Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Sam Houston Park
Monday - January 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $6.80 $0.80 13%
HOU-2   WIN (1/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $14.80 $6.80 85%
    EXA (1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-4 $16.50 $0.50 3%
    TRI (1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/5/6)-(1/4/3/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3-4-5 $58.90 $34.90 145%
    DD (6/5/2)-(1/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-3 $29.40 $17.40 145%
HOU-5   PK3 (6/1/4/2)-(6/3/5)-(7/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00  5-3-ALL $40.50 $4.50 13%
    PK3 (6/1/4/2)-(6/3/5)-(7/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00  ALL-3-5 $54.00 $18.00 50%
HOU-6   WIN (6/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $14.80 $6.80 85%
    EXA (6/2/4/7)-(6/2/4/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-4 $37.10 $21.10 132%
    TRI (6/2/4/7)-(6/2/4/7/3)-(6/2/4/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-4-3 $62.20 $38.20 159%
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(7/1/8)-(6/2/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00  3-5-ALL $57.20 $21.20 59%
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(7/1/8)-(6/2/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00  3-ALL-7 $143.00 $107.00 297%
HOU-7   TRI (8/9/3/5)-(8/9/3/5/7)-(8/9/3/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00  8-7-3 $27.60 $3.60 15%
    DD (6/2/4/7)-(8/9/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-8 $21.40 $5.40 34%
    PK3 (7/1/8)-(6/2/4/7)-(8/9/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00  5-ALL-8 $77.20 $29.20 61%
    PK3 (7/1/8)-(6/2/4/7)-(8/9/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00  ALL-7-8 $212.30 $164.30 342%
Simulator Race results
 
HOU-1   01/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:14 1:27   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GP'S AMAZING GRACE 5 4 2½ 1nk 2½ 2nk 1½ (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 2.50 23% 3.40 2.40 W
1  FROSTY FLIRT 1 2 41½ 41¼ 31½ 1nk 2½ (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 123 2.00 ★ 1.60 P
4  AWESOME SUNSET 4 5 53½ 52¼ 52 43½ 35¼ (williams )RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 6.00 7.90  
2  TAKE ME AS I AM 2 1 1½ 2nk 1½ 31½ 47 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 10.00 17% 4.90 9.50  
6  MAYAPRETTY 6 6 66½ 64¼ 64 66 59½ (garza joaquin )MORA GERARDO 123 3.50 38% 1.60 7.10  
3  VEILAZIG 3 3 3½ 31 42 54½ 610 (glover trac)HAMILTON WESTON 123 4.00 ★ 3.40  
 
HOU-2   01/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:241 :493 1:15 1:273   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NIGHTWIND 3 1 2nk 2nk 12 12 1¾ (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 3.50 13% 6.80 6.40 W
  (by FLAT OUT out of NOW HOPE by TIZNOW)
4  NATURAL RED 4 6 63 63¾ 53¼ 42½ 2¾ (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 122 2.00 20% 4.00 1.40 P
  (by TEXAS RED out of GARMENTOS GIRL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  LEGAL EAGLE 5 3 41½ 31½ 32 32½ 31 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.50 ★ 3.60 S
  (by EAGLE out of PERENNIAL SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
7  FLYING G 7 5 52 51¾ 22 22 43 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 12.00 13.80  
  (by EARLY FLYER out of GALILEA by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
1  SLIM JIMMY 1 2 31 41¾ 63¼ 55½ 511¼ (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 3.00 38% 1.70 5.00  
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of RALLY BACK by THORN SONG)
2  LITTLE JOHN HENRY 2 4 1nk 1nk 42¼ 66½ 616 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 6.00 4.10  
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of WRITE WHEN READY by MORE THAN READY)
6  SIR LANCELOT RIDGE 6 7 79 711¾ 721¼ 726½ 761¼ ( )GARCIA-ALFARO AROLDO 122 30.00 5% 19.00 28.00  
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of SHESATOP RIDGE by BEN'S RIDGE (GB))
 
HOU-3   01/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:222 :453 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  AQUILA MOON 5 3 51¼ 51¾   22 1½ (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 4.00 2.30  
3  ROLLIN CHROME 3 2 1nk 1nk   12 2½ (baldillez a)HAMILTON WESTON 119 1.20 ★ 1.30 P
1  SINNIN N GRINNIN 1 4 2nk 41½   52¾ 37½ (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 8.00 25% 3.10 5.50 S
6  ROYALS' LIL DIVA 6 5 4¼ 3½   32½ 48¾ (silva miguel)MONTALVO C 119 2.50 42% 1.40 4.90  
4  AMERICAN COALMINER 4 1 3.2 2nk   42½ 510½ (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 119 6.00 7% 14.10 7.40  
2  ITS MY MONEY TOO 2 6 63¼ 64¾   67¾ 611 (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 119 20.00 5% 19.00 18.30  
 
HOU-4   01/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:221 :444 :571     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GOOD SCOUT 3 3 11 12½   14 1½ (cravens ron)WETHEY JR 119 2.50 23% 3.30 1.30 W
7  RED N WILD 7 5 63¾ 44   34 2½ (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 119 10.00 29.00  
6  KIERKEGAARD 6 2 42 22½   24 3¾ (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 119 4.00 45% 1.20 2.00 S
4  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH 4 8 86¼ 75½   47 45 (davidson ni)DIEGO V 121 3.00 ★ 4.50  
2  ROSIE'S OUTLAW 2 4 32 54½   57¼ 58¾ (ashford)GONCALVES R 119 10.00 ★ 10.60  
5  WARRIOR'S MAP 5 6 76¼ 87½   88¾ 610¾ (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 119 8.00 6% 16.30 18.60  
1  AFFLUENT GENTLEMAN 1 7 53½ 65   68¼ 711¾ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 4.50 15.80  
8  ACE GILFORD 8 1 21 33½   78¼ 816 (young e)LUZZI J 119 15.00 15.50  
 
HOU-5   01/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 45 M/F PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:133 1:263   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LISA G 4 1 12 11 11 11½ 1½ (pruitt m)LANDEROS C 123 20.00 23.80  
7  CAJUN KID 6 7 43 21 21 21½ 2½ (amoss m)LUZZI J 123 1.20 51% 1.00 0.80 DQ↓4
1  JAZZY LASSIE 1 2 22 31½ 31½ 32 32¼ (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 4.00 18% 4.50 8.50 P
6  MYLITTLEWISKEYGIRL 5 3 77¼ 76½ 63 43½ 42¾ (cruz eduardo)DIAZ RENE 123 15.00 13.40  
8  TALKATIVE 7 6 33 52½ 52½ 53½ 54½ (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 3.00 10% 8.90 2.10  
4  CUPID'S JOY 3 5 53¼ 41½ 42½ 63¾ 69¼ (davidson sa)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 20.00 ★ 14.30  
2  BOUGIE MARIE 2 4 63¼ 63½ 75 76¾ 710½ (dodson cl)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 6.00 ★ 8.90  
SCR  DOVE WITH A CAUSE               (ingram steve)DIEGO V 123 30.00    
 
HOU-6   01/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11K) 45 ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:224 :462       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  IRA CHAMP 6 2 3.2 3.2   1nk 13 (buehrer w)DIEGO V 123 4.00 9% 10.30 6.40 W
4  MASTER RED 4 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 23 (roberts blai)MONTALVO C 123 6.00 14% 6.30 5.40 P
3  SPEND AGAIN 3 6 62¾ 64¼   54¼ 35¾ (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 3.00 ★ 4.50 S
8  VINDICATO 7 4 52¾ 42¼   44 46¾ (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 10.00 20.00  
6  PRATHER 5 3 2nk 2nk   32 58 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.00 41% 1.50 1.00  
2  LIL BEAN MACHINE 2 5 42¼ 52¼   64¼ 610½ (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 8.00 15% 5.80 4.80  
1  MAN IN THE MIDDLE 1 7 75¼ 75¾   76¼ 711 (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 20.00 28.40  
SCR  STRAWMAN               (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 30.00    
 
HOU-7   01/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:221 :451 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  IMA DISCREET LADY 7 1 4¾ 2nk   1nk 13½ (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 121 2.50 60% 0.70 2.50 W
7  HEAVENLY RHYTHM 6 8 87¾ 810   87½ 23½ (h)DE CRUZ 119 3.50 ★ 6.00 P
3  TAKE CHARGE WOMAN 3 3 1nk 3.2   2nk 35¼ (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 6.00 7% 14.20 4.70 S
4  SHOW ME GRACE 4 4 2nk 1nk   3.2 46½ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 4.50 1.40  
1  SET THE PACE 1 6 51¼ 53¾   44¼ 57¼ (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 8.00 14.60  
6  TOOTIE 5 7 73¾ 75   77¼ 67¾ (dupuy allen)WETHEY JR 119 20.00 16.30  
9  TEXAS RED BEL 8 2 61¾ 43¾   55¾ 710¼ (payne w)MORA GERARDO 119 5.00 8% 11.70 17.00  
2  BEBOP BABY 2 5 3.2 64¾   67¼ 813¾ (dupuy allen)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 15.00 27.50  
SCR  LA TRESS GRAY               (rami)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-8   01/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 5:09
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:132 1:261   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SUNNY SAN LEON 2 5 52¼ 52½ 31 2½ 12½ (gelner jayd)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.00 ★ 5.90  
4  TRIPLE L'S CUTTER 4 3 21 2½ 1nk 1½ 22½ (gelner j)CIVACI SAHIN 122 10.00 ★ 6.10 P
3  NICE NEIGHBOR 3 7 78¾ 78 74¼ 32 34¼ (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 3.00 39% 1.60 2.70 S
7  RAISE THE PRAISE 6 4 64¾ 63 62¼ 42 45¾ (pomier dev)DIEGO V 122 30.00 15.80  
1  ARTISTIC VISION 1 1 11 1½ 2nk 52½ 516 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 122 12.00 16.00  
8  RUBMEFORLUCK 7 6 41¼ 41 41¼ 77 616¼ (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 4.50 13% 6.60 5.00  
5  LUCKY DEPUTY 5 2 31 31 51¼ 66½ 716¾ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.80 24% 3.10 1.60  
SCR  RYE MUNNY               (villafranco)WETHEY JR 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.