Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - February 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(5/2/4)-(8/6/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(8/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(8/6/7)-(1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (8/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/7)-(8/6/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/6/7)-(8/6/7/2)-(8/6/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/6/7)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/6/7)-(1/3)-(4/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-4   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/2/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/2/4/5)-(1/3/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3)-(4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(4/6)-(3/5/1/6/2) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/8/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/8/9)-(4/6/8/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/6)-(3/5/1/6/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(3/5/1/6/2)-(3/6/5/1) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
MVR-6   WIN (3/5/1/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/6/2)-(3/5/1/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/6/2)-(3/5/1/6/2)-(3/5/1/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/1/6/2)-(3/6/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/6/2)-(3/6/5/1)-(7/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (3/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1/7)-(3/6/5/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/5/1)-(7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1/8/6)-(7/2/1/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY MECHANIC Jan30 Jan03 Dec11 Nov09 Nov01 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 ★    
2  MON PARADIS Jan30 Jan18 Jan05 Dec15 Nov30 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  TALK DIRTY Jan31 Jan18 Jan05 Aug23 Aug10 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  SCOOP THERE IT IS Jan03 Nov30 Oct19 Oct05 Jul18 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
5  PRINCESS MORO Jan30 Jan03 Dec15 Dec05 Nov15 (buttigieg kev)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 11% 8.20    
6  PEACH BELLINI Jan30 Jan03 Dec05 Nov28 Nov01 (norris steph)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-2   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LE GENERAL Jan16 Oct14 Sep25 Aug31 Aug06 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 126 2.00 21% 3.70    
2  VALEROSO Dec15 Nov30 Oct27 Sep13 Jul31 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 5.00 8% 11.20    
3  NANO Jan16 Dec12 Nov16 Oct16 Oct03 (langley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 10.00    
4  BOO BE RIGHT Jan16 Dec12 Nov29 Nov16 Nov06 (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 126 6.00 8% 11.20    
5  HOLY SAINT Nov16 Oct30 Sep12 Aug08 Jul20 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 3.50 39% 1.60    
6  PERCENTAGE Jan27 Jan07 Dec21 Nov16 Nov02 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 2.50 ★    
 
MVR-3   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FRACING LUCKY         (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 3.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SKYLUCK by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SCR  NEVER TELL PATTI         (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by UNCLE MO out of PRINCESSOF THE NYL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
2  THETEASERGOTLOOSE         (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 12.00 ★    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of CANNONBALLCUPCAKE by LEMON DROP KID)
3  FOR THE BISCUIT Jan18 Nov22 Nov10     (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of CATSADIVA by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  SISTER CODE Jan24 Jan09 Dec22 Dec07 Oct11 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 117 8.00    
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
5  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Jan24 Jan09 Dec22 Dec07 Nov07 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 117 15.00    
  (by UNCLE VINNY out of HINES FARLEY RULES by KING OF KINGS (IRE)
6  WRITTEN CONSENT Dec03         (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 2.50 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of MISS GRACER by UNCLE MO)
7  SMARTY PANTS         (waltz brian)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of SMART AND FANCY by NOT FOR LOVE)
8  DANZING CHICK Jan24 Jan09       (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 4.00 50% 1.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of TRUE CHICK by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
MVR-4   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  OVERBEARING Jan05 Nov17 Oct04 Sep06 Aug22 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 1.40 39% 1.60    
SCR  W W KAN DO Jan24 Nov18 Oct30 Oct09 Oct01 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 1.40    
2  YO BERBS Jan24 Jan05 Sep27 Sep12 Aug15 (brown t)DIAZ I 124 3.50    
2B  BIG TRIP Jan11 Dec15 Sep05 Aug17 Aug03 (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 ★    
3  HIDDEN RULER Jan24 Jan03 Nov29 Nov08 Oct24 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
4  HONOR LIFE Dec12 Dec06 Nov13 Oct09 Aug01 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 ★    
5  CALL WEST Nov30 Oct11 Sep27 Sep14 Aug11 (nocero carmino)MUSARRO JOE 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  FARZIN Jan14 Dec07 Oct24 Sep30 Sep13 (sandy stephen )HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
 
MVR-5   02/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEIDI'S SINATRA Jan17 Dec14 Dec01 Nov12 Nov03 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
2  NAMBITI Jan17 Dec30 Dec06 Nov28 Nov03 (juarez lorenz)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
3  PLATE IT UP Feb02 Jan28 Jan11 Dec30 Dec21 (gonzalez )CORREA L 124 12.00    
4  JACK BE FAST Feb02 Jan04 Dec21 Dec06 Nov12 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  SERVE REVENGE COLD Jan11 Dec12 Nov22 Oct24 Oct12 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 126 1.20 43% 1.30    
6  STONE COLD CAT Jan26 Jan11 Dec21 Dec06 Nov10 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 13% 6.80    
7  ONE CRAZY RIDE Jan17 Dec30 Dec12 Nov28 Nov03 (brown g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
8  SAMMY DA BULL Jan11 Dec12 Nov15 Oct31 Oct12 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 ★    
9  MONSTER HUNTER Jan11 Dec21 Nov28 Nov12 Oct24 (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 10.00 ★    
 
MVR-6   02/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE SMART COOKIE Jan18 Dec16 Nov24 Oct13 Sep25 (patter)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 17% 4.80    
2  PROUD MAID MARIAN Jan11 Dec28 Dec08 Nov17 Nov01 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00 9% 9.90    
3  AUNT STELLA Jan28 Jan04 Dec04 Nov11 Sep17 (sullivan elliot)MUSARRO JOE 126 1.00 22% 3.60    
4  GO STELLAIRE Dec28 Dec08 Nov17 Jun13 May30 (vickers richa)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 15.00    
5  GOLDEN LASSIE Jan11 Dec28 Dec13 Nov21 Oct31 (clouston edwa)CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.50 19% 4.20    
6  SWEET BELEN Jan02 Nov30 Oct25 Oct10 Sep26 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 4.50 12% 7.70    
 
MVR-7   02/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO HEAT Jan17 May30 Apr10 Mar25 Mar04 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 6% 15.40    
2  SWELTER Dec30 Dec07 Oct11 Sep06 Aug22 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 8.00    
3  BROADWAY SKY Jan23 Dec19 Oct22 Sep27 Sep01 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.50 39% 1.60    
4  TARAASHOQ Jan28 Jan07 Oct27 Oct14 Aug30 (ramos a)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 6.00    
5  TONKAWA SPRINGS Feb02 Jan17 Aug03 Jul05 Jun22 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 12% 7.30    
6  DAWN WEST Jan23 Dec22 Dec13 Nov03 Oct07 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 14% 6.30    
7  THE HONORABLE ONE Dec30 Oct19 Aug23 Jul25 Jun14 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 4.50 ★    
8  KENTUCKY MIST Jan21 Nov10 Oct12 Sep22 Sep05 (dyer j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00    
 
MVR-8   02/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS ELLIE Jan24 Jan10 Dec29 Dec08 Jun13 (doerin)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 8.00 22% 3.60    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of LITTLEMISS ALLISON by JUMP START)
2  BUCKEYE CHARLIE         (anderson susa)BRACHO A 126 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of WINDSAIL by GRAND APPOINTMENT)
3  MOONLIGHT MEISTER Jan04 Dec03 Nov16 Oct12   (faulkner c)VELEZ J 118 20.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of MOONLIGHT SHEA by COLONEL JOHN)
4  OXBOW'S RIDE Jan04 Dec12 Nov29 Nov10 Oct27 (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00    
  (by OXBOW out of CYNTHIA'S NEW CAR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  CONSTITUTION COAL Jan19 Jan04 Dec19 Nov01 Oct12 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 118 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CANARYINACOALMINE by BIRDSTONE)
6  MAN'S CHOICE Jan26 Dec24       (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 6.00 ★    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ROLLIN LIKE SHOBIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
7  CAVALETTO Jan04 Dec03 Nov01 Oct12   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.00 30% 2.40    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CAVALLERIA by LANGFUHR)
8  LEWIS AND CLARK Aug21 Aug01       (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 3.50 ★    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of ESPIRITU CHIJULLA by MALIBU MOON)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.