Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Saturday - December 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOOZY BATZ Oct13 Sep16 Jun09 Apr27   (litfin nevada)JUAREZ NIK 122 0.80 66% 0.50    
SCR  I GUESS NOT Dec01 Oct02 Sep18 Aug20   (smith p)MOJICA O 122 20.00    
3  HERE'S PERFECTION         (vance d)DIAZ RENE 117 20.00 ★    
4  THE X FACTOR Oct11 Sep28 Sep05 Aug08   (martin wil)MICHEL MICKAELLE 124 20.00 ★    
5  KEEN CONTENDER Nov06 Sep30 Aug07 Jul18 Jun24 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 122 4.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  ALITA Oct24 Oct10 Sep12 Aug24 Aug04 (puhl kim)DE CRUZ 124 4.50 ★    
7  ROWDY DAISY         (smith p)CABRERA DAVID 122 5.00    
 
OP-2   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY BOY ROCKET Oct27 Oct01 Sep08 Jun12 Apr23 (mott riley)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 12% 7.50    
2  DARK TIMBER Nov17 Sep24 Jul29 Jul14 Jun19 (casse no)SANTANA JR 122 4.00    
3  TOUCH CODE Nov27 Nov06 Oct02 May30 May15 (vance r)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00    
4  JIM AND JIM Nov06 Sep25 Aug09 Jul07 Jun18 (haran john)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 20.00    
5  DRIFTER Oct27 Oct03 Aug31 Aug15 Feb11 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 120 20.00    
6  HANKS Apr15 Mar24 Feb12 Jan07   (martin wi)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
7  D T'S DREAM Oct29 Aug27 Feb25 Jan05   (tracy greg)JORDAN R 120 20.00    
8  ZAP MOTION Oct19 Oct08 Aug22 Jul24 Jul03 (durham danele)JUAREZ NIK 122 20.00 5% 17.60    
9  PENETRATOR Nov02 Sep23 Aug22 May29 May08 (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
10  ST ANDREWS Nov02 Oct08 Sep14 Aug20 Aug05 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 120 3.00 13% 6.60    
11  OTTOMAN EMPIRE May16 Apr15 Mar06 Feb11   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 8.00 13% 6.90    
12  RUM 'N TONIC Nov09 Oct16 Sep03 Jun19 May22 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 12.00    
 
OP-3   12/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COACH ADAMS Dec01 Nov03 Sep03 Aug15 Jul29 (hollendorfer)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.50 34% 1.90    
2  COLOSI Nov04 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug20 (petalino joe)JUAREZ NIK 121 15.00 6% 17.00    
3  EAGLE PASS Nov18 Oct27 Oct02 Sep15 Jun29 (vance r)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 20.00    
4  LEADER OF MEN Oct27 Oct02 Aug02 Jun29 Jun08 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 2.50    
5  FLATOUT WINNER Nov19 Nov04 Aug21 Aug14 Jul27 (litfin ne)RODRIGUEZ A 125 3.00 20% 4.10    
6  FREDONIAN Dec01 Nov21 Nov02 Oct15 Oct06 (broberg k)TORRES A 125 4.50 ★    
7  FLOWERS FOR LISA Oct28 Sep03 Aug19 Aug01 Jul09 (hollendor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.00 12% 7.70    
 
OP-4   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST LANE Mar19 Jan15       (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 8.00 ★    
2  ATLANTIC DANCER Oct29 Sep15       (zito nich)TORRES A 122 3.00 15% 5.70    
3  WITHOUT A SONG Nov19         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 10.00    
4  SINNER'S SIN May28 Apr23 Mar17 Feb21 Jan02 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 4.50 34% 2.00    
5  TOWN BRANCH Nov19 Nov03 Sep18 Jul03 Jun02 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.50 6% 15.90    
6  PATROLMAN         (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 122 8.00    
7  UNSTABLE PRINCE Feb12 Jan29 Jan02     (martin n)JUAREZ NIK 122 20.00    
8  EV'S SHERMAN Nov27 Apr30 Apr09 Mar26 Mar11 (villafranco martin)WALES T 117 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
OP-5   12/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASH ROCKET Nov04 Oct14 Sep09 Mar18 Feb20 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 125 15.00 20% 4.10    
2  DRIVEN ONE Oct11 Sep14 Aug03 Jul14 Jun01 (mason ingrid)WALES T 122 8.00 13% 6.80    
3  WARTIME HERO May08 Apr07 Mar17 Feb19 Jan16 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 1.80 28% 2.50    
4  OPTIMUS KAT Sep28 Aug20 Jul09 May13 Apr21 (lukas wayne)CABRERA DAVID 123 4.50    
5  GEORGIA DEPUTY Oct28 Oct08 Sep17 Sep01 Jul08 (petalino )DE CRUZ 123 30.00    
6  TANGO KILO Nov18 Nov05 Sep10 Sep01 Aug05 (von don)BAZE C 123 20.00    
7  BELIEVEINHOLIDAYS Oct11 Sep20 Sep06 Aug16 Jul19 (martin n)DIAZ RENE 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  ARRIVAL Jul17 Jun28 Jun06 May08 Apr16 (borel renay)BOREL H 123 12.00 16% 5.20    
9  RYE HUMOR Nov12 Sep21 Aug28 Jun23 Jun10 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 12.00    
10  EGOMANIAC Oct22 Oct07 Sep14 Aug15 Jul20 (mason ingrid)JUAREZ NIK 118 10.00    
SCR  OBVIOUSLY TOO Sep24 Aug27 Aug08 Jul02 Jun18 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 112 30.00    
12  PRIMER DIMER Nov19 Oct23 Sep04 Aug06 May13 (diodoro r)TORRES A 123 3.50    
 
OP-6   12/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($104K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAY TRADE Nov23 Sep30       (contreras cip)CABRERA DAVID 122 15.00    
2  INVULNERABLE Nov24         (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 21% 3.90    
3  GIROOVIN Nov23 Nov03 Oct09 Sep23   (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 114 6.00 ★    
4  RECKER POINT Nov16 Oct01 Sep16 Aug28   (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  AIRTIME Nov14 Sep25 Aug21     (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
6  PROTEGE Nov04 Sep21       (moquett e)BEJARANO R 116 2.50 29% 2.40    
7  WRITTEN DANCE Nov15 Sep05       (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 12.00    
8  HIT SHOW Nov26 Oct09       (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 116 2.00 29% 2.50    
 
OP-7   12/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARI OAKLEY Nov10 Jun26 May28 May01 Apr07 (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 5.00 ★    
2  CARRIBEAN CAPER Nov24 Aug16       (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 115 2.50 42% 1.40    
3  NOVEL SQUALL May30 Apr28 Apr02 Feb19 Jan09 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 122 4.00 9% 10.40    
4  RED HOT MESS Oct30 Oct05 Aug24     (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 115 20.00 ★    
5  QUICK MUNNY Aug19 Jul16 May05 Apr15 Feb24 (barkley jason)TALAMO JOSEPH 117 15.00    
6  SARAH HARPER Nov06 Oct09 Aug20 Jan22 Jan09 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 6.00    
7  PRETTY BIRDIE Jul09 Jun12 May06 Mar26 Feb19 (casse w)CABRERA DAVID 122 3.00 25% 3.10    
8  I'M THE BOSS OF ME Oct28 Apr16 Apr02 Feb20   (compton g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00    
 
OP-8   12/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($104K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARBER ROAD Jun11 May07 Apr02 Feb26 Jan29 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 118 0.80 23% 3.40    
2  MALIBU S S Oct17 Sep30 Aug20 May31 May07 (amoss m)JUAREZ NIK 120 15.00 11% 7.90    
3  U S NAVY CROSS Dec01 Sep25 Aug20 Jul16 Jul09 (broberg karl)MOJICA O 125 6.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  TAPAGE Dec03 Oct26 Aug06 Jun28 Jun06 (tracy greg)JORDAN R 121 30.00 6% 16.00    
5  CATDADDY Nov19 Oct27 Sep14 Aug19 Apr22 (petalino joe)CABRERA DAVID 121 20.00    
SCR  RVINDICATED Nov14 Oct26 Oct01 Sep01 Aug04 (keithan rach)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 30.00    
7  WINTERWOOD Nov02 Sep17 Jul15 Mar04 Jan28 (brennan terr)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00    
SCR  PATS PROPERTY Jun30 Jun11 May08 Apr16 Mar19 (haran john)HARR KELSI 121 20.00 6% 15.10    
9  DISC JOCKEY Nov08 Oct14 Sep23 Sep03 Aug21 (diodoro r)TORRES A 125 4.50    
10  STORMY PATTERN Oct14 Sep10 Jul24 Jul01 May26 (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
 
OP-9   12/17/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST SAMURAI Nov25 Oct29 Aug26 Aug06 Jul02 (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 125 4.50 ★    
SCR  HOZIER Nov13 Oct03 Sep05 Aug06 Jul15 (brisset )SANTANA JR 125 10.00    
3  RUN CLASSIC Nov13 Oct16 Sep22     (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.60 54% 0.80    
4  BAL HARBOUR Nov04 Sep05 Aug04     (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 2.50 20% 3.90    
5  SILVER DUST Nov24 Nov02 Oct20 Sep25 Jul24 (vance d)JUAREZ NIK 118 20.00    
6  LOGICAL MYTH Nov22 Oct27 Sep25 Apr21 Mar12 (davis h)BAZE C 118 10.00 ★    
7  KING FURY Oct29 Oct01 Aug13 Apr02   (mcpeek kennet)CABRERA DAVID 118 6.00 ★    
8  SCARLET FUSION Nov02 Sep30 Aug13 Jul01 Jun05 (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 12.00    
 
OP-10   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($104K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR MUSIC Nov26 Nov11 Oct08 Sep15 Sep04 (riecken bruce)MOJICA O 120 20.00    
2  LIGHTNING HART Nov19 Oct28 Oct15 Mar22 Mar04 (dixon tim)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 15.00 9% 10.00    
3  DERBY DAY LASSIE May06 Apr09 Feb21     (milligan allen)JUAREZ NIK 118 8.00 15% 5.60    
4  TAPIT RIGHT May06 Apr29 Mar27 Mar13 Jan30 (deville c)TORRES A 120 12.00    
5  WICKED STREET Jul24 Jul02 May17 Apr24 Apr03 (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 120 30.00    
6  MOCHA KISS Nov21 May06 Apr29 Mar27 Mar13 (stuart shea)JORDAN R 120 15.00    
7  RUN FEARLESS Sep02 May30 Apr29 Mar25 Feb11 (fires william)BAILEY CHEL-C 120 30.00    
8  TWENTYTWENTYREDO Nov19 Oct26 Oct06 Sep15 Aug27 (pish danny)BAZE C 122 12.00    
9  ONE WAY OR ANOTHER Nov09 Jun24 Apr09 Mar18 Feb11 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 118 1.20 27% 2.70    
10  CHAI TEA Sep08 Aug14 Jul28 Jun08 May06 (cline n)HARR KELSI 118 20.00    
11  CHOCTAW CHARLIE May06 Apr24 Apr07 Mar19 Feb25 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 6.00 18% 4.70    
12  SULWE May06 Apr29 Mar25 Feb25 Jan29 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 4.50 11% 8.30    
SCR  BLOW SUM SMOKE Dec11 Nov14 Sep02 Jul22 Jun25 (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 122 20.00    
SCR  TRULY A ROCKET Nov23 Nov05 Sep25 Sep04 Aug21 (altamirano e)MEDELLIN ERICK 111 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.