The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Oaklawn Park
Friday - December 30, 2022

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OP-1   12/30/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 1:30
:244 :501 1:154 1:29   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY ENVOY 7 5 1 11 1nk 14 1(lukas wayne)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 4.50 9% 10.70 6.70 W
PEACEFUL MOMENT 5 1 43 7 5 42(mcpeek g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00 11% 7.90 12.50 P
SAENGER STAR 3 2 53 33 4 24 3(moysey e)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00 11.50 S
TEQUILA EMPIRE 4 6 32 21 2nk 34(diodoro robertino)TORRES A 121 1.40 54% 0.90 1.00  
ROCKABILLIE 2 7 7 5 31 56 510 (ortiz alexander)CABRERA DAVID 121 4.00 1.60  
NELLY TOO 6 3 2 44 6 6611 (cline n)HARR KELSI 121 20.00 38.40  
HER NAME WAS LOLA 1 4 64 6 7 710¼ 718¼ (moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 121 10.00 23.10  
 
OP-2   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
:222 :453 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLAM DUNK SERMON 6 7 6 510½   41¼ (diodoro robertino)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 15% 5.60 9.90 W
BIG NICK 8 2 2½ 2½   2½ 2¼ (schultz lindsay)BAZE C 120 15.00 15.50  
FULL IMPACT 5 1 1½ 1½   1½ 3(diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 120 3.50 41% 1.40 1.70 S
MO'S MOJO 4 4 3 34   34(morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 5.00 3.80  
TURFY 1 6 7 711½   656 (amoss m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00 5.90  
MAGIC CASTLE 3 3 44 4   57 6(broberg karl)TORRES A 124 3.00 12% 7.70 3.30  
J. E.'S HANDMEDOWN 2 5 8 812   712½ 710 (asmussen m)ASMUSSEN J 120 8.00 25.40  
OCELOT 7 8 5 611   818½ 819¾ (mcknight norman)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 5% 18.80 11.10  
 
OP-3   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:26
:222 :47 :591     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADALINE JULIA 2 2 2 1½   14 17 (diodoro robertino)TORRES A 122 1.00 63% 0.60 0.50 W
LADY COMMANDER 8 6 75 6   327 (fires h)COURT K 124 8.00 6.90 P
DIAL TONI 3 3 43 2½   24 3(barkley jason)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 8.00 10.80  
TYRONA 5 7 3 42   448 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 122 10.00 20.60  
CHARTREUSE 6 4 54 52   57 511½ (witt ii)CABRERA DAVID 124 6.00 10% 9.50 5.50  
SHEZA CAT 4 8 8 7   611 619¼ (durham danele)MOJICA O 122 20.00 57.40  
WISE MEMORIES 7 5 65 8   813½ 720½ (asmussen m)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 5.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
MO WANNA GO 1 1 1 31   711½ 822¾ (roberts w)HEBERT LINDSEY 112 15.00 15.00  
 
OP-4   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($106K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
:22 :451 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YUUGIRI 2 1 1½ 1½   12 1(brisset rodolphe)SANTANA JR 117 1.40 1.30  
HOT AND SULTRY 3 2 2½ 2½   22 2(casse w)CABRERA DAVID 117 2.00 50% 1.00 1.70 P
QUEENS UP 1 5 32 3   337 (divito p)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 20.00 18.50 S
OFF RAMP 4 4 5 5   45 4(rosin w)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 7% 13.80 31.80  
SECRET FIX 5 3 42 4   55(diodoro robertino)TORRES A 125 1.80 20% 4.10 3.00  
VERYLITTLECENTS 6 6 6 65   6611¼ (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 117 12.00 10.60  
 
OP-5   12/30/2022 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
:232 :472 1:122 1:39   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THOUGHT 4 1 1 11 1nk 11(diodoro robertino)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 15.00 5.30  
HUGE BIGLY 7 2 5 5 6 44 2(puhich mike)BAZE C 121 1.80 25% 3.00 3.00 P
ROCKET ONE 1 7 611½ 6 45 55 3(moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 122 12.00 8% 11.10 8.20 S
DERBY CODE 2 6 711½ 7 78 64(robertson mclean)CABRERA DAVID 121 8.00 3.40  
AMERICAN TATTOO (ARG) 3 4 3 3 3 34 5(mott riley)TORRES A 121 5.00 13% 6.90 3.30  
MR. TIP 5 8 812 810½ 8 77 6(diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 12.00 11% 8.50 7.00  
POLTERER 6 3 2 21 2nk 2710¼ (compton greg)RODRIGUEZ A 121 30.00 26.90  
MUGSY MALONE 8 5 43 43 5 813 818 (contreras cipriano)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 11.30  
SCR  ICE BLAST               (mason ingrid)WALES T 118 2.00 19% 4.40    
 
OP-6   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:223 :463 :591     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAP JACK 3 3 11 12   11(hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 124 2.50 20% 3.90 0.80 W
WINDCRACKER 2 6 6 6   32(compton greg)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 7.10  
COSMO 6 4 56 5   47 3(diodoro robertino)TORRES A 120 4.50 2.70  
GINSBURNED 1 5 32 3   24(villafranco martin)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00 12.60  
MACRON 5 2 4 22   510½ 513½ (haran john)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 23% 3.30 4.80  
TIN BADGE 4 1 21 44   614½ 617½ (chleborad lynn)JORDAN R 120 15.00 9% 10.10 30.00  
SCR  GOZILLA               (mcknight norman)CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  SOARING BIRD               (garcia genaro)GARCIA MARTIN 124 5.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  STORMY PATTERN               (maker j)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
 
OP-7   12/30/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($45K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
:233 :483 1:132 1:264   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  AALIYAH EZRI 11 3 2½ 1½ 1 12 1nk (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 10.00 6.70  
DIVINE HOPE 8 2 3 4 6 42nk (rosin w)GARCIA MARTIN 115 12.00 6.40  
10  MCMANSION 10 8 4 3½ 2 22 3(contreras cipriano)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 126 15.00 21.60  
CANDY KICK 9 10 1110¼ 118 7 34 4(mason ingrid)BAILEY CHEL-C 115 8.00 21.20  
RUSSIARUSSIARUSSIA 7 11 10 94 8 77 54 (villafranco martin)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 5.00 40% 1.50 7.20  
LANTERN'S CANDY 6 4 6 52 33 56(diodoro robertino)TORRES A 120 3.50 2.80  
BACHELORETTE 4 1 1½ 2½ 43 65 7(moysey e)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 15.00 23.50  
ABBY THE BULL DAWG 3 9 9 10 54 88(moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 118 15.00 37.10  
ELI'S GIRL 1 7 53 6 10 99(stuart c)HARR KELSI 121 6.00 11% 8.30 16.50  
LANDSLID 5 5 7 8 9 1015 1014¼ (keithan rachael)CABRERA DAVID 118 6.00 11% 8.10 2.80  
HAL'S DREAM 2 6 8 7 11 1119 1119 (compton greg)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50 15% 5.70 10.50  
 
OP-8   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($106K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:46
:221 :461 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER SHOES 4 5 1½ 1nk   2nk 1¾ (swearingen h)BAILEY CHEL-C 120 4.00 25% 3.00 3.40 W
CONNIE K 5 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 2¾ (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 1.40 35% 1.90 1.20 P
UNBRIDLED TWISTER 6 2 31 4¾   33(cates al)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 7.40  
PUNCHY GIRL 3 7 7 5   54(morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 14.50  
KABOOM BABY 1 8 6 3½   43 5(witt ii)QUINONEZ S 120 3.50 14% 6.10 5.00  
TOO PRETTY 7 3 8 7   66(peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 32.80  
10  MY DAMS ATITUDE 9 10 9 10   77(westermann l)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00 24.80  
HISSY MISSY 2 9 10 9   8811¾ (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 120 20.00 24.10  
HEATED ARGUMENT 8 4 42 6   911¼ 915 (gonzalez n)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 15.00 17.10  
11  HOT SPRINGS BLING 10 6 52 8   1014¼ 1016½ (donaldson jerry)TRIANA JR 120 30.00 52.80  
SCR  LADY ASTRID               (cline n)HARR KELSI 120 30.00    
 
OP-9   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:14
:222 :472 1:003     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
K J'S PISTOL ANNIE 4 2 2½ 2nk   12 1(hornsby tammy)BAILEY CHEL-C 122 4.50 39% 1.60 2.90 W
SWEET HOLINESS 5 6 5 42   22 2(loy dewaine)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 6.00 10.70  
BOOTLEGGING GIRL 8 5 6 6   44 3(jacquot gene)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 20.00 8.40 S
LITTLE ROCKER 1 3 1½ 1nk   3411¾ (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 4.00 8% 11.80 4.10  
11  ALLELUIA ANGEL 10 4 4 31   56 517 (gonzalez n)JORDAN R 122 12.00 3.90  
LORI'S EYES 7 7 8 76   711 617½ (martin n)CABRERA DAVID 124 5.00 28% 2.60 11.20  
VALENTINE ANGEL 2 1 3 5   6718 (prather h)TORRES A 122 2.50 5% 19.00 3.40  
SWEET BABY KATE 3 10 1014¼ 1010¾   912 820¾ (soto fermin)WALES T 122 50.00 61.40  
MIZ GISELA 9 9 9 8   1012½ 921 (westermann l)HIRALDO JOHN 122 30.00 52.00  
LIL' BIT OF CHROME 6 8 7 9   812 1021 (pish danny)BAZE C 122 20.00 41.80  
SCR  THE KARMAN LINE               (moysey e)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.