Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - December 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   12/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT PATOOTIE Dec15 Nov25 Oct06 Aug11 Jul16 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50    
2  BEANIE Dec15 Mar05 Feb17 Jan14   (gelner scott)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
3  GOOD GIRL SHORTY Jul02 Jun10 May25     (ladner cha)ALBERT S 119 8.00    
4  MRS. NECAISE Dec08 Nov26 Jul06 Jun18 Mar04 (ladner herma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.50 ★    
5  SHEEZA PRIORITY Dec15 Sep25 Aug04 Jul20 Jun30 (thompson k)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00 13% 6.90    
6  ISN'T IT TIME Nov25 Oct13 Aug27 Jul24 Jun28 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
7  ANSLIE'S GUMDROP Mar25 Feb26 Jan28 Jan07   (ladner jo)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 ★    
8  CALL ME DARLIN Dec09 Nov17 Oct19 Aug04 Jul16 (zenon shelton)MURRAY M 122 8.00 16% 5.40    
 
FG-2   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTOCRATIC Dec09 Nov19 Oct21 Sep03 Aug07 (morrell cynthia)MURRAY M 119 10.00 ★    
2  BLUSHINSTREETDEVIL Dec01 Oct15 Aug25 Jul29 Jul02 (alonzo howard)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00 39% 1.60    
3  HIGH TONE Oct26 Oct13 Sep21 Sep13 Sep05 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 2.50 10% 8.70    
4  SIXTO Nov26         (magnon jason)THERIOT J 121 12.00    
5  SEMI CHARMED LIFE Nov25 Oct07 Jul29 Jun15 May25 (besancon d)ALBERT S 113 8.00 7% 13.80    
6  COURAGEOUS TIMMY Dec02 Oct20 Sep16 Aug21 Jul17 (silva miguel)PARKER L 119 2.00 13% 6.70    
7  CRAFTY HEAT Dec01 Sep03 Aug07 Jul23 Jul05 (hatcher )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 10.00    
 
FG-3   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLITTER TIME Aug14 Jul05 Jun06     (duhon josep)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50 36% 1.80    
2  SILK SHAKER Nov27 Aug11 Mar18 Feb26   (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 18% 4.40    
3  BIGJIM'S SILVERGAL Oct29 Oct13 Aug20 Jul15 Jun22 (patt jr)RIQUELME J 121 30.00    
4  KASEN'S SISTER Nov09 Oct21 Aug12 Jul22 Jun16 (leblanc jeanne)HEBERT J 121 10.00    
5  COMMERCIAL FLASH Dec04 Mar11 Jan27     (hodges e)GRAHAM J 121 3.00 ★    
6  FOR REAL ALICE Dec04 Nov09 Oct06 Aug11 Jul13 (pitzer fl)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 ★    
7  PEACEFUL VISION Sep13 Jul30 Jul13 Jun19 May26 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 116 3.50 18% 4.50    
8  YOUNMEHONEYBUNNY Oct08 Aug11 Jul13 Jun24 May25 (brinkman )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00    
 
FG-4   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY'S PARADE Dec03 Jul21 Jun09 May18 Mar27 (delany sar)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.50 13% 6.80    
2  TOTAL DISCRETION Dec15 Oct11 Sep15 Aug11 Jul15 (shirer a)PARKER L 118 5.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  HONORARY GUEST Aug14 Jul23 Jun11 May27 Mar17 (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00    
4  MEG AND CLAIR Dec04 Aug21 Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 (gomez jorge)CULP BRIANNE 114 12.00    
SCR  MORE ROMANCE Dec03 Oct22 Sep29 Sep16 Aug03 (scherer ga)HERNANDEZ J 121 1.80 33% 2.00    
6  MAGICAL STARDUST Sep26 Aug16 Apr29 Mar17 Feb23 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 5.00 21% 3.70    
7  CAVIAR RESOLUTION Dec15 Aug16 Jul19 Jun25 Jan28 (duhon joseph )MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 ★    
8  TRACK QUEEN Sep06 Aug25 Jun17 May25 May04 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 10.00    
 
FG-5   12/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALATIAL TIMES Nov17 Oct14 Oct01 Sep23 Aug05 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.00    
1A  DIRECT ORDER Dec17 Nov27 Oct07 Aug25 Aug05 (govea cesar)HEBERT J 122 4.00 13% 6.50    
2  MISCHIEF'S MACHINE Dec04 Nov04 Mar27 Jan29   (bourgeois k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.00 8% 11.80    
3  SPECIAL PRYCE Dec17 Oct29 Oct14 Jul22 Apr24 (scherer t)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00    
4  SOUL COAXING Sep17 Jun19 Jun02 Mar17 Feb04 (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  AWE SHACKLE Sep04 Jun06 May15 Jan29 Jan02 (duhon joseph)THERIOT J 120 4.00 ★    
6  VIM AND VIGOR Dec04 Nov03 Sep04 Jul31 Jul04 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 28% 2.50    
 
FG-6   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSIE SPRIT         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
1A  RE RE'S RAINBOW         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
2  CANGUA         (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 120 12.00    
3  OLIVIA G Dec02         (west g)PARKER L 120 4.00 35% 1.90    
4  TWIRLING CAT         (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
5  MUCHMORETHANREADY Jun01         (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 7% 12.80    
6  PRAY FOR US Dec09         (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00 ★    
7  BERNIECE         (wilson shane)RIQUELME J 120 10.00    
8  MIDNIGHT FLAME         (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
9  CALLING         (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  MIA ANTONIA Dec02         (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
11  MICHELLES LIL STAR Nov18         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
 
FG-7   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLIE'S CREED Nov25 Jan28       (faucheux ron)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 8% 11.30    
2  CONCEPT Apr01 Jan30       (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 118 4.00    
3  TWIRLING ROSES Dec04 Nov04 Oct14 Sep23 Sep14 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 ★    
4  PRO OXIDANT Nov04 Sep17 Aug13     (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
5  ONCOMING TRAIN Nov25 Nov02 Sep28 Jul03 Jun05 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00    
6  UNDERHILL'S TAB Apr13 Jan22       (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 28% 2.50    
7  SPARTAN ARMY Nov25 Nov04 Sep22     (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 ★    
 
FG-8   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW YEAR'S PARTY Dec04 Nov19 Sep20 Aug29 Aug14 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  SASSY MALLORY Dec04 May04 Apr21     (marechal merlin)RIQUELME J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  MOMENT TO DREAM Nov19 Oct06 Aug20 Jul29 Jul01 (ducoing st)ALBERT S 114 10.00    
4  HALFGLAMOROUS Nov19 Jul12 May21 Mar27 Mar13 (jeansonne j)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 8.00 12% 7.20    
5  KICK N KISS Dec04 Nov19 Jul30 Jun29 Jun06 (patt jr)COHEN DAVID 121 8.00    
6  CHARLIE'S PEAK Dec10 Nov07 Aug08 Jun04 Jan30 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 114 10.00    
7  ENDURING PEACE Dec10 Nov16 Oct27 Oct06 Apr08 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50 23% 3.40    
8  POINT OF VICTORY Dec04 Nov19 Oct27 Sep20 Jul07 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 121 3.50 34% 2.00    
9  THEBOYZGALAXY Dec04 Sep13 May30 Mar09 Jan02 (dandridge courtn)MURRAY M 124 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.