Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Friday - January 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
AQU-2   Win (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $22.00  
AQU-3   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 1.60
AQU-4   Win (2/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $13.40 $13.40 5.40
AQU-5   Win (4/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $7.60  
AQU-6   Win (5/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 3.20
AQU-7   Win (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.10 $7.10 1.10
AQU-8   Win (4/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $4.50 $4.50  

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   01/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:144     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BONANA FANNA FOE 2 2 44 43   16 1 (englehart )DAVIS A 122 1.60 15% 5.60 1.10 W
SARAH'S PRIDE 4 6 610½ 610½   58 2 (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 15.00 25.50  
WINE GODDESS 1 5 5 5   47 310¼ (klesaris p)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 48% 1.10 2.70 S
FRANNIE LEW 5 4 2nk 2nk   26 414½ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 1.80 10% 8.80 3.05  
TAKE CHARGE LISA 6 3 3½ 1nk   37 519½ (klesaris robert)OLVER MADISON 112 6.00 6.30  
RENT CONTROL 3 1 1nk 32   620 635¾ (chichakly amira)RICHARDS G 122 12.00 5% 19.00 28.00  
 
AQU-2   01/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:144     1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R GIRL FAITH 4 1 32 4 31 1 14 (thomp)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 6.00 10.00  
SWEET SENSATION 2 6 6 6 4 2 24 (sells rach)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 5.00 3.20 P
WICKED LADY 6 5 22 2 11 3 310 (barker edward)MARTINEZ R 120 2.00 41% 1.50 1.80 S
SWEET SUGAR BABY 1 4 5 54 55 4 411¾ (engleh)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00 27% 2.70 9.60  
CRYSTAL ORB 3 3 4 3 67 613 523¾ (pringle edmund)FUENTES ERICK 110 20.00 5% 19.00 29.75  
ICE COLD GOLD 5 2 12 1 21 58 625 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40 1.55  
 
AQU-3   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:47
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONFIRMED GENIUS 6 4 4 21   2½ 1 (lake a)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 20% 4.10 2.80 W
OLIVE KAT 5 6 1½ 11   1½ 2 (gorham e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 5.40 P
CHLOE ROSE 4 3 2½ 32   32 3 (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 2.00 2.70  
BACI 3 5 31 44   4 43 (penaloza miguel)RIVERA D 120 10.00 17% 5.00 10.90  
PRAIRIE FIRE 2 2 6 6   54 5 (clarke dylan)ADORNO ABNER 120 4.50 4.70  
GREATEST LOVE 1 1 5 5   64 68 (baker ch)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.00 23% 3.30 3.00  
 
AQU-4   01/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:123     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSSIAN TO WIN 6 4 66 4   1nk 1 (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 9% 10.00 5.70 W
BIG VENEZUELA 5 2 3 21   2nk 2 (tessor)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 26% 2.80 3.85 P
LABARDE 4 5 45 5   4 34 (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 11% 8.20 4.80 S
DOCTOR LOVE 2 6 5 6   31 4 (morley thom)VARGAS A 123 1.80 2.35  
ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE 1 3 21 35   6 517¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 31% 2.30 2.05  
1A  FENWAY 3 1 11 11   57 621½ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 12.00 23.10  
SCR  CLASH A. J.               (jones e)GOMEZ O 123 12.00    
 
AQU-5   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:003     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY MISS KEENS 8 1 1½ 2nk   1nk 12 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 2.80  
FOREVER AMY 3 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 22 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 12.00 16.50  
STRANGE FRUIT 2 7 6 5   45 32 (reynolds patrick )DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 20% 4.00 22.40 S
K D KAKES 5 5 7 3   3 4 (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 23% 3.30 1.75  
JOEYBIGNOSE 1 4 3 46   5 5 (lynch)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.50 7% 12.70 11.40  
MAGNOLIA WIND 4 8 55 710   6 610 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 26% 2.90 2.50  
BRITNEY IS FREE 7 6 8 811   812 712 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00 37.25  
BETTING ON A STONE 6 2 4 6   711½ 812¼ (rice linda)GOMEZ O 120 6.00 11.50  
 
AQU-6   01/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:223 :471 1:14     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMPLE SUGAR 1 4 4 52   4 1hd (giglio gina)SAMUEL L 120 4.50 8% 10.80 4.60 W
NEW YORK SUPREME 6 2 54 31   2nk 2hd (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 30% 2.40 2.50 P
FOCUS 5 1 2½ 1nk   1nk 3¾ (martin f)OLVER MADISON 113 6.00 8.50 S
HOLIDAY JAZZ 2 3 1½ 2nk   3 4 (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00 7% 12.60 3.05  
FREUDIAN 4 6 6 64   6 5 (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 31% 2.30 2.45  
RICELLE 3 5 3 4   5 66 (legal)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00 9.90  
SCR  CAPTIVATING CARA               (friedman m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.50    
 
AQU-7   01/20/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:12 1:383   1:531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO BURN 1 4 1nk 11 11 13 14 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 39% 1.60 2.55 W
LITTLE DEMON 4 1 2nk 21 4 23 24 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 11% 8.30 3.25 P
LOCALLY OWNED 3 2 4 42 21 3 3 (morley thom)VARGAS A 118 3.00 2.25 S
BE BETTER 6 6 6 611½ 611¼ 510 4 (pletcher)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.50 20% 4.10 5.60  
TWO THIRTY FIVE 2 3 32 3 31 45 5 (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.00 6.20  
SENIOR INVESTMENT 5 5 54 5 5 618 627½ (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 118 6.00 11.30  
 
AQU-8   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3 ALL PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:223 :47 :594     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EE YAH 5 1 1 1   12 1 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 29% 2.50 1.25 W
SUPER COACH FRED 1 5 2 2   22 2 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 2.65 P
SWAY'SINMYDNA 4 2 44 45   3 3 (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 17.60  
STAR ATTITUDE 2 4 3 35   47 4 (martin)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.50 2.20  
THAT'S MY BUSINESS 3 3 5 58   58 58 (progn)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 12.00 15% 5.70 7.60  
SCR  BRASS MONKEY               (quick p)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00    
SCR  CHESS SPECTACULAR               (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 1.60 30% 2.30    
SCR  UNCLE DAN               (martin f)OLVER MADISON 110 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.