jul02 (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 121 4.50 10% 9.00    
2  SASSI ASPEN Nov02 Sep05 Jul26 Jul18 Jul03 (da walter)TORRES HUGO 116 6.00 ★    
3  DOUBLE PRIORITY Nov02 Aug14 Jul31 Jul05 Jun25 (beavin judy)FLORES S 123 6.00    
4  GOTTATAKEHIMTO Oct20 Aug25 Jul13 Jun24 May11 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 3.50    
5  GRAND PRODUCTION Oct15 Aug11 Jul27 Jul13 May14 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 12.00    
6  JUST PLAIN MAD Nov02 Sep24 Aug13 Jul02 Jun12 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 49% 1.10    
7  ST BASIL Jun10 May14 Apr28 Apr14   (senegal dalto)VARGAS P 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  SHOT ON WINDY HILL Oct27 Oct15 Jun30 Jun08 Mar05 (cormier hous)BARRERA J 118 12.00 5% 18.50    
 
DED-3   11/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($26K) 2 ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNIGHT OF HONOR         (averett ronn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 10.00 19% 4.30    
2  ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE Oct14 Aug27       (thompson kev)BARRERA J 116 10.00    
3  ZIPPY TOGA         (breaux samuel)STOKES A 121 4.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  CUSTOM TAT Oct22         (gelner scot)RAMIREZ PAULINA 121 3.50 ★    
5  MOR BIG LEE Oct20 Oct08 Jul17 Jun25   (gelner jayd)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 1.80 25% 2.90    
6  COUNTRY CAT JAKE Oct22 Oct07       (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 116 2.50 ★    
 
DED-4   11/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALIANT DEFENDER Nov05 Oct05 Aug18 May14 Apr14 (zenon charles)BOURQUE J 123 8.00    
2  COUNTRY CUT Nov02 Sep25 Sep03 Aug19 Jun11 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 5.00 18% 4.60    
3  UNBRIDLED PULPIT Nov02 Aug25 Jun23 Jun10 May11 (west henry)LEDET THEODRICK 120 8.00    
4  MARVINS GOLD Oct20 Oct05 Aug25 Jul29 Jul07 (gelner j)BIRZER E 123 5.00 ★    
5  TAPPED OUT Nov02 Sep19 Aug14 Jul31 Jul18 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 3.00 21% 3.70    
6  MICHAEL'S BAD BOY Nov02 Oct07 Jun30 Jun03 Apr28 (cormier houston)FUSILIER C 123 10.00 17% 5.00    
7  NUGGET OF GRACE Oct20 Oct05 Sep12 Aug26 Aug12 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 123 1.80 22% 3.50    
 
DED-5   11/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABSOLUTELY MINDY Aug25 Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 May28 (charles jonatha)BOURQUE J 120 20.00    
2  JUST A WIN Oct14 Aug24 Aug12 Jul30 Jul02 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  BOSTON BELLE Oct29 Oct15 Jun15 May04 Apr23 (segura kearney)FUSILIER C 118 12.00    
4  I LOVE YOU MORE Oct26 Oct15 Sep24 Aug27 Aug14 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 121 15.00    
5  FLAT ROSE Jun16 May07 Apr13 Mar04 Feb09 (bourque war)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 8.00 5% 17.50    
6  UGOTTAGO Jun01         (washington )RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 20.00    
7  SECRET MELODY Sep25 Jul23 Jun18 May20 Jan01 (jacobs dory)COTTO L 121 6.00 ★    
8  FASTED Oct14 Aug27 Apr08 Mar17 Feb12 (mojica a)BIRZER E 123 8.00    
9  MARIAH'S CANDY Oct15 Aug06 Jul06     (gelner j)ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.50 16% 5.30    
10  MEAN AMERICAN Nov03 Oct14 Aug25 Jul08 Jun02 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  ATOMIC ROSE Oct22 Oct01 Sep10 Aug26 Jun12 (lorefi)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 20.00    
 
DED-6   11/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADES OF TRUTH Oct20 Aug27 Aug06 Jun01 May06 (devereux pa)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00 17% 4.80    
2  LIGHTNING HART Oct28 Oct15 Mar22 Mar04 Feb11 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 116 4.50 18% 4.50    
3  GEE GEE Nov05 Oct06 Aug19 Jul01 Jun10 (cox l)MCMAHON J 118 12.00    
4  ANGELA'S CELERITY Oct22 Oct12 Sep10 Aug21 Jul11 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 111 12.00    
5  PAISLEY CROSS Mar05 Jan20 Jan08     (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 115 2.00 36% 1.80    
6  PUZZLING PRIORITY Oct20 Sep18 Aug04 Jul12 Jun23 (thomas lee)COTTO L 115 8.00    
7  FIRSTSLATE Oct27 Sep18 Aug08 Jul10 Jun27 (melancon do)FLORES S 118 10.00 ★    
8  HAMAZING LACE Oct15 Sep08 Aug14 Jul28 Jul03 (richard chris)BIRZER E 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
DED-7   11/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART ANALYSIS Oct19 Feb26 Feb11 Jan21   (latour nicholas)ROMAN KEVIN 115 20.00    
2  R T'S D'ORO Oct05 Aug17 May19 Apr20 Mar20 (sam w)STOKES A 115 15.00    
3  CABRO TORO Oct28 Sep10 Aug28 Aug06 Jul26 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.50    
4  POPEYES HEART Oct15 Sep18 Aug27 Jul24 Jul02 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 113 8.00 ★    
5  DIXIE STAR Oct15 Aug24 Jun30 Jun10 May26 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 15.00    
6  TWIRLING CHIEF Oct01 Sep11 Aug15 Jul16 Jun20 (guillory henr)VARGAS P 120 20.00    
7  UNIFIED ASSETS Oct15 Sep04 Aug16 Jul26 Jun06 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.00 66% 0.50    
8  WOODS N WATER Nov02 Aug24 Aug03 Jul02 Jun10 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 115 4.00 ★    
9  NINEJUANJUAN CALL Oct21 Jul26 Jul16 Jul05 May31 (tracy greg)BARRERA J 110 4.50 ★    
10  SEEHOSS Nov02 Apr14 Mar04 Feb10   (landry ray)BIRZER E 117 8.00    
SCR  BRYKEN N MITCHELL Nov10 Nov02 Oct14 Aug10 Jul07 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 115 8.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  BLURT Oct15 Oct05 Sep10 Aug27 Jul22 (g)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
 
DED-8   11/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIED PEPPER Oct12 Aug03 Jul16 Jun29 Jun15 (mojica edit)MORALES ROBERTO 118 10.00 5% 17.80    
2  BET AGAIN Feb16 Jan20       (toups brent)POMPELL L 115 10.00    
3  POWERSHOT Nov03 Sep18 Aug02 Jun13 May30 (gomez c)COTTO L 118 15.00    
4  MASTERLY (ARG) Oct13 Aug13 Jul06 Jun03 Apr09 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 115 4.00 17% 4.90    
5  DECEMBER SEVEN Oct14 Sep04 Jul17 Jun27 Jun06 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 118 5.00 33% 2.00    
6  HIS GIANT Oct22 Sep11 Aug27 Jul31 Jul15 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00 20% 4.00    
7  GENTRIFIED Oct12 Aug03 Jul21 Jun29 Jun01 (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 120 12.00    
8  FRANK THE MAYOR Nov05 Oct22 Aug12 Jun15 Jun05 (alberto anto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 6.00    
9  STEPHEN'S ANSWER Sep20 Aug21 Aug15 Jul19 Apr30 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 118 8.00 ★    
10  CREEKMORE Oct22 Sep23 Sep09 Aug21 Jul23 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00    
 
DED-9   11/19/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHO DAT GREY Oct28 Oct12 Sep20 Sep06 Aug29 (beavin judy)FLORES S 120 10.00    
SCR  GIFTED TALENT Nov03 Oct21 Aug07 Jul25 Jul16 (beavin judy)TORRES HUGO 115 10.00 ★    
2  CHARGED TEMP Oct07 Aug01 Jul11 May22 Mar16 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 118 3.50 54% 0.80    
SCR  CUSTOM MAIDEN Sep10 Aug18 Jul30 Jul06 Jun11 (washington ri)VARGAS P 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  ANOTHERINTHEFIRE Oct21 Oct12 Jun24 Jun09 Apr29 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 10% 8.80    
5  REBECCA G Nov03 Oct15 Aug27 Aug06 Jul08 (gelner jayd)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 6.00    
6  BEAUX TOX Oct28 May31 May15 Mar05 Feb12 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 6% 15.00    
7  MISSGREELEY'SSONG Nov05 Oct21 Aug26 Aug18 Jul30 (west henry)BARRERA J 115 20.00    
8  KAITLYN'S COURT Nov03 Oct05 Jul28 Jul15 Jun22 (constantine)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 20.00    
9  ELIZABETH RENEE Oct05 Aug27 Aug12 Jul23 Jul06 (chevis a)STOKES A 120 15.00    
10  CRAFTY PRINCESS Oct21 Aug24 Jul21 Jul09 Jun11 (arndt theodo)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.