Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Saturday - December 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:222 :463 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUSTOM DESIGN 1 1 11 12   13 15 (pitzer flo)ALBERT S 117 10.00 47.60  
THE CALLING STONE 3 3 4 35   36 25 (woodley j)GRAHAM J 122 4.00 5.70 P
SERIOUSLY SAM 2 2 21 22   23 3 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.00 42% 1.40 2.00 S
HONEYSUCKLEDELIGHT 5 4 33 58   512½ 419¾ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 29% 2.40 0.70  
AVIE J 4 5 5 46   410½ 525 (ladner herman)MURRAY M 122 5.00 5.60  
SCR  REMEMBERIN RONALD               (robinsjr aaron)SINGH R 122 5.00    
 
FG-2   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:223 :47 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILRASCALMAN 4 3 3 2   2½ 1½ (meaux h)SINGH R 121 4.00 33% 2.00 2.20 W
BIG SCULLY 6 1 11 1   1½ 2½ (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 4.00 13% 7.00 4.00 P
TOTALLY ADDICTED 7 6 5 44   3 3 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.50 8.60 S
MY HEAVY SON 5 7 77 67   5 4 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00 33.30  
FOOLISH DREAMS 3 5 42 54   4 58 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 30% 2.30 2.40  
OAK HILL SOLUTION 1 4 6 79   710 611½ (govea cesar)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 15.60  
INTHEALY 2 2 21 3   67 714½ (zeringue j)MURRAY M 124 6.00 3.50  
 
FG-3   12/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:133 1:262   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNANIMOUSLY 3 6 5 5 3 31 1½ (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 3.70  
WAR COUNT 2 1 1 1 1nk 2½ 2½ (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.50 16% 5.40 3.20 P
LIKE MIKE 5 2 3 2 2nk 1½ 3 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 1.80 56% 0.80 0.90  
1A  RUN ROCKET 6 3 4 4 5 44 4 (charles k)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 1.80 0.90  
GREELEY WENT WEST 4 5 6 6 6 68 510¾ (schwandt emile)COHEN DAVID 121 3.50 4.20  
STANDING MAN 1 4 2 3 4 5 611¾ (richards cor)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
SCR  WISH UPON A STAR               (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 10.00    
 
FG-4   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:224 :464 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTNING STRUCK 5 3 3½ 2nk   11 1 (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 119 4.50 4.70  
CLASSIC KING 2 6 4 4   21 2 (claire alexi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 2.50 16% 5.20 1.60 P
BOYFRIEND MATERIAL 6 1 5 5   4 3 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 121 6.00 15% 5.80 11.40 S
BOOTDADDY JUSTICE 1 4 1nk 1nk   32 4 (leonard i)PARKER L 119 3.00 43% 1.30 3.30  
SPECIAL PRYCE 4 5 6 6   6 512¾ (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.50 3.20  
CANDY PRINCE 3 2 2nk 3.2   5 614¾ (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 8.20  
 
FG-5   12/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:143 1:392   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG COUNTRY 1 1 1½ 11 1 16 1 (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 20% 4.10 1.40 W
GOLDEN PEGASUS 6 3 3 52 3 26 2 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 5.00 17% 5.10 7.50 P
LEROY JENKINS 5 5 69 63 4 38 314 (alonzo howar)THERIOT J 121 3.00 24% 3.10 4.60 S
DUDE DROP KID 4 2 47 42 5 410½ 417 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 115 5.00 17.70  
STOCKPILER 2 7 710½ 7 6 514½ 519¼ (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 118 3.50 16% 5.30 2.50  
IRONMAN RICHIE 7 4 2½ 21 2 616 628 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 6.00 7.20  
MASQUERADE BALL 3 6 59 3 7 718½ 730½ (dorochenko g)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 20.40  
 
FG-6   12/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:141 1:392   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOMENT 1 1 11 11 1 1 1 (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.50 29% 2.40 0.30 W
TRIVISTA 4 2 4 6 55 4 2 (landry jacoby)PARKER L 120 12.00 19.90  
MAU MAU (BRZ) 6 5 65 5 44 5 3 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 4.50 3.60 S
SUPER WISE 2 3 21 21 2 2 4 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00 6.90  
SIERRA HOTEL 3 4 3 32 3 3 5 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 23% 3.40 12.40  
KIDYOUNOT 5 6 55 43 66 611¾ 614½ (barnett c)RIQUELME J 120 15.00 43.10  
SCR  DYN O MITE               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 2.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  WHACUDPOSBLYGOWRNG               (henry eric)BARANDELA SOFIA 112 20.00    
 
FG-7   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:222 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZPLENTY 5 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 1 (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 38% 1.60 2.70 W
REPEALING 1 3 1½ 1nk   2½ 2 (stall m)LANERIE J 118 1.60 38% 1.60 0.60 P
READY FOR CHANGE 3 4 42 45   34 3 (pessin neil )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 12.70 S
CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR 2 2 66 6   59 4 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00 40.20  
MISCHIEVOUS DIANE 4 6 3 33   46 510 (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 118 4.50 4.90  
ROOKERY 6 5 54 57   6 613½ (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.50 15.40  
 
FG-8   12/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:122 1:373   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZOZOS 2 2 4 6 35 2 1 (cox h)LANERIE J 117 1.20 0.60  
12  TREASURY 8 4 12 13 13 1 2 (forster t)PARKER L 120 5.00 11% 7.70 3.60 P
PORTOS 4 7 69 45 4 3 3 (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50 57% 0.70 4.50 S
AMERICAN HERO 1 5 816½ 815 713 610 4 (flint s)GRAHAM J 117 20.00 20.70  
MY ROMEO LIMA 5 1 3 3 56 5 5 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00 31.60  
SUPER DESIGN 3 3 22 23 23 48 612 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 10.50  
NEW YEAR SURPRISE 6 6 5 5 67 710 712 (dorochenko)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 50.00 54.20  
10  DIRECT ORDER 7 8 711½ 712 813 815 815½ (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00 45.70  
SCR  CLARESTOWN               (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00    
SCR  FIRST GLIMPSE               (silva carlo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 12.00    
SCR  MY BARILEY               (leonard george)CULP BRIANNE 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PIPES AND DRUMS               (arceneaux)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00 6% 16.70    
SCR  UNINVITED GUEST               (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 117 20.00    
 
FG-9   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 2 ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:23 :48 1:003     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIFEASWEKNOWIT 3 2 32 21   1½ 1¾ (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 5% 17.30 12.30 W
STARPORT 7 1 1 11   2½ 2¾ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 2.70 P
SPREADING RUMORS 5 8 5 4   4 31 (ducoing st)ALBERT S 115 6.00 22.40  
CHIPEEE 4 3 2 31   3½ 42 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 2.50 40% 1.50 2.20  
STAR READY 6 6 6 6   6 5 (silva miguel)PARKER L 120 12.00 3.40  
RICKY RIGHT 1 4 42 5   57 615¼ (camejo m)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 33% 2.00 3.30  
KING CHROME 8 7 8 7   711¼ 719¼ (dandridge courtn)MURRAY M 120 15.00 28.90  
CAME OUT KICKIN 2 5 7 8   811¼ 820¼ (romero lynn)CULP BRIANNE 115 12.00 37.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.