The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - February 09, 2023

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MVR-1   02/09/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
:253 :492 1:151 1:29   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MON PARADIS 2 2 3 36 32 1½ 11 (gomez aleja)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 2.50 25% 3.00 1.60 W
PRINCESS MORO 4 5 4 410½ 47 421 (buttigieg kevin)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 11% 8.20 2.80 P
LADY MECHANIC 1 4 1 12 1 2½ 3(lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 2.70 S
TALK DIRTY 3 3 2 22 2 34(bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 11% 8.20 2.60  
PEACH BELLINI 5 1 510½ 511½ 510 5516½ (norris stephan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 22.30  
SCR  SCOOP THERE IT IS               (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
 
MVR-2   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
1:131         1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALEROSO 1 5 2 2nk   12 18 (spiess s)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 5.00 8% 11.20 2.30 W
HOLY SAINT 4 2 3 32   328 (logston christ)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 3.50 39% 1.60 1.80 P
BOO BE RIGHT 3 3 1 1nk   22 3(meeks karl)PAUCAR E 126 6.00 8% 11.20 8.90 S
PERCENTAGE 5 1 5 4   4411 (cline c)TAPARA BRANDON 126 2.50 1.40  
NANO 2 4 4 5   58 514½ (langley j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 10.00 17.30  
SCR  LE GENERAL               (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 126 2.00 21% 3.70    
 
MVR-3   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT- 1:41
1:121         1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOR THE BISCUIT 2 4 2 1½   11(hernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.00 2.90  
WRITTEN CONSENT 5 2 35 4   32(wong jonathan)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 2.50 5% 19.00 3.30 P
THETEASERGOTLOOSE 1 7 45 3   23(waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 12.00 4.10 S
SMARTY PANTS 6 6 7 53   54 410 (waltz brian)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00 5% 19.00 10.40  
DANZING CHICK 7 1 1 2½   4514 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 4.00 50% 1.00 1.70  
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 4 3 6 7   7616¼ (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 117 15.00 18.10  
SISTER CODE 3 5 5 6   68 716½ (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 117 8.00 24.20  
SCR  FRACING LUCKY               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 3.50    
SCR  NEVER TELL PATTI               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
MVR-4   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
1:122         1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  OVERBEARING 3 2 3.2 12   14 13 (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 1.40 39% 1.60 1.10 W
HIDDEN RULER 1 4 4 4   34 23 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 2.50 29% 2.40 3.30 P
HONOR LIFE 2 3 2nk 33   24 3(cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 5.40 S
CALL WEST 5 5 5 5   46 45 (nocero carmino)MUSARRO JOE 124 8.00 13.00  
YO BERBS 4 6 6 6   5511¾ (brown t)DIAZ I 124 3.50 2.20  
2B  BIG TRIP 6 1 1nk 22   6615 (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 2.20  
SCR  FARZIN               (sandy s)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
SCR  W W KAN DO               (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 1.40    
 
MVR-5   02/09/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
:243 :48 1:142 1:282   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STONE COLD CAT 5 4 6 6 3½ 12 1(spiess s)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 13% 6.80 3.40 W
PLATE IT UP 3 2 47 4 5 32 2(gonzalez do)CORREA L 124 12.00 11.90  
SAMMY DA BULL 7 8 7 7 6 53(faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 4.60 S
MONSTER HUNTER 8 7 810½ 812¼ 8 6410¼ (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 10.00 5.80  
JACK BE FAST 4 1 1nk 2nk 1nk 4510¾ (hernandez ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 18% 4.50 1.20  
NAMBITI 2 5 2nk 1nk 2nk 22 612¼ (juarez lorenzo)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 10.20  
HEIDI'S SINATRA 1 6 58 5 7 7712¾ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 30.00  
ONE CRAZY RIDE 6 3 31 3½ 41 8822¼ (brown gle)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 35.80  
SCR  SERVE REVENGE COLD               (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 126 1.20 43% 1.30    
 
MVR-6   02/09/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
:222 :463       1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO STELLAIRE 4 2 56 5   56 1½ (vickers richard)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 15.00 21.00  
GOLDEN LASSIE 5 1 11 1   12½ (clouston edward)CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.50 19% 4.20 5.40 P
AUNT STELLA 3 3 4 3   23¾ (sullivan elliott)MUSARRO JOE 126 1.00 22% 3.60 0.80 S
ONE SMART COOKIE 1 4 21 4   34(patterso)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 17% 4.80 3.60  
PROUD MAID MARIAN 2 5 68 610½   65(huff)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00 9% 9.90 12.80  
SWEET BELEN 6 6 31 2   45 67 (murillo r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 4.50 12% 7.70 3.80  
 
MVR-7   02/09/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:251 :483 1:132     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE HONORABLE ONE 7 7 31 1½ 1 14 1(wong jonathan)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 4.50 3.60  
BROADWAY SKY 3 2 21 32 33 42(buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.50 39% 1.60 3.60 P
DAWN WEST 6 8 86 78 66 24 3(wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 14% 6.30 9.10 S
TONKAWA SPRINGS 5 3 5 4 44 64(vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 12% 7.30 3.90  
MO HEAT 1 5 42 6 56 55(londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 6% 15.40 29.90  
SWELTER 2 1 11 2½ 2 34 69 (hamm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 8.00 10.40  
KENTUCKY MIST 8 6 64 5 7 7713 (dyer joh)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 2.10  
TARAASHOQ 4 4 7 8 8 8813½ (ramos ago)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 6.00 16.80  
 
MVR-8   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
:24 :48 1:011     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAVALETTO 7 1 33 3   1nk 1(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.00 30% 2.40 0.20 W
CONSTITUTION COAL 5 3 11 1   2nk 2(faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 118 12.00 20.80  
MAN'S CHOICE 6 2 55 42   32 310¼ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 6.00 25.50 S
MISS ELLIE 1 7 21 2   4413½ (doering )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 8.00 22% 3.60 5.80  
OXBOW'S RIDE 4 4 67 6   5514½ (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 21.90  
BUCKEYE CHARLIE 2 8 815½ 714   712¼ 614¾ (anderson susan )BRACHO A 126 2.50 25% 3.00 7.70  
MOONLIGHT MEISTER 3 5 711 818   818¾ 732½ (faulkner c)VELEZ J 118 20.00 67.60  
LEWIS AND CLARK 8 6 4 53   611¼ 833½ (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 3.50 20.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.