Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - December 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   12/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BEST GIRL Jul29 May11 Apr15 Mar24 Mar11 (hamlin kath)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 20.00    
2  SERIOUS MOMENT Dec01 Nov13 Oct23 Oct08 Sep17 (kee willi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 5.00    
3  COFFEE BEAN Dec11 Dec02 Nov04 Oct21 Sep17 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
4  AT THE GATE Dec01 Nov21 Nov04 Oct14 Sep16 (maldonado jonat)BOCACHICA O 121 1.40 27% 2.80    
5  MIDNIGHT PASS Dec03 Aug30 Aug01 Jul14 Jun18 (tsiamis arthu)LOPEZ ANTONIO 121 15.00 15% 5.50    
6  FORT ZANNA Nov18 Nov02 Oct14 Sep16 Sep03 (myers larry)BAEZ M 117 6.00 ★    
7  KOKOLORES Nov17 Oct07       (runco c)LEWIS M 117 15.00 ★    
8  REGGAETONI Dec01 Oct14 Oct05     (knoblauch-perez)PELTROCHE F 121 20.00    
 
CT-2   12/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A FAREWELL YODEL Nov25 Nov04 Oct12 Apr07 Mar04 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 10% 9.40    
2  POSTED Nov25 Nov10 Oct12 Sep28 Aug20 (schottroffe edwar)CECIL Y 122 4.50 25% 2.90    
3  MASTER YOO Dec10 Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 Sep29 (downie loff)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00    
SCR  PONTICELLO Nov04 Oct14 Oct05 Sep01 Jul22 (racanelli)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Dec02 Nov25 Nov16 Oct27 Oct14 (pennella rhea )ARAUJO DENIS 122 15.00    
6  MANHATTAN WEAVE Nov23 Oct29 Oct21 Sep30 Sep09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.60 34% 1.90    
7  MASTER THIS Nov25 Nov04 Oct05 Sep22 Aug27 (butts e)LARROSA G 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  THORN OF ROSE HILL Nov25 Oct29 Oct14 Oct05 Sep01 (espinosa vi)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00    
9  FIGAROS FORTUNE Nov16 Oct05 Sep07 Aug19 Jul30 (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 111 20.00    
 
CT-3   12/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KUKULKAN (MEX) Dec01 Nov05 Oct21 Sep22 Sep08 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
2  BIG HAMBONE Nov26 Nov12 Jul30 Jul16 Jun30 (lee a)BAEZ M 113 20.00    
3  STEVETHEVANDRIVER Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 Sep16 Aug05 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00 ★    
4  INSIDE RISK Nov24 Nov02 Oct20 Oct08 Sep22 (caison l)CECIL Y 122 15.00    
5  SHACKLEFORDS STORM Nov30 Nov05 Oct21 Sep29 Sep01 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
6  RULING Dec01 Sep29 Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 ★    
SCR  GREAT GO GO Nov26 Nov02 Oct05 Jul14 Jun16 (gorham micha)LEWIS M 113 10.00    
8  GRUMPELSTILTSKIN Oct28 Sep17 Jul16 Jul08 Jun17 (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  PRIMAL DESTINY Dec01 Nov02 Sep22 Aug28 Jul28 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 122 0.80 56% 0.80    
10  NITRO TIME Nov05 Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 Jul21 (santillana f)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 5.00 16% 5.40    
 
CT-4   12/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOCASHREFUNDS Nov23 Aug11 Jul14 Jun09 May13 (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 ★    
2  JAXJAXXORJACKS Dec08 Nov16 Nov05 Oct26 Oct05 (caison l)BAEZ M 113 20.00    
SCR  RIVER WARRIOR RVF Jun09 May13 Mar24 Feb26 Feb05 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 15% 5.90    
4  SEATTLE SAILAWAY Oct26 Oct05 Sep14     (stehr j)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 30.00    
5  DRINKWITHTHESTARS Nov23 Oct29 Oct01 Sep07 Jul30 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 118 2.50 51% 1.00    
6  REATA'S CASTLE Nov23         (collyer d)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
7  THUNDERINREADYRICK Nov16 Oct21 Sep30 Aug11 Jul30 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00    
8  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Dec04 Nov16 Oct05 Sep10 Aug27 (pickett cry)MCKENZIE CONNIE 111 8.00    
9  HOPPING HENRY Nov23 Oct29 Oct01 Sep07 Aug23 (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 ★    
10  ROYAL PAIN Jun25 May14 Apr27 Mar16   (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 3.00 13% 6.80    
 
CT-5   12/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADIOS SEE YA Dec02 Nov17       (straughn william)BAEZ M 113 20.00    
2  BAYTOWN JAKESTER Nov25 May05 Apr14 Mar24 Mar04 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 12.00    
SCR  LOOKATLITTLEFERRIS Nov25 Sep09 Jul10 Apr28   (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 19% 4.40    
4  LION OF THE SEA Nov25 Sep10 Jul10 Jun17   (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  BUSTIN PIETRE Nov23 Nov08 Oct17 May02 Apr10 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.50    
6  BILLINGSGATE Dec02 Nov12 Oct15 Oct02 Sep11 (magana j)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
7  CHESTNUT LIME Dec01 Mar16 Feb24 Feb10   (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.50 21% 3.70    
8  BIG DADDY D R Nov17 Oct27 Oct05 Sep17 Sep03 (utterback b)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 6.00 ★    
9  DOESN'T MAKE CENTS Dec02 Nov09 Oct21 Sep29 Aug28 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 30.00    
 
CT-6   12/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE HEIRESS Nov04 Oct12 Sep23 Sep02 Jul27 (gazzier kristy)BAEZ M 115 6.00 36% 1.80    
2  SUPER WILDCAT Dec02 Nov24 Nov04 Oct13 Sep21 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
3  NANCYSAIDSO Nov23 Nov02 Oct12 Oct01 Aug22 (spriggs toschia )ACOSTA D 124 12.00    
4  CLEARLY VISIBLE Nov02 Oct12 Sep21 Sep01 Aug11 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  UNCANNY Nov10 Oct12 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00    
6  SWEETONTHEGENTS Nov04 Oct22 Sep21     (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50 ★    
7  PEACEFUL WAY Nov24 Oct13 Sep23 Sep01 Aug11 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
SCR  JUSTKISSMYGRITS Nov25 Sep22 Sep02 Jun23 May25 (graci kim)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  WOLF CREEK PASS Nov03 Sep22       (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 124 8.00    
10  ONE SMART COOKIE Nov24 Oct13 Sep25 Sep03 Aug18 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
11  KIRBY Dec06 Nov22 Oct27 Oct14 Oct01 (neilson c)CECIL Y 122 8.00    
 
CT-7   12/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT FUDGE SONDE Nov11 Oct14 Sep08 Aug06 Mar25 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
2  SPANGLISH Oct14 Sep08 Jun16 May21 Apr16 (meehan eliza)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 15.00    
3  ONE NIGHT MIKE Nov16 Oct08 Sep23 Sep08 Aug19 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 3.50 9% 9.80    
4  C R'S UNCLE LINO Nov11 Oct08 Sep08 Aug27 Jul23 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 5.00 ★    
5  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE Dec09 Nov18 Oct08 Sep24 Sep08 (straughn william)BAEZ M 113 30.00    
6  EPIC TIME Nov11 Oct05 Aug27 Jul16 Jun18 (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 3.00 34% 2.00    
7  PENGUIN PARADE Nov11 Oct14 Sep08 Jul23 Jun23 (runco c)LEWIS M 111 4.50 11% 7.90    
8  REMYS SHOWTIME Nov19 Oct14 Sep08 Aug26 Aug06 (grams tim)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 12.00    
 
CT-8   12/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYS DRINKING Nov25 Oct26 Oct05 Aug31 Jul29 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 118 3.50 13% 6.40    
2  SETTLEMENT DATE Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 Sep07 Aug26 (larrosa r)LARROSA G 118 4.00 32% 2.10    
3  GOLDEN G Nov25 Nov05 Oct09 Sep26 Sep05 (gillespie ryan )PELTROCHE F 120 10.00    
4  WARRIOR'S ESTATE Nov16 Oct29 Oct01 Sep07 Aug11 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00    
5  E J'S REVENGE Nov14 Nov03 Oct14 Sep17 Sep05 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
6  R WORKING GIRL Dec01 Nov21 Nov02 Oct19 Oct11 (hillegass al)BATISTA A 117 15.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  SHOWTIME CAT Oct22 Sep24 Sep06 Jul30 Jun25 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00 15% 5.60    
8  PRIMETIME JET Nov25 Nov04 Sep12 Aug27 Aug11 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 12.00 10% 9.50    
9  SUPER JORDAN Nov25 Oct15 Sep24 Sep07 Jul29 (carson laura)THORPE DARIUS 118 10.00    
10  MOSLEY NATURAL Jul20 Jun19 May27     (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
 
CT-9   12/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MICHEAUX Dec01 Nov09 Oct20 Sep28 Aug03 (clement rolan)THORPE DARIUS 117 15.00 9% 10.40    
2  CHARITABLY GIFTED Dec01 Oct12 Sep22 Sep09 Jul08 (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 120 4.00 16% 5.30    
3  ROCKING TO HOME Nov16 Oct21 Sep09 Aug27 Jul30 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 4.50    
4  A BLONDE THING Nov30 Nov18 Nov03 Oct13 Sep07 (pickett crys)LEWIS M 112 12.00    
5  LASHER Nov10 Oct22 Aug28 Aug05 Jun30 (spriggs r)CECIL Y 120 5.00    
6  A GREAT AFFAIR Nov12         (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
7  DUKE OF CORK Dec10 Nov26 Nov10 Oct22 Oct06 (shanley mar)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 ★    
8  MIO GRACELAND Nov26 Oct22 Oct05 Sep21 Aug27 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 10% 9.00    
9  MEGALODON'SREVENGE Nov10 Oct12 Sep22 Jul22 Jun30 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 113 12.00    
10  MINI BOLT Jul08 Apr28 Mar25 Feb18 Jan13 (roman-salon nelsi)LARROSA G 120 50.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.