Handicappers' Racing Form

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Oaklawn Park
Saturday - February 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

OP-1   Win (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
OP-2   Win (6/5/11/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
OP-3   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
OP-4   Win (3/7/6/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
OP-5   Win (11/10/3/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
OP-6   Win (1/2/6/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
OP-7   Win (6/4/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
OP-8   Win (5/8/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
OP-9   Win (3/4/7/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
OP-10   Win (7/2/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
OP-1   02/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($51K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEDREK Jan27 Jan07 Dec18 May14 Apr13 (lauer michael)JUAREZ NIK 124 15.00    
GREATHEART Jan15 Dec14 Oct12 Sep08 Aug06 (hollendorfer je)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00 8% 11.10    
CARNIVORE Jan08 Dec18 Nov05 Oct15 Sep24 (keithan rachael)BAZE C 118 15.00    
MIACOMET Jan08 Dec16 Nov24 Nov06 Oct13 (shirer a)BEJARANO R 118 4.00    
STELLAR TAP Jan08 Nov02 Sep17 Aug12 Jul10 (anderson doug )JORDAN R 115 8.00    
MAHAAMEL (IRE) Jan08 Nov27 Oct28 Oct14   (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 115 1.60 59% 0.70    
ICARUS Oct13 Sep28 Aug25 Jun18 Apr29 (van th)TORRES A 118 5.00 7% 14.10    
 
OP-2   02/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($26.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOL RUNNINGS Jan29 Jan06 Dec16 Nov09 Oct22 (diodoro robertino)ZIMMERMAN R 117 12.00    
HOLDING PATTERN Jan08 Dec10 Oct03 Sep04 Aug02 (villafranco ma)CASTILLO ISAAC 112 10.00    
RYE HUMOR Jan07 Dec17 Nov12 Sep21 Aug28 (morse l)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 20.00    
PRINCIPE GUILHERME Jan20 Dec11 Nov08 Sep24 Jul17 (chleborad lynn)JORDAN R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
CALIFORNIA SWING Oct12 Sep13 Sep01 Aug17 Aug02 (mcknight norman)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
GOLD BUCKLE Jan07 Dec11 Nov15 Nov02 Oct20 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
SAHM TEQUILA Jan06 Dec16 Oct30 Sep15 Sep07 (litfin nevada)BOWEN ROCCO 117 30.00    
LOOKIN HIGH Jan27 Jan07 Dec11 Oct19 Oct06 (loy dewaine)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 6.00    
JACKS SPRING BREAK Jan20 Dec10 Nov20 Nov13 Sep14 (dixon tim)BAILEY CHEL-C 115 30.00    
10  FIRST LINE Jan27 Jan20 May23 Apr23 Mar27 (litfin nevada)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 15.00    
11  TWITTY CITY Jan01 Dec11 Oct14 Oct01 Sep01 (rosin w)BEJARANO R 124 3.00 12% 7.60    
 
OP-3   02/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESKENFORIT Jan27 Jan01 Aug16 Aug02 Jun29 (martin timothy)JORDAN R 118 12.00    
LITTLE DEMON Jan20 Jan14 Dec28 Dec06 Nov05 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.20 43% 1.30    
HOME RUN TRICK Oct02 Jun29 Jun08 May01 Mar17 (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
BIG COUNTRY Dec17 Sep28       (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 124 4.00    
DERBY CODE Dec30 Oct27 Sep17 Aug21 Mar17 (sharp joe)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00    
BUDDY REAUX Jan20 Dec10 Nov19 Nov04 Oct06 (dixon tim)CABRERA DAVID 113 20.00    
COLOSI Jan27 Jan13 Dec17 Nov04 Oct27 (petalino joe)JUAREZ NIK 124 12.00    
SCR  GUARD Jan15 Dec11 Nov23 Nov08 Oct06 (lauer michae)ERAMIA E 118 20.00    
 
OP-4   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($104K) 3 F PT- 3:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONDENSATION Jan13 Dec26 Nov19 Nov03 Sep16 (hartman chris)ZIMMERMAN R 115 12.00 5% 17.30    
DEMI Jan20 Dec17 Nov19     (stuart clinton )CABRERA DAVID 115 6.00    
DEAR LADY Jan20 Dec31 Nov26     (mcpeek kenn)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 115 1.40 34% 2.00    
BLUELIGHTSPECIAL Dec31 Nov27 Oct30 Oct05 Sep07 (contreras c)DE CRUZ 115 12.00 7% 13.90    
LUCKY DEPUTY Jan16 Dec17 Nov19 Nov02 Oct06 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 115 12.00    
BOLT FOR ALLISON Dec31 Dec09 Oct14 Sep17 Jul30 (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 122 3.00 13% 6.50    
U GLOW GIRL Jan13 Oct24 Sep25 Aug17 Jul20 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 115 3.50 15% 5.60    
 
OP-5   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIVER Jan21 Dec18 Sep16 Aug19 Feb17 (martin timothy )PUSAC ALBERTO 123 50.00    
ATTA PARTY Jan21 Dec18 Nov11 Oct22 Mar11 (silva migue)TORRES A 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
LORD M Jan21 Dec18 Apr09 Mar26 Feb19 (moquett ronald )CABRERA DAVID 123 8.00 20% 4.00    
TRAFFIC CONTROL Dec21 Jul16 Jun21 May29 May07 (wilson mel)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 7% 13.70    
BILLHILL Jan29 Aug21 Jul26 Jul12 Jun21 (chleborad lynn)JORDAN R 123 20.00    
TALE OF TRUTH Dec18 May01 Apr22 Mar26 Mar04 (diodoro robertino)ZIMMERMAN R 123 4.50    
ONEIGHTHUNDREDCASH Jan21 Apr22 Mar18 Jan22 Jan01 (mason ingrid)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 30.00    
BOTANY Jan21 Dec18 Nov30 Nov03 Oct01 (moquett rona)ASMUSSEN J 123 15.00    
BRASKA Jan21 Jan01 Jul17 Jun30 Jun23 (cline n)HARR KELSI 123 30.00    
10  SOBRIETY Jan01 Sep11       (milligan allen)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
11  ASPEN CLUB Jan21         (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 123 2.00 26% 2.80    
12  SUPER GEEK Jan29 Jan21 Dec18 Dec09 Apr22 (villafranco ma)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 20.00    
SCR  DEPART Jan21 Dec18 May01 Apr09 Mar26 (milligan allen)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 30.00    
SCR  WARNING LABEL Jan21 Dec18 Jun30 Jun08 May29 (cline n)HARR KELSI 123 50.00    
 
OP-6   02/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISTORTED SECRETS Jan27 Dec09 Nov03 Oct02 Sep22 (green ike)JUAREZ NIK 124 8.00 30% 2.30    
IPSUM GRATUS Jan14 Nov11 Jun24 May26 Apr08 (mcknight norman)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 5.00 22% 3.60    
TRULY A ROCKET Jan27 Jan06 Nov23 Nov05 Sep25 (hollendorfer jerry)BEJARANO R 119 2.50    
HOPING FOR A RING Jan20 Dec18 Oct02 Sep04 Aug19 (schleis cas)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
BID FOR POWER Jan15 Nov22 Oct19 Jan28 Jan09 (jacquot gene)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 20.00    
LEGENDARY GIFT Feb03 Jan07 Dec18 Oct15 Aug08 (schultz lindsa)JORDAN R 124 3.50 10% 9.30    
FIRST EMPRESS Jan14 Nov22 Nov15 Sep25 Sep14 (vance d)CABRERA DAVID 118 12.00    
DUCHESS BUBBLES Jan14 Sep10 Jun20 Apr08 Mar18 (milligan allen)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 12.00    
XYLOPHONE Jan15 Dec16 Nov05 Oct13 Sep09 (keithan rac)TRIANA JR 118 6.00 7% 13.40    
10  CLOSE TO ME Jan14 Oct04 Aug16 Aug01 Jul13 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00    
11  UNDECODED Jan14 Oct26 Oct01 Jul23 Jul08 (martin timo)TORRES A 118 12.00    
 
OP-7   02/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($107K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KING KUMBALAY Jan04 Nov02 Oct07 Aug22 May24 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 15.00    
BACKGROUND Jan21 Aug14 Jun25 May26 May01 (puhich mike)BOWEN ROCCO 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
HE'SMYHONEYBADGER Jan06 Nov23 Sep23     (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 15.00    
TUT'S REVENGE Jan27 Jan06 Nov22 Oct27 Sep14 (stuart shea)DE CRUZ 117 6.00 29% 2.40    
THOMAS SHELBY Jan07 Nov26 Oct18 Sep10 Jul09 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 117 2.50    
SOY TAPATIO Jan14 Nov22 Oct29 Sep24 Aug20 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 124 4.50 34% 1.90    
SPA CITY Jan21 Dec26 Nov25 Sep29 Sep01 (kenneally eddie)JUAREZ NIK 124 15.00    
SUPER STOCK Jun04 Apr23 Mar26 Feb12   (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 117 3.50    
SILVER PROSPECTOR Jan14 Oct01 Aug06 Jul09 May30 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 117 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-8   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($104K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOWN BRANCH Jan13 Dec17 Nov19 Nov03 Sep18 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 15.00    
ABSOLUTE CHAOS Jan28 Apr24 Apr02 Feb20   (divito p)BAZE C 118 8.00    
ULTIMATE Jan28 Jan06 Oct15 Aug07 Jul08 (martin timothy)JORDAN R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
HOYA PARANOYA Jan28 Apr25 Feb18 Jan20   (puhich mike)JUAREZ NIK 118 20.00    
UNCLE BUDDY Jan27 Nov26 Nov04 Oct18 Sep14 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.50 52% 0.90    
JACKMAN Jan28 Jan01 Nov18 Oct15 Sep29 (broberg kar)TORRES A 121 8.00    
SCR  BANDIT POINT Jan28 Jan01 Dec10 May07 Apr10 (cline n)HARR KELSI 118 20.00    
MISTER MMMMM Jan06 Nov07 Oct15 Sep03   (catalano wayne )CABRERA DAVID 118 3.50 17% 4.80    
VICTORY MARCH Jan13 Dec18 Nov27 Nov03 Oct02 (mcknight norma)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 30.00    
10  KNOCKER DOWN Jan06 Nov21 Nov12 Oct28 Oct14 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LIGHTNING STRUCK Feb03 Jan05 Dec17 Nov17 Nov02 (green ike)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 30.00    
12  CLASSIC MOMENT Jan06 Nov09 Oct14 Mar27 Feb27 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 20.00    
 
OP-9   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATE Jan21 Dec11 Nov11 Oct19   (stuart c)BEJARANO R 115 12.00    
KLASSY BRIDGETTE Jan13 Dec11 Nov04 Sep18   (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 7% 13.20    
KEY OF LIFE (IRE) Nov26 Oct28 Oct07 Aug13 Jun25 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.40 28% 2.60    
STONE SILENT Jun18         (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 119 3.00 21% 3.70    
ALWAYS ANGELS Jan15 Oct14 Sep23 Aug21 Jul24 (ortiz alexand)JUAREZ NIK 115 15.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  PARODY Jan08 Nov19 Oct30     (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 115 12.00    
TWIRLED Dec31 Nov26 Oct22 Sep14   (asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  BAYTOWN LOVELY Dec31 Dec14 Nov26 Nov04 Oct07 (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 115 20.00    
 
OP-10   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3 F PT- 6:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPONENTIAL STAR         (schultz lindsa)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 20.00    
PUNCHBOWL         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 20% 4.00    
SACRED WISH         (chleborad lynn)JORDAN R 119 20.00    
I'M SO FUNNY         (jones larry)HARR KELSI 119 12.00    
ALLYMISSLOVE         (brisset rodolph)CABRERA DAVID 119 10.00    
SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL         (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00    
INTO LOVE Jan21 Dec31 Sep25     (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 2.50 49% 1.00    
CHARLIZE         (divito jame)TORRES A 119 6.00    
MONTASTICAL         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 5.00    
10  CECILE (IRE) Nov16         (schultz lindsay)BAZE C 119 20.00    
11  UNSUNG MELODY Jan21         (ortiz ale)GEROUX FLORENT 119 20.00    
12  BARSTOOL BABE Dec31         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 7% 14.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.