Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Saturday - January 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-2   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $9.80 $3.80 63%
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-3 $20.80 $8.80 73%
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/3/2)-(1/6/5/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-3-2 $25.75 $7.75 43%
    SFT (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/3/2)-(1/6/5/3/2)-(1/6/5/3/2) 72 $0.10 $7.20  6-3-2-1 $10.70 $3.50 49%
AQU-3   DD (1/6/5)-(7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-7 $8.40 $2.40 40%
AQU-5   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/5/1/6)-(7/2/5/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  7-2-1 $27.12 $9.12 51%
AQU-9   WIN (3/5/9/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $32.20 $22.20 222%
    EXA (3/5/9/10/4)-(3/5/9/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  10-5 $54.25 $34.25 171%
    DD (2/1/3)-(3/5/9/10/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00  2-10 $28.00 $13.00 87%
    PK3 (2/7/6/3/1)-(2/1/3)-(3/5/9/10/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00  7-2-10 $121.00 $46.00 61%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT-12:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARIBBEAN BREEZE   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 51% 1.00 1.00 W
BERNT AGAIN   (sche)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00 9% 9.60 13.90 P
FOLLOW THE FED   (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.50 15% 5.70 3.40 S
DASHING DELLA   (rodriguez gusta)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 9.00  
NEVER PERSONAL   (levine br)VARGAS A 120 2.50 2.60  
FRANKIE KNOWS BEST   (d'alessa)DAVIS A 120 15.00 29.00  
 
AQU-2   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S VIPER   (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 22% 3.60 3.90 W
INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER   (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 5.70 P
MULLINGAR   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 2.30 S
OUTLAW COUNTRY   (bake)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00 38% 1.70 5.10  
PLAYINGWITHMATCHES   (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 11% 8.50 1.65  
SCR  FLASHY ALEX   (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
 
AQU-3   01/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME NATIVE   (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.20 44% 1.30 0.45 W
2B  JOEY LOOSE LIPS   (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.50 25% 3.00 2.25  
FORTY TWO ACE   (bake)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 6.20 S
MAJOR SPIN   (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 2.25  
BUSTIN THE RULES   (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00 22.10  
ITSALITTLEBITFUNNY   (chi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 30.00 32.25  
SCR  BIG BROWN SHOES   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 15.00    
SCR  BREAKING STONES   (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
SCR  DANGEROUS EDGE   (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50    
 
AQU-4   01/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:47
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENRYTHETHIRD   (avila ju)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 6.20  
REGALITY   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 4.50 24% 3.10 3.70 P
DONTBELATE   (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 7% 14.30 2.75 S
JADE'S DREAM   (jacobson david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 2.20  
ALITE   (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 32.50  
VOLIERO   (per)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 6% 14.50 3.20  
SCR  JAY'STALKER   (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
AQU-5   01/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 2:17
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLUBHOUSE   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 35% 1.90 2.80 W
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of WILD RIDGE by TAPIT)
POWER IN NUMBERS   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 30% 2.30 1.20 P
  (by GIRVIN out of GOLD EDGE by EDDINGTON)
RIDE UP   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 13.10 S
  (by MALIBU MOON out of WALKWITHAPURPOSE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
MY IMAGINATION   (morey wil)VARGAS A 120 10.00 15.80  
  (by LEA out of LA CONTESSA by CONGRATS)
MARTY'S MAGIC   (de h)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00 18.20  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ECHO STORM by THUNDER GULCH)
VENGE   (ribaudo robert )DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 15% 5.90 2.65  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CLASSIC POINT by FLATTER)
SWAY'SINMYDNA   (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00 68.75  
  (by CONNECT out of ALONG CAME POLLY by JUDPOT)
GOLDEN BIRD FOREST   (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 50.00 67.50  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of COLD FOREST by FORESTRY)
 
AQU-6   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 2:47
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNTOWN MISCHIEF   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 4.10  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DOWNTOWN MAMA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SWEET LIBERTY   (quick pa)DAVIS A 120 8.00 15.40 P
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of LIBERTY FUZE by MASS MEDIA)
WEEKEND RAGS   (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 60% 0.70 1.20 S
  (by STREET BOSS out of WEEKEND by HENNY HUGHES)
MY ANGEL   (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00 16.20  
  (by WAR DANCER out of TAINTED ANGEL by YES IT'S TRUE)
DEBBIE DARLING   (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 18% 4.50 2.35  
  (by FROST GIANT out of SUBTLE SWEETNESS by DURING)
SPERSS   (bond jam)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 31.50  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SPA DUCHESS by TALE OF THE CAT)
PINSTRIPEPIZZO   (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 11.30  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SPICY TEMPER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
BUSTINROXY   (sche)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00 37.75  
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of ROCKIN EMMZY by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  KILBRITTAIN'S RED   (gaudet la)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MADDALENA by GOOD AND TOUGH)
 
AQU-7   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAKE ROCKS   (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 8% 11.50 3.60 W
IKIGAI   (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 6% 15.10 3.30 P
UPPER LEVEL   (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 7.80  
BLINDING LIGHT   (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 54% 0.90 2.50  
CLASH A. J.   (jones e)GOMEZ O 123 30.00 49.00  
LORD GATLING   (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 7.50  
FAST N FEARIOUS   (brow)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 8.00 5% 18.00 17.60  
LIAM'S FIRE   (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 6% 15.90 5.50  
 
AQU-8   01/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:47
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCCULT   (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.40 32% 2.10 1.40 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MAGICAL FEELING by EMPIRE MAKER)
GAMBLING GIRL   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 27% 2.70 3.75 P
  (by DIALED IN out of TULIPMANIA by EMPIRE MAKER)
AFFIRMATIVE LADY   (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 18% 4.70 1.90 S
  (by ARROGATE out of STIFFED by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
SWEETEST PRINCESS   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 21.00  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SWEET CAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
ANISTON   (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 4.40  
  (by CURLIN out of KATERI by DANCE BRIGHTLY)
 
AQU-9   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LITTLE DEMON   (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 6% 14.80 15.10 W
PATIENT CAPITAL   (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 19% 4.30 2.50 P
THREE JOKERS   (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 7.50  
ROYAL TRYST   (arenas marce)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 15.00 26.25  
MONEY SUPPLY   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 39% 1.60 3.40  
COMPLETE AGENDA   (rice linda)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00 10.50  
RISK PROFILE   (giangiuli)VARGAS A 120 15.00 6% 16.60 31.00  
11  WATASHA   (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 3.30  
PRINCE OF PHAROAHS   (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 6% 14.70 7.70  
SCR  CHOWDA   (scia)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 30.00    
SCR  MAURITIUS   (atras )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.