Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Friday - February 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (9/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/3/1)-(9/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/3/1)-(9/2/3/1)-(9/2/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/3/1)-(3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/2/3/1)-(3/5/1)-(6/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TP-2   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1/8)-(3/5/1/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(6/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(6/10)-(3/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TP-3   WIN (6/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/10)-(6/10/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/10)-(6/10/5/2)-(6/10/5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/10)-(3/2/4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/10)-(3/2/4/6)-(4/9/5/3/2) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TP-4   WIN (3/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/6)-(4/9/5/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/6)-(4/9/5/3/2)-(5/3/2/1/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-5   WIN (4/9/5/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/5/3/2)-(4/9/5/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/5/3/2)-(4/9/5/3/2)-(4/9/5/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/9/5/3/2)-(5/3/2/1/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/9/5/3/2)-(5/3/2/1/8)-(5/10/3/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-6   WIN (5/3/2/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/1/8)-(5/3/2/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/1/8)-(5/3/2/1/8)-(5/3/2/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/2/1/8)-(5/10/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/1/8)-(5/10/3/6)-(3/1/13/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-7   WIN (5/10/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/10/3/6)-(5/10/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/10/3/6)-(5/10/3/6)-(5/10/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/10/3/6)-(3/1/13/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TP-8   WIN (3/1/13/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/13/7)-(3/1/13/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/13/7)-(3/1/13/7/10)-(3/1/13/7/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   02/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISATA Jan13 Sep19 Aug08 Jul20 Jun08 (west etha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 4.50 8% 10.80    
2  FAIRY CAKES (GB) Jan20 Dec31 Nov30 Nov09 Oct30 (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 123 5.00 17% 4.90    
3  MS MERRABEL Dec31 Dec11 Oct27 Oct11 Sep16 (wells d)RAMOS D 123 6.00 10% 8.60    
4  YELLOW CREEK ROAD Jan26 Jan05 Dec14 Dec01 Nov03 (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 123 6.00    
5  U SO MONEY BABY Jan27 Jan05 Sep17 Sep01 Aug14 (morelos mat)PETERSON FERRIN 123 8.00    
SCR  BLUE GRASS ANNA Jan21 Dec28 Nov28 Oct31 Oct10 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 123 4.00 20% 4.10    
7  MOSE DEFINITELY Jan20 Dec31 Nov23 Nov09 Sep28 (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 123 30.00    
8  EXPRESS LADY Jan13 Nov17 Nov03 Oct17 Sep29 (ell)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 12.00    
9  SUPER LUCY Mar18 Feb16 Jan15 Jan02   (livers c)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50 22% 3.50    
10  AIN'T SHE A PISTOL Jan13 Nov20 Oct13 Sep22 Aug29 (danner doug)ELLIOTT JANE 123 15.00    
 
TP-2   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEMI CHARMED DAY Jan27 Jan07 Dec15 Oct27 Sep25 (anderson l)FELIX E 123 6.00 13% 6.50    
2  ORAZIO Jan25 Dec16 Oct13 Sep27 Aug23 (walsh d)MCENTEE GRACE 123 3.50    
3  DRAFT CAPITAL Dec29 Nov30 Oct24 Sep05 Jun25 (van)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  JUNGLE FIGHTER Dec02 Oct29 Oct02 Jun19   (sullivan elliot)MUSARRO JOE 123 5.00 24% 3.20    
5  TALLESTOFTHETALL Jan14 Dec15 Nov20 Nov06 Oct09 (brownfi)DE CRUZ 123 5.00 14% 6.00    
6  TORNADO BOY Jan27 Jan14 Dec15 Oct24 Sep23 (nocero carmin)CANUTO THIAGO 123 10.00    
7  TOP CREDENTIALS Jan14 Nov30 Oct04 Sep12 Jun30 (spicer james )BECKMAN ALICE 116 15.00    
8  HERE COMES TREY Jan27 Dec15 Oct24 Oct13 Oct04 (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 123 15.00 ★    
9  ARTEMUS EAGLE Jan03 Dec05 Nov08 Oct24 Oct04 (cline c)MCKEE J 123 12.00    
 
TP-3   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLEVER TALE Jan04 Dec15 Nov30 Sep29 Aug22 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 6.00    
2  I LIKEM Jan14 Jan04 Dec17 Mar24 Mar03 (shetron)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  THE BEAUTY'S TALE Jan13 Dec17 Dec02 Nov23 Nov01 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00 ★    
4  HERO OF THE BEST Oct07 Aug17 Jun29 May20 May04 (krummen monic)CANUTO THIAGO 118 30.00    
5  PELLETIER Jan28 Dec31 Dec15 Oct10 Sep26 (watkins )RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00 ★    
6  DANCE THE DAY AWAY Jan04 Dec08 Sep28 Sep13 Aug10 (wong jonathan)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 4.00 40% 1.50    
7  SAN NICOLA STAR Jan14 Dec01 Nov17 Nov03 Oct15 (blake mic)BERMUDEZ E 118 20.00    
8  SINGSONG BIRD Jan14 Dec17 Dec02 Oct21 Aug25 (fle)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 6.00    
9  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Jan04 Nov30 Aug30 Aug10 Jun24 (grubbs l)FELIX E 120 10.00    
10  MOONLIGHT RAIN Jan14 Oct15 Sep15 Jun25 Mar03 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
TP-4   02/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE HEADLEY Jan19 Dec22 Sep03 Jun27 Apr28 (meraz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 15.00    
2  MISTER SHARPIE Jul10         (tom)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 12.00 8% 12.00    
3  TRANSECT Jan20         (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.00 31% 2.30    
4  AMERICAN BLAZE Jan19 Dec28 Oct12 Aug27 Jul30 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 6% 15.60    
5  GOLD LUCK Dec28 Nov26 Oct08 Sep18 Aug22 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 122 15.00    
6  FIGHT FIERCELY Jan11 Nov17 Sep30 Aug28 Jul22 (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  GOT THE BOB Jan11         (gonzale)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
8  GHENT Dec28 Oct09 Oct03 Sep11 Aug27 (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 122 10.00    
SCR  SPEED WARNING Jan21 Dec16 Nov18     (stidham )RODRIGUEZ A 113 4.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  SCHIFTY'S HALOID Jan07 Dec28 Nov07 Oct19 Sep05 (mccarthy w)MOJICA O 120 3.00    
 
TP-5   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MATLOCK (IRE)         (simms mar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00    
  (by MASTERY out of C C'S PAL by ALEX'S PAL)
2  ANCHOR MANNE Jan13 Nov22 Oct31 Oct10   (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of MYRNA ANNE by MOMENT OF HOPE)
3  NOTED TALENT Jan05         (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 6% 16.20    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of GOLDEN BALLAD by GALILEO (ARG))
4  DONEGAL ARROW Jan05         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of THIS CAT CAN DANCE by VINDICATION)
5  WRITE OFF JERRY Jan06         (wal)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 10.00 7% 13.10    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TIMELY by VERRAZANO)
6  RIVER IN EGYPT Jan27         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLIDE ON BY by PURE PRIZE)
7  AUGUSTUS BLUE Jan13 Oct18 Sep11 Aug13 Jul30 (kerrick lacy)MOJICA O 120 10.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of BLUE DAHLIA by BUCKHAR)
8  PEEK Dec29         (arnold r)FELIX E 120 15.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of WE USE TO SING by MINESHAFT)
9  DECANTED Nov18 Oct16 Sep14 Sep01   (maker m)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 9% 10.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of KAHRUMANA by SHAMARDAL)
10  ROJA REDEMPTION         (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 8.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of DESIRED EFFECT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
11  ACCIDENT Jan21 Jan07 Dec16 Nov26 Nov16 (short th)RODRIGUEZ A 115 4.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
12  BACON Jan06         (brumley willi)CANNON DECLAN 120 30.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of TAKE CHARGE BEAUTY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
SCR  ROYAL SANDRIN Jan20         (brisset rodol)GILLIGAN JACK 120 12.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of GENEROSIDADE by NEDAWI)
 
TP-6   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXCOCO Jan21 Aug13       (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 120 4.00 11% 8.40    
2  PRINCE OF ROSES Jan06 Dec18 Nov25 Oct20 Sep25 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
3  NIKOLAS ARTHUR Jan08 Nov09       (van thomas)MOJICA O 120 5.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  CHOWMEIN Feb03 Jan20       (adams nancy )HALDAR J 118 30.00    
5  FULL MAG Dec30 Oct14       (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.00 24% 3.10    
6  ATTILA THE DUN Dec30 Oct23       (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 120 15.00    
7  GOOD SOUL Jan20 Dec09       (lucas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
8  CHARLIES MEDAL Feb01 Jan05 Dec13 Nov23 Nov07 (adams nancy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  RISKY CHOICE Jan05 Nov16 Aug09 Jul15   (spicer james )BECKMAN ALICE 113 12.00    
10  LEESBURG Jan19         (sims ma)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
SCR  MO SNOW Jan21 Sep08       (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
 
TP-7   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERN N ASH Jan13 Dec14 Nov22 Sep22 Sep01 (dun)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 15.00    
2  RUN RUN RAPIDASH Jan13 May14 Apr10 Mar04 Jan29 (kordenbrock m)LEBRON VICTOR 123 30.00    
3  CARAMELITO Dec31 Dec02 Nov17 Oct20 Oct08 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 123 12.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  JUST SAY WHEN Dec17 Nov20 Sep11 Jul14 May19 (maker michael)CANNON DECLAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  IBRIM Apr17 Mar02       (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 123 3.00 37% 1.70    
6  BEARS WATCHING Jan27         (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  DIAMOND CITY Jan06 Dec10 Aug19 Jul17   (hernandez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 20.00    
8  HOLIDAY HOUSE Jan14 Dec31 Dec16 Nov19 Oct20 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 123 10.00    
9  B D VALESKI Dec31 Nov16 Sep11 Jul16 Jun05 (foley greg)RAMOS D 123 8.00    
10  MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE Jan13 Dec16 Nov19 Jan15   (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
11  FLAGS UP Jan13 Dec17 Nov24 Oct28 Sep24 (baker ja)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.50    
12  CIRCLE BACK JACK Jan06 Dec16 Jul16 May23 Apr10 (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 123 20.00    
SCR  SPRINKLEHEAD Jan28 Jan06 Dec15 Jun09 May13 (salas felip)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 30.00    
 
TP-8   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP THE CANDY Jan04 Dec09 Nov23 Oct08 Aug27 (tomlinson m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  HE'S A ANGEL Jan11 Oct29 Oct06 Sep10 Aug21 (macias adolfo)CANNON DECLAN 126 15.00    
3  OFF THE CUFF Jan11 Nov11 Feb16     (maker m)DE CRUZ 126 2.50 38% 1.60    
4  KINISON Jan04 Nov22       (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 126 10.00    
5  VERSATILE Jan28 Jan04 Dec09 Nov22 Nov02 (garcia i)RODRIGUEZ A 121 10.00    
6  HAP'S VICTORY Jan28         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 126 10.00    
7  BIGGIE Jan26 Nov13 Nov02 Sep12 Jun20 (martinez matth)AYALA ISAIAS 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  LIAM THE BRAVE Jan04 Nov23 Nov02 Oct12 Sep22 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 126 4.00    
9  VAIL OF HONOR Jan11 Jan15       (kordenbrock)CHIRINOS ROIMES 126 15.00    
10  OFF THE CHARTS Dec28 Dec15 Nov25 Feb27   (oliver victoria)MOJICA JR 121 8.00 ★    
11  HABITUS (GB) Jan18 Dec29 Dec09 Nov11 Sep12 (shifflett che)MCENTEE GRACE 122 20.00    
12  BOCO Jan11 Dec28 Oct29 Sep18 Aug07 (hamilton tr)PETERSON FERRIN 126 20.00    
13  MY FAVORITE UNCLE Feb01 Nov23 Nov10 Nov02 Oct10 (capps a)MCENTEE GRACE 122 20.00 12% 7.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.