Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Saturday - January 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-2   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $9.80 $3.80 63%
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-3 $20.80 $8.80 73%
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/3/2)-(1/6/5/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-3-2 $25.75 $7.75 43%
    SFT (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/3/2)-(1/6/5/3/2)-(1/6/5/3/2) 72 $0.10 $7.20  6-3-2-1 $10.70 $3.50 49%
AQU-3   DD (1/6/5)-(7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-7 $8.40 $2.40 40%
AQU-5   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/5/1/6)-(7/2/5/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  7-2-1 $27.12 $9.12 51%
AQU-9   WIN (3/5/9/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $32.20 $22.20 222%
    EXA (3/5/9/10/4)-(3/5/9/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  10-5 $54.25 $34.25 171%
    DD (2/1/3)-(3/5/9/10/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00  2-10 $28.00 $13.00 87%
    PK3 (2/7/6/3/1)-(2/1/3)-(3/5/9/10/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00  7-2-10 $121.00 $46.00 61%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:154     1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CARIBBEAN BREEZE 6 2 3½ 3½ 2nk 2nk 1hd (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 51% 1.00 1.00 W
1  BERNT AGAIN 1 3 1nk 1nk 1nk 1nk 2hd (sche)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00 9% 9.60 13.90 P
4  FOLLOW THE FED 4 1 42 44 35½ 310 316¾ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.50 15% 5.70 3.40 S
2  DASHING DELLA 2 4 2nk 2nk 48 415 426½ (rodriguez gusta)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 9.00  
3  NEVER PERSONAL 3 6 55½ 512 523 530 539½ (levine br)VARGAS A 120 2.50 ★ 2.60  
5  FRANKIE KNOWS BEST 5 5 66 615 629½ 642 657¾ (d'alessa)DAVIS A 120 15.00 ★ 29.00  
 
AQU-2   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:152     1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  IT'S VIPER 5 4 2½ 2½ 11 13 15¾ (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 22% 3.60 3.90 W
3  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER 3 5 42½ 52 33 23 25¾ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 ★ 5.70 P
2  MULLINGAR 2 1 31½ 31½ 43½ 34½ 39¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 ★ 2.30 S
1  OUTLAW COUNTRY 1 2 52½ 42 54 45½ 412½ (bake)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00 38% 1.70 5.10  
5  PLAYINGWITHMATCHES 4 3 1½ 1½ 21 55½ 513¾ (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 11% 8.50 1.65  
SCR  FLASHY ALEX               (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
 
AQU-3   01/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:124     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  AWESOME NATIVE 6 2 33½ 32½   14½ 16¼ (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.20 44% 1.30 0.45 W
2B  JOEY LOOSE LIPS 4 4 44 48½   37 26¼ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.50 25% 3.00 2.25  
4  FORTY TWO ACE 3 1 2½ 2nk   24½ 37 (bake)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 ★ 6.20 S
2  MAJOR SPIN 2 3 1½ 1nk   49½ 417¼ (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 ★ 2.25  
1  BUSTIN THE RULES 1 6 67½ 510½   514½ 519 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00 ★ 22.10  
6  ITSALITTLEBITFUNNY 5 5 57½ 615   624½ 636¼ (chi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 30.00 32.25  
SCR  BIG BROWN SHOES               (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 15.00    
SCR  BREAKING STONES               (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
SCR  DANGEROUS EDGE               (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 ★    
 
AQU-4   01/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:47
See original race card.
:251 :513 1:172 1:424   1:554   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HENRYTHETHIRD 3 5 53 52 42 2nk 1nk (avila ju)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 6.20  
5  REGALITY 5 2 21 2½ 2nk 1nk 2nk (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 4.50 24% 3.10 3.70 P
4  DONTBELATE 4 1 11 1½ 1nk 3½ 34 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 7% 14.30 2.75 S
6  JADE'S DREAM 6 3 42 31 31 42 45½ (jacobson david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 ★ 2.20  
2  ALITE 2 4 31½ 62 54½ 516 529 (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 32.50  
1  VOLIERO 1 6 63 41½ 67 626 645¼ (per)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 6% 14.50 3.20  
SCR  JAY'STALKER               (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
AQU-5   01/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:14     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CLUBHOUSE 7 1 2½ 1nk   18 16½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 35% 1.90 2.80 W
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of WILD RIDGE by TAPIT)
2  POWER IN NUMBERS 2 4 62¼ 41½   28 26½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 30% 2.30 1.20 P
  (by GIRVIN out of GOLD EDGE by EDDINGTON)
1  RIDE UP 1 8 85¾ 89¼   413½ 38¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 ★ 13.10 S
  (by MALIBU MOON out of WALKWITHAPURPOSE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  MY IMAGINATION 3 5 74¾ 75¼   514 412½ (morey wil)VARGAS A 120 10.00 15.80  
  (by LEA out of LA CONTESSA by CONGRATS)
8  MARTY'S MAGIC 8 2 41½ 51¾   716½ 519½ (de h)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00 18.20  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ECHO STORM by THUNDER GULCH)
5  VENGE 5 6 52 63¾   616½ 620¾ (ribaudo robert )DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 15% 5.90 2.65  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CLASSIC POINT by FLATTER)
6  SWAY'SINMYDNA 6 7 31½ 31   312½ 720¾ (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00 ★ 68.75  
  (by CONNECT out of ALONG CAME POLLY by JUDPOT)
4  GOLDEN BIRD FOREST 4 3 1½ 2nk   818½ 834¾ (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 50.00 67.50  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of COLD FOREST by FORESTRY)
 
AQU-6   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:234 :474 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DOWNTOWN MISCHIEF 5 1 2½ 21   12 17¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 ★ 4.10  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DOWNTOWN MAMA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  SWEET LIBERTY 6 3 31½ 31½   34 27¾ (quick pa)DAVIS A 120 8.00 ★ 15.40 P
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of LIBERTY FUZE by MASS MEDIA)
3  WEEKEND RAGS 3 4 1½ 11   22 38¾ (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 60% 0.70 1.20 S
  (by STREET BOSS out of WEEKEND by HENNY HUGHES)
4  MY ANGEL 4 6 73¼ 58   412 418¾ (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00 16.20  
  (by WAR DANCER out of TAINTED ANGEL by YES IT'S TRUE)
8  DEBBIE DARLING 7 2 52½ 48   512½ 520½ (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 18% 4.50 2.35  
  (by FROST GIANT out of SUBTLE SWEETNESS by DURING)
2  SPERSS 2 7 85¼ 811¾   615 627¼ (bond jam)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 31.50  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SPA DUCHESS by TALE OF THE CAT)
9  PINSTRIPEPIZZO 8 5 41½ 711½   820 734¼ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 ★ 11.30  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SPICY TEMPER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
1  BUSTINROXY 1 8 62¾ 610   719 835 (sche)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00 37.75  
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of ROCKIN EMMZY by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  KILBRITTAIN'S RED               (gaudet la)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MADDALENA by GOOD AND TOUGH)
 
AQU-7   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:232 :47 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  JAKE ROCKS 7 2 21 22½   24 11½ (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 8% 11.50 3.60 W
6  IKIGAI 6 1 11 12½   14 21½ (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 6% 15.10 3.30 P
4  UPPER LEVEL 4 3 32½ 33½   35½ 34¾ (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 7.80  
2  BLINDING LIGHT 2 5 63½ 65   46½ 45 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 54% 0.90 2.50  
5  CLASH A. J. 5 6 53½ 43½   57 58 (jones e)GOMEZ O 123 30.00 49.00  
8  LORD GATLING 8 4 43 54   67½ 68¾ (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 7.50  
1  FAST N FEARIOUS 1 8 89 816   810½ 715 (brow)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 8.00 5% 18.00 17.60  
3  LIAM'S FIRE 3 7 75½ 711½   79½ 818 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 6% 15.90 5.50  
 
AQU-8   01/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:47
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:141 1:403   1:544   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  OCCULT 2 1 21½ 21½ 21 13½ 13¾ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.40 32% 2.10 1.40 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MAGICAL FEELING by EMPIRE MAKER)
1  GAMBLING GIRL 1 4 44 44 32 23½ 23¾ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 27% 2.70 3.75 P
  (by DIALED IN out of TULIPMANIA by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  AFFIRMATIVE LADY 3 3 32½ 33½ 42 45 37 (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 18% 4.70 1.90 S
  (by ARROGATE out of STIFFED by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
4  SWEETEST PRINCESS 4 2 11½ 11½ 11 34 47 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 ★ 21.00  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SWEET CAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  ANISTON 5 5 59 510 515 530 5100 (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 ★ 4.40  
  (by CURLIN out of KATERI by DANCE BRIGHTLY)
 
AQU-9   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:134     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LITTLE DEMON 8 3 1½ 1nk 11 12 12¼ (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 6% 14.80 15.10 W
5  PATIENT CAPITAL 4 4 2½ 2nk 21 22 22¼ (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 19% 4.30 2.50 P
8  THREE JOKERS 6 7 75½ 85¼ 76 57½ 36¼ (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 7.50  
7  ROYAL TRYST 5 8 85¾ 74¾ 86¼ 47½ 46½ (arenas marce)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 15.00 26.25  
3  MONEY SUPPLY 2 6 51½ 41¼ 31 34½ 56¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 39% 1.60 3.40  
2  COMPLETE AGENDA 1 9 98¼ 96¼ 99¼ 910¼ 610¾ (rice linda)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00 10.50  
4  RISK PROFILE 3 5 62½ 62¼ 54 68 711¼ (giangiuli)VARGAS A 120 15.00 6% 16.60 31.00  
11  WATASHA 9 2 31 31 43½ 78¼ 811½ (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 3.30  
9  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS 7 1 41 52¼ 65 89¾ 920¼ (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 6% 14.70 7.70  
SCR  CHOWDA               (scia)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 30.00    
SCR  MAURITIUS               (atras )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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