Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Saturday - January 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-3   Win (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-4   Win (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-5   Win (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-6   Win (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-7   Win (2/7/6/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-8   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-9   Win (3/5/9/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERNT AGAIN Nov26 Oct08 Sep15 Aug18 Aug03 (schett)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00 9% 9.60    
DASHING DELLA Nov19 Oct30       (rodriguez gustavo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
NEVER PERSONAL Oct28 Aug12       (levine bruc)VARGAS A 120 2.50    
FOLLOW THE FED Dec16 Dec02 Oct23 Sep30   (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.50 15% 5.70    
FRANKIE KNOWS BEST Dec18 Nov08       (d'alessand)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
CARIBBEAN BREEZE Nov04 Sep22       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 51% 1.00    
 
AQU-2   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTLAW COUNTRY Dec29 Dec01 Oct28 Sep18   (baker )HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00 38% 1.70    
MULLINGAR Dec01 Nov06 Sep24 Aug06 Jul23 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00    
INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER Dec10 Nov27 Nov06 Sep21 Sep03 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00    
SCR  FLASHY ALEX Jan01 Dec04 Nov25 Oct22 Oct07 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
PLAYINGWITHMATCHES Dec17 Nov17 Oct27     (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 11% 8.50    
IT'S VIPER Dec17 Nov20 Nov04 Oct14   (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
AQU-3   01/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTIN THE RULES Jan05 Dec10 Nov18 Jul04   (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00    
SCR  BREAKING STONES Dec29 Nov26 Nov20 Oct18 Sep28 (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
MAJOR SPIN Jan01 Dec03 Nov13 Oct22 Sep15 (rodriguez r)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50    
2B  JOEY LOOSE LIPS Dec29 Oct16 Sep24 Aug19   (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  BIG BROWN SHOES Dec13 Nov23 Jun07 May11 Apr24 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 15.00    
FORTY TWO ACE Dec09 Nov11 Oct15 Sep18 Aug24 (baker )HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00    
SCR  DANGEROUS EDGE Nov11 Oct15 Aug20 Jul28 Jul02 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50    
ITSALITTLEBITFUNNY Dec11         (chin )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 30.00    
AWESOME NATIVE Dec15         (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.20 44% 1.30    
 
AQU-4   01/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOLIERO Dec10 Dec01 Nov05 Oct07 Jul22 (persa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 6% 14.50    
ALITE Dec11 Nov05 Oct14 Oct02 Sep17 (pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
HENRYTHETHIRD Dec07 Oct24 Sep12 Aug14 Jul17 (avila juan)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
DONTBELATE Dec18 Dec01 Oct28 Aug31 Jul15 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 7% 14.30    
REGALITY Jan02 Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 Aug24 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 4.50 24% 3.10    
JADE'S DREAM Dec18 Dec10 Nov04 Oct18 Oct06 (jacobson david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50    
SCR  JAY'STALKER Dec10 Nov10 Oct02 Aug05   (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
AQU-5   01/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 2:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIDE UP         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
POWER IN NUMBERS         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 30% 2.30    
MY IMAGINATION Dec17 Nov13 Oct19 Sep21   (morey willi)VARGAS A 120 10.00    
GOLDEN BIRD FOREST Nov19 Nov06 Oct13     (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 50.00    
VENGE Dec16         (ribaudo j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 15% 5.90    
SWAY'SINMYDNA         (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00    
CLUBHOUSE Dec16 Nov19 Oct16 Sep01 Jul22 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
MARTY'S MAGIC Oct13 Sep03 Aug13     (de hor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00    
 
AQU-6   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 2:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTINROXY         (schett)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00    
SPERSS         (bond james)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
WEEKEND RAGS Nov20 Oct30       (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 60% 0.70    
MY ANGEL         (maker mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00    
DOWNTOWN MISCHIEF         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
SWEET LIBERTY Dec17 Dec03 Oct06 Sep22 Sep02 (quick patr)DAVIS A 120 8.00    
SCR  KILBRITTAIN'S RED         (gaudet lace)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
DEBBIE DARLING         (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 18% 4.50    
PINSTRIPEPIZZO         (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
 
AQU-7   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST N FEARIOUS Oct30 Oct06 Aug13 Jul14 Jul01 (brown )HUAYAS (JASON) 116 8.00 5% 18.00    
BLINDING LIGHT Nov04 Oct06 Sep03 Jul20 Mar26 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 54% 0.90    
LIAM'S FIRE Jan01 Dec04 May21 May06 Apr03 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 6% 15.90    
UPPER LEVEL Dec16 Oct20 Sep30 Aug28 Aug03 (lynch nata)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
CLASH A. J. Jan01 Dec03 Nov27 Oct29 Feb24 (jones e)GOMEZ O 123 30.00    
IKIGAI Dec01 Oct16 Sep17 Aug25 Jul28 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 6% 15.10    
JAKE ROCKS Dec11 Oct23 Oct02 Aug24 Jun30 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 8% 11.50    
LORD GATLING Dec16 Nov12 Oct28 Oct14 Jul28 (pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00    
 
AQU-8   01/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAMBLING GIRL Dec03 Oct30 Sep23 Aug24 Jul27 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
OCCULT Dec18 Sep17       (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.40 32% 2.10    
AFFIRMATIVE LADY Dec03 Nov04 Oct08     (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 18% 4.70    
SWEETEST PRINCESS Nov18 Oct08 Sep15 Aug03   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
ANISTON Nov25 Sep18       (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00    
 
AQU-9   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAURITIUS Dec17 Oct30 Mar27 Mar05   (atras ro)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
COMPLETE AGENDA Jan07 Dec09 Nov19 Oct01 Aug18 (rice linda)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00    
MONEY SUPPLY Dec18 Oct29 Aug06 Jun19 May07 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
RISK PROFILE Dec04 Oct07 Aug24 Aug20 Mar11 (giangiulio )VARGAS A 120 15.00 6% 16.60    
PATIENT CAPITAL Dec18 Nov26 Oct02 Sep03 Aug05 (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  CHOWDA Dec04 May15 Apr20 Mar27 Feb05 (sciacc)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 30.00    
ROYAL TRYST Jan05 Dec18 Dec03 Nov26 Nov12 (arenas marcelo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 15.00    
THREE JOKERS Dec18 Oct29 Aug12 Jun11 May15 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Dec08 Nov18 Aug06 Jun26 May14 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 6% 14.70    
10  LITTLE DEMON Dec28 Dec06 Nov05 Oct10 Sep23 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 6% 14.80    
11  WATASHA Dec18 Nov05 Oct09 Mar12   (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.