Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - February 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-4   SFT (1/3)-(1/3/2/4/5)-(1/3/2/4/5)-(1/3/2/4/5) 48 $0.10 $4.80  1-3-4-5 $6.04 $1.24 26%
MVR-5   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $8.80 $2.80 47%
    DD (1/3)-(5/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-6 $21.60 $9.60 80%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   02/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:253 :492 1:151 1:29   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MON PARADIS 2 2 35½ 36 32 1½ 11 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 2.50 25% 3.00 1.60 W
5  PRINCESS MORO 4 5 46½ 410½ 47 45½ 21 (buttigieg kev)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 11% 8.20 2.80 P
1  LADY MECHANIC 1 4 11½ 12 11½ 2½ 33¼ (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 ★ 2.70 S
3  TALK DIRTY 3 3 21½ 22 21½ 34½ 48¼ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 11% 8.20 2.60  
6  PEACH BELLINI 5 1 510½ 511½ 510 59½ 516½ (norris steph)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 22.30  
SCR  SCOOP THERE IT IS               (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
 
MVR-2   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
See original race card.
1:131         1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  VALEROSO 1 5 21½ 2nk   12 18 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 5.00 8% 11.20 2.30 W
5  HOLY SAINT 4 2 32½ 32   33½ 28 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 3.50 39% 1.60 1.80 P
4  BOO BE RIGHT 3 3 11½ 1nk   22 38½ (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 126 6.00 8% 11.20 8.90 S
6  PERCENTAGE 5 1 52¾ 42½   45½ 411 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 126 2.50 ★ 1.40  
3  NANO 2 4 42½ 55½   58 514½ (langley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 10.00 17.30  
SCR  LE GENERAL               (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 126 2.00 21% 3.70    
 
MVR-3   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT- 1:41
See original race card.
1:121         1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FOR THE BISCUIT 2 4 22½ 1½   12½ 14¼ (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.00 2.90  
  (by NYQUIST out of CATSADIVA by TALE OF THE CAT)
6  WRITTEN CONSENT 5 2 35 41½   32½ 24¼ (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 2.50 5% 19.00 3.30 P
  (by TAPWRIT out of MISS GRACER by UNCLE MO)
2  THETEASERGOTLOOSE 1 7 45 31½   22½ 36¼ (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 12.00 ★ 4.10 S
  (by COMMISSIONER out of CANNONBALLCUPCAKE by LEMON DROP KID)
7  SMARTY PANTS 6 6 78¾ 53   54 410 (waltz brian)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00 5% 19.00 10.40  
  (by BAL A BALI out of SMART AND FANCY by NOT FOR LOVE)
8  DANZING CHICK 7 1 12½ 2½   43½ 514 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 4.00 50% 1.00 1.70  
  (by DANZING CANDY out of TRUE CHICK by YES IT'S TRUE)
5  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 4 3 65¼ 74½   78¼ 616¼ (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 117 15.00 18.10  
  (by UNCLE VINNY out of HINES FARLEY RULES by KING OF KINGS (IRE)
4  SISTER CODE 3 5 55¼ 63½   68 716½ (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 117 8.00 24.20  
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
SCR  FRACING LUCKY               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 3.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SKYLUCK by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SCR  NEVER TELL PATTI               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by UNCLE MO out of PRINCESSOF THE NYL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
MVR-4   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
1:122         1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  OVERBEARING 3 2 3.2 12   14 13 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 1.40 39% 1.60 1.10 W
3  HIDDEN RULER 1 4 44¼ 43½   34 23 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 2.50 29% 2.40 3.30 P
4  HONOR LIFE 2 3 2nk 33   24 33¾ (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 ★ 5.40 S
5  CALL WEST 5 5 55¾ 54½   46 45 (nocero carmino)MUSARRO JOE 124 8.00 ★ 13.00  
2  YO BERBS 4 6 66¼ 67½   57½ 511¾ (brown t)DIAZ I 124 3.50 2.20  
2B  BIG TRIP 6 1 1nk 22   67¾ 615 (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 ★ 2.20  
SCR  FARZIN               (sandy stephen )HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
SCR  W W KAN DO               (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 1.40    
 
MVR-5   02/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:142 1:282   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STONE COLD CAT 5 4 68½ 67¾ 3½ 12 13¾ (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 13% 6.80 3.40 W
3  PLATE IT UP 3 2 47 46½ 52½ 32 23¾ (gonzalez )CORREA L 124 12.00 11.90  
8  SAMMY DA BULL 7 8 79½ 78¾ 62¾ 52¾ 34¾ (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 ★ 4.60 S
9  MONSTER HUNTER 8 7 810½ 812¼ 87¾ 64¼ 410¼ (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 10.00 ★ 5.80  
4  JACK BE FAST 4 1 1nk 2nk 1nk 42½ 510¾ (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 18% 4.50 1.20  
2  NAMBITI 2 5 2nk 1nk 2nk 22 612¼ (juarez lorenz)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 10.20  
1  HEIDI'S SINATRA 1 6 58 57½ 73¼ 74¼ 712¾ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 30.00  
7  ONE CRAZY RIDE 6 3 31 3½ 41 85¼ 822¼ (brown g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 35.80  
SCR  SERVE REVENGE COLD               (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 126 1.20 43% 1.30    
 
MVR-6   02/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:222 :463       1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GO STELLAIRE 4 2 56 58½   56 1½ (vickers richa)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 15.00 21.00  
5  GOLDEN LASSIE 5 1 11 11½   11½ 2½ (clouston edwa)CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.50 19% 4.20 5.40 P
3  AUNT STELLA 3 3 41½ 32½   21½ 3¾ (sullivan elliot)MUSARRO JOE 126 1.00 22% 3.60 0.80 S
1  ONE SMART COOKIE 1 4 21 44½   34½ 45¼ (patter)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 17% 4.80 3.60  
2  PROUD MAID MARIAN 2 5 68 610½   69½ 56¼ (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00 9% 9.90 12.80  
6  SWEET BELEN 6 6 31 21½   45 67 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 4.50 12% 7.70 3.80  
 
MVR-7   02/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:251 :483 1:132     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  THE HONORABLE ONE 7 7 31 1½ 11½ 14 12¼ (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 4.50 ★ 3.60  
3  BROADWAY SKY 3 2 21 32 33 44½ 22¼ (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.50 39% 1.60 3.60 P
6  DAWN WEST 6 8 86 78 66 24 32½ (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 14% 6.30 9.10 S
5  TONKAWA SPRINGS 5 3 52½ 43½ 44 64¾ 44¼ (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 12% 7.30 3.90  
1  MO HEAT 1 5 42 64½ 56 54¾ 58¾ (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 6% 15.40 29.90  
2  SWELTER 2 1 11 2½ 21½ 34 69 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 8.00 10.40  
8  KENTUCKY MIST 8 6 64 54½ 76¼ 78¾ 713 (dyer j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 2.10  
4  TARAASHOQ 4 4 74½ 88¼ 89¼ 89¼ 813½ (ramos a)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 6.00 16.80  
 
MVR-8   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:011     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CAVALETTO 7 1 33 31½   1nk 18¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.00 30% 2.40 0.20 W
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CAVALLERIA by LANGFUHR)
5  CONSTITUTION COAL 5 3 11 11½   2nk 28¼ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 118 12.00 20.80  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CANARYINACOALMINE by BIRDSTONE)
6  MAN'S CHOICE 6 2 55 42   32 310¼ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 6.00 ★ 25.50 S
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ROLLIN LIKE SHOBIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
1  MISS ELLIE 1 7 21 21½   42¼ 413½ (doerin)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 8.00 22% 3.60 5.80  
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of LITTLEMISS ALLISON by JUMP START)
4  OXBOW'S RIDE 4 4 67 67½   57¼ 514½ (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 21.90  
  (by OXBOW out of CYNTHIA'S NEW CAR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  BUCKEYE CHARLIE 2 8 815½ 714   712¼ 614¾ (anderson susa)BRACHO A 126 2.50 25% 3.00 7.70  
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of WINDSAIL by GRAND APPOINTMENT)
3  MOONLIGHT MEISTER 3 5 711 818   818¾ 732½ (faulkner c)VELEZ J 118 20.00 67.60  
  (by BODEMEISTER out of MOONLIGHT SHEA by COLONEL JOHN)
8  LEWIS AND CLARK 8 6 44½ 53   611¼ 833½ (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 3.50 ★ 20.30  
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of ESPIRITU CHIJULLA by MALIBU MOON)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.