Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Saturday - December 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUSTOM DESIGN Oct12         (pitzer flo)ALBERT S 117 10.00 ★    
2  SERIOUSLY SAM Jan28 Jan08       (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
3  THE CALLING STONE Nov26 Oct12 Aug17 Jul14 Jun18 (woodley j)GRAHAM J 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  REMEMBERIN RONALD         (robinsjr aaron)SINGH R 122 5.00 ★    
5  AVIE J         (ladner herman)MURRAY M 122 5.00    
6  HONEYSUCKLEDELIGHT Nov26 Oct27 Mar12 Feb19 Jan22 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
FG-2   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OAK HILL SOLUTION Dec09 Nov23 Nov09 Oct22 Oct08 (govea cesar)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 ★    
2  INTHEALY Nov25 Jun16 May06 Mar24 Feb20 (zeringue j)MURRAY M 124 6.00    
3  FOOLISH DREAMS Nov26 Aug03 Jul14 Jun09 May15 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
4  LILRASCALMAN Nov26 Sep24 Sep11 Jul23 Jun26 (meaux h)SINGH R 121 4.00 33% 2.00    
5  MY HEAVY SON Nov26 Sep24 Sep12 Mar06 Feb17 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00    
6  BIG SCULLY Jul03 May31 May08 Mar01 Feb17 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 4.00 13% 7.00    
7  TOTALLY ADDICTED Aug20 Jul15 Jun08 Mar05 Jan29 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.50 ★    
 
FG-3   12/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIKE MIKE Oct27 Jul31 Jun14 May18 Apr22 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 1.80 56% 0.80    
1A  RUN ROCKET Sep20 Jul31 Jul10 Jun14 May10 (charles k)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 1.80 ★    
2  STANDING MAN Nov19 Aug19 Jul14 Jun01 Apr21 (richards cor)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WISH UPON A STAR Dec09 Nov26 Oct12 Aug26 Jul20 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 10.00 ★    
4  WAR COUNT Aug20 Jul10 Jun05 Mar04 Feb12 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.50 16% 5.40    
5  UNANIMOUSLY Oct27 Aug17 Jul13 Jun28 May16 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00    
6  GREELEY WENT WEST Nov18 Oct12 Aug30 Aug08 Jul13 (schwandt emile)COHEN DAVID 121 3.50 ★    
 
FG-4   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOTDADDY JUSTICE Dec03 Nov21 Sep29 Sep08 Sep01 (leonard i)PARKER L 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
2  CLASSIC KING Dec04 Nov02 Oct12 Sep13 Sep01 (claire alexi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 2.50 16% 5.20    
3  CANDY PRINCE Sep17 Aug28 Aug13 Jul14 Jun18 (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 ★    
4  SPECIAL PRYCE Oct29 Oct14 Jul22 Apr24 Mar26 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.50 ★    
5  LIGHTNING STRUCK Nov17 Nov02 Aug28 Jul10 Jun24 (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 119 4.50    
6  BOYFRIEND MATERIAL May25 Apr29 Apr07 Mar01 Jan27 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 121 6.00 15% 5.80    
 
FG-5   12/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG COUNTRY Sep28         (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 20% 4.10    
2  STOCKPILER Nov26 Aug27 Aug09 Jun10 May19 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 118 3.50 16% 5.30    
3  MASQUERADE BALL Dec08 Nov25 Aug23 Aug08 Aug02 (dorochenko g)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 ★    
4  DUDE DROP KID Sep24 Aug20 Jul26 Jul05 Jun11 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 115 5.00    
5  LEROY JENKINS Nov26 Oct15 Aug25 Aug11 Jul21 (alonzo howar)THERIOT J 121 3.00 24% 3.10    
6  GOLDEN PEGASUS Nov18 Oct27 Sep07 Jul24 May29 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 5.00 17% 5.10    
7  IRONMAN RICHIE Nov26 Nov12 Sep24 Jun25 Jun03 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 6.00    
 
FG-6   12/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOMENT Nov12 Oct28 Sep26 Sep13 Aug31 (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  WHACUDPOSBLYGOWRNG Jul06 Jun25 Jun08 Apr16 Mar13 (henry eric)BARANDELA SOFIA 112 20.00    
SCR  DYN O MITE Aug21 Jun22 Mar12 Jan30 Jan22 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 2.00 25% 3.10    
4  SUPER WISE Nov18 Sep27 Sep04 Aug20 Aug02 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00 ★    
5  SIERRA HOTEL Oct22 Oct08 Sep23 Sep17 Sep07 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
6  TRIVISTA Aug03 Jul09 Jun15 May26 Apr30 (landry jacoby)PARKER L 120 12.00    
7  KIDYOUNOT Nov03 Oct13 Aug31 Aug02 Jul07 (barnett c)RIQUELME J 120 15.00    
8  MAU MAU (BRZ) Nov18 Sep27 Sep04 Aug08 Jul19 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 4.50 ★    
 
FG-7   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REPEALING Nov20 Aug21 Jul23 Jun18   (stall m)LANERIE J 118 1.60 38% 1.60    
2  CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR Nov26 Nov04 Oct06 May30 May06 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00 ★    
3  READY FOR CHANGE Nov10 Sep25 Aug07 May14 Mar13 (pessin neil )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 ★    
4  MISCHIEVOUS DIANE Nov20 Sep02 Jul20 Jun10   (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 118 4.50 ★    
5  TIZPLENTY May14         (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 38% 1.60    
6  ROOKERY Nov20 Sep24 Aug07 Jul23 Jun23 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.50    
 
FG-8   12/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY ROMEO LIMA Nov27 Oct26 Aug28 Jul09 May28 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00    
SCR  UNINVITED GUEST Nov24 Oct19 Sep30 Aug05 Jul09 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 117 20.00    
2  AMERICAN HERO Sep30 Sep05 Aug22 Jul30 Jul15 (flint s)GRAHAM J 117 20.00    
3  ZOZOS May07 Mar26 Feb11 Jan23   (cox h)LANERIE J 117 1.20    
SCR  MY BARILEY Nov11 Oct13 Sep02 Aug05 May21 (leonard george)CULP BRIANNE 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FIRST GLIMPSE Nov12 Oct13 Sep07 Aug16 Aug03 (silva carlo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 12.00    
6  SUPER DESIGN Nov18 Oct27 Sep08 Jun02 Apr21 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00    
7  PORTOS Nov05 Sep05 Jul28 Jun11 May06 (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50 57% 0.70    
SCR  PIPES AND DRUMS Aug26 Jul23 Jul02 May25 Apr29 (arceneaux)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00 6% 16.70    
9  NEW YEAR SURPRISE Nov24 Oct25 Sep13 Sep01 Aug15 (dorochenko)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 50.00    
10  DIRECT ORDER Nov27 Oct07 Aug25 Aug05 Jun24 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00 ★    
SCR  CLARESTOWN Sep24 Sep07 Aug15 Jun11 May21 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00    
12  TREASURY Nov24 Oct20 Aug27 May07 Apr17 (forster t)PARKER L 120 5.00 11% 7.70    
 
FG-9   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 2 ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RICKY RIGHT         (camejo m)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 33% 2.00    
2  CAME OUT KICKIN Nov19         (romero lynn)CULP BRIANNE 115 12.00    
3  LIFEASWEKNOWIT Nov10 Oct08 Aug11 Jul20 Jun18 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 5% 17.30    
4  CHIPEEE Dec01         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
5  SPREADING RUMORS Dec01 Sep13 Aug19     (ducoing st)ALBERT S 115 6.00    
6  STAR READY Aug21         (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 120 12.00 ★    
7  STARPORT Dec01 Oct22       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 ★    
8  KING CHROME Sep24 Aug13 Jul23     (dandridge courtn)MURRAY M 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.