Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Saturday - January 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
AQU-2   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 3.80
AQU-3   Win (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $2.90 $2.90  
AQU-4   Win (7/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $14.40  
AQU-5   Win (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 1.60
AQU-6   Win (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $10.20  
AQU-7   Win (2/7/6/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $9.20 $9.20  
AQU-8   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
AQU-9   Win (3/5/9/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $32.20 $32.20 22.20

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:154     1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARIBBEAN BREEZE 6 2 3½ 3½ 2nk 2nk 1hd (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 51% 1.00 1.00 W
BERNT AGAIN 1 3 1nk 1nk 1nk 1nk 2hd (schett)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00 9% 9.60 13.90 P
FOLLOW THE FED 4 1 42 44 3 310 316¾ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.50 15% 5.70 3.40 S
DASHING DELLA 2 4 2nk 2nk 48 415 426½ (rodriguez gustavo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 9.00  
NEVER PERSONAL 3 6 5 512 523 530 539½ (levine bruc)VARGAS A 120 2.50 2.60  
FRANKIE KNOWS BEST 5 5 66 615 629½ 642 657¾ (d'alessand)DAVIS A 120 15.00 29.00  
 
AQU-2   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:152     1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S VIPER 5 4 2½ 2½ 11 13 1 (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 22% 3.60 3.90 W
INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER 3 5 4 52 33 23 2 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 5.70 P
MULLINGAR 2 1 3 3 4 3 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 2.30 S
OUTLAW COUNTRY 1 2 5 42 54 4 412½ (baker )HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00 38% 1.70 5.10  
PLAYINGWITHMATCHES 4 3 1½ 1½ 21 5 513¾ (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 11% 8.50 1.65  
SCR  FLASHY ALEX               (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
 
AQU-3   01/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:124     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME NATIVE 6 2 3 3   1 1 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.20 44% 1.30 0.45 W
2B  JOEY LOOSE LIPS 4 4 44 4   37 2 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.50 25% 3.00 2.25  
FORTY TWO ACE 3 1 2½ 2nk   2 37 (baker )HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 6.20 S
MAJOR SPIN 2 3 1½ 1nk   4 417¼ (rodriguez r)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 2.25  
BUSTIN THE RULES 1 6 6 510½   514½ 519 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00 22.10  
ITSALITTLEBITFUNNY 5 5 5 615   624½ 636¼ (chin )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 30.00 32.25  
SCR  BIG BROWN SHOES               (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 15.00    
SCR  BREAKING STONES               (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
SCR  DANGEROUS EDGE               (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50    
 
AQU-4   01/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:47
See original race card.
:251 :513 1:172 1:424   1:554   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENRYTHETHIRD 3 5 53 52 42 2nk 1nk (avila juan)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 6.20  
REGALITY 5 2 21 2½ 2nk 1nk 2nk (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 4.50 24% 3.10 3.70 P
DONTBELATE 4 1 11 1½ 1nk 3½ 34 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 7% 14.30 2.75 S
JADE'S DREAM 6 3 42 31 31 42 4 (jacobson david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 2.20  
ALITE 2 4 3 62 5 516 529 (pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 32.50  
VOLIERO 1 6 63 4 67 626 645¼ (persa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 6% 14.50 3.20  
SCR  JAY'STALKER               (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
AQU-5   01/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:14     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLUBHOUSE 7 1 2½ 1nk   18 1 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 35% 1.90 2.80 W
POWER IN NUMBERS 2 4 6 4   28 2 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 30% 2.30 1.20 P
RIDE UP 1 8 8 8   413½ 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 13.10 S
MY IMAGINATION 3 5 7 7   514 412½ (morey willi)VARGAS A 120 10.00 15.80  
MARTY'S MAGIC 8 2 4 5   716½ 519½ (de hor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00 18.20  
VENGE 5 6 52 6   616½ 620¾ (ribaudo j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 15% 5.90 2.65  
SWAY'SINMYDNA 6 7 3 31   312½ 720¾ (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00 68.75  
GOLDEN BIRD FOREST 4 3 1½ 2nk   818½ 834¾ (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 50.00 67.50  
 
AQU-6   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:234 :474 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNTOWN MISCHIEF 5 1 2½ 21   12 1 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 4.10  
SWEET LIBERTY 6 3 3 3   34 2 (quick patr)DAVIS A 120 8.00 15.40 P
WEEKEND RAGS 3 4 1½ 11   22 3 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 60% 0.70 1.20 S
MY ANGEL 4 6 7 58   412 418¾ (maker mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00 16.20  
DEBBIE DARLING 7 2 5 48   512½ 520½ (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 18% 4.50 2.35  
SPERSS 2 7 8 811¾   615 627¼ (bond james)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 31.50  
PINSTRIPEPIZZO 8 5 4 711½   820 734¼ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 11.30  
BUSTINROXY 1 8 6 610   719 835 (schett)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00 37.75  
SCR  KILBRITTAIN'S RED               (gaudet lace)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
 
AQU-7   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:232 :47 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAKE ROCKS 7 2 21 2   24 1 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 8% 11.50 3.60 W
IKIGAI 6 1 11 1   14 2 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 6% 15.10 3.30 P
UPPER LEVEL 4 3 3 3   3 3 (lynch nata)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 7.80  
BLINDING LIGHT 2 5 6 65   4 45 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 54% 0.90 2.50  
CLASH A. J. 5 6 5 4   57 58 (jones e)GOMEZ O 123 30.00 49.00  
LORD GATLING 8 4 43 54   6 6 (pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 7.50  
FAST N FEARIOUS 1 8 89 816   810½ 715 (brown )HUAYAS (JASON) 116 8.00 5% 18.00 17.60  
LIAM'S FIRE 3 7 7 711½   7 818 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 6% 15.90 5.50  
 
AQU-8   01/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:47
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:141 1:403   1:544   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCCULT 2 1 2 2 21 1 1 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.40 32% 2.10 1.40 W
GAMBLING GIRL 1 4 44 44 32 2 2 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 27% 2.70 3.75 P
AFFIRMATIVE LADY 3 3 3 3 42 45 37 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 18% 4.70 1.90 S
SWEETEST PRINCESS 4 2 1 1 11 34 47 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 21.00  
ANISTON 5 5 59 510 515 530 5100 (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 4.40  
 
AQU-9   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:134     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LITTLE DEMON 8 3 1½ 1nk 11 12 1 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 6% 14.80 15.10 W
PATIENT CAPITAL 4 4 2½ 2nk 21 22 2 (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 19% 4.30 2.50 P
THREE JOKERS 6 7 7 8 76 5 3 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 7.50  
ROYAL TRYST 5 8 8 7 8 4 4 (arenas marcelo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 15.00 26.25  
MONEY SUPPLY 2 6 5 4 31 3 5 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 39% 1.60 3.40  
COMPLETE AGENDA 1 9 9 9 9 910¼ 610¾ (rice linda)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00 10.50  
RISK PROFILE 3 5 6 6 54 68 711¼ (giangiulio )VARGAS A 120 15.00 6% 16.60 31.00  
11  WATASHA 9 2 31 31 4 7 811½ (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 3.30  
PRINCE OF PHAROAHS 7 1 41 5 65 8 920¼ (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 6% 14.70 7.70  
SCR  CHOWDA               (sciacc)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 30.00    
SCR  MAURITIUS               (atras ro)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.