The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Oaklawn Park
Saturday - December 17, 2022

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OP-1   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
:234 :491 1:014     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE'S PERFECTION 2 2 21 3   2nk 1¾ (vance d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 117 20.00 19.70  
THE X FACTOR 3 5 4 21   32¾ (martin n)MICHEL MICKAELLE 124 20.00 23.80 P
KEEN CONTENDER 4 3 53 4   43¾ (anderson l)JORDAN R 122 4.00 11% 8.30 3.20 S
ROWDY DAISY 5 1 11 11   1nk 4(smith p)CABRERA DAVID 122 5.00 2.70  
DOOZY BATZ 1 4 3 5100   5100 5100 (litfin nevada)JUAREZ NIK 122 0.80 66% 0.50 0.60  
SCR  ALITA               (puhl kim)DE CRUZ 124 4.50    
SCR  I GUESS NOT               (smith p)MOJICA O 122 20.00    
 
OP-2   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
:223 :462 :583     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARK TIMBER 2 1 11 1   11(casse w)SANTANA JR 122 4.00 3.40  
10  ST ANDREWS 10 6 5 42   22(diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 120 3.00 13% 6.60 2.60 P
HANKS 6 5 6 8   47 37 (martin n)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 18.20  
11  OTTOMAN EMPIRE 11 2 21 2   34(asmussen m)ASMUSSEN J 120 8.00 13% 6.90 37.00  
12  RUM 'N TONIC 12 4 4 3   55(moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 120 12.00 15.90  
HAPPY BOY ROCKET 1 12 9 104   79 6(mott riley)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 12% 7.50 4.60  
DRIFTER 5 7 7 53   8711¾ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 120 20.00 30.50  
PENETRATOR 9 8 8 6   9812 (hollendorfer jerry)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 33% 2.00 5.70  
D T'S DREAM 7 3 3 7   69 912 (tracy greg)JORDAN R 120 20.00 33.30  
JIM AND JIM 4 10 116 11   1112¾ 1013¾ (haran john)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 20.00 31.40  
TOUCH CODE 3 11 126 12   1012¾ 1114 (vance r)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00 9.50  
ZAP MOTION 8 9 10 94   1215¾ 1217¾ (durham danele)JUAREZ NIK 122 20.00 5% 17.60 17.30  
 
OP-3   12/17/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:26
:243 :484 1:133 1:384   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLOSI 1 5 4 43 42 21 1(petalino joe)JUAREZ NIK 121 15.00 6% 17.00 20.30 W
LEADER OF MEN 3 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 11 2(moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 2.50 1.10  
FLATOUT WINNER 4 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 33(litfin nevada)RODRIGUEZ A 125 3.00 20% 4.10 2.70 S
FREDONIAN 5 4 32 32 3 44(broberg karl)TORRES A 125 4.50 5.10  
FLOWERS FOR LISA 6 2 6 68 6 6511 (hollendorfer jerry)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.00 12% 7.70 3.70  
EAGLE PASS 2 6 54 5 5 58 612¾ (vance r)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 20.00 17.30  
SCR  COACH ADAMS               (hollendorfer jerry)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.50 34% 1.90    
 
OP-4   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
:222 :464 :59     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SINNER'S SIN 4 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 11 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 4.50 34% 2.00 3.10 W
TOWN BRANCH 5 2 3 3.2   2nk 21 (hartman chris)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.50 6% 15.90 2.20 P
ATLANTIC DANCER 2 8 814¼ 8   58 3(zito p)TORRES A 122 3.00 15% 5.70 4.40 S
EV'S SHERMAN 8 4 54 4¾   34(villafranco martin)WALES T 117 3.50 24% 3.20 4.10  
UNSTABLE PRINCE 7 7 6 7   75(martin n)JUAREZ NIK 122 20.00 30.30  
PATROLMAN 6 5 7 6   66(ortiz alexander)CABRERA DAVID 122 8.00 9.10  
WITHOUT A SONG 3 3 1nk 2nk   45 7(asmussen m)SANTANA JR 122 10.00 9.50  
FAST LANE 1 6 43 5   8812½ (asmussen m)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 8.00 16.10  
 
OP-5   12/17/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
:234 :474 1:124 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIVEN ONE 2 1 1½ 1½ 11 11(mason ingrid)WALES T 122 8.00 13% 6.80 10.40 W
WARTIME HERO 3 4 3 32 31 22(contreras cipriano)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 1.80 28% 2.50 2.00 P
12  PRIMER DIMER 11 5 2½ 2½ 21 36 3(diodoro robertino)TORRES A 123 3.50 4.00  
RYE HUMOR 9 10 9 7 6 411 412½ (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 12.00 28.60  
OPTIMUS KAT 4 3 52 54 5 511½ 514¾ (lukas wayne)CABRERA DAVID 123 4.50 7.80  
10  EGOMANIAC 10 8 10 9 8 716 616 (mason ingrid)JUAREZ NIK 118 10.00 27.60  
TANGO KILO 6 11 1111¼ 1111¾ 11 817½ 716½ (von don)BAZE C 123 20.00 36.70  
GEORGIA DEPUTY 5 6 7 8 9 917½ 817 (petalino joe)DE CRUZ 123 30.00 70.70  
ARRIVAL 8 9 8 64 4 612 919 (borel renay)BOREL H 123 12.00 16% 5.20 21.00  
CASH ROCKET 1 2 42 4 7 1019 1022½ (moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 125 15.00 20% 4.10 2.20  
BELIEVEINHOLIDAYS 7 7 6 10 10 1126 1134¼ (martin n)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 30.00 5% 19.00 61.80  
SCR  OBVIOUSLY TOO               (mcbride d)BAILEY CHEL-C 112 30.00    
 
OP-6   12/17/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($104K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
:23 :472 1:124 1:254   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIT SHOW 7 4 5 5 2½ 1nk 1(cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 116 2.00 29% 2.50 1.60 W
INVULNERABLE 2 1 1 11 1½ 2nk 2(sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 21% 3.90 2.90 P
PROTEGE 5 3 2 21 3 32 3(moquett e)BEJARANO R 116 2.50 29% 2.40 2.60 S
DAY TRADE 1 6 66 64 53 44(contreras cipriano)CABRERA DAVID 122 15.00 18.70  
GIROOVIN 3 5 43 42 6 58 513½ (garcia genaro)JUAREZ NIK 114 6.00 8.60  
RECKER POINT 4 7 711½ 77 7 6615½ (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 122 8.00 8.20  
WRITTEN DANCE 6 2 32 31 43 7100 7100 (diodoro robertino)TORRES A 122 12.00 23.00  
SCR  AIRTIME               (ortiz alexander)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
 
OP-7   12/17/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
:222 :454 :582     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY BIRDIE 7 1 11 11   112 (casse w)CABRERA DAVID 122 3.00 25% 3.10 4.30 W
SARAH HARPER 6 5 42 4   222 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 7.50  
CARRIBEAN CAPER 2 6 53 53   53(stall m)HERNANDEZ J 115 2.50 42% 1.40 2.50 S
I'M THE BOSS OF ME 8 3 21 21   44 4(compton greg)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 8.50  
ARI OAKLEY 1 4 31 3   34 5(asmussen m)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 5.00 2.70  
NOVEL SQUALL 3 7 8 8   610½ 610¾ (ortiz alexander)SANTANA JR 122 4.00 9% 10.40 5.10  
RED HOT MESS 4 8 7 64   712 714 (moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 115 20.00 34.30  
QUICK MUNNY 5 2 6 7   816 818½ (barkley jason)TALAMO JOSEPH 117 15.00 17.50  
 
OP-8   12/17/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($104K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
:231 :47 1:113 1:364   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISC JOCKEY 6 3 1½ 11 11 2nk 11 (diodoro robertino)TORRES A 125 4.50 3.00  
WINTERWOOD 5 5 43 4 21 1nk 21 (brennan terry)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 6.80  
BARBER ROAD 1 4 55 55 5 36 3(ortiz alexander)SANTANA JR 118 0.80 23% 3.40 0.80 S
MALIBU S S 2 1 32 3 3 4414 (amoss m)JUAREZ NIK 120 15.00 11% 7.90 20.80  
U S NAVY CROSS 3 6 610½ 612 610¾ 614½ 517¼ (broberg karl)MOJICA O 125 6.00 20% 4.10 8.70  
10  STORMY PATTERN 7 2 2½ 21 4 512 619¾ (maker j)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 10.10  
CATDADDY 4 7 711 713½ 711¾ 719 720¼ (petalino joe)CABRERA DAVID 121 20.00 26.60  
SCR  PATS PROPERTY               (haran john)HARR KELSI 121 20.00 6% 15.10    
SCR  RVINDICATED               (keithan rachael)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 30.00    
SCR  TAPAGE               (tracy greg)JORDAN R 121 30.00 6% 16.00    
 
OP-9   12/17/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
:233 :472 1:113 1:364   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAL HARBOUR 3 1 11 1 1½ 11¼ (diodoro robertino)TORRES A 118 2.50 20% 3.90 5.80 W
LAST SAMURAI 1 6 4 43 4 33 2¼ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 125 4.50 2.50 P
SCARLET FUSION 7 5 7 74 53 43(sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 12.00 8.90  
RUN CLASSIC 2 3 21 2 2½ 24(calhoun bret)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.60 54% 0.80 1.20  
KING FURY 6 4 63 6 63 57 5(mcpeek g)CABRERA DAVID 118 6.00 5.20  
LOGICAL MYTH 5 2 32 3 32 610 611¾ (davis h)BAZE C 118 10.00 22.70  
SILVER DUST 4 7 53 5 7 722 723¾ (vance d)JUAREZ NIK 118 20.00 43.50  
SCR  HOZIER               (brisset rodolphe)SANTANA JR 125 10.00    
 
OP-10   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($104K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
:22 :463 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SULWE 12 8 8 8   51nk (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 4.50 11% 8.30 3.10 W
ONE WAY OR ANOTHER 9 4 3 31   12 2nk (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 118 1.20 27% 2.70 1.60 P
10  CHAI TEA 10 9 9 9   63(cline n)HARR KELSI 118 20.00 19.50  
TAPIT RIGHT 4 11 56 5   44(deville j)TORRES A 120 12.00 13.30  
11  CHOCTAW CHARLIE 11 6 7 64   32 55 (chleborad lynn)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 6.00 18% 4.70 9.60  
RUN FEARLESS 7 7 1010¾ 10   76(fires h)BAILEY CHEL-C 120 30.00 53.00  
TWENTYTWENTYREDO 8 10 1112¼ 1110¾   911¼ 7(pish danny)BAZE C 122 12.00 40.50  
LIGHTNING HART 2 2 1½ 1½   22 810¾ (dixon tim)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 15.00 9% 10.00 11.10  
MOCHA KISS 6 5 6 7   810¾ 911¼ (stuart shea)JORDAN R 120 15.00 15.70  
WICKED STREET 5 3 4 4   1012¼ 1014 (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 120 30.00 62.50  
WAR MUSIC 1 12 1224¼ 1217¾   1118¼ 1114¾ (riecken bruce)MOJICA O 120 20.00 51.40  
DERBY DAY LASSIE 3 1 2½ 2½   1221¼ 1230 (milligan allen)JUAREZ NIK 118 8.00 15% 5.60 5.20  
SCR  BLOW SUM SMOKE               (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 122 20.00    
SCR  TRULY A ROCKET               (altamirano j)MEDELLIN ERICK 111 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.