Handicappers' Race Results

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Fair Grounds
Friday - December 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   12/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 2 F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:251 :503 1:163 1:294   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRIDDY UP GIRL 6 5 54 42 2nk 1 1 (jeansonne ju)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 49% 1.10 1.70 W
TAKEOVER TIME 3 1 21 2 3.2 2 2 (jeansonne)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.00 4.80 P
TAZZHER 2 3 3 3 4 45 3 (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 17.70  
ONECALLTHATSALL 4 2 44 5 5 56 4 (delahoussay)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50 2.00  
REINA ACES 1 4 11 1 1nk 32 55 (richards co)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 28% 2.60 3.60  
ONE MO TO GO 5 6 6 6 6 610 614¼ (richards cora)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 4.00 10.60  
 
FG-2   12/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:222 :462 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAVE CREEK 2 2 43 43   1½ 1 (dussette alv)ALBERT S 115 4.00 4.70  
SERIOUSLY SASSY 1 1 1½ 1nk   2½ 2 (singh s)SINGH R 120 8.00 9.40 P
FORBIDDEN FRUIT 6 5 3 31   31 3 (wiggins lon)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.50 2.10 S
QUINN ELLA 3 4 5 54   54 44 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.50 59% 0.70 2.00  
MELODY ROSE 5 6 69 6   66 5 (mouton patrick)RIQUELME J 120 3.00 5.00  
PRINCESS STELLA (IRE) 4 3 2½ 2nk   42 6 (rodriguez )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 7.00  
 
FG-3   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:222 :472 :60     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REVERENT 2 1 14 12   13 1 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 117 3.00 1.60  
ONDATRACKPIMPERNEL 1 2 24 22   23 2 (zenon charles)THERIOT J 122 3.50 6.00 P
AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY 3 3 4 3   35 3 (carter angelle)RIQUELME J 122 4.00 37% 1.70 1.30 S
DIGNIFIED N KRAFTY 5 7 510½ 54   47 413 (morrell cynthia)MURRAY M 124 5.00 11.30  
MINE YOUR BIZ 4 5 712½ 6   711 515½ (peterson c)HEBERT J 124 8.00 26.30  
BROTHER JEFF 8 4 611½ 79   611 615¾ (arndt theodor)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 8.00 27.60  
ALL OUT WAR 6 8 814 810½   813 721¾ (leblanc john)ALBERT S 119 20.00 72.70  
PUNCHIE 7 6 3 4   5 823½ (duhon o)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 37% 1.70 9.40  
 
FG-4   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AARON'S SPIRIT 2 1 1 1   1 1 (broberg karl)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50 57% 0.70 1.90 W
SPECIAL OPERATOR 5 5 55 5   2 2 (scherer t)LANERIE J 119 5.00 2.40 P
TOP NOTE 1 2 3 3   3 35 (claire alex)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 11% 8.20 5.50 S
GALLANT BUCK 3 3 2 2   44 4 (wilson sh)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 4.00 5.30  
BACK BEAT 6 6 6 67   6 5 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 3.30  
MORO MAFIA 4 4 4 44   5 6 (bryant george )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 26.30  
 
FG-5   12/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:134 1:403   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAD ADAM 3 3 1nk 4 13 14 1 (west g)PARKER L 118 6.00 5.70  
MOSH PIT 5 4 5 52 44 24 2 (cuccia j)CULP BRIANNE 113 10.00 20.00  
OGRE'S LION KING 4 6 77 74 3 34 3 (singh s)SINGH R 121 12.00 7% 12.60 31.30 S
EXCLAIM 6 7 815 88 5 4 413½ (savoie sher)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 4.50 11.50  
COSTELLO'S KITTEN 1 2 2nk 2½ 23 5 523¾ (jeansonne)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 4.00 21% 3.80 4.10  
DIALED A DAME 7 8 6 63 76 613½ 627 (claire alexis)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.50 39% 1.50 1.00  
PLEASANT VISION 2 1 4 1½ 8 818 736 (hirdes john)THERIOT J 118 8.00 8% 11.70 11.90  
MO VODKA 8 5 31 31 65 716½ 836 (delany sar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 5.00 6.50  
 
FG-6   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:214 :451 :573     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATURAL HARBOR 3 2 1½ 12   14 12 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 34% 1.90 1.90 W
11  MO HOPE 10 4 78 78   4 22 (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 120 8.00 11.70  
10  PINFIRE 9 1 2½ 33   36 3 (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 120 20.00 42.00  
MIDNIGHT PRANKS 7 9 9 89   68 4 (calhoun br)PARKER L 120 12.00 13.70  
SILVER BULL 6 10 1013¾ 1012½   1012 5 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 16.20  
LITTLE STEVEN 5 8 8 9   78 6 (foley greg)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00 40.10  
DE SAIX 1 5 3 22   24 7 (faucheux ron)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00 10.80  
DESERT DUKE 2 7 68 6   57 8 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 8% 10.80 6.30  
SPEED WARNING 8 3 54 56   911½ 915¾ (stidham micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 24% 3.10 2.40  
GOLDEN NUGGET 4 6 4 4   8 1016¾ (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 8.70  
SCR  PRINCE COSMO               (jeansonne)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 10% 9.50    
 
FG-7   12/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:122 1:374   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN CONNECTION 3 4 32 3 4 13 1 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 2.50 13% 6.70 0.40 W
IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME 7 8 810 810 8 4 2 (gomez c)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 8% 12.30 29.30 P
HANNAH'S HAVEN 8 3 2 2½ 11 23 3 (wilson sh)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 10.00 34.40  
FLATTER ME SILLY 4 7 67 6 6 3 4 (pessin l)LANERIE J 120 4.50 23% 3.40 4.70  
MICROCAP 2 2 4 4 21 56 518 (forster t)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 5% 18.40 8.40  
RUSSIAN MAFIA 6 6 78 75 53 6 619¾ (rodriguez )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00 27.00  
PURRFECT 5 1 1 1½ 31 7 721¼ (stidham mic)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 27% 2.70 7.50  
XTREMA 1 5 55 54 7 812 827½ (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 120 12.00 23.20  
SCR  DIAL TEN FOR G               (west g)PARKER L 117 6.00    
 
FG-8   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:221 :46 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLIE'S TOWN 5 2 11 1   14 1 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 116 3.50 39% 1.60 1.10 W
1A  STEALING APRIORITY 11 7 88 4   4 2 (thomas lee)GRAHAM J 121 3.50 1.10 P
HEARTTHROB HALO 2 6 3 3   24 3 (duke steven)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00 16.80  
MAGNOLIA RIDGE 4 10 10 67   5 4 (schwandt emi)ALBERT S 114 8.00 33.90  
ROCK STAR ALEX 1 8 99 8   710 5 (dandridge courtney)MURRAY M 119 12.00 28.10  
WESTERN STAR 7 4 77 910½   911 69 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 8.00 20.70  
JUJU NINETEEN 8 5 5 7   810 7 (scherer t)COHEN DAVID 119 6.00 5% 19.00 3.10  
CALLEN FEELS GOOD 3 9 67 57   6 810¾ (pedigo ran)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 8.00 14% 6.20 20.00  
11  OURQUICKDRAWMCGRAW 10 1 21 2   35 911½ (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 10.00 8.20  
10  K T'S JILTED GROOM 9 11 1117½ 1115½   1013 1013½ (alonzo howard)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 13.10  
HALF A DOODLE 6 3 45 1011   1117 1124 (jeansonne)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
SCR  BERNIE SPECIAL               (delahoussay)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00 16% 5.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.