The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Fair Grounds
Thursday - December 29, 2022

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FG-1   12/29/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
:231 :482 1:012     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MRS. NECAISE 4 2 2nk 1½   2nk 11 (ladner herman)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.50 10.00  
ISN'T IT TIME 6 6 31 31   1nk 21 (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 47% 1.10 1.80 P
BEANIE 2 1 5 4   31 3(gelner scott)LANERIE J 122 8.00 4.60  
ANSLIE'S GUMDROP 7 7 6 6   44(ladner rannie)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 7.80  
SHEEZA PRIORITY 5 5 8 86   75(thompson kevin)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00 13% 6.90 5.50  
HOT PATOOTIE 1 4 4 52   66(ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 2.60  
GOOD GIRL SHORTY 3 3 1nk 2½   56 711½ (ladner chad)ALBERT S 119 8.00 37.20  
CALL ME DARLIN 8 8 7 7   812½ 818¾ (zenon shelton)MURRAY M 122 8.00 16% 5.40 38.00  
 
FG-2   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
:223 :47 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTOCRATIC 1 4 1½ 11   12 12 (morrell cynthia)MURRAY M 119 10.00 41.10  
HIGH TONE 3 5 3 21   22 22 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 2.50 10% 8.70 2.10 P
COURAGEOUS TIMMY 6 3 4 44   34 3(silva miguel)PARKER L 119 2.00 13% 6.70 0.80 S
SEMI CHARMED LIFE 5 6 54 56   44(besancon danny)ALBERT S 113 8.00 7% 13.80 49.10  
BLUSHINSTREETDEVIL 2 2 2½ 31   56 5(alonzo howard)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00 39% 1.60 3.60  
SIXTO 4 7 710½ 712   612 613½ (magnon jason)THERIOT J 121 12.00 20.00  
CRAFTY HEAT 7 1 6 610   714 717¾ (hatcher d)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 10.00 36.10  
 
FG-3   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
:22 :462 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOR REAL ALICE 6 4 6 4   1½ 1¼ (pitzer d)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 3.70  
COMMERCIAL FLASH 5 1 815¾ 612½   44 2¼ (hodges e)GRAHAM J 121 3.00 2.80 P
PEACEFUL VISION 7 7 26 26   2½ 3(thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 116 3.50 18% 4.50 3.80 S
KASEN'S SISTER 4 8 714¾ 713   74(leblanc jeanne)HEBERT J 121 10.00 27.30  
SILK SHAKER 2 2 36 3   55 512¾ (faucheux ron)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 18% 4.40 7.50  
BIGJIM'S SILVERGAL 3 6 4 59   6616 (patt jr)RIQUELME J 121 30.00 34.20  
YOUNMEHONEYBUNNY 8 5 5 813½   812½ 718 (brinkman brett)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00 11.80  
GLITTER TIME 1 3 16 16   3845¾ (duhon o)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50 36% 1.80 2.60  
 
FG-4   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
:244 :492 1:152 1:282   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY'S PARADE 1 2 12 1 11 11(delany sarah)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.50 13% 6.80 1.60 W
CAVIAR RESOLUTION 5 4 66 34 32 22(duhon o)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 4.90 P
TOTAL DISCRETION 2 3 22 2 21 33(shirer a)PARKER L 118 5.00 12% 7.30 1.60 S
MAGICAL STARDUST 4 5 5 6 54 513¾ 418 (foster m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 5.00 21% 3.70 5.00  
MEG AND CLAIR 3 1 34 44 43 413½ 518½ (gomez jorge)CULP BRIANNE 114 12.00 11.90  
TRACK QUEEN 6 6 4 5 69 625¾ 648¼ (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 10.00 22.40  
SCR  HONORARY GUEST               (roussel j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00    
SCR  MORE ROMANCE               (scherer gary)HERNANDEZ J 121 1.80 33% 2.00    
 
FG-5   12/29/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
:241 :484 1:143 1:402   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUL COAXING 3 1 3 3 1 16 1(robertson hugh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50 23% 3.40 1.40 W
1A  DIRECT ORDER 6 6 69 6 43 26 2(govea cesar)HEBERT J 122 4.00 13% 6.50 3.90 P
MISCHIEF'S MACHINE 1 3 11 11 2 39 315¼ (bourgeois keith)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.00 8% 11.80 2.20 S
PALATIAL TIMES 5 4 55 4 65 413 416 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.00 3.90  
VIM AND VIGOR 4 5 44 5 5 515 525¼ (wilson shane)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 28% 2.50 3.50  
SPECIAL PRYCE 2 2 21 21 32 617 632¾ (scherer t)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00 14.20  
SCR  AWE SHACKLE               (duhon o)THERIOT J 120 4.00    
 
FG-6   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 4:45
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MICHELLES LIL STAR 12 1 1 1½   13 13 (calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 33% 2.00 1.70 W
OLIVIA G 2 6 2 2½   23 23 (west g)PARKER L 120 4.00 35% 1.90 3.30 P
MUCHMORETHANREADY 4 11 11 7   57 3(stidham michael)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 7% 12.80 9.60 S
CALLING 10 10 8 5   4410¾ (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 5% 19.00 3.50  
TWIRLING CAT 3 8 4 44   36 511 (scherer gary)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00 22.40  
PRAY FOR US 6 3 7 8   6616½ (foster m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00 53.10  
10  MIA ANTONIA 11 5 10 1213¾   1014½ 719½ (hodges e)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 56.20  
1A  RE RE'S RAINBOW 7 12 12 1010¾   914½ 823¾ (david b)CULP BRIANNE 120 12.00 24.80  
BERNIECE 8 4 3 33   712 926 (wilson shane)RIQUELME J 120 10.00 22.90  
MIDNIGHT FLAME 9 7 5 6   814 1027 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 8.40  
ROSIE SPRIT 5 9 9 910¾   1117 1127¾ (david b)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00 24.80  
CANGUA 1 2 6 1112¾   1217½ 1232¼ (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 120 12.00 33.60  
 
FG-7   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
:22 :454 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRO OXIDANT 4 4 43 4   21(kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 3.00 36% 1.80 2.10 W
UNDERHILL'S TAB 6 1 33 3.2   12(stall m)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 28% 2.50 4.50 P
TWIRLING ROSES 3 2 21 2nk   43(rodriguez eduardo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 5.60 S
CONCEPT 2 3 11 1nk   32 4(asmussen m)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 4.80  
ONCOMING TRAIN 5 5 5 6   56 5(foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00 14.00  
SPARTAN ARMY 7 7 6 5   6615¾ (stewart dallas)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5.00  
CHARLIE'S CREED 1 6 7 7   713½ 723½ (faucheux ron)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 8% 11.30 5.60  
 
FG-8   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
:22 :47 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW YEAR'S PARTY 1 6 78 64   21 1(mouton patrick)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 6.00 5% 19.00 7.80 W
ENDURING PEACE 7 1 2 22   11 2(broberg karl)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50 23% 3.40 3.10 P
HALFGLAMOROUS 4 3 4 5   43(jeansonne justin)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 8.00 12% 7.20 3.90 S
CHARLIE'S PEAK 6 4 1 12   31 4(thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 114 10.00 8.20  
THEBOYZGALAXY 9 5 55 43   6510¾ (dandridge jr)MURRAY M 124 3.00 4.30  
KICK N KISS 5 9 912½ 86   7611 (patt jr)COHEN DAVID 121 8.00 16.90  
POINT OF VICTORY 8 2 3 33   5713 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 121 3.50 34% 2.00 4.00  
SASSY MALLORY 2 7 8 9   9815½ (marechal merlin)RIQUELME J 121 20.00 5% 19.00 29.20  
MOMENT TO DREAM 3 8 67 7   8918½ (ducoing j)ALBERT S 114 10.00 13.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.