Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - December 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   12/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:122 1:251   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BONITA LASSIE 3 2 2 22 2 22 1¼ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 42% 1.40 2.00 W
PEAK OF CHIC 1 4 1 12 1 12 2¼ (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 4.00 9% 10.10 0.90 P
TERPEYE 6 7 711¾ 79 7 4 3 (moreno tito)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00 32.10  
LOVE IS STRONG 7 6 44 65 6 6 411 (vera miguel)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 28% 2.60 5.70  
FAVORITE DOLL 4 3 34 3 4 37 513¾ (ferreira fern)INIRIO J 120 10.00 22.40  
CAR LADY 2 8 812¼ 811 813½ 710½ 614½ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 27.50  
KATY THE CAT 8 1 6 53 3 58 715 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 10.40  
EARLY FROST 5 5 5 4 54 814½ 816 (ippolito mark)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 41.40  
 
PEN-2   12/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:134 1:41   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACEARELLA 1 4 2 2½ 1nk 1 12 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 119 3.00 34% 1.90 4.20 W
ESTA CHUCK 2 5 54 5 33 2 22 (jacavone j)LLOYD W 119 12.00 46.00  
DANCE A LITTLE JIG 5 6 6 33 4 44 3 (ferreira fernando)WHITNEY G 120 2.50 32% 2.10 0.60 S
REAWAKENED 3 2 1 1½ 2nk 34 47 (meister willi)INIRIO J 120 3.00 4.00  
OH SO JAZZY 4 3 44 6 5 5 5 (nunley randy)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 8.90  
SEEKING THE THRONE 7 7 75 7 7 611½ 613¼ (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 10.00 29.90  
GINGERONMYMIND 6 1 33 43 6 713½ 722¼ (hayes kirsten)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 9% 10.10 13.40  
 
PEN-3   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:221 :461 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  KAZTHAROS 10 4 3.2 2½   12 11 (synnefias dimit)PANAIJO JORGE 123 6.00 16% 5.20 2.30 W
GREAT ASSUMPTIONS 4 5 5 4   22 21 (neilson wallac)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 6.00 6.60  
ABHAR 7 3 1nk 1½   3 3 (bobadilla f)INIRIO J 122 12.00 63.10  
YANKEE EMPIRE 6 1 2nk 3½   46 4 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 4.00 22% 3.60 10.30  
KNOCKDOWN KID 3 2 6 5   512 511½ (salinas jos)HERNANDEZ A 121 15.00 31.10  
DOUBLE TIME BAY 1 6 8 617½   6100 6100 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 8.00 10.80  
SUMMER ASH 9 9 1011¼ 7100   7100 7100 (gonzalez )ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 6.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
COMMUNICATION FAIL 2 10 9 8100   8100 8100 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 20.00 97.60  
JUMP FREE 8 8 7 9100   9100 9100 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 121 8.00 32.00  
SIBERIAN 5 7 4 10100   10100 10100 (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 2.00  
SCR  LOVED AGAIN               (diaz jorge)RAMOS C 117 8.00 17% 5.10    
SCR  MYSTIC POINT               (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 121 5.00 14% 6.00    
 
PEN-4   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:221 :452 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TODO SOLA 4 2 2½ 21   1 1 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 119 3.50 47% 1.10 1.90 W
TAPIT'S GIRL 2 8 75 6   32 2 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 8.00 6.60  
SIX O'CLOCK SARAH 6 5 5 43   5 3 (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 2.00 8% 11.20 2.50 S
TIMELY TRADITION 5 7 8 7   7 44 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
BRAMBLE BUSH 1 4 31 5   42 5 (maymo j)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 15.60  
MOONSAFE 7 6 4 31   6 65 (salvaggio mic)INIRIO J 120 4.50 3.00  
HONORABLE LILLY 3 3 6 8   8 7 (sells rache)VARGAS L 120 15.00 5% 19.00 59.20  
PROPOSITION 8 1 1½ 11   2 8 (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 7% 13.50 12.50  
SCR  BETTY'S SMILE               (grusmark k)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
 
PEN-5   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURPRISINGLY SWEET 1 1 1 11   1 1 (bennett juanit)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 6.00 9.90  
COSMOLOGICAL 4 2 2 4   3 2 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 123 4.00 20% 4.10 10.40 P
ALL THAT MAGIC 8 5 64 3   43 3 (crook-demasi kath)BOWMAN ADAM 123 6.00 1.20 S
LET'S GO MO 3 6 75 75   57 4 (miller marl)VARGAS L 123 12.00 20.70  
MRS BELL 6 3 32 21   2 5 (lucas bonni)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 56% 0.80 3.50  
LI'LBITO'GLORY 5 7 5 52   6 612 (crook-demasi )SALGADO ANTHONY 123 8.00 6.70  
DUST BUNNY 2 4 4 63   710½ 717¼ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 123 5.00 5.20  
GOLDEN PHASE 7 8 88 810   815½ 819¾ (stites w)AGUILAR M 123 12.00 30.60  
SCR  O'STELLA'S ROSE               (mcclellan eri)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 8.00    
 
PEN-6   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 2 F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:214 :454 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE'LL SEE 4 3 2 2   12 1 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 3.10  
I CAME TO DANCE 2 7 66 45   3 2 (zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00 5% 18.60 3.20 P
ORGANIZED CHAOS 3 1 1 1   22 3 (agnew naoise)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 3.00 6.60 S
PEACH BE WITH Q 5 2 7 79   513½ 416½ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 20% 4.10 10.10  
SHARP CATCH 7 4 55 3   4 521¼ (maymo j)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 9.90  
AFRICAN ANGEL 1 5 34 5   617½ 626¼ (houghton th)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 51% 1.00 3.00  
QUEEN WIGGY 6 6 45 68   721½ 730 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 4.80  
 
PEN-7   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 2 F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:223 :462 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY LIGHTFEET 2 1 1 11   13 1 (mcclellan eri)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 6.00 8% 11.80 3.40 W
MARION GRACE 4 5 3 21   23 2 (coletti edwar)NUNEZ Y 122 1.80 45% 1.20 0.30 P
LUCKY STROKE 6 3 2 3   34 3 (zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00 38.80  
OUTSPEND 3 2 5 4   411 414½ (agnew naois)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 9.10  
FINISHING TOUCH 5 6 6 5   514 518½ (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 8% 11.70 12.60  
TRAJEC HOLIDAY 1 4 4 611½   623 640½ (albright geor)INIRIO J 122 6.00 13% 7.00 18.60  
SCR  FOXY JUNIOR               (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00    
 
PEN-8   12/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:111 1:381   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELMS DEEP (GB) 4 1 13 16 15 13 1 (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 6.60  
SAMARONTI 3 5 5 5 57 3 2 (rodriguez m)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 3.00 P
LONGTAIL 7 4 4 36 25 23 3 (pino v)BOWMAN ADAM 122 6.00 3.20 S
VITESSE 1 8 815 715¼ 611 5 4 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.00 12% 7.30 2.70  
MINE TO HOLD 5 2 35 4 4 4 55 (synnefias pan)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 10.00 16.00  
DIGGERS DIAMOND 6 7 611 611¾ 712½ 611½ 610¼ (geist w)BAKER J 122 15.00 28.00  
FLAT BILL 2 6 713 816¾ 818½ 820½ 720¼ (gutterson kat)INIRIO J 122 15.00 32.30  
CONTRAFLOW 8 3 23 26 3 715½ 822¾ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 16% 5.40 3.90  
SCR  FLAT OUT FLASHY               (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 50% 1.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.