Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Wednesday - December 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   12/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MASKED HEROINE Nov09 Oct11 Jun24 May25 Mar20 (synnefias panagi)TORRES JOMAR 121 5.00    
TILTED TIARA Nov21 Nov13 Oct08 Aug26 Aug21 (lucas bonnie)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 4.00 24% 3.10    
PSYCHE Dec10 Dec02 Nov09 Oct25 Sep14 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 11% 8.20    
DALLAS Dec02 Nov22 Nov04 Oct14 Oct07 (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 6.00    
DOWSER Nov30 Nov22 Nov02 Oct12 Sep16 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 121 1.80 34% 1.90    
MOVING IN STEREO Nov30 Oct10 Sep03 Aug05 Jul13 (crook-demasi )SALGADO ANTHONY 121 12.00    
CIRCLE OF COURAGE Dec02 Nov18 Nov04 Oct06 Sep23 (lawrence j)FLORES JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-2   12/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INNUENDO (IRE) Nov29 Nov16 Oct10 Sep27 Aug29 (mileni nic)DAVIS A 121 4.00    
LTL BEAR SALOON Dec02 Oct19 Oct07 Sep15 Aug24 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00    
LONG TOM Dec13 Nov22 Nov15 Jun01 May20 (salinas jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
PRATT Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 Sep22 Jun22 (stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  SOUPER EMPEROR Dec18 Nov27 Nov04 Oct14 Mar20 (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 11% 7.70    
MISCHIEVOUS JONES Nov08 Jun15 May09 Apr12 Mar14 (hawthorne bobb)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 4.50    
MR BOLDACIOUS Dec02 Nov05 Oct22 Sep29 Sep08 (lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 6.00    
PRINCE OF CAPS Oct28 Sep17 Sep02 Aug22 Jul31 (gonzalez )ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 3.00 49% 1.10    
 
PEN-3   12/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TERPEYE Dec14 Nov22 Nov04 Oct24 Oct03 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 120 15.00 7% 12.90    
CHEROKEE PARTY Nov08 Oct07 Sep03 Aug20 Jul16 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 119 8.00    
RISQUE'S JEWEL Dec07 Nov25 Oct25 Oct11 Sep28 (bouchard leslye)OCASIO M 120 15.00    
SCR  QUEEN'S DREAM Dec02 Oct14 Sep01 Aug10 Jul08 (beattie cody)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 8% 11.40    
WEDONTBELIEVEHER Nov02 Oct15 Aug26 Aug20 Aug08 (avila carlo)TORRES JOMAR 120 5.00 12% 7.40    
POSITIVE FORCE Nov29 Oct14 Sep21 Sep01 Aug10 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 6.00 10% 9.40    
MEMPHIS MAFIA Dec16 Nov25 Nov02 Oct10 Sep21 (lucas bonni)VARGAS L 120 10.00    
SWEET AND MACHA Nov18 Oct19 Sep16 Aug12 Jul28 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
HAY NINETEEN Nov29 Nov04 Sep14 Aug30 Jul09 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
10  MELODIOUS SINGER Dec03 Oct19 Sep21 Jul21 Jun23 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
PEN-4   12/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOL COMEDIAN Nov25 Oct25 Aug23 Jul26 Jun10 (agnew naoise)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
TRIBAL NOTION Nov23 Nov04 Oct18 Sep09 Aug24 (houghton thom)INIRIO J 120 3.50 14% 6.20    
CRITICAL THINKING Nov25 Nov08 Sep14 Aug24 Aug04 (shea lydee)CORUJO LEONARDO 119 8.00    
TRIPLE A. PLUS Dec06 Nov02 Oct14 May27 May06 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 35% 1.80    
LITTLE DEMON Dec06 Nov05 Oct10 Sep23 Aug20 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  EVENT PARTY Nov25 Oct14 Sep29 Sep07 Aug06 (mcmahon demelz)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 5.00    
BAR FOURTEEN Dec10 Nov18 Oct10 Sep24 Aug03 (sells rache)HERNANDEZ A 120 15.00 12% 7.20    
P JS SILVER DUKE Nov25 Nov02 Aug25 Jul29 Jun30 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00    
 
PEN-5   12/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AFRICAN ANGEL Dec14 Oct14       (houghton thom)INIRIO J 120 6.00 31% 2.30    
ROSE OF SHANAKILL Dec07 Nov15 Oct05 Sep21 Aug22 (albright r)FLORES E 120 8.00    
NOWYOUSCAN'TLEAVE Nov15 Oct12       (aristone phil)DE KEMICH 111 10.00    
IOANNA Nov22 Oct14 Sep21 Sep01 Aug11 (sinnefia pa)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 33% 2.10    
HOWMUCHAREYOUWORTH Dec07 Oct29 Oct05 Sep13   (wyner harold)OCASIO M 120 6.00    
PEACH BE WITH Q Dec14 Oct26       (kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  ONE LAST FLING Nov16 Oct07 Sep16 Aug27 Jul30 (mileni nick)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 8.00    
QUEEN WIGGY Dec14 Oct24 Sep15 Jul27   (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
KEYSTONE WARRIOR Dec02 Sep20 Aug31 Aug10 Jul26 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 5% 18.90    
 
PEN-6   12/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRIME TIME PLAYER Nov29 Nov01 Oct07 Jun16 Jun02 (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 15% 5.90    
SASSY LAD Nov15 Oct26 Oct04 Sep07 Aug12 (houghton thom)INIRIO J 121 6.00    
RACING IN THE RAIN Nov27 Nov18 Oct21 Oct07 Sep16 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 6% 14.60    
MIZZEN MONEY Aug11 Aug03 Jul06 May25 May13 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00    
ECLIPTICALS BEAR Dec07 Nov09 Oct25 Oct07 Sep16 (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 120 8.00    
HEARTNESS Nov24 Oct19 Oct08 Sep22 Jul20 (brown w)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 4.50 8% 11.60    
SPOOKY ONE Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 Oct07 Jun29 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00    
ZILLION Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 Oct07 Sep14 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 45% 1.20    
 
PEN-7   12/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL TAKE ROSES Oct19 Oct05 Sep15 Aug31 Aug03 (kreiser timot)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00    
AMI'S LINK Dec10 Nov19 Nov03 Oct15 Sep15 (chircop ste)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50    
JEANETTEO Nov29 Apr29 Apr07 Mar11   (kulp brandon )SALGADO ANTHONY 119 6.00 31% 2.20    
AMEN SYLVIA Dec02 Nov22 Oct26 Jul01 Jun11 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
RAIN LILLY Dec02 Nov02 Oct21 Sep27 Sep01 (houghton thom)INIRIO J 119 8.00    
MY DIXIE LASS Dec07 Nov09 Oct22 Sep09 Aug22 (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 119 5.00 27% 2.70    
MS STRONG HEART Dec07 Nov01 Oct18 Sep14 Sep01 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 11% 8.20    
ANOINT Dec02 Oct10       (brion keri)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 5.00 5% 17.30    
SURPRISINGLY SWEET Dec14         (bennett juanit)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 12.00    
 
PEN-8   12/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK SLYE Oct23 Sep30       (beattie sande)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 6.00    
SCR  WICKOSITY Nov22 Oct17 Sep27 Aug22 Aug09 (hillegass alexa)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 8.00 31% 2.30    
FORECLOSURE Dec09 Nov25       (houghton thom)INIRIO J 123 4.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  SEVENTYTIMESSEVEN Dec19 Nov02 Oct19 Jul30 Jul02 (diaz jorge)RAMOS C 118 12.00    
MI GUSTO ES Dec09 Nov04 Oct19     (hillegass ale)RAMGEET R 124 8.00 7% 14.10    
SCR  FIFTH ELEMENT Nov25 Oct25 Oct12 Sep07 Aug25 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 30.00    
MISTER ARANGUIZ Dec09 Nov09 Oct25 Oct07 Sep16 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 50.00    
JEKYLL ISLAND Dec09 Nov25 Nov08 Oct25 Sep22 (stowers mic)VARGAS L 124 5.00    
DOMINANT DESTROYER Dec02 Nov26 Nov06 Oct23 Oct02 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.00 8% 11.10    
10  ASK THE UMPIRE Dec13 Nov25 Nov09 Oct25 Oct07 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 4.00 13% 6.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.