Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Sunday - January 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $7.30  
AQU-2   Win (4/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $3.70 $3.70  
AQU-3   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $4.20  
AQU-4   Win (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $11.40  
AQU-5   Win (5/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.10 $3.10  
AQU-6   Win (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $13.20  
AQU-7   Win (3/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $29.60 $29.60 21.60
AQU-8   Win (6/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $10.80  
AQU-9   Win (9/4/3/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $66.00  

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   01/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASH A. J. 3 1 1½ 1nk   11 1 (jones e)GOMEZ O 122 8.00 2.65  
STEERAGE 2 3 2½ 2nk   21 2 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 21% 3.70 0.85 P
QUACKENBUSH 4 5 42 45   35 3 (hennig)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 5.00 14.40 S
SILENT RUNNING 5 2 3 3   47 4 (bond ja)HARKIE K 122 2.50 2.55  
IGOTTAHAVEIT 1 4 5 5   510½ 5 (dunham g)OLVER MADISON 112 20.00 26.25  
SCR  ITSALITTLEBITFUNNY               (chin pet)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 1.50 53% 0.90    
 
AQU-2   01/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:221 :461 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOEY FRESHWATER 6 1 33 21   1nk 11 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80 13% 6.80 0.85 W
SWIFTY DEVIL 2 4 1 11   2nk 21 (gorham e)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 27% 2.80 4.00 P
BOBBY THE TANK 4 2 45 34   36 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 27% 2.70 4.10 S
GOING IN STYLE 3 7 6 56   48 412 (camejo m)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 12.10  
COLOR COMMISH 1 6 5 68   510 513¾ (sells rach)DAVIS A 120 12.00 20.60  
LARZ 5 3 2 4   611 615½ (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 12% 7.30 7.80  
FLASHY ALEX 7 5 712 713   716½ 721¾ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 120 15.00 39.50  
 
AQU-3   01/01/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:133 1:391   1:521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FALCONET 5 2 3 21 2½ 1 12 (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.40 1.10  
BATTLE BLING 2 3 2½ 3 42 2 22 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.60 46% 1.20 1.50 P
SWEET WILLEMINA 1 5 42 53 53 34 35 (lake a)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 16% 5.10 9.90 S
TONAL VISION 3 4 53 4 3 45 4 (guerrero car)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 6.00 20.30  
EXOTIC WEST 4 1 1½ 11 1½ 5 514¾ (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 4.30  
 
AQU-4   01/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:47
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLORY ROAD 4 4 56 6   6 1 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 4.70  
LAFITTE'S FLEET 7 1 33 32   3 2 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 35% 1.80 3.25 P
ROB THE RICH 1 7 6 5   5 3 (guerrero car)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 6.00 9.50  
JEMOGRAPHY 3 5 44 4   42 4 (englehart chris)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 28% 2.60 4.20  
JALEN JOURNEY 2 6 7 7   7 54 (cash l)ACOSTA D 123 8.00 11.70  
PRISONER 5 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 6 (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 1.65  
REED KAN 6 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 7 (kantarmaci mer)HARKIE K 120 15.00 10% 8.90 20.70  
 
AQU-5   01/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:223 :463 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
O'TROUBLE 2 5 5 42   1½ 1 (arriaga an)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.00 15% 5.60 0.55 W
CASH NOW 7 1 3½ 1½   2½ 2 (skelton dawn)HARKIE K 123 15.00 11.50  
CARIBBEAN (AUS) 6 6 75 7   5 35 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00 8.20  
CAERUS 1 7 64 66   6 46 (lucas bonn)DAVIS A 123 5.00 12.10  
STRIKING SPEED 5 4 2nk 31   43 512½ (jones e)PANAIJO JORGE 120 6.00 19.70  
BRONX BOMBER 4 2 1nk 2½   33 613 (delaur)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 12.00 5% 19.00 9.80  
BALLYDOOLEY (GB) 3 3 4 5   7 721¾ (nevin mi)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 4.50 9% 9.70 5.80  
SCR  MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI)               (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 47% 1.10    
 
AQU-6   01/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RICELLE 7 6 5 3   21 13 (legal)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 3.50 5.60  
1A  FULIGNI 6 2 1nk 1½   11 23 (bond ja)HARKIE K 122 10.00 9.80 P
AFILADA 4 7 6 64   5 3 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00 36% 1.80 3.75 S
CAIAROSSA 3 5 8 53   43 4 (bond jam)OLVER MADISON 112 10.00 9.80  
MOSTLY HARMLESS 1 3 2nk 2½   3 5 (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 2.50 21% 3.80 1.15  
LORDHEARMYPRAYER 5 8 7 85   76 6 (barrera oscar )LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 6.00 16.80  
GRACEFULLY WILD 2 4 3.2 43   6 714 (barker)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 8.00 17% 4.80 5.70  
BOXED IN AND BORED 8 1 4¾ 7   8 816 (englehart )DAVIS A 122 12.00 13.20  
SCR  MADAME ROSE               (jones e)PANAIJO JORGE 122 15.00    
 
AQU-7   01/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:222 :461 1:112     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GASLIGHT 6 5 5 3   11 12 (quick patrick )HARKIE K 120 12.00 5% 19.00 13.80 W
LIAM'S FIRE 8 1 7 7   66 22 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 21.90  
TENEBRIS 1 3 2 22   21 3 (tessore bruno)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00 23% 3.30 2.50 S
BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) 2 2 1 12   32 45 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 4.30  
COUSIN ANDREW 3 6 4 55   4 5 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 37% 1.70 2.40  
MAJOR SPIN 5 8 8 8   78 6 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.50 14% 6.10 3.00  
HOLEY MATRIMONY 4 4 32 43   56 710½ (barrera oscar )LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 12.00 27.25  
WHAT A DUDE 7 7 6 6   811½ 814¼ (jacobs)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 15.00 33.00  
SCR  BLINDING LIGHT               (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50    
 
AQU-8   01/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:11     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILTON THE MONSTER 3 3 5 41   2½ 1 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 4.40  
1A  KINETIC SKY 4 5 41 3½   4 2 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80 23% 3.30 0.40 P
AMUNDSON 1 1 1½ 1½   1½ 3 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80 0.40  
STAGE LEFT 5 2 2½ 2½   32 4 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50 29% 2.40 5.50  
CHESTERTOWN 2 4 31 52   55 57 (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 15% 5.90 5.80  
SCR  MONDAY MORNING QB               (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 12.00 7% 12.50    
SCR  WENDELL FONG               (lynch natal)VARGAS A 120 5.00    
 
AQU-9   01/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:12     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE OF JOY 7 3 5 75 53 1½ 12 (legall ric)DAVIS A 120 30.00 32.00  
MAILMAN'S A FLYER 8 4 99 87 7 5 22 (cash l)ACOSTA D 123 4.00 33% 2.00 5.90 P
GHOSTLYPRINCE 6 9 73 4 1½ 2½ 3 (tessor)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 12.80  
11  BOURBON'S HOPE 10 1 31 6 6 4 4 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 2.80  
GIRAMONTE 5 5 2½ 2½ 2½ 32 5 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 120 20.00 12.20  
10  B C GLORY DAYS 9 2 8 31 3 6 610¾ (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 110 8.00 4.50  
LUCKY BRODY 1 10 1011½ 1011½ 915 810½ 712¼ (noda orl)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 7% 13.10 11.30  
MISBEHAVED 4 7 42 53 8 7 815 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 15.00 7% 13.30 10.90  
ASTRAL WEEKS 2 8 63 910 1020 1014½ 922 (walder pet)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 23.50  
CASH IN A FLASH 3 6 1½ 1½ 42 913½ 1030½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 8% 11.30 3.55  
SCR  ABUNDANT HONOR               (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 19% 4.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.