Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fair Grounds
Saturday - January 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FG-1   Win (1/3/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-2   Win (4/3/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-3   Win (6/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-4   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-5   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FG-6   Win (5/4/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-7   Win (3/5/2/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FG-8   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FG-9   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FG-10   Win (8/1/2/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FG-11   Win (2/11/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-12   Win (5/4/7/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FG-13   Win (8/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-14   Win (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FG-1   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLIVIA G Dec29 Dec02       (west g)PARKER L 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
YOCKEY BETTERFLY Jan05         (balderas alfonso)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
FOR HARPER Oct15 Aug26 Aug10     (ducoing j)RIQUELME J 120 4.50 20% 4.10    
MUCHMORETHANREADY Dec29 Jun01       (stidham mic)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 8% 11.30    
SHES A LUCKY REBEL Dec31 Dec09 Nov18     (wilson shane)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00    
BAYOU BEAUTY Dec09         (faucheux ron)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
NEW DESTINY Dec31 Dec16 Nov22 Nov05 Oct08 (gelner j)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00    
TWO JET         (delhomme jerry)LANERIE J 120 8.00    
VISIONISTA Jan05 Dec23       (rodriguez ed)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-2   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESTINE TO RACE Oct02 Sep14 Aug19     (lovell michelle)PARKER L 120 12.00    
SWEET ALYSSA         (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SOUPER EXPLOSIVE Dec23 Nov26 Oct30 Sep18   (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 14% 6.20    
EVERGRANDE         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  FIESTA BESTA         (felks r)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
GOLDEN VIEW         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 4.50    
SCR  ARDEN'S ASSAULT         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  SWEET SHILD O MINE         (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
ICHIBAN         (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-3   01/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 2:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAMETIME GLADIATOR Dec26         (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00    
SCR  SPIELMAN Nov26 Oct30 Oct01 Aug21 Jul22 (desormeaux j)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.00 14% 6.40    
MIDNIGHT PRANKS Dec16 Nov26 Oct30     (calhoun br)PARKER L 120 12.00    
SCR  FIRST CLASS HARLOW Jan01 Dec02 Nov17 Oct23   (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 120 12.00 8% 11.30    
COAL BOSS Dec23 Nov26 Oct30 Sep24   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00    
CAGLIOSTRO Sep03         (devaux cherie)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
ODDSONTONY Dec26         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
MO HOPE Dec16         (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
SENSE YOU ASKED Dec26 Nov26       (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 9% 10.20    
 
FG-4   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 2:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN CHATA         (courville r)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
MERLAZZA         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 19% 4.20    
RAGGITY SAND         (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00    
L J'S EMMA         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 38% 1.70    
SONG BRIDGE         (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 120 10.00    
MY AUNT SNOOKIE Dec15 Nov26       (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
MARIAH'S APPEAL         (bauer a)PARKER L 120 6.00    
UNSUNG MELODY         (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
SUPER LUXE         (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
10  CURLIN SERENADE         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
 
FG-5   01/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCY MARTINI Nov25 Oct20 Sep05 Jul16 May14 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
CHARLIE'S PENNY Dec26 Nov06 Sep10 Aug01 Jun04 (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00 48% 1.10    
LAKE LUCERNE Dec26 Nov24 Oct26 Sep10 Aug13 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 8% 11.90    
CARPE VINUM Dec26 Jul23 Jun17 May14 Apr17 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00    
MY PHILLY TWIRL Dec26 Oct28 Sep29 May06 Apr02 (walsh brendan )GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
WAVE OF GOODNESS Dec26 Oct23 Sep24 Jun03 May20 (hernandez ar)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00    
SCR  MISS SPEEDY Dec10 Nov19 Oct29     (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 19% 4.30    
 
FG-6   01/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 3:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LURE'EM IN Sep06         (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
MADLY DANCING Dec09         (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00    
HUNTLEIGH Oct20 Sep16       (casse w)LANERIE J 120 6.00    
SPARTAN QUEEN Dec31         (lovell michelle)PARKER L 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
COMPARATIVE Dec31 Nov26 Oct20 Sep17   (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 31% 2.30    
SCR  SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY Dec31 Nov18       (stall albert)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
GHOSTLY GIRL Dec31 Nov12 Oct16 Sep23   (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
CUSHEE Dec09         (stidham michael)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00    
GRAPES FOR ELOISE Dec31 Nov16       (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 12% 7.40    
 
FG-7   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINFIRE Dec16 Nov26       (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
QUATERNION         (felks joseph )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 8% 12.10    
FIRST DEFENDER         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
GOLDEN NUGGET Dec16         (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
CITY NIGHTS (IRE)         (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
EARL OF DASSEL         (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00 6% 14.70    
HEY JACKSON Dec26         (gelner scott)ALBERT S 115 8.00    
KIGALI Jun09         (bauer a)LANERIE J 120 5.00    
GUADALAJARA         (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00 8% 12.10    
10  LITTLE STEVEN Dec16         (foley greg)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
 
FG-8   01/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEDOM FACTOR Jan06 Nov24 Oct06 Sep25 Sep04 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 30.00    
PRICE TALK Dec17 Sep25 Aug06 Jul11 Jun02 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 24% 3.10    
TWO EMMYS Jun25 Apr23 Mar26 Feb19 Jan22 (robertson h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
ENGLISH TAVERN Dec26 Nov13 Sep24 Sep10 Aug16 (lovell michelle)PARKER L 118 4.50    
READY TO PURRFORM Oct29 Sep05 Aug05 Jul04 May21 (cox h)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
SCR  SAILING SOLO Nov26         (roussel loui)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GREYES CREEK Dec01 Oct15 Aug21 Jun11 Apr20 (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 17% 4.90    
BIG AGENDA Dec26 Nov12 Oct23 Sep18 Jul30 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
GENTLE SOUL Dec26 Nov26 Jan13     (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00    
10  AMERICAN HERO Dec17 Sep30 Sep05 Aug22 Jul30 (flint s)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
SCR  BUSINESS MODEL Dec26 Nov04 Sep16 Aug13 Jul22 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
 
FG-9   01/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 5:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER HEIST Dec26         (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
SCR  BANISHING Dec26 Nov13       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 14% 5.90    
TAPIT'S CONQUEST Oct01 Sep03       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50    
TAPIT SHOES Dec03 Oct30       (cox h)LANERIE J 119 4.00    
DETERMINEDLY Dec26 Nov26 Nov05 Sep25 Aug31 (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
INVULNERABLE Dec17 Nov24       (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 119 4.50 36% 1.80    
 
FG-10   01/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGHT'N READY Dec08 Oct30       (stewart dallas)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 21% 3.80    
1A  SILVER BULL Dec16         (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50    
ONASA Dec16 Nov24       (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00 13% 6.90    
PRESIDER Oct19 Sep16 Aug28     (devaux cherie)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
BASELINE BEATER Dec08 Nov13 Oct21     (pessin l)LANERIE J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
BRIARTOWN Dec09         (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00    
KAUAI DAN         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
SINGLE RULER Dec26 Dec08 Sep22 Aug28   (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 120 8.00    
MOBSTER Dec26 Nov26 Oct07     (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
TWO RIVERS OVER Nov25 Oct16 Sep25     (calhoun br)PARKER L 120 10.00 8% 12.20    
 
FG-11   01/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PYRON Sep08 Jul18 Jun04 May06 Feb19 (stall m)CARROLL DECLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
MANNY WAH Dec26 Nov05 Oct07 Sep17 Aug02 (catalano m)LANERIE J 118 1.80 26% 2.90    
BOLDOR Dec10 Oct28 Sep07 Aug16 Jul11 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50    
SCR  EVAN SING Oct23 Sep14 Jul28 May28 Apr30 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
SCR  ANGASTON         (wiggins lon)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00 19% 4.30    
SIGN OF WAR Nov26 Oct14 Jul16 Jun09 May30 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 8.00    
YANKEE SEVEN Dec10 Nov26 Nov05 Aug06 Jul16 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 118 20.00    
SCR  KENNESAW Jan05 Oct30 Oct02 Aug12 Jul24 (rodriguez ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
SCR  MY PAL MATTIE Oct14 Sep21 Aug05 Jun17 Jun06 (thomas lee)MORA GERARDO 118 4.00    
10  SURVEILLANCE Dec26 Nov24 Nov13 Oct01 Sep15 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 3.00 9% 9.60    
11  BANGO Dec26 Nov13 Sep23 Jul24 Jul02 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 20% 4.00    
 
FG-12   01/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 6:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORAH G Dec31 Dec10 Nov18     (west g)PARKER L 122 8.00 6% 16.40    
COTTON CANDY ANNIE Dec26 Nov27 Nov02 Sep29 Sep03 (hernandez ar)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00    
HAYUNEVANO Dec26 Dec09 Nov19     (david b)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00 6% 16.50    
THE ALYS LOOK Dec26 Dec01 Oct30 Oct12   (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 19% 4.10    
CHOP CHOP Nov04 Oct07 Sep03 Aug14   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.60 28% 2.50    
AMBER CASCADE Dec31 Nov20 Oct22     (devaux cherie)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00    
FOREST CHIMES Dec31         (barkley jason)LANERIE J 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
 
FG-13   01/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUSINESS MODEL Dec26 Nov04 Sep16 Aug13 Jul22 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00    
RUN CLASSIC Dec17 Nov13 Oct16 Sep22   (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 21% 3.90    
INTREPID HEART Dec26 Nov12 Sep28 Aug13 Jun23 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GENTLE SOUL Dec26 Nov26 Jan13     (calhoun will)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
HAPPY AMERICAN Dec26 Nov13 Mar26 Feb19   (pessin l)GRAHAM J 122 4.00 9% 10.00    
CHESS CHIEF Dec26 Nov11 Oct01 Sep03 Aug04 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
FORZA DI ORO Dec26 Aug20       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50    
ZOZOS Dec17 May07 Mar26 Feb11 Jan23 (cox h)LANERIE J 118 3.00 39% 1.60    
MR. WIRELESS Dec26 Nov11 Oct15 Aug13 Jul09 (calhoun br)PARKER L 120 5.00    
 
FG-14   01/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 7:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECHO AGAIN Dec17 Sep17 Aug20     (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
DENINGTON Jan01 Nov26 Oct30 Oct01 Aug28 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
BROMLEY Dec28 Nov19       (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 29% 2.50    
CONFIDENCE GAME Nov26 Oct12 Sep17 Aug13 Jul02 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 8.00    
SCR  TAPIT'S CONQUEST Oct01 Sep03       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.50    
SCR  ITZOS Dec29 Nov26       (lobo h)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00    
INSTANT COFFEE Nov26 Oct08 Sep03     (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
TWO PHIL'S Oct30 Oct08 Sep17 Jul18 Jun23 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.