Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Charles Town
Friday - December 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CT-1   12/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:154     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FORT ZANNA 6 6 710 611½   32½ 11¾ (myers larry)BAEZ M 117 6.00 ★ 6.50  
4  AT THE GATE 4 2 11 11   11½ 21¾ (maldonado jonat)BOCACHICA O 121 1.40 27% 2.80 1.40 P
3  COFFEE BEAN 3 1 32 34½   43 32½ (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 123 2.00 34% 1.90 1.10 S
2  SERIOUS MOMENT 2 3 21 21   21½ 45½ (kee willi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 5.00 7.50  
8  REGGAETONI 8 7 52½ 45½   57 512¼ (knoblauch-perez)PELTROCHE F 121 20.00 57.40  
7  KOKOLORES 7 8 813½ 815   69 614¼ (runco c)LEWIS M 117 15.00 ★ 54.00  
5  MIDNIGHT PASS 5 5 42 58½   716 727¾ (tsiamis arthur )RODRIGUEZ V 121 15.00 15% 5.50 21.10  
1  MY BEST GIRL 1 4 66½ 714½   820 835¾ (hamlin kath)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 20.00 55.80  
 
CT-2   12/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:242 :50 1:16     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MANHATTAN WEAVE 5 5 11½ 31½   21 12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.60 34% 1.90 0.20 W
1  A FAREWELL YODEL 1 2 21½ 1½   11 22 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 10% 9.40 8.50 P
2  POSTED 2 1 42½ 2½   32½ 33¾ (schottroffe edwar)CECIL Y 122 4.50 25% 2.90 8.20 S
3  MASTER YOO 3 3 68½ 64   44 47 (downie loff)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00 85.00  
5  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS 4 4 57½ 53   55½ 57¼ (pennella rhea )ARAUJO DENIS 122 15.00 16.70  
7  MASTER THIS 6 7 812 86   76½ 67¾ (butts e)LARROSA G 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
8  THORN OF ROSE HILL 7 8 78½ 74   66½ 710½ (espinosa vi)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00 68.90  
9  FIGAROS FORTUNE 8 6 32 42   89½ 826¼ (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 111 20.00 64.90  
SCR  PONTICELLO               (racanelli)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   12/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:213 :452       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  PRIMAL DESTINY 8 2 1nk     14 14½ (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 122 0.80 56% 0.80 0.40 W
3  STEVETHEVANDRIVER 3 6 43½     24 24½ (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00 ★ 7.00 P
1  KUKULKAN (MEX) 1 8 65½     46 34¾ (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 20.20  
4  INSIDE RISK 4 7 75¾     66¼ 44¾ (caison l)CECIL Y 122 15.00 27.00  
2  BIG HAMBONE 2 9 86¾     88¼ 59 (lee a)BAEZ M 113 20.00 37.80  
5  SHACKLEFORDS STORM 5 3 54½     76¾ 611¾ (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00 20.90  
10  NITRO TIME 9 1 2nk     35 713 (santillana fran)PELTROCHE F 117 5.00 16% 5.40 5.90  
6  RULING 6 5 33     56 814 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 ★ 15.30  
8  GRUMPELSTILTSKIN 7 4 912¾     910¼ 916½ (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 120 15.00 5% 19.00 28.90  
SCR  GREAT GO GO               (gorham micha)LEWIS M 113 10.00    
 
CT-4   12/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:221 :46       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DRINKWITHTHESTARS 3 4 11     11½ 11¼ (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 118 2.50 51% 1.00 0.70 W
9  HOPPING HENRY 7 1 21     21½ 21¼ (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 ★ 4.30 P
6  REATA'S CASTLE 4 5 33     33½ 36½ (collyer d)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00 57.80  
2  JAXJAXXORJACKS 1 6 76½     55 47½ (caison l)BAEZ M 113 20.00 25.10  
7  THUNDERINREADYRICK 5 8 54½     44½ 57¾ (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 13.60  
10  ROYAL PAIN 8 3 65½     76 69¼ (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 3.00 13% 6.80 3.70  
4  SEATTLE SAILAWAY 2 7 87     86¼ 79¼ (stehr j)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 30.00 48.90  
8  CHANGE YOUR LUCK 6 2 43½     66 89¾ (pickett cry)MCKENZIE CONNIE 111 8.00 10.80  
SCR  NOCASHREFUNDS               (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 ★    
SCR  RIVER WARRIOR RVF               (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 15% 5.90    
 
CT-5   12/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:223 :47       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BIG DADDY D R 6 2 64     41½ 1¼ (utterback b)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 6.00 ★ 1.70  
6  BILLINGSGATE 4 4 41½     2½ 2¼ (magana jose )BATISTA A 122 4.00 18% 4.50 2.70 P
1  ADIOS SEE YA 1 5 1½     1½ 3¾ (straughn william)BAEZ M 113 20.00 19.30  
2  BAYTOWN JAKESTER 2 7 52     31 42½ (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 12.00 5.90  
7  CHESTNUT LIME 5 3 76     76 56½ (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.50 21% 3.70 5.00  
4  LION OF THE SEA 3 6 31     51½ 67¾ (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 14% 6.30 4.30  
9  DOESN'T MAKE CENTS 7 1 2½     64½ 710 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 30.00 38.90  
SCR  BUSTIN PIETRE               (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.50    
SCR  LOOKATLITTLEFERRIS               (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 19% 4.40    
 
CT-6   12/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:221 :463       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SUPER WILDCAT 2 7 56½     43½ 11 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 18.70  
5  UNCANNY 5 6 1½     11½ 21 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00 5.70  
4  CLEARLY VISIBLE 4 8 98     63¾ 31¼ (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00 21.70 S
3  NANCYSAIDSO 3 5 76¾     74¾ 43 (spriggs toschia )ACOSTA D 124 12.00 15.10  
6  SWEETONTHEGENTS 6 4 41½     21½ 53¼ (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50 ★ 3.20  
10  ONE SMART COOKIE 8 1 31½     53½ 65¼ (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.00 31% 2.20 2.30  
11  KIRBY 9 2 66¾     85¾ 76¼ (neilson c)CECIL Y 122 8.00 14.30  
1  TRUE HEIRESS 1 9 87¾     96¼ 86½ (gazzier kristy)BAEZ M 115 6.00 36% 1.80 4.60  
7  PEACEFUL WAY 7 3 2½     33 96¾ (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00 6.60  
SCR  JUSTKISSMYGRITS               (graci kim)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  WOLF CREEK PASS               (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 124 8.00    
 
CT-7   12/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:13     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT FUDGE SONDE 1 3 53 53   31½ 1¼ (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 2.50 21% 3.80 2.90 W
2  SPANGLISH 2 2 32 32   2½ 2¼ (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 115 15.00 15.40  
3  ONE NIGHT MIKE 3 1 11 11   1½ 3½ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 3.50 9% 9.80 3.20 S
7  PENGUIN PARADE 7 8 89¼ 710   54 48¼ (runco c)LEWIS M 111 4.50 11% 7.90 9.40  
6  EPIC TIME 6 4 21 21   43 58¾ (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 3.00 34% 2.00 2.30  
4  C R'S UNCLE LINO 4 6 63¼ 64   77½ 610¼ (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 5.00 ★ 4.40  
8  REMYS SHOWTIME 8 7 42 42½   66½ 713¾ (grams tim)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 12.00 16.70  
5  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE 5 5 78¼ 812   810 817 (straughn william)BAEZ M 113 30.00 54.10  
 
CT-8   12/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
See original race card.
:22 :461       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  R WORKING GIRL 6 1 11     13½ 11¼ (hillegass al)BATISTA A 117 15.00 8% 11.60 27.20 W
5  E J'S REVENGE 5 4 52½     56½ 21¼ (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 120 20.00 24.20  
3  GOLDEN G 3 5 42½     46 32 (gillespie ryan )PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 13.40  
9  SUPER JORDAN 8 3 31½     23½ 42¼ (carson laura)THORPE DARIUS 118 10.00 15.40  
1  ALWAYS DRINKING 1 8 75¾     66¾ 52¾ (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 118 3.50 13% 6.40 1.30  
2  SETTLEMENT DATE 2 6 96¼     78¼ 63¼ (larrosa r)LARROSA G 118 4.00 32% 2.10 2.80  
8  PRIMETIME JET 7 2 21     33½ 74¼ (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 12.00 10% 9.50 6.30  
10  MOSLEY NATURAL 9 7 65½     910¼ 87¾ (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 10.70  
4  WARRIOR'S ESTATE 4 9 85¾     89¼ 99 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00 9.10  
SCR  SHOWTIME CAT               (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00 15% 5.60    
 
CT-9   12/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
See original race card.
:222 :472       :541   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CHARITABLY GIFTED 2 9 1½     11 1¾ (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 120 4.00 16% 5.30 1.20 W
1  MICHEAUX 1 7 2½     21 2¾ (clement rolan)THORPE DARIUS 117 15.00 9% 10.40 20.70 P
8  MIO GRACELAND 8 4 77     55 32½ (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 10% 9.00 3.10 S
3  ROCKING TO HOME 3 8 31     34 42¾ (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 4.50 9.60  
4  A BLONDE THING 4 10 98½     76¼ 53½ (pickett crys)LEWIS M 112 12.00 30.70  
6  A GREAT AFFAIR 6 3 52     65¼ 65¼ (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 2.50 41% 1.40 3.80  
9  MEGALODON'SREVENGE 9 2 65½     86¼ 75½ (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 113 12.00 38.00  
5  LASHER 5 6 41½     45 86½ (spriggs r)CECIL Y 120 5.00 16.20  
10  MINI BOLT 10 1 88     912¼ 913½ (roman-salon nelsi)LARROSA G 120 50.00 75.10  
7  DUKE OF CORK 7 5 1012     1019¼ 1018¼ (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 ★ 19.10  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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