The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Penn National
Wednesday - December 14, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
PEN-1   12/14/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
:23 :463 1:122 1:251   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BONITA LASSIE 3 2 22½ 22 21½ 22 1¼ (salvaggio v)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 42% 1.40 2.00 W
1  PEAK OF CHIC 1 4 12½ 12 11½ 12 2¼ (moore m)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 4.00 9% 10.10 0.90 P
6  TERPEYE 6 7 711¾ 79 76½ 47½ 38¾ (moreno tito)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00 32.10  
7  LOVE IS STRONG 7 6 44 65 64½ 68½ 411 (vera miguel)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 28% 2.60 5.70  
4  FAVORITE DOLL 4 3 34 32½ 43½ 37 513¾ (ferreira fernando)INIRIO J 120 10.00 22.40  
2  CAR LADY 2 8 812¼ 811 813½ 710½ 614½ (kravets m)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 ★ 27.50  
8  KATY THE CAT 8 1 64¾ 53 33½ 58 715 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 ★ 10.40  
5  EARLY FROST 5 5 54¼ 42½ 54 814½ 816 (ippolito mark)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 41.40  
 
PEN-2   12/14/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
:241 :483 1:134 1:41   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEACEARELLA 1 4 22½ 2½ 1nk 13½ 12 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 119 3.00 34% 1.90 4.20 W
2  ESTA CHUCK 2 5 54 53¼ 33 23½ 22 (jacavone j)LLOYD W 119 12.00 46.00  
5  DANCE A LITTLE JIG 5 6 64½ 33 43¼ 44 34¾ (ferreira fernando)WHITNEY G 120 2.50 32% 2.10 0.60 S
3  REAWAKENED 3 2 12½ 1½ 2nk 34 47 (meister s)INIRIO J 120 3.00 ★ 4.00  
4  OH SO JAZZY 4 3 44 63¼ 55¾ 57½ 59¼ (nunley randy)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 8.90  
7  SEEKING THE THRONE 7 7 75 75¼ 76¾ 611½ 613¼ (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 10.00 ★ 29.90  
6  GINGERONMYMIND 6 1 33 43 66¼ 713½ 722¼ (hayes kirsten)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 9% 10.10 13.40  
 
PEN-3   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
:221 :461 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  KAZTHAROS 10 4 3.2 2½   12 11 (synnefias dimitrios)PANAIJO JORGE 123 6.00 16% 5.20 2.30 W
4  GREAT ASSUMPTIONS 4 5 52¼ 42½   22 21 (neilson c)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 6.00 6.60  
7  ABHAR 7 3 1nk 1½   33½ 36½ (bobadilla f)INIRIO J 122 12.00 63.10  
6  YANKEE EMPIRE 6 1 2nk 3½   46 47¾ (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 4.00 22% 3.60 10.30  
3  KNOCKDOWN KID 3 2 63¼ 57½   512 511½ (salinas jose)HERNANDEZ A 121 15.00 31.10  
1  DOUBLE TIME BAY 1 6 85¾ 617½   6100 6100 (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 121 8.00 10.80  
9  SUMMER ASH 9 9 1011¼ 7100   7100 7100 (gonzalez a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 6.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
2  COMMUNICATION FAIL 2 10 99¾ 8100   8100 8100 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 20.00 97.60  
8  JUMP FREE 8 8 75¼ 9100   9100 9100 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 121 8.00 32.00  
5  SIBERIAN 5 7 42¼ 10100   10100 10100 (lawrence lee)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 2.00  
SCR  LOVED AGAIN               (diaz jorge)RAMOS C 117 8.00 17% 5.10    
SCR  MYSTIC POINT               (chircop steven)HERNANDEZ A 121 5.00 14% 6.00    
 
PEN-4   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
:221 :452 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TODO SOLA 4 2 2½ 21   11½ 11¼ (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 119 3.50 47% 1.10 1.90 W
2  TAPIT'S GIRL 2 8 75 65¼   32 21¼ (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 124 8.00 6.60  
7  SIX O'CLOCK SARAH 6 5 53½ 43   52½ 32½ (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 2.00 8% 11.20 2.50 S
6  TIMELY TRADITION 5 7 85¼ 75¼   72¾ 44 (kravets m)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
1  BRAMBLE BUSH 1 4 31 53¼   42 54¾ (maymo j)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 15.60  
8  MOONSAFE 7 6 43½ 31   62¾ 65 (salvaggio jr)INIRIO J 120 4.50 3.00  
4  HONORABLE LILLY 3 3 64½ 85½   84¾ 75¾ (sells rachel)VARGAS L 120 15.00 5% 19.00 59.20  
9  PROPOSITION 8 1 1½ 11   21½ 89½ (kulp l)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 7% 13.50 12.50  
SCR  BETTY'S SMILE               (grusmark karl)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
 
PEN-5   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
:224 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURPRISINGLY SWEET 1 1 11½ 11   12½ 13½ (bennett juanita)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 6.00 ★ 9.90  
4  COSMOLOGICAL 4 2 21½ 41½   32½ 23½ (albright r)TUNON JORDANO 123 4.00 20% 4.10 10.40 P
9  ALL THAT MAGIC 8 5 64 31½   43 34¼ (crook-demasi kathlee)BOWMAN ADAM 123 6.00 ★ 1.20 S
3  LET'S GO MO 3 6 75 75   57 47½ (miller a)VARGAS L 123 12.00 20.70  
6  MRS BELL 6 3 32 21   22½ 57½ (lucas bonnie)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 56% 0.80 3.50  
5  LI'LBITO'GLORY 5 7 53½ 52   67½ 612 (crook-demasi kathlee)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 8.00 ★ 6.70  
2  DUST BUNNY 2 4 42½ 63   710½ 717¼ (stites w)HERNANDEZ A 123 5.00 5.20  
8  GOLDEN PHASE 7 8 88 810   815½ 819¾ (stites w)AGUILAR M 123 12.00 30.60  
SCR  O'STELLA'S ROSE               (mcclellan c)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 8.00    
 
PEN-6   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($28K) 2 F PT- 8:16
:214 :454 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WE'LL SEE 4 3 23½ 22½   12 15¾ (kravets m)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 ★ 3.10  
2  I CAME TO DANCE 2 7 66 45   33½ 25¾ (zalalas michael)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00 5% 18.60 3.20 P
3  ORGANIZED CHAOS 3 1 13½ 12½   22 35¾ (agnew naoise)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 3.00 ★ 6.60 S
5  PEACH BE WITH Q 5 2 76½ 79   513½ 416½ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 20% 4.10 10.10  
7  SHARP CATCH 7 4 55 34½   48½ 521¼ (maymo j)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 9.90  
1  AFRICAN ANGEL 1 5 34 56½   617½ 626¼ (houghton thomas)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 51% 1.00 3.00  
6  QUEEN WIGGY 6 6 45 68   721½ 730 (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 4.80  
 
PEN-7   12/14/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 2 F PT- 8:43
:223 :462 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LADY LIGHTFEET 2 1 11½ 11   13 14½ (mcclellan c)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 6.00 8% 11.80 3.40 W
5  MARION GRACE 4 5 32½ 21   23 24½ (coletti j)NUNEZ Y 122 1.80 45% 1.20 0.30 P
7  LUCKY STROKE 6 3 21½ 31½   34 35¼ (zalalas michael)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00 38.80  
4  OUTSPEND 3 2 52¾ 47½   411 414½ (agnew naoise)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 9.10  
6  FINISHING TOUCH 5 6 64¾ 58½   514 518½ (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 8% 11.70 12.60  
1  TRAJEC HOLIDAY 1 4 42½ 611½   623 640½ (albright r)INIRIO J 122 6.00 13% 7.00 18.60  
SCR  FOXY JUNIOR               (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 ★    
 
PEN-8   12/14/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
:223 :454 1:111 1:381   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HELMS DEEP 4 1 13 16 15 13 11¼ (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 6.60  
3  SAMARONTI 3 5 57½ 58¾ 57 34½ 21¼ (rodriguez a)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 ★ 3.00 P
8  LONGTAIL 7 4 45½ 36 25 23 31¾ (pino v)BOWMAN ADAM 122 6.00 ★ 3.20 S
1  VITESSE 1 8 815 715¼ 611 58½ 42¾ (graci a)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.00 12% 7.30 2.70  
6  MINE TO HOLD 5 2 35 46¼ 46½ 45½ 55 (synnefias a)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 10.00 16.00  
7  DIGGERS DIAMOND 6 7 611 611¾ 712½ 611½ 610¼ (geist w)BAKER J 122 15.00 28.00  
2  FLAT BILL 2 6 713 816¾ 818½ 820½ 720¼ (gutterson katlynn)INIRIO J 122 15.00 32.30  
9  CONTRAFLOW 8 3 23 26 36½ 715½ 822¾ (graci a)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 16% 5.40 3.90  
SCR  FLAT OUT FLASHY               (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 50% 1.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.