Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Friday - January 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-2   Win (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-3   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-4   Win (2/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-5   Win (4/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-6   Win (5/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-7   Win (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-8   Win (8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   01/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINE GODDESS Dec29 Dec02 Aug31 Jun25 May08 (klesaris p)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
BONANA FANNA FOE Jan05 Dec08 Nov21 Oct24 Jan08 (englehart )DAVIS A 122 1.60 15% 5.60    
RENT CONTROL Dec27 Nov12 Oct09 Sep03 Jul04 (chichakly amira)RICHARDS G 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SARAH'S PRIDE Sep12         (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 15.00    
FRANNIE LEW Jan05 Dec16       (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 1.80 10% 8.80    
TAKE CHARGE LISA         (klesaris robert)OLVER MADISON 112 6.00    
 
AQU-2   01/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET SUGAR BABY Dec12 Oct24 Aug23 Jul25 Jul11 (engleh)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00 27% 2.70    
SWEET SENSATION Dec09 Nov25 Nov05 Oct16 Sep11 (sells rach)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 5.00    
CRYSTAL ORB Dec29 Dec01 Oct27 Sep28 Sep11 (pringle edmund)FUENTES ERICK 110 20.00 5% 19.00    
R GIRL FAITH Dec18 Nov27 Oct28 Oct13 Sep17 (thomp)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
ICE COLD GOLD Nov17 Nov10 Oct30 Oct20 Jul04 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40    
WICKED LADY Dec29 Nov27 Oct28 Sep16 Aug05 (barker edward)MARTINEZ R 120 2.00 41% 1.50    
 
AQU-3   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREATEST LOVE Dec08 Jul21 Jun19 Jun04 May19 (baker ch)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
PRAIRIE FIRE Jan05 Dec08 Nov17 Sep29 Aug14 (clarke dylan)ADORNO ABNER 120 4.50    
BACI Dec16 Dec07 Nov15 Oct26 Sep20 (penaloza miguel)RIVERA D 120 10.00 17% 5.00    
CHLOE ROSE Dec16 Nov17 Sep22 Aug21 Jul16 (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 2.00    
OLIVE KAT Nov03 Sep24 Sep17 Aug11 Jul17 (gorham e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
CONFIRMED GENIUS Jan02 Dec07 Nov15 Nov03 Oct21 (lake a)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 20% 4.10    
 
AQU-4   01/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FENWAY Dec31 Nov19 Oct20 Oct01 Jul08 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 12.00    
SCR  CLASH A. J. Jan14 Jan01 Dec03 Nov27 Oct29 (jones e)GOMEZ O 123 12.00    
ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE Dec29 Dec04 Oct20 Sep18 Aug27 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 31% 2.30    
DOCTOR LOVE Jan07 Dec10 Oct23 Oct07 Sep24 (morley thom)VARGAS A 123 1.80    
LABARDE Dec29 Nov06 Sep17 Jan13   (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 11% 8.20    
BIG VENEZUELA Dec18 Nov19 May28 Apr23 Apr07 (tessor)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 26% 2.80    
RUSSIAN TO WIN Jan07 Dec01 Oct16 Sep24 Aug27 (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 9% 10.00    
 
AQU-5   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 2:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOEYBIGNOSE Dec16         (lynch)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.50 7% 12.70    
STRANGE FRUIT         (reynolds patrick )DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 20% 4.00    
FOREVER AMY Dec16 Oct30       (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 12.00    
MAGNOLIA WIND         (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
K D KAKES Dec30 Nov19       (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
BETTING ON A STONE Jan06         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
BRITNEY IS FREE Nov26 Nov04       (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00    
PRETTY MISS KEENS Dec16 Dec03 Oct01 Sep02   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00    
 
AQU-6   01/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMPLE SUGAR Dec29 Dec01 Nov10 Sep16 Jul04 (giglio gina)SAMUEL L 120 4.50 8% 10.80    
SCR  CAPTIVATING CARA Jan06 Oct01 Aug26 Jun25 May28 (friedman m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.50    
HOLIDAY JAZZ Jan13 Nov27 Oct28 Oct06 Aug20 (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00 7% 12.60    
RICELLE Jan01 Dec15 Nov25 Oct21 Aug21 (legal)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
FREUDIAN Dec18 Oct13 Aug20 Jul15 May22 (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 31% 2.30    
FOCUS Dec30 Nov04 Oct14 Sep18 Aug13 (martin f)OLVER MADISON 113 6.00    
NEW YORK SUPREME Dec29 Dec08 Nov12 Jan08   (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 30% 2.40    
 
AQU-7   01/20/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO BURN Dec11 Nov12 Oct02 Sep03 Jul21 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 39% 1.60    
TWO THIRTY FIVE Dec15 Nov12 Oct14 Sep30 Aug19 (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.00    
LOCALLY OWNED Dec11 Nov12 Sep30 Aug25 Jul17 (morley thom)VARGAS A 118 3.00    
LITTLE DEMON Jan14 Dec28 Dec06 Nov05 Oct10 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 11% 8.30    
SENIOR INVESTMENT Jan06 Dec09 Nov12 Oct18 Sep28 (lake a)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
BE BETTER Nov27 Oct22 Jul29 Jul04 Jun05 (pletcher)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.50 20% 4.10    
 
AQU-8   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3 ALL PT- 4:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER COACH FRED         (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
STAR ATTITUDE Aug25 Aug14 Jul03     (martin)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.50    
SCR  UNCLE DAN Oct28 Sep24 Aug18     (martin f)OLVER MADISON 110 10.00    
SCR  CHESS SPECTACULAR Nov19 Oct22 Sep18     (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 1.60 30% 2.30    
THAT'S MY BUSINESS Dec09         (progn)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 12.00 15% 5.70    
SWAY'SINMYDNA Jan14         (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00    
SCR  BRASS MONKEY         (quick p)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00    
EE YAH Jan06 Dec10 Sep18 Aug25 Jun04 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.