The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Penn National
Wednesday - December 28, 2022

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PEN-1   12/28/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
:24 :48 1:133 1:414   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PSYCHE 2 2 2 3½ 3 2½ 1(stites w)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 11% 8.20 4.60 W
TILTED TIARA 1 5 1 1½ 11 1½ 2(lucas bonnie)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 4.00 24% 3.10 5.90 DQ↓3
DOWSER 4 4 32 2½ 21 3½ 34 (kreiser c)HERNANDEZ A 121 1.80 34% 1.90 0.30 P
MOVING IN STEREO 5 6 4 43 42 44(crook-demasi kathlee)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 12.00 14.80  
DALLAS 3 3 6 57 5 57 510 (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 6.00 13.20  
CIRCLE OF COURAGE 6 1 57 6 615½ 615 618½ (lawrence lee)FLORES JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00 31.10  
SCR  MASKED HEROINE               (synnefias a)TORRES JOMAR 121 5.00    
 
PEN-2   12/28/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
:241 :481 1:132 1:40   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LTL BEAR SALOON 2 1 11 1 1 113 (graci a)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00 2.00  
MISCHIEVOUS JONES 5 7 64 6 33 223 (hawthorne anne)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 4.50 4.30 P
PRATT 4 3 21 2 2 33(stites p)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 11% 8.10 7.50 S
MR BOLDACIOUS 6 4 5 53 4 54(lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 6.00 6.20  
INNUENDO 1 6 4 42 5 44 5(mileni nick)CONNER TYLER 121 4.00 5.10  
LONG TOM 3 2 76 7 6 6612¾ (salinas jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00 5% 19.00 23.20  
PRINCE OF CAPS 7 5 3 32 7 714¼ 722½ (gonzalez a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 3.00 49% 1.10 3.30  
SCR  SOUPER EMPEROR               (trombetta j)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 11% 7.70    
 
PEN-3   12/28/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
:222 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MELODIOUS SINGER 9 1 1nk 1½   11¼ (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 36% 1.80 0.90 W
POSITIVE FORCE 5 4 4 32   22¼ (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 6.00 10% 9.40 12.10 P
TERPEYE 1 9 912¼ 910½   711½ 3(moreno tito)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 15.00 7% 12.90 12.70 S
HAY NINETEEN 8 5 6 66   510½ 4(ferreira fernando)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 9.40  
WEDONTBELIEVEHER 4 2 2nk 2½   357 (avila carlos)TORRES JOMAR 120 5.00 12% 7.40 3.10  
CHEROKEE PARTY 2 7 5 5   46(kulp l)CONNER TYLER 119 8.00 15.70  
RISQUE'S JEWEL 3 8 7 710   812½ 7(bouchard leslye)OCASIO M 120 15.00 47.00  
SWEET AND MACHA 7 3 3 4   611 811 (salvaggio v)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 15.20  
MEMPHIS MAFIA 6 6 8 810½   915½ 911¼ (lucas bonnie)VARGAS L 120 10.00 15.50  
SCR  QUEEN'S DREAM               (beattie cody)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 8% 11.40    
 
PEN-4   12/28/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
:232 :471 1:12 1:381   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE DEMON 5 2 3 2 1nk 14 17 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.00 13% 6.80 2.50 W
P JS SILVER DUKE 7 7 7 7 67 527 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 6.80 P
COOL COMEDIAN 1 6 68 6 54 46 3(agnew naoise)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 7.50  
TRIBAL NOTION 2 5 57 4 43 24 4(houghton thomas)INIRIO J 120 3.50 14% 6.20 4.00  
BAR FOURTEEN 6 3 1 1 2nk 35(sells rachel)HERNANDEZ A 120 15.00 12% 7.20 9.30  
TRIPLE A. PLUS 4 1 2 3 3 613½ 616¾ (kreiser c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 35% 1.80 2.30  
CRITICAL THINKING 3 4 4 57 711½ 718½ 721¾ (shea lydee)CORUJO LEONARDO 119 8.00 10.60  
SCR  EVENT PARTY               (mcmahon demelza)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 5.00    
 
PEN-5   12/28/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 7:49
:223 :471 1:001     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEYSTONE WARRIOR 7 5 47 47   1nk 1(kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 5% 18.90 1.80 W
HOWMUCHAREYOUWORTH 4 7 69 69   42(wyner harold)OCASIO M 120 6.00 6.10 P
ROSE OF SHANAKILL 1 1 2½ 22   2nk 35 (albright r)FLORES E 120 8.00 34.50  
QUEEN WIGGY 6 3 1½ 12   3.2 4(kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 6.60  
NOWYOUSCAN'TLEAVE 2 6 7 710   75(aristone t)DE KEMICH 111 10.00 20.00  
PEACH BE WITH Q 5 4 57 59   6610½ (kreiser c)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 10% 9.30 8.10  
IOANNA 3 2 32 33   5713¾ (sinnefia paulina)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 33% 2.10 1.50  
SCR  AFRICAN ANGEL               (houghton thomas)INIRIO J 120 6.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  ONE LAST FLING               (mileni nick)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 8.00    
 
PEN-6   12/28/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
:224 :461 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZILLION 7 5 5 32   2½ 13 (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 45% 1.20 1.40 W
RACING IN THE RAIN 2 3 32 5   32 23 (chircop steven)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 6% 14.60 5.10 P
SPOOKY ONE 6 1 42 42   42 3(albright r)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00 36.10  
ECLIPTICALS BEAR 4 2 1½ 1   1½ 4(stites w)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 8.00 13.90  
MIZZEN MONEY 3 4 2½ 2   55 5(shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00 4.90  
SASSY LAD 1 7 6 6   613 613 (houghton thomas)INIRIO J 121 6.00 13.20  
HEARTNESS 5 6 7 7   713½ 713½ (brown w)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 4.50 8% 11.60 2.40  
SCR  PRIME TIME PLAYER               (synnefias a)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 15% 5.90    
 
PEN-7   12/28/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
:233 :473 1:133 1:401   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS STRONG HEART 7 4 4 3 3 21½ (stites w)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 11% 8.20 2.10 W
AMI'S LINK 2 8 9 98 66 35 2½ (chircop steven)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 4.10 P
JEANETTEO 3 2 2 2 1½ 13(kulp l)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 6.00 31% 2.20 5.90 S
WILL TAKE ROSES 1 6 7 4 4 69 4(kreiser c)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 15.00  
MY DIXIE LASS 6 5 5 5 55 558 (lawrence lee)CONNER TYLER 119 5.00 27% 2.70 3.10  
RAIN LILLY 5 1 1 1 2½ 48 6(houghton thomas)INIRIO J 119 8.00 42.20  
AMEN SYLVIA 4 9 8 85 78 716 712¾ (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 55.20  
SURPRISINGLY SWEET 9 3 32 6 912½ 819 814 (bennett juanita)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 12.00 22.60  
ANOINT 8 7 6 7 8 919½ 916¾ (brion keri)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 5.00 5% 17.30 5.00  
 
PEN-8   12/28/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
:224 :471 :594     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MI GUSTO ES 3 5 2 2½   2nk 1nk (hillegass alexandra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00 7% 14.10 5.10 W
JEKYLL ISLAND 5 1 33 3   32nk (stowers michelle)VARGAS L 124 5.00 12.50  
10  ASK THE UMPIRE 7 2 1 1½   1nk 3½ (graci a)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 4.00 13% 6.90 1.00 S
JACK SLYE 1 6 55 53   44(beattie d)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 6.00 3.60  
FORECLOSURE 2 7 67 6   511½ 5(houghton thomas)INIRIO J 123 4.50 19% 4.20 11.90  
MISTER ARANGUIZ 4 3 79 79   714 615½ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 50.00 88.30  
DOMINANT DESTROYER 6 4 4 4   612 716 (chircop steven)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.00 8% 11.10 4.70  
SCR  FIFTH ELEMENT               (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 30.00    
SCR  SEVENTYTIMESSEVEN               (diaz jorge)RAMOS C 118 12.00    
SCR  WICKOSITY               (hillegass alexandra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 8.00 31% 2.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.