The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Fair Grounds
Saturday - January 21, 2023

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FG-1   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 1:00
:223 :462 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW DESTINY 7 2 21 3½   2nk 1nk (gelner j)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 4.40  
OLIVIA G 1 3 3 4   42nk (west g)PARKER L 120 3.50 47% 1.10 1.00 P
SHES A LUCKY REBEL 5 1 11 1½   1nk 31 (wilson shane)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 31.30  
MUCHMORETHANREADY 4 5 42 2½   32 4(stidham mic)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 8% 11.30 3.60  
FOR HARPER 3 4 98 911½   57 54 (ducoing j)RIQUELME J 120 4.50 20% 4.10 19.10  
VISIONISTA 9 7 64 56   669 (rodriguez ed)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00 5% 19.00 40.20  
BAYOU BEAUTY 6 6 5 8   910¼ 712¾ (faucheux ron)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 10.30  
TWO JET 8 9 87 6   7813 (delhomme jerry)LANERIE J 120 8.00 13.60  
YOCKEY BETTERFLY 2 8 7 79   8914½ (balderas alfonso)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 12.80  
 
FG-2   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 1:30
:222 :463 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET ALYSSA 2 4 5 5   41¾ (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00 5% 19.00 13.60 W
EVERGRANDE 4 2 2½ 2½   2nk 2¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 23% 3.30 0.70 P
GOLDEN VIEW 5 1 1½ 1½   1nk 32 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 4.50 5.00  
DESTINE TO RACE 1 3 4 4   32 42 (lovell michelle)PARKER L 120 12.00 18.50  
SOUPER EXPLOSIVE 3 5 31 3   55(casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 14% 6.20 2.20  
ICHIBAN 6 6 65 65   66(courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 120 15.00 5% 19.00 20.70  
SCR  ARDEN'S ASSAULT               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  FIESTA BESTA               (felks r)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
SCR  SWEET SHILD O MINE               (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
 
FG-3   01/21/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 2:00
:25 :493 1:151 1:402   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAGLIOSTRO 4 7 7 7 4¾ 11 1(devaux cherie)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 27% 2.70 0.60 W
MO HOPE 6 2 2½ 2 2½ 31 2(mcgee paul)LANERIE J 120 5.00 21% 3.80 4.00 P
MIDNIGHT PRANKS 2 1 1½ 1 1½ 21 3(calhoun br)PARKER L 120 12.00 16.50  
GAMETIME GLADIATOR 1 3 41 32 5 44 4(calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 6.30  
ODDSONTONY 5 5 31 4 3½ 55(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 16.00  
COAL BOSS 3 4 63 64 7 6611¾ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 28.60  
SENSE YOU ASKED 7 6 52 5 6 79 715¾ (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 9% 10.20 6.90  
SCR  FIRST CLASS HARLOW               (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 120 12.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  SPIELMAN               (desormeaux j)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.00 14% 6.40    
 
FG-4   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 2:30
:214 :452 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARIAH'S APPEAL 7 6 21 1½   1nk 1nk (bauer a)PARKER L 120 6.00 10.30  
MERLAZZA 2 1 31 3   2nk 2nk (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 19% 4.20 2.20 P
RAGGITY SAND 3 8 9 7   5310 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00 24.90  
SUPER LUXE 9 9 1013 1012¾   711¼ 411½ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 14.60  
MY AUNT SNOOKIE 6 5 11 2½   34 511¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 22% 3.50 5.20  
UNSUNG MELODY 8 7 64 55   46 612 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 24.10  
SONG BRIDGE 5 3 76 911¾   1012¼ 713¼ (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 120 10.00 26.40  
10  CURLIN SERENADE 10 2 5 45   6815½ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 11.00  
RUN CHATA 1 10 88 8   911¾ 922¾ (courville r)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 25.20  
L J'S EMMA 4 4 43 67   811¼ 1027¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 38% 1.70 1.80  
 
FG-5   01/21/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:00
:242 :502 1:16 1:422   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAVE OF GOODNESS 6 4 23 2 22 1nk 1½ (hernandez ar)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 5.70  
LAKE LUCERNE 3 5 5 5 6 42½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 8% 11.90 2.00 P
MY PHILLY TWIRL 5 2 13 1 12 2nk 3(walsh brendan )GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 6.10  
CHARLIE'S PENNY 2 1 46 46 3 34(block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00 48% 1.10 1.70  
CARPE VINUM 4 3 6 67 5 55(ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 14.10  
FANCY MARTINI 1 6 35 35 4 67 6(sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 5.20  
SCR  MISS SPEEDY               (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 19% 4.30    
 
FG-6   01/21/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 3:30
:241 :481 1:132 1:394   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUNTLEIGH 3 1 11 11 2nk 114 (casse w)LANERIE J 120 6.00 8.70  
GRAPES FOR ELOISE 8 4 21 21 1nk 224 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 12% 7.40 8.20 P
COMPARATIVE 5 8 7 86 67 38 3(cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 31% 2.30 1.50 S
GHOSTLY GIRL 6 5 54 5 4 410 414¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 15% 5.70 12.40  
SPARTAN QUEEN 4 6 8 7 5 614 517¼ (lovell michelle)PARKER L 120 6.00 22% 3.60 4.00  
LURE'EM IN 1 3 32 32 3 511½ 621¼ (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 4.10  
CUSHEE 7 7 6 65 811¼ 827½ 740¼ (stidham michael)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00 8.70  
MADLY DANCING 2 2 4 43 7 726 846¼ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 22.80  
SCR  SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY               (stall albert)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
 
FG-7   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 4:00
:212 :451 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST DEFENDER 3 5 2½ 1nk   11(asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 30% 2.30 0.90 W
QUATERNION 2 7 6 44   22(felks joseph )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 8% 12.10 21.20 P
KIGALI 8 6 7 6   5310 (bauer a)LANERIE J 120 5.00 3.50  
GUADALAJARA 9 10 1011¼ 811   711½ 411 (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00 8% 12.10 18.70  
PINFIRE 1 4 1½ 2nk   3511¾ (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 7.10  
HEY JACKSON 7 1 4 55   69 613¾ (gelner scott)ALBERT S 115 8.00 42.00  
CITY NIGHTS 5 2 5 78   811½ 714¾ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 27% 2.70 6.40  
EARL OF DASSEL 6 9 9 1012   914½ 815¼ (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00 6% 14.70 49.10  
GOLDEN NUGGET 4 3 3 3½   46 916¾ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 20.00  
10  LITTLE STEVEN 10 8 8 911½   1018½ 1025¾ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00 37.40  
 
FG-8   01/21/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
:252 :52 1:173 1:424   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENTLE SOUL 7 6 67 6 5 32 1½ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 9.90  
TWO EMMYS 3 2 22 2 2½ 1½ 2½ (robertson hugh)GRAHAM J 118 2.50 38% 1.60 2.90 P
PRICE TALK 2 1 3 4 4 2½ 3(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 24% 3.10 1.20 S
BIG AGENDA 6 5 4 35 32 44(sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 6.20  
ENGLISH TAVERN 4 4 55 5 6 53 5(lovell michelle)PARKER L 118 4.50 7.10  
READY TO PURRFORM 5 8 7 7 8 77 6(cox h)LANERIE J 118 6.00 6.70  
10  AMERICAN HERO 8 7 8 810 7 89 712 (flint bernar)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 46.90  
FREEDOM FACTOR 1 3 12 1 1½ 6814 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 30.00 86.20  
SCR  BUSINESS MODEL               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
SCR  GREYES CREEK               (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  SAILING SOLO               (roussel loui)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-9   01/21/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 5:00
:252 :49 1:13 1:382   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DETERMINEDLY 4 1 11 11 12 13 1¼ (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 27% 2.70 1.60 W
TAPIT'S CONQUEST 2 2 5 5 54 32¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 1.00  
SILVER HEIST 1 3 32 3 3 23 31 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 16.20 S
TAPIT SHOES 3 4 43 43 4 445 (cox h)LANERIE J 119 4.00 6.90  
INVULNERABLE 5 5 21 21 22 5512¼ (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 119 4.50 36% 1.80 5.40  
SCR  BANISHING               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 14% 5.90    
 
FG-10   01/21/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 5:30
:234 :481 1:132 1:391   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SINGLE RULER 7 6 76 53 4 11(desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 120 8.00 18.90  
BASELINE BEATER 3 10 1014½ 1011½ 8 35 2(pessin l)LANERIE J 120 8.00 5% 19.00 13.50 P
PRESIDER 2 7 4 4 5 435 (devaux cherie)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 5.90  
MOBSTER 8 4 3 3 2nk 24(casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 34% 1.90 1.20  
FIGHT'N READY 4 8 9 9 76 65(stewart dallas)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 21% 3.80 4.70  
TWO RIVERS OVER 9 9 88 8 6 78 613¼ (calhoun br)PARKER L 120 10.00 8% 12.20 19.10  
BRIARTOWN 5 2 1 11 1nk 5718 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 28.30  
1A  SILVER BULL 10 5 55 64 9 917 824¾ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 4.70  
ONASA 1 1 2 21 3½ 812 924¾ (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00 13% 6.90 6.10  
KAUAI DAN 6 3 6 75 10 1024 1068 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 9.20  
 
FG-11   01/21/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
:223 :454 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SURVEILLANCE 5 6 54 4   2nk 11 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 3.00 9% 9.60 1.10 W
11  BANGO 6 5 3 3½   1nk 21 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 20% 4.00 1.90 P
MANNY WAH 1 3 6 66   43(catalano m)LANERIE J 118 1.80 26% 2.90 3.10 S
YANKEE SEVEN 4 1 21 1nk   3.2 4(govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 118 20.00 29.80  
BOLDOR 2 4 43 53   55(asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 9.00  
SIGN OF WAR 3 2 11 2nk   6614 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 8.00 28.40  
SCR  ANGASTON               (wiggins lon)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  EVAN SING               (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
SCR  KENNESAW               (rodriguez ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
SCR  MY PAL MATTIE               (thomas lee)MORA GERARDO 118 4.00    
SCR  PYRON               (stall m)CARROLL DECLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-12   01/21/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 6:30
:242 :48 1:123 1:391   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE ALYS LOOK 4 4 21 21 1½ 1½ 11 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 19% 4.10 2.30 W
CHOP CHOP 5 5 32 32 2½ 2½ 21 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.60 28% 2.50 0.80 P
HAYUNEVANO 3 1 11 11 3 3314½ (david b)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 6% 16.50 13.30 S
FOREST CHIMES 7 7 7 6 612 411 414¾ (barkley jason)LANERIE J 122 4.00 19% 4.30 4.20  
COTTON CANDY ANNIE 2 3 43 5 511 615 523 (hernandez ar)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00 61.20  
AMBER CASCADE 6 6 5 42 45 512½ 623 (devaux cherie)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00 18.80  
NORAH G 1 2 6 7 714½ 717 724¾ (west g)PARKER L 122 8.00 6% 16.40 20.50  
 
FG-13   01/21/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
:25 :494 1:15 1:391   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY AMERICAN 3 6 6 5 53 2nk 1¼ (pessin l)GRAHAM J 122 4.00 9% 10.00 4.00 W
MR. WIRELESS 7 7 44 4 4 3½ 2¼ (calhoun br)PARKER L 120 5.00 8.50  
FORZA DI ORO 5 3 11 1 1 1nk 3½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 6.60 S
RUN CLASSIC 1 2 3 3 32 54(calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 21% 3.90 2.90  
ZOZOS 6 4 21 2 2 42 55 (cox h)LANERIE J 118 3.00 39% 1.60 1.30  
CHESS CHIEF 4 1 55 6 7 669 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 62.80  
INTREPID HEART 2 5 7 7 6 77(sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
SCR  BUSINESS MODEL               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00    
SCR  GENTLE SOUL               (calhoun will)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
 
FG-14   01/21/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 7:30
:241 :471 1:12 1:382   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSTANT COFFEE 5 6 66 66 5 1nk 1(cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 40% 1.50 1.30 W
TWO PHIL'S 6 4 5 54 3½ 2nk 2(rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00 4.20 P
CONFIDENCE GAME 4 3 31 21 2½ 33(desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 8.00 6.10 S
DENINGTON 2 2 42 4 4 45 410¾ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 122 8.00 20.90  
BROMLEY 3 5 2½ 31 6 610¼ 520¼ (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 29% 2.50 8.90  
ECHO AGAIN 1 1 1½ 11 1½ 510 6100 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 2.20  
SCR  ITZOS               (lobo h)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00    
SCR  TAPIT'S CONQUEST               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.