The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Oaklawn Park
Saturday - February 11, 2023

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OP-1   02/11/2023 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($51K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:30
:241 :484 1:14 1:39   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEDREK 1 3 1nk 2nk 1½ 1nk 11 (lauer michael)JUAREZ NIK 124 15.00 18.00  
GREATHEART 2 2 5 5 41 2nk 21 (hollendorfer je)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00 8% 11.10 5.60 P
MAHAAMEL 6 1 3 4 5 32 21 (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 115 1.60 59% 0.70 0.80 P
CARNIVORE 3 5 6 7 7 443 (keithan rachael)BAZE C 118 15.00 27.70  
ICARUS 7 6 4 32 3½ 55(van th)TORRES A 118 5.00 7% 14.10 8.70  
MIACOMET 4 7 73 6 6 668 (shirer a)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 3.10  
STELLAR TAP 5 4 2nk 1nk 2½ 7712½ (anderson doug )JORDAN R 115 8.00 11.00  
 
OP-2   02/11/2023 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($26.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:01
:232 :473 1:134 1:403   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD BUCKLE 6 10 65 4 4 21 1(diodoro rob)TORRES A 120 2.50 37% 1.70 2.90 W
CALIFORNIA SWING 5 5 33 35 3 11 2(mcknight norman)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.50 24% 3.20 10.40 DQ↓4
10  FIRST LINE 10 9 1114½ 1115 11 535 (litfin nevada)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 15.00 24.70 P
LOOKIN HIGH 8 2 5 56 5 44(loy dewaine)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 6.00 12.80  
COOL RUNNINGS 1 3 1 12 1 31 5(diodoro robertino)ZIMMERMAN R 117 12.00 6.40  
JACKS SPRING BREAK 9 6 75 88 6 69 610 (dixon tim)BAILEY CHEL-C 115 30.00 24.60  
PRINCIPE GUILHERME 4 8 99 910 8 911½ 712 (chleborad lynn)JORDAN R 120 10.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
HOLDING PATTERN 2 1 2 22 2 7812 (villafranco ma)CASTILLO ISAAC 112 10.00 10.00  
RYE HUMOR 3 11 1014 1012½ 9 1012 912¼ (morse l)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 20.00 19.40  
11  TWITTY CITY 11 7 87 6 7 810 1012¾ (rosin w)BEJARANO R 124 3.00 12% 7.60 3.20  
SAHM TEQUILA 7 4 4 78 10 1122 1132¾ (litfin nevada)BOWEN ROCCO 117 30.00 56.80  
 
OP-3   02/11/2023 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:32
:24 :483 1:141 1:393   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOME RUN TRICK 3 1 1½ 1 11 14 11 (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 32% 2.10 5.30 W
DERBY CODE 5 4 611½ 6 7 421 (sharp joe)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 4.20 P
COLOSI 7 6 5 4 6 24 3(petalino joe)JUAREZ NIK 124 12.00 15.30 S
BIG COUNTRY 4 7 712 76 53 34 4(asmussen s)SANTANA JR 124 4.00 3.90  
BUDDY REAUX 6 3 4 54 32 56 5(dixon tim)CABRERA DAVID 113 20.00 18.70  
ESKENFORIT 1 2 33 3 43 76(martin timothy)JORDAN R 118 12.00 19.80  
LITTLE DEMON 2 5 2½ 2 21 68 710½ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.20 43% 1.30 1.00  
SCR  GUARD               (lauer michae)ERAMIA E 118 20.00    
 
OP-4   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($104K) 3 F PT- 3:03
:23 :473 1:124 1:26   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONDENSATION 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 11¾ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 115 12.00 5% 17.30 8.50 W
DEAR LADY 3 5 57 5 42 22¾ (mcpeek kenn)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 115 1.40 34% 2.00 0.70 P
BLUELIGHTSPECIAL 4 2 2½ 2½ 31 45 3(contreras c)DE CRUZ 115 12.00 7% 13.90 15.50 S
U GLOW GIRL 7 4 32 32 21 35 4(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 115 3.50 15% 5.60 5.50  
LUCKY DEPUTY 5 6 611½ 68 65 58 5(asmussen s)SANTANA JR 115 12.00 16.70  
BOLT FOR ALLISON 6 3 4 4 53 6611 (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 122 3.00 13% 6.50 4.90  
DEMI 2 7 717½ 725 719 715½ 711 (stuart clinton )CABRERA DAVID 115 6.00 10.50  
 
OP-5   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
:231 :473 :594     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ASPEN CLUB 11 3 3½ 3.2   1½ 1(morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 123 2.00 26% 2.80 1.10 W
LORD M 3 5 4 4   32(moquett ronald )CABRERA DAVID 123 8.00 20% 4.00 4.60 P
ATTA PARTY 2 1 1nk 1nk   2½ 3(silva migue)TORRES A 125 10.00 5% 19.00 4.30 S
TRAFFIC CONTROL 4 2 2nk 2nk   43 48 (wilson mel)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 7% 13.70 10.20  
10  SOBRIETY 10 11 10 8   610 510¾ (milligan allen)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 4.00 21% 3.80 10.90  
BOTANY 8 8 9 9   710½ 613¼ (moquett rona)ASMUSSEN J 123 15.00 39.60  
TALE OF TRUTH 6 12 8 6   57 714½ (diodoro robertino)ZIMMERMAN R 123 4.50 9.30  
BRASKA 9 10 11 11   913½ 815 (cline n)HARR KELSI 123 30.00 70.20  
12  SUPER GEEK 12 7 5 5   811 916½ (villafranco ma)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 20.00 42.10  
BILLHILL 5 6 63 10   1114 1018 (chleborad lynn)JORDAN R 123 20.00 56.70  
DRIVER 1 4 7 7   1014 1122¼ (martin timothy )PUSAC ALBERTO 123 50.00 74.60  
ONEIGHTHUNDREDCASH 7 9 1210¼ 1210¼   1220 1230¼ (mason ingrid)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 30.00 55.10  
SCR  DEPART               (milligan allen)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 30.00    
SCR  WARNING LABEL               (cline n)HARR KELSI 123 50.00    
 
OP-6   02/11/2023 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:07
:23 :473 1:14 1:413   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  UNDECODED 11 5 75 7 9 53 1hd (martin timo)TORRES A 118 12.00 23.40  
IPSUM GRATUS 2 7 42 3 3 11 2hd (mcknight norman)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 5.00 22% 3.60 8.20 P
XYLOPHONE 9 9 97 9 8 21 2hd (keithan rac)TRIANA JR 118 6.00 7% 13.40 12.50 P
10  CLOSE TO ME 10 11 1113 1113¾ 11 74½ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00 17.10  
FIRST EMPRESS 7 3 6 6 52 656 (vance d)CABRERA DAVID 118 12.00 25.20  
HOPING FOR A RING 4 10 8 8 6 46(schleis cas)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
DUCHESS BUBBLES 8 6 10 10 10 97(milligan allen)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 12.00 33.20  
LEGENDARY GIFT 6 1 31 4 21 38(schultz lindsa)JORDAN R 124 3.50 10% 9.30 3.60  
TRULY A ROCKET 3 8 53 5 7 8910¾ (hollendorfer jerry)BEJARANO R 119 2.50 1.70  
DISTORTED SECRETS 1 2 1nk 1½ 11 101013 (green ike)JUAREZ NIK 124 8.00 30% 2.30 8.40  
BID FOR POWER 5 4 2nk 2½ 42 1113¼ 1145½ (jacquot gene)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 20.00 62.70  
 
OP-7   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($107K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:38
:23 :464 1:122 1:252   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER PROSPECTOR 8 2 4 5 4¾ 12 1(asmussen s)SANTANA JR 117 4.00 5% 19.00 2.90 W
SUPER STOCK 7 4 66 6 5 22 2(asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 117 3.50 8.10  
SOY TAPATIO 5 7 8 8 7 43(diodoro rob)TORRES A 124 4.50 34% 1.90 4.70 S
THOMAS SHELBY 4 6 53 4 6 33 45 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 117 2.50 4.40  
TUT'S REVENGE 3 1 3 3½ 3.2 65 5(stuart shea)DE CRUZ 117 6.00 29% 2.40 5.20  
BACKGROUND 1 5 11 1nk 1nk 55 6(puhich mike)BOWEN ROCCO 117 20.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
SPA CITY 6 8 7 7 8 79 712 (kenneally eddie)JUAREZ NIK 124 15.00 10.00  
HE'SMYHONEYBADGER 2 3 21 2nk 2nk 812 820½ (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 15.00 5.80  
SCR  KING KUMBALAY               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 15.00    
 
OP-8   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($104K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
:22 :46 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKMAN 6 3 4 3.2   1½ 1¼ (broberg kar)TORRES A 121 8.00 13.30  
12  CLASSIC MOMENT 10 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 2¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 20.00 30.50  
UNCLE BUDDY 5 2 31 5   34 3(jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.50 52% 0.90 9.50 S
MISTER MMMMM 7 6 5 4¼   443 (catalano wayne )CABRERA DAVID 118 3.50 17% 4.80 10.20  
ABSOLUTE CHAOS 2 4 1nk 1nk   56 5(divito p)BAZE C 118 8.00 9.60  
HOYA PARANOYA 4 5 6 6   66(puhich mike)JUAREZ NIK 118 20.00 23.70  
ULTIMATE 3 9 10 9   79 7(martin timothy)JORDAN R 118 10.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
VICTORY MARCH 8 10 7 72   812 8(mcknight norma)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 30.00 59.40  
TOWN BRANCH 1 7 9 10   915 912¾ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 15.00 13.60  
10  KNOCKER DOWN 9 8 8 8   1016½ 1015¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.00 5% 19.00 0.60  
SCR  BANDIT POINT               (cline n)HARR KELSI 118 20.00    
SCR  LIGHTNING STRUCK               (green ike)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 30.00    
 
OP-9   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY nongraded Stake   Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:42
:221 :462 :591     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KLASSY BRIDGETTE 2 5 52 53   3.2 1¼ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 7% 13.20 2.70 W
PATE 1 6 6 43   2nk 2¼ (stuart c)BEJARANO R 115 12.00 12.40  
KEY OF LIFE 3 2 2½ 2   1nk 33 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.40 28% 2.60 1.20 S
ALWAYS ANGELS 5 3 4 6   5410¼ (ortiz alexand)JUAREZ NIK 115 15.00 7% 14.00 39.30  
STONE SILENT 4 1 1½ 1   4512½ (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 119 3.00 21% 3.70 2.50  
TWIRLED 6 4 31 32   6614¼ (asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.50 17% 4.80 7.30  
SCR  BAYTOWN LOVELY               (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 115 20.00    
SCR  PARODY               (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 115 12.00    
 
OP-10   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($90K) 3 F PT- 6:14
:221 :462 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUNCHBOWL 2 12 107 9   51¾ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 20% 4.00 2.40 W
11  UNSUNG MELODY 11 3 11 11   12 2¾ (ortiz ale)GEROUX FLORENT 119 20.00 35.20  
SACRED WISH 3 5 6 8   33 33 (chleborad lynn)JORDAN R 119 20.00 33.90  
12  BARSTOOL BABE 12 8 84 64   746 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 7% 14.30 9.00  
INTO LOVE 7 4 31 21   22 56 (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 2.50 49% 1.00 1.90  
SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL 6 2 21 3   46(maker j)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00 23.30  
10  CECILE 10 6 4 4   66 78 (schultz lindsay)BAZE C 119 20.00 19.50  
EXPONENTIAL STAR 1 10 96 10   1011½ 810 (schultz lindsa)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 20.00 48.80  
I'M SO FUNNY 4 11 129 11   1112 910¼ (jones larry)HARR KELSI 119 12.00 15.10  
ALLYMISSLOVE 5 7 5 53   81010½ (brisset rodolph)CABRERA DAVID 119 10.00 8.60  
CHARLIZE 8 9 7 75   91111 (divito jame)TORRES A 119 6.00 13.10  
MONTASTICAL 9 1 119 1212¼   1222 1218 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 11.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.