Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Friday - December 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   12/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HER NAME WAS LOLA Dec16 Nov03       (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 121 10.00    
2  ROCKABILLIE Nov17         (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 121 4.00 ★    
3  SAENGER STAR Nov03 Oct20 Aug30 Aug03   (moysey chels)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00 ★    
4  TEQUILA EMPIRE Nov17 Sep29 Jul23 Jul02   (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 1.40 54% 0.90    
5  PEACEFUL MOMENT Dec03 Nov06 Oct13 Sep24   (mcpeek ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00 11% 7.90    
6  NELLY TOO Dec16 Sep15 Aug28     (cline n)HARR KELSI 121 20.00    
7  LADY ENVOY Nov24 Nov10 Oct21 Sep23 Jul16 (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 4.50 9% 10.70    
 
OP-2   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURFY Nov13 Oct20 Oct02 Sep11 Aug22 (amoss tho)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
2  J. E.'S HANDMEDOWN Jun11 May07 Apr23 Mar17 Feb26 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 8.00    
3  MAGIC CASTLE Dec09 Nov20 Nov06 Oct15 Sep10 (broberg k)TORRES A 124 3.00 12% 7.70    
4  MO'S MOJO Nov02 Oct13 Sep23 Jul01 May05 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 5.00 ★    
5  FULL IMPACT Nov13 Sep20 Jun17 May20 Jan02 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 120 3.50 41% 1.40    
6  SLAM DUNK SERMON Sep25 Jul31 Jul02 Jun12 May15 (diodoro robe)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 15% 5.60    
7  OCELOT Nov25 Oct16 Sep16 Aug26 Aug12 (mcknight )RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 5% 18.80    
8  BIG NICK Nov13 Oct27 Sep23 Aug25 Jun16 (schultz lindsay)BAZE C 120 15.00    
 
OP-3   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO WANNA GO Dec09 Jan28       (roberts stan)HEBERT LINDSEY 112 15.00    
2  ADALINE JULIA Oct26         (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 1.00 63% 0.60    
3  DIAL TONI         (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 8.00    
4  SHEZA CAT         (durham danele)MOJICA O 122 20.00    
5  TYRONA Oct19 Sep17 Jul30     (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 122 10.00 ★    
6  CHARTREUSE May01 Apr15       (witt ii)CABRERA DAVID 124 6.00 10% 9.50    
7  WISE MEMORIES Nov27         (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
8  LADY COMMANDER Nov06 Sep17 Jun19 May28 Mar31 (fires h)COURT K 124 8.00 ★    
 
OP-4   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($106K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEENS UP Aug14 Jul30 Jul09     (divito ja)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 20.00 ★    
2  YUUGIRI May06 Apr02 Feb26     (brisset )SANTANA JR 117 1.40 ★    
3  HOT AND SULTRY Jul01 Jan23       (casse w)CABRERA DAVID 117 2.00 50% 1.00    
4  OFF RAMP Nov15 Oct16 Sep08 Aug14 Aug04 (rosin w)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 7% 13.80    
5  SECRET FIX Nov26 Oct23 Sep02 Jul24 May27 (diodoro r)TORRES A 125 1.80 20% 4.10    
6  VERYLITTLECENTS Jul02 May20 Mar26 Feb19   (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 117 12.00    
 
OP-5   12/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKET ONE Nov13 Oct16 Apr29 Mar20 Feb20 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 12.00 8% 11.10    
2  DERBY CODE Oct27 Sep17 Aug21 Mar17 Feb18 (robertson mcl)CABRERA DAVID 121 8.00    
SCR  ICE BLAST Sep28 Sep14 Jul30 Jul09 Jun11 (mason ingrid)WALES T 118 2.00 19% 4.40    
4  AMERICAN TATTOO (ARG) Nov02 Sep30 Sep05 Apr29 Mar24 (mott rile)TORRES A 121 5.00 13% 6.90    
5  THOUGHT Nov10 Oct06 Aug27 Jul24 Jul01 (diodoro robe)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 15.00    
6  MR. TIP Nov07 Oct15 Sep08 Jul02 May28 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 12.00 11% 8.50    
7  POLTERER Nov02         (compton g)RODRIGUEZ A 121 30.00    
8  HUGE BIGLY Nov24 Oct16 Sep05 Aug14 Feb19 (puhich mike)BAZE C 121 1.80 25% 3.00    
9  MUGSY MALONE Nov18 Nov10 Oct15 Sep18 Aug21 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00    
 
OP-6   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GINSBURNED Dec16 Dec03 Nov14 Oct08 Sep02 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00    
2  WINDCRACKER Oct12 Sep03 Aug06 Jun15 May06 (compton g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00    
3  FLAP JACK Dec09 Nov07 Oct17 Sep01 Jun25 (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 124 2.50 20% 3.90    
4  TIN BADGE Sep29 Aug29 Aug01 Jul18 Jul02 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 120 15.00 9% 10.10    
5  MACRON Dec09 Oct15 Sep25 Aug06 Jul08 (haran joh)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  GOZILLA Dec03 Nov17 Oct21 Aug05 Jun24 (mcknight norm)CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  SOARING BIRD Dec11 Nov13 Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 (garcia genaro)GARCIA MARTIN 124 5.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  STORMY PATTERN Dec17 Oct14 Sep10 Jul24 Jul01 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
9  COSMO Oct10 Aug19 Jul22 Jun03 May21 (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 4.50    
 
OP-7   12/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($45K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELI'S GIRL Dec10 Oct06 Sep15 Aug17 Jul18 (stuart c)HARR KELSI 121 6.00 11% 8.30    
2  HAL'S DREAM Nov25 Mar05 Feb05     (compton g)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50 15% 5.70    
3  ABBY THE BULL DAWG Oct26 Sep28 Sep05 Aug05 Jun18 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 15.00    
4  BACHELORETTE Nov02 Oct07 Aug29 Aug01 Apr22 (moysey chels)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 15.00 ★    
5  LANDSLID Dec18 Nov11 Oct22 Sep28 Aug12 (keithan racha)CABRERA DAVID 118 6.00 11% 8.10    
6  LANTERN'S CANDY Nov25 Nov03 Oct10 Sep16 Aug24 (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 3.50    
7  RUSSIARUSSIARUSSIA Oct08 Sep05 Jul17 Jun04   (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 5.00 40% 1.50    
8  DIVINE HOPE Nov11 Oct08 Sep23 Aug20 Jul23 (rosin w)GARCIA MARTIN 115 12.00    
9  CANDY KICK Oct29 Sep30 Aug14 Jun19   (mason ingrid)BAILEY CHEL-C 115 8.00    
10  MCMANSION Nov16 Oct25 Sep16 Jul29 Jul01 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 126 15.00    
11  AALIYAH EZRI Oct27 Sep01 Aug06 Jul08 May27 (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 10.00    
 
OP-8   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($106K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KABOOM BABY May06 Apr08 Mar05 Feb12   (witt ii)QUINONEZ S 120 3.50 14% 6.10    
2  HISSY MISSY         (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 120 20.00    
3  PUNCHY GIRL May06 Apr09 Feb25 Jan28 Jan07 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00    
4  SUMMER SHOES Mar27 Mar06       (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
5  CONNIE K Nov02 Jun11 May06 Apr16 Mar05 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 1.40 35% 1.90    
6  UNBRIDLED TWISTER Nov12 May06 Apr08 Mar05 Feb21 (cates al)SANTANA JR 120 8.00    
7  TOO PRETTY Jun29 May06 Apr08 Mar05 Jan14 (peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 ★    
8  HEATED ARGUMENT Dec09 Jun14 May20 May06 Apr29 (gonzalez jai)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 15.00 ★    
SCR  LADY ASTRID Apr29 Mar05 Feb12     (cline n)HARR KELSI 120 30.00    
10  MY DAMS ATITUDE Nov17 May06 Apr29 Apr08 Mar13 (westermann r)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
11  HOT SPRINGS BLING Jun16 May06 Apr08 Mar13 Feb21 (donaldson)TRIANA JR 120 30.00    
 
OP-9   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE ROCKER Dec09 Mar25       (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 4.00 8% 11.80    
2  VALENTINE ANGEL Jan07         (prather j)TORRES A 122 2.50 5% 19.00    
3  SWEET BABY KATE Dec09 Sep05       (soto fermin)WALES T 122 50.00    
4  K J'S PISTOL ANNIE Apr24 Apr07       (hornsby tammy)BAILEY CHEL-C 122 4.50 39% 1.60    
5  SWEET HOLINESS Nov22 Nov08 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 (loy dew)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 6.00    
6  LIL' BIT OF CHROME Nov22 Nov02 Sep29 Mar17   (pish danny)BAZE C 122 20.00    
7  LORI'S EYES Apr24 Apr07 Mar19 Feb18 Jan14 (martin willia)CABRERA DAVID 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
8  BOOTLEGGING GIRL Dec09 Aug20 Aug07 Jul18 May30 (jacquot gene)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 20.00 ★    
9  MIZ GISELA Dec09 Sep15 Jul09 Jun08   (westermann ron)HIRALDO JOHN 122 30.00    
SCR  THE KARMAN LINE Oct14 Sep07       (moysey chels)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 10.00    
11  ALLELUIA ANGEL May06 Apr24 Apr07 Mar19   (gonzalez jai)JORDAN R 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.