Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turfway Park
Friday - February 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (9/6/2/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  9 $11.44 $1.44 14%
TP-6   WIN (5/3/2/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $13.62 $3.62 36%
    EXA (5/3/2/1/8)-(5/3/2/1/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  3-1 $80.78 $40.78 102%
    TRI (5/3/2/1/8)-(5/3/2/1/8)-(5/3/2/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-1-8 $173.41 $143.41 478%
    SFT (5/3/2/1/8)-(5/3/2/1/8)-(5/3/2/1/8)-(5/3/2/1/8) 120 $0.10 $12.00  3-1-8-2 $139.42 $127.42 1062%

Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   02/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:132     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER LUCY 8 3 9 7   6 1 (livers c)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50 22% 3.50 4.72 W
YELLOW CREEK ROAD 4 8 6 43   2 2 (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 123 6.00 4.71  
MOSE DEFINITELY 6 1 4 31   3 3 (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 123 30.00 39.43  
EXPRESS LADY 7 4 7 5   5 4 (ell)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 12.00 9.56  
RISATA 1 7 1½ 1nk   1 5 (west etha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 4.50 8% 10.80 3.97  
FAIRY CAKES (GB) 2 6 2½ 2nk   4 6 (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 123 5.00 17% 4.90 2.81  
U SO MONEY BABY 5 5 3 6   7 711¾ (morelos mat)PETERSON FERRIN 123 8.00 8.80  
10  AIN'T SHE A PISTOL 9 2 8 8   8 813¾ (danner doug)ELLIOTT JANE 123 15.00 29.00  
MS MERRABEL 3 9 53 95   9 917¾ (wells d)RAMOS D 123 6.00 10% 8.60 5.92  
SCR  BLUE GRASS ANNA               (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 123 4.00 20% 4.10    
 
TP-2   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:133 1:264   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRAFT CAPITAL 3 2 1nk 1nk 1nk 1½ 1½ (van)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 2.50 25% 3.00 1.25 DQ↓2
TORNADO BOY 5 6 6 6 31 2½ 2½ (nocero carmin)CANUTO THIAGO 123 10.00 9.05  
HERE COMES TREY 7 8 7 7 6 5 3 (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 123 15.00 36.33 S
TALLESTOFTHETALL 4 7 8 8 7 6 4 (brownfi)DE CRUZ 123 5.00 14% 6.00 3.96  
ARTEMUS EAGLE 8 4 31 2nk 2nk 3 53 (cline c)MCKEE J 123 12.00 7.23  
ORAZIO 2 5 5 5 42 4 6 (walsh d)MCENTEE GRACE 123 3.50 4.90  
SEMI CHARMED DAY 1 1 42 31 5 74 7 (anderson l)FELIX E 123 6.00 13% 6.50 6.70  
TOP CREDENTIALS 6 3 2nk 4 8 814 838 (spicer james )BECKMAN ALICE 116 15.00 48.18  
SCR  JUNGLE FIGHTER               (sullivan elliot)MUSARRO JOE 123 5.00 24% 3.20    
 
TP-3   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:134 1:27   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I LIKEM 2 3 42 42 3½ 1½ 1½ (shetron)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 4.83  
SINGSONG BIRD 7 6 6 6 42 3 2½ (fle)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 6.00 5.79  
10  MOONLIGHT RAIN 9 7 8 7 5 5 32 (casse mark)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 33% 2.00 1.96 S
PELLETIER 4 8 7 8 8 4 44 (watkins )RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00 9.57  
DANCE THE DAY AWAY 5 5 5 31 6 8 56 (wong jonathan)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 4.00 40% 1.50 2.92  
MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN 8 4 21 2nk 1nk 2½ 68 (grubbs l)FELIX E 120 10.00 15.79  
CLEVER TALE 1 1 31 5 7 7 79 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 6.00 10.12  
SAN NICOLA STAR 6 9 9 9 9 97 812 (blake mic)BERMUDEZ E 118 20.00 26.23  
HERO OF THE BEST 3 2 11 1nk 2nk 63 912¼ (krummen monic)CANUTO THIAGO 118 30.00 48.02  
SCR  THE BEAUTY'S TALE               (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00    
 
TP-4   02/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRANSECT 3 6 11 11   12 11 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.00 31% 2.30 0.70 W
GOLD LUCK 5 2 53 54   33 21 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 122 15.00 28.21  
UNCLE HEADLEY 1 8 86 76   44 3 (meraz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 15.00 30.24  
MISTER SHARPIE 2 7 21 32   22 46 (tom)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 12.00 8% 12.00 7.38  
FIGHT FIERCELY 6 3 6 43   5 5 (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
AMERICAN BLAZE 4 5 7 87   78 611 (colebrook)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00 6% 15.60 7.30  
GHENT 8 1 32 21   6 712 (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 122 10.00 6.07  
GOT THE BOB 7 4 43 6   817 831¾ (gonzale)DE CRUZ 118 15.00 15.61  
SCR  SCHIFTY'S HALOID               (mccarthy w)MOJICA O 120 3.00    
SCR  SPEED WARNING               (stidham )RODRIGUEZ A 113 4.00 27% 2.70    
 
TP-5   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:132 1:261   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ROJA REDEMPTION 10 6 9 8 3 21 1¼ (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 8.00 12.75  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of DESIRED EFFECT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
11  ACCIDENT 11 10 11 128 10 75 2¼ (short th)RODRIGUEZ A 115 4.00 5.14  
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
WRITE OFF JERRY 5 12 8 7 4 43 3½ (wal)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 10.00 7% 13.10 6.62 S
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TIMELY by VERRAZANO)
ANCHOR MANNE 2 3 33 5 7 65 4½ (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00 5% 19.00 59.81  
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of MYRNA ANNE by MOMENT OF HOPE)
RIVER IN EGYPT 6 9 7 31 2nk 11 5 (colebrook)BERMUDEZ E 120 12.00 35.14  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLIDE ON BY by PURE PRIZE)
AUGUSTUS BLUE 7 4 55 6 8 97 6 (kerrick lacy)MOJICA O 120 10.00 30.99  
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of BLUE DAHLIA by BUCKHAR)
NOTED TALENT 3 2 1½ 2nk 5 5 7 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 6% 16.20 10.45  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of GOLDEN BALLAD by GALILEO (ARG))
PEEK 8 7 10 9 9 86 8 (arnold r)FELIX E 120 15.00 29.50  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of WE USE TO SING by MINESHAFT)
DONEGAL ARROW 4 1 2½ 1nk 1nk 3 9 (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.50 50% 1.00 0.86  
  (by ARROGATE out of THIS CAT CAN DANCE by VINDICATION)
12  BACON 12 8 12 10 11 119 10 (brumley willi)CANNON DECLAN 120 30.00 85.95  
  (by ALTERNATION out of TAKE CHARGE BEAUTY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
DECANTED 9 5 44 42 6 108 11 (maker m)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 9% 10.00 10.62  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of KAHRUMANA by SHAMARDAL)
MATLOCK (IRE) 1 11 6 11 1215¾ 1223 1234¾ (simms mar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00 63.86  
  (by MASTERY out of C C'S PAL by ALEX'S PAL)
SCR  ROYAL SANDRIN               (brisset rodol)GILLIGAN JACK 120 12.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of GENEROSIDADE by NEDAWI)
 
TP-6   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:243 :494 1:152 1:281   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIKOLAS ARTHUR 3 3 4 42 4 1½ 1 (van thomas)MOJICA O 120 5.00 20% 3.90 5.81 W
TEXCOCO 1 1 2 2½ 1nk 2½ 2 (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 120 4.00 11% 8.40 3.75 P
CHARLIES MEDAL 7 7 8 8 5 42 3 (adams nancy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 10.00 5% 19.00 14.34 S
PRINCE OF ROSES 2 2 3 31 3.2 3½ 4 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 120 3.50 18% 4.50 4.53  
10  LEESBURG 9 9 97 9 95 7 5 (sims ma)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 10.45  
RISKY CHOICE 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 (spicer james )BECKMAN ALICE 113 12.00 19.02  
GOOD SOUL 6 6 6 6 8 8 710½ (lucas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 28.27  
ATTILA THE DUN 5 5 5 52 6 9 810¾ (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 120 15.00 23.97  
FULL MAG 4 4 1 1½ 2nk 5 911¼ (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.00 24% 3.10 1.51  
SCR  CHOWMEIN               (adams nancy )HALDAR J 118 30.00    
SCR  MO SNOW               (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
 
TP-7   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IBRIM 4 6 2½ 1½   1 1 (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 123 3.00 37% 1.70 2.16 W
10  MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE 9 4 5 31   2 2 (cowans willia)CANNON DECLAN 123 3.50 26% 2.80 1.95 P
11  FLAGS UP 10 2 1110¼ 10   6 3 (baker ja)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.50 3.67  
BERN N ASH 1 11 9 8   88 4 (dun)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 15.00 21.61  
12  CIRCLE BACK JACK 11 1 64 7   77 5 (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 123 20.00 24.21  
DIAMOND CITY 6 5 1½ 2½   3 612 (hernandez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 20.00 20.17  
BEARS WATCHING 5 10 10 1110¾   1011 712½ (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00 24.14  
HOLIDAY HOUSE 7 7 32 5   44 813½ (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 123 10.00 31.16  
B D VALESKI 8 3 4 4   5 914 (foley greg)RAMOS D 123 8.00 13.35  
RUN RUN RAPIDASH 2 8 7 9   910 1014½ (kordenbrock m)LEBRON VICTOR 123 30.00 54.74  
CARAMELITO 3 9 8 6   1126 11100 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 123 12.00 7% 12.60 17.38  
SCR  JUST SAY WHEN               (maker michael)CANNON DECLAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPRINKLEHEAD               (salas felip)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 30.00    
 
TP-8   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:123 1:251   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINISON 3 3 5 54 4 3 1½ (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 126 10.00 6.58 DQ↓2
LIAM THE BRAVE 7 7 77 7 6 4 2½ (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 126 4.00 4.49  
OFF THE CUFF 2 1 11 11 1 1 3¾ (maker m)DE CRUZ 126 2.50 38% 1.60 2.01 S
TAP THE CANDY 1 2 32 42 3 2 42 (tomlinson m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 5.00 24% 3.20 4.71  
12  BOCO 11 10 87 87 87 55 5 (hamilton tr)PETERSON FERRIN 126 20.00 33.16  
13  MY FAVORITE UNCLE 12 12 1210¾ 1110¼ 99 9 6 (capps a)HEARD TYLER 122 20.00 12% 7.40 21.16  
VERSATILE 4 4 6 6 7 7 76 (garcia i)RODRIGUEZ A 121 10.00 23.82  
BIGGIE 6 6 43 32 54 6 8 (martinez matth)AYALA ISAIAS 126 15.00 5% 19.00 26.19  
10  OFF THE CHARTS 9 11 99 9 10 10 99 (oliver victoria)MOJICA JR 121 8.00 10.77  
VAIL OF HONOR 8 8 11 1211¾ 1213 1110¾ 10 (kordenbrock)CHIRINOS ROIMES 126 15.00 11.47  
11  HABITUS (GB) 10 9 10 10 1110½ 1210¾ 1111¼ (shifflett che)MCENTEE GRACE 122 20.00 94.57  
HAP'S VICTORY 5 5 21 21 2 8 1212½ (colebrook ben)CANNON DECLAN 126 10.00 14.56  
SCR  HE'S A ANGEL               (macias adolfo)CANNON DECLAN 126 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.