Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fair Grounds
Friday - December 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FG-1   12/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 2 F PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REINA ACES         (richards co)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
TAZZHER Nov27 Sep17       (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
TAKEOVER TIME Nov27 Sep18 Sep04 Jul03   (jeansonne)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.00    
ONECALLTHATSALL Nov27 Nov16 Oct21 Oct08 Sep17 (delahoussay)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50    
ONE MO TO GO Nov27 Aug20 Jul15     (richards cora)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 4.00    
GRIDDY UP GIRL         (jeansonne ju)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 49% 1.10    
 
FG-2   12/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERIOUSLY SASSY Oct28 Sep25 May07 Mar13 Feb21 (singh s)SINGH R 120 8.00    
CAVE CREEK Nov05 Sep18 Sep04 Aug05 Jul05 (dussette alv)ALBERT S 115 4.00    
QUINN ELLA Sep03 Jul16 Jul01 May30 May19 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.50 59% 0.70    
PRINCESS STELLA (IRE) Dec03 Oct16 Sep25 Jan01   (rodriguez )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
MELODY ROSE Sep25 Aug13 Jul05 Jun12 Mar06 (mouton patrick)RIQUELME J 120 3.00    
FORBIDDEN FRUIT Nov18 Sep29 Sep09 Aug23 Jul29 (wiggins lon)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.50    
 
FG-3   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONDATRACKPIMPERNEL Dec02 Nov04 Oct19 Aug18 Jul22 (zenon charles)THERIOT J 122 3.50    
REVERENT Apr30 Apr08       (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 117 3.00    
AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY         (carter angelle)RIQUELME J 122 4.00 37% 1.70    
MINE YOUR BIZ Nov27 Aug26       (peterson c)HEBERT J 124 8.00    
DIGNIFIED N KRAFTY Nov27 Oct22 Oct05 Aug26 Aug13 (morrell cynthia)MURRAY M 124 5.00    
ALL OUT WAR         (leblanc john)ALBERT S 119 20.00    
PUNCHIE         (duhon o)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 37% 1.70    
BROTHER JEFF Nov27 Apr15 Mar24     (arndt theodor)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 8.00    
 
FG-4   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 3:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP NOTE Dec03 Nov17 Oct20 Sep26 Jul30 (claire alex)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 11% 8.20    
AARON'S SPIRIT Nov22 Nov05 Oct21 Sep15 Sep07 (broberg karl)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50 57% 0.70    
GALLANT BUCK Dec03 Oct08 Aug27 Aug03   (wilson sh)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
MORO MAFIA Nov25 Nov16 Sep24 Sep13 Jul23 (bryant george )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00    
SPECIAL OPERATOR Nov20 Jul10       (scherer t)LANERIE J 119 5.00    
BACK BEAT Nov20 Nov02 Sep29 Aug29 Jun25 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50    
 
FG-5   12/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COSTELLO'S KITTEN Oct15 Jan13       (jeansonne)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 4.00 21% 3.80    
PLEASANT VISION Nov25 Sep24 Sep11 Aug20 Jun05 (hirdes john)THERIOT J 118 8.00 8% 11.70    
MAD ADAM Oct05 Sep18 Sep04 Aug03 Jun02 (west g)PARKER L 118 6.00    
OGRE'S LION KING Nov26 Sep26 Sep10 Aug16 Jul03 (singh s)SINGH R 121 12.00 7% 12.60    
MOSH PIT Nov25 Aug14 Jul18 Jun14 May30 (cuccia j)CULP BRIANNE 113 10.00    
EXCLAIM Nov25 Sep25 Sep03 Aug14 Jul18 (savoie sher)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 4.50    
DIALED A DAME Nov26 Nov16 Oct26 Oct06 Sep20 (claire alexis)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.50 39% 1.50    
MO VODKA Nov26 Nov10 Sep12 Jul26 Jul04 (delany sar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 5.00    
 
FG-6   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 4:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DE SAIX Nov18         (faucheux ron)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00    
SCR  PRINCE COSMO Nov18 Sep17 Aug16     (jeansonne)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 10% 9.50    
DESERT DUKE         (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00 8% 10.80    
NATURAL HARBOR Nov03 Oct13       (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
GOLDEN NUGGET         (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00    
LITTLE STEVEN         (foley greg)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
SILVER BULL         (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
MIDNIGHT PRANKS Nov26 Oct30       (calhoun br)PARKER L 120 12.00    
SPEED WARNING Nov18         (stidham micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 24% 3.10    
10  PINFIRE Nov26         (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 120 20.00    
11  MO HOPE         (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 120 8.00    
 
FG-7   12/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XTREMA Nov16 Oct28 Sep14 Aug14 Jul10 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 120 12.00    
MICROCAP Nov24 Oct28 Sep29 Jul09 Jun25 (forster t)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 5% 18.40    
HIDDEN CONNECTION Nov13 May06 Mar26 Feb19   (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 2.50 13% 6.70    
SCR  DIAL TEN FOR G Aug21 Aug05 Jul10 Jun11 May19 (west g)PARKER L 117 6.00    
FLATTER ME SILLY Nov20 May19 Apr24 Mar12 Feb12 (pessin l)LANERIE J 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
PURRFECT Nov25 Oct06 Aug16 Jul12   (stidham mic)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 27% 2.70    
RUSSIAN MAFIA Oct23 Sep24 Sep01 Jul17 Jun18 (rodriguez )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME Nov26 Nov04 May30 Apr24 Mar16 (gomez c)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 8% 12.30    
HANNAH'S HAVEN Nov04 Sep25 Aug20 Aug05 Jul06 (wilson sh)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 10.00    
 
FG-8   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLIE'S TOWN Mar11 Feb17 Jan05     (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 116 3.50 39% 1.60    
1A  STEALING APRIORITY Aug28 Aug13 Jul02 Jun08 May17 (thomas lee)GRAHAM J 121 3.50    
ROCK STAR ALEX Nov25 Sep24 Sep11 Aug20 Jul09 (dandridge courtney)MURRAY M 119 12.00    
HEARTTHROB HALO Nov25 Sep24 Aug28 Aug13 Jul24 (duke steven)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
CALLEN FEELS GOOD Nov30 Nov09 Oct20 Sep13 Aug09 (pedigo ran)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 8.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  BERNIE SPECIAL Dec01 Oct14 Sep05 Jul15 Jun30 (delahoussay)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00 16% 5.10    
MAGNOLIA RIDGE Nov25 Oct15 Sep13 Aug18 Jul13 (schwandt emi)ALBERT S 114 8.00    
HALF A DOODLE Nov25 Sep24 Sep12 Aug27 Jun12 (jeansonne)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
WESTERN STAR Oct05 Sep17 Aug30 Aug15 Jul10 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 8.00    
JUJU NINETEEN Nov25 Aug12 Jul22 Jun23 Mar05 (scherer t)COHEN DAVID 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  K T'S JILTED GROOM Aug25 Aug03 Jul13 Jun30 Jun08 (alonzo howard)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00    
11  OURQUICKDRAWMCGRAW Dec01 Sep24 Mar09 Jan30 Jan08 (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.