Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Oaklawn Park
Saturday - February 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

OP-2   EXA (6/5/11/4)-(6/5/11/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-10 $80.70 $64.70 404%
OP-3   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $12.60 $8.60 215%
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/4/7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00  3-5 $29.40 $21.40 268%
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/4/7/5)-(2/3/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-5-7 $73.35 $61.35 511%
    SFT (2/3)-(2/3/4/7/5)-(2/3/4/7/5)-(2/3/4/7/5) 48 $0.10 $4.80  3-5-7-4 $67.97 $63.17 1316%
    DD (6/5/11/4)-(2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00  6-3 $28.00 $20.00 250%
OP-4   WIN (3/7/6/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $19.00 $9.00 90%
    TRI (3/7/6/4/1)-(3/7/6/4/1)-(3/7/6/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-3-4 $43.85 $13.85 46%
    SFT (3/7/6/4/1)-(3/7/6/4/1)-(3/7/6/4/1)-(3/7/6/4/1) 120 $0.10 $12.00  1-3-4-7 $43.15 $31.15 260%
    DD (2/3)-(3/7/6/4/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00  3-1 $72.00 $62.00 620%
    PK3 (6/5/11/4)-(2/3)-(3/7/6/4/1) 40 $0.50 $20.00  6-3-1 $179.15 $159.15 796%
OP-5   SFT (11/10/3/4/2)-(11/10/3/4/2)-(11/10/3/4/2)-(11/10/3/4/2) 120 $0.10 $12.00  11-3-2-4 $17.81 $5.81 48%
    DD (3/7/6/4/1)-(11/10/3/4/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00  1-11 $32.10 $7.10 28%
    PK3 (2/3)-(3/7/6/4/1)-(11/10/3/4/2) 50 $0.50 $25.00  3-1-11/13/14 $76.85 $51.85 207%
    PK4 (6/5/11/4)-(2/3)-(3/7/6/4/1)-(11/10/3/4/2) 200 $0.50 $100  6-3-1-11/13/14 $464.20 $364.20 364%
OP-10   WIN (7/2/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    DD (3/4/7/2/5)-(7/2/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00  2-2 $18.00 $3.00 20%

Simulator Race results

 
OP-1   02/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($51K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:14 1:39   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEDREK 1 3 1nk 2nk 1½ 1nk 11 (lauer michael)JUAREZ NIK 124 15.00 18.00  
GREATHEART 2 2 5 5 41 2nk 21 (hollendorfer )CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00 8% 11.10 5.60 P
MAHAAMEL (IRE) 6 1 3 4 5 32 21 (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 115 1.60 59% 0.70 0.80 P
CARNIVORE 3 5 6 7 7 4 43 (keithan rachael)BAZE C 118 15.00 27.70  
ICARUS 7 6 4 32 3½ 5 5 (van berg )TORRES A 118 5.00 7% 14.10 8.70  
MIACOMET 4 7 73 6 6 6 68 (shirer a)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 3.10  
STELLAR TAP 5 4 2nk 1nk 2½ 7 712½ (anderson dou)JORDAN R 115 8.00 11.00  
 
OP-2   02/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($26.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:01
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:134 1:403   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD BUCKLE 6 10 65 4 4 21 1 (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 2.50 37% 1.70 2.90 W
CALIFORNIA SWING 5 5 33 35 3 11 2 (mcknight norm)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.50 24% 3.20 10.40 DQ↓4
10  FIRST LINE 10 9 1114½ 1115 11 5 35 (litfin nevada)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 15.00 24.70 P
LOOKIN HIGH 8 2 5 56 5 4 4 (loy dewaine)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 6.00 12.80  
COOL RUNNINGS 1 3 1 12 1 31 5 (diodoro roberti)ZIMMERMAN R 117 12.00 6.40  
JACKS SPRING BREAK 9 6 75 88 6 69 610 (dixon tim)BAILEY CHEL-C 115 30.00 24.60  
PRINCIPE GUILHERME 4 8 99 910 8 911½ 712 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 120 10.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
HOLDING PATTERN 2 1 2 22 2 7 812 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 112 10.00 10.00  
RYE HUMOR 3 11 1014 1012½ 9 1012 912¼ (morse randy )MEDELLIN ERICK 115 20.00 19.40  
11  TWITTY CITY 11 7 87 6 7 810 1012¾ (rosin w)BEJARANO R 124 3.00 12% 7.60 3.20  
SAHM TEQUILA 7 4 4 78 10 1122 1132¾ (litfin nevada)BOWEN ROCCO 117 30.00 56.80  
 
OP-3   02/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:32
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:141 1:393   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOME RUN TRICK 3 1 1½ 1 11 14 11 (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 32% 2.10 5.30 W
DERBY CODE 5 4 611½ 6 7 4 21 (sharp joe)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 4.20 P
COLOSI 7 6 5 4 6 24 3 (petalino joe)JUAREZ NIK 124 12.00 15.30 S
BIG COUNTRY 4 7 712 76 53 34 4 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 124 4.00 3.90  
BUDDY REAUX 6 3 4 54 32 56 5 (dixon tim)CABRERA DAVID 113 20.00 18.70  
ESKENFORIT 1 2 33 3 43 7 6 (martin timot)JORDAN R 118 12.00 19.80  
LITTLE DEMON 2 5 2½ 2 21 68 710½ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.20 43% 1.30 1.00  
SCR  GUARD               (lauer mich)ERAMIA E 118 20.00    
 
OP-4   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($104K) 3 F PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:124 1:26   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONDENSATION 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 1 1¾ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 115 12.00 5% 17.30 8.50 W
DEAR LADY 3 5 57 5 42 2 2¾ (mcpeek ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 115 1.40 34% 2.00 0.70 P
BLUELIGHTSPECIAL 4 2 2½ 2½ 31 45 3 (contreras)DE CRUZ 115 12.00 7% 13.90 15.50 S
U GLOW GIRL 7 4 32 32 21 35 4 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 115 3.50 15% 5.60 5.50  
LUCKY DEPUTY 5 6 611½ 68 65 58 5 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 115 12.00 16.70  
BOLT FOR ALLISON 6 3 4 4 53 6 611 (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 122 3.00 13% 6.50 4.90  
DEMI 2 7 717½ 725 719 715½ 711 (stuart clinto)CABRERA DAVID 115 6.00 10.50  
 
OP-5   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:231 :473 :594     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ASPEN CLUB 11 3 3½ 3.2   1½ 1 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 123 2.00 26% 2.80 1.10 W
LORD M 3 5 4 4   3 2 (moquett ronal)CABRERA DAVID 123 8.00 20% 4.00 4.60 P
ATTA PARTY 2 1 1nk 1nk   2½ 3 (silva mig)TORRES A 125 10.00 5% 19.00 4.30 S
TRAFFIC CONTROL 4 2 2nk 2nk   43 48 (wilson m)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 7% 13.70 10.20  
10  SOBRIETY 10 11 10 8   610 510¾ (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 4.00 21% 3.80 10.90  
BOTANY 8 8 9 9   710½ 613¼ (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 123 15.00 39.60  
TALE OF TRUTH 6 12 8 6   57 714½ (diodoro roberti)ZIMMERMAN R 123 4.50 9.30  
BRASKA 9 10 11 11   913½ 815 (cline n)HARR KELSI 123 30.00 70.20  
12  SUPER GEEK 12 7 5 5   811 916½ (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 123 20.00 42.10  
BILLHILL 5 6 63 10   1114 1018 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 123 20.00 56.70  
DRIVER 1 4 7 7   1014 1122¼ (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 50.00 74.60  
ONEIGHTHUNDREDCASH 7 9 1210¼ 1210¼   1220 1230¼ (mason ingrid)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 30.00 55.10  
SCR  DEPART               (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 30.00    
SCR  WARNING LABEL               (cline n)HARR KELSI 123 50.00    
 
OP-6   02/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:07
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:14 1:413   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  UNDECODED 11 5 75 7 9 53 1hd (martin ti)TORRES A 118 12.00 23.40  
IPSUM GRATUS 2 7 42 3 3 11 2hd (mcknight norma)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 5.00 22% 3.60 8.20 P
XYLOPHONE 9 9 97 9 8 21 2hd (keithan r)TRIANA JR 118 6.00 7% 13.40 12.50 P
10  CLOSE TO ME 10 11 1113 1113¾ 11 7 4½ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00 17.10  
FIRST EMPRESS 7 3 6 6 52 6 56 (vance thomas )CABRERA DAVID 118 12.00 25.20  
HOPING FOR A RING 4 10 8 8 6 4 6 (schleis c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
DUCHESS BUBBLES 8 6 10 10 10 9 7 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 12.00 33.20  
LEGENDARY GIFT 6 1 31 4 21 3 8 (schultz lind)JORDAN R 124 3.50 10% 9.30 3.60  
TRULY A ROCKET 3 8 53 5 7 8 910¾ (hollendorfer jer)BEJARANO R 119 2.50 1.70  
DISTORTED SECRETS 1 2 1nk 1½ 11 10 1013 (green ike)JUAREZ NIK 124 8.00 30% 2.30 8.40  
BID FOR POWER 5 4 2nk 2½ 42 1113¼ 1145½ (jacquot gene)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 20.00 62.70  
 
OP-7   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($107K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:122 1:252   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER PROSPECTOR 8 2 4 5 4¾ 12 1 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 117 4.00 5% 19.00 2.90 W
SUPER STOCK 7 4 66 6 5 22 2 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 117 3.50 8.10  
SOY TAPATIO 5 7 8 8 7 4 3 (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 4.50 34% 1.90 4.70 S
THOMAS SHELBY 4 6 53 4 6 33 45 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 117 2.50 4.40  
TUT'S REVENGE 3 1 3 3½ 3.2 65 5 (stuart sh)DE CRUZ 117 6.00 29% 2.40 5.20  
BACKGROUND 1 5 11 1nk 1nk 55 6 (puhich mike)BOWEN ROCCO 117 20.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
SPA CITY 6 8 7 7 8 79 712 (kenneally eddie)JUAREZ NIK 124 15.00 10.00  
HE'SMYHONEYBADGER 2 3 21 2nk 2nk 812 820½ (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 15.00 5.80  
SCR  KING KUMBALAY               (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 15.00    
 
OP-8   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($104K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:22 :46 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKMAN 6 3 4 3.2   1½ 1¼ (broberg k)TORRES A 121 8.00 13.30  
12  CLASSIC MOMENT 10 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 2¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 20.00 30.50  
UNCLE BUDDY 5 2 31 5   34 3 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.50 52% 0.90 9.50 S
MISTER MMMMM 7 6 5 4¼   4 43 (catalano wayn)CABRERA DAVID 118 3.50 17% 4.80 10.20  
ABSOLUTE CHAOS 2 4 1nk 1nk   56 5 (divito p)BAZE C 118 8.00 9.60  
HOYA PARANOYA 4 5 6 6   6 6 (puhich mike)JUAREZ NIK 118 20.00 23.70  
ULTIMATE 3 9 10 9   79 7 (martin timot)JORDAN R 118 10.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
VICTORY MARCH 8 10 7 72   812 8 (mcknight nor)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 30.00 59.40  
TOWN BRANCH 1 7 9 10   915 912¾ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 15.00 13.60  
10  KNOCKER DOWN 9 8 8 8   1016½ 1015¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.00 5% 19.00 0.60  
SCR  BANDIT POINT               (cline n)HARR KELSI 118 20.00    
SCR  LIGHTNING STRUCK               (green ike)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 30.00    
 
OP-9   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:221 :462 :591     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KLASSY BRIDGETTE 2 5 52 53   3.2 1¼ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 7% 13.20 2.70 W
  (by ARMY MULE out of KLASSY KATLYN by SAINT BALLADO)
PATE 1 6 6 43   2nk 2¼ (stuart c)BEJARANO R 115 12.00 12.40  
  (by SUPER SAVER out of READY REPLY by MORE THAN READY)
KEY OF LIFE (IRE) 3 2 2½ 2   1nk 33 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.40 28% 2.60 1.20 S
  (by DANCE OF LIFE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
ALWAYS ANGELS 5 3 4 6   5 410¼ (ortiz alexa)JUAREZ NIK 115 15.00 7% 14.00 39.30  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of RIBBING by DISTORTED HUMOR)
STONE SILENT 4 1 1½ 1   4 512½ (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 119 3.00 21% 3.70 2.50  
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of TRAVELATOR by A. P JET)
TWIRLED 6 4 31 32   6 614¼ (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.50 17% 4.80 7.30  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of KEY D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  BAYTOWN LOVELY               (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 115 20.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of MEU AMOR by BERNARDINI)
SCR  PARODY               (brisset )SANTANA JR 115 12.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of ROCKSTER by SUPER SAVER)
 
OP-10   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3 F PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:221 :462 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUNCHBOWL 2 12 107 9   5 1¾ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 20% 4.00 2.40 W
  (by UNCLE MO out of DEVILISH LADY by TEXAS CITY)
11  UNSUNG MELODY 11 3 11 11   12 2¾ (ortiz a)GEROUX FLORENT 119 20.00 35.20  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of NARROW SEA by BODEMEISTER)
SACRED WISH 3 5 6 8   33 33 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 119 20.00 33.90  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of INDIAN WISH by INDIAN CHARLIE)
12  BARSTOOL BABE 12 8 84 64   7 46 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 7% 14.30 9.00  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of AS I PLEASE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
INTO LOVE 7 4 31 21   22 56 (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 2.50 49% 1.00 1.90  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BEST OF TIMES by MINESHAFT)
SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL 6 2 21 3   4 6 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00 23.30  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MY PAIGE'S JEWEL by FOREST WILDCAT)
10  CECILE (IRE) 10 6 4 4   66 78 (schultz lindsay)BAZE C 119 20.00 19.50  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GREAT LOOK by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
EXPONENTIAL STAR 1 10 96 10   1011½ 810 (schultz lind)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 20.00 48.80  
  (by ACCELERATE out of STAR NUMBER by POLISH NUMBERS)
I'M SO FUNNY 4 11 129 11   1112 910¼ (jones larry)HARR KELSI 119 12.00 15.10  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of NATIVE PRINCESS by NATIVE RULER)
ALLYMISSLOVE 5 7 5 53   8 1010½ (brisset rodol)CABRERA DAVID 119 10.00 8.60  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of KNOCKATRINA by LANGFUHR)
CHARLIZE 8 9 7 75   9 1111 (divito ja)TORRES A 119 6.00 13.10  
  (by CURLIN out of AMERICA'S STARLET by CONCORD POINT)
MONTASTICAL 9 1 119 1212¼   1222 1218 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 11.60  
  (by UNCLE MO out of BIRDY NUM by TAPIT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.