The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Penn National
Tuesday - December 27, 2022

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PEN-1   12/27/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
:252 :50 1:161 1:30   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEMADEMELUCKY 2 6 5 4 1nk 1½ 13 (sillaman p)CONNER TYLER 123 3.50 30% 2.30 2.00 W
JUSTIN TIME 4 5 22 2 2nk 2½ 23 (moreno tito)LLOYD W 124 4.00 24% 3.10 8.00 P
FLOWER'S FORTUNE 5 1 12 1 31 33 3(kravets m)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 15% 5.90 1.50 S
PRIDE IN THE BIZ 6 3 6 6 6 66 4(wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 15.00 33.10  
RAISETONEW HEIGHTS 1 4 4 5 5 56 54 (fields kevin)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 2.40  
MIA ANGELINA 3 2 32 3 43 45 6(johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 12.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
SCR  SMOKIN CLASS               (bobadilla f)INIRIO J 124 5.00    
 
PEN-2   12/27/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 F PT- 6:27
:224 :471 1:00     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCTOR ABBIE 4 6 1 1½   12 1(kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 15.00 5% 19.00 13.10 W
CIRCUITT 3 4 2 2½   22 2(houghton thomas)INIRIO J 122 3.50 1.70  
SAMETIMENEXTYEAR 2 3 4 3   36 39 (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 17% 4.70 7.90 S
NANASQUAN 5 7 78 5   412 412¼ (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 19% 4.20 3.40  
Z KITTY 6 1 64 710½   716½ 514¼ (mick r)LLOYD W 122 15.00 17% 4.70 34.20  
10  LET'SGOSHAGDANCIN 7 5 53 6   515 615 (crook-demasi kathlee)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 2.50  
APRILS LUCK 1 2 3 47   615 720 (lucas bonnie)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 7.30  
SCR  FOREVER FIFI               (zalalas michael)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 15.00    
SCR  NOT LIKE MY ROAD               (agnew naoise)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00    
SCR  OUR STACY LAUREN               (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 17% 4.70    
 
PEN-3   12/27/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
:222 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERHANU 4 2 1½ 12   14 1(mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 17% 4.80 3.30 W
KUDURO 7 6 4 3   32(kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 4.50 2.10 P
SHADOW BOAT 6 5 6 610   611 310¾ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 20.00 58.80  
WOLFINBARGER 2 1 2½ 22   24 411¾ (rathman elisha)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 36% 1.80 1.60  
TORAZO 3 7 78 710½   711½ 512¼ (ecker danielle)LLOYD W 124 20.00 7% 14.20 16.40  
PECOS BILL 1 4 5 57   410 612½ (bartoni p)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 12.00 8.10  
BAND ON TOUR 5 3 32 4   510½ 724½ (lucas bonnie)RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 15% 5.70 9.20  
SCR  KADENS COURAGE               (arce josue)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 6.00    
SCR  ONE MORE FACTOR               (maldonado jonathan)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 12.00    
SCR  WHO YOU SAY I AM               (smith r)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 20.00    
 
PEN-4   12/27/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
:23 :472 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHASHKA 5 2 3.2 1½   12 1(albright r)INIRIO J 121 6.00 17.00  
SAKARI 4 1 1nk 2½   22 2(carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 121 3.00 8% 12.10 3.10 P
LOIS'S CAUSE 1 3 4 44   33(wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00 20% 4.10 13.80 S
SALLY'S MUSTANG 2 5 2nk 3½   4410¾ (rogers michael)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 13% 6.90 3.90  
MAMBA QUEEN 3 4 5 59   519½ 552 (mcmahon demelza)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 2.50 37% 1.70 0.50  
SCR  SUPERSNAKE               (hillegass alexandra)RAMGEET R 121 8.00    
SCR  ULTIMATE BREEZE               (hillegass alexandra)HERNANDEZ A 121 12.00    
 
PEN-5   12/27/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
:244 :482 1:132 1:262   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACE NINE NINE 4 4 3 31 1½ 12 1(mcmahon demelza)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 4.50 39% 1.50 3.10 W
TRENDING UP 6 3 2 21 2½ 22 2(kreiser c)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 17% 4.80 2.40 P
HASHTAG WINNING 5 6 6 4 4 36 3(kravets m)INIRIO J 120 8.00 17.00 S
FIRE DOWN BELOW 3 1 4 58 5 54(albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 11.30  
LORD WINSALOT 2 2 1 11 32 46 5(kreiser c)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 14% 6.40 1.00  
STRAIGHT UP GUY 1 5 5 6 610½ 612½ 623 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00 17.10  
SCR  COLONEL MOORHEAD               (rathman elisha)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
SCR  HOBE SOUND               (brown w)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
 
PEN-6   12/27/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
:223 :47 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COSMOLOGICAL 7 4 1nk 1   11(albright r)TUNON JORDANO 123 4.00 4.40  
SEEKINGARRANGEMENT 2 6 65 44   33 2(allard t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 33% 2.00 3.20 P
SUNSHINE LINDA 6 2 3½ 2   23(kravets m)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.00 43% 1.30 1.60 S
DUST BUNNY 1 7 7 710½   68 49 (stites w)HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00 32.80  
SGT RECKLESS USMC 8 5 53 5   47 514¾ (schoenthal phil)CHIAPPE R 123 6.00 8.20  
LIL BOSS 4 3 4 6   7617 (stites w)INIRIO J 123 10.00 9.20  
HIGH CLASS DIVA 5 1 2nk 3   57 721¼ (o'callahan carl)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 10.00 7.30  
SKIPOVER 3 8 813½ 814½   812½ 824½ (cooper stacey)CONNER TYLER 123 10.00 17.00  
 
PEN-7   12/27/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
:22 :46 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEET ME AT MUNDIS 4 4 6 42   2½ 1(simoff andrew)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 17.40  
ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT 6 1 1½ 11   1½ 2(stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 8.80  
LITERALLY 3 5 4 54   53(mcclellan c)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 5.90 S
SUNSHINE MAX 2 3 2½ 31   3410¼ (kreiser c)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 1.80  
TRADERS LUCK 5 2 3½ 21   4511 (houghton thomas)INIRIO J 122 12.00 34.60  
JUMPMASTER 1 6 5 66   6614 (lucas bonnie)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 0.90  
SCR  DR. STEVE               (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 6.00 62% 0.60    
SCR  MIDNIGHTCHARLY               (penaloza miguel)RIVERA D 120 15.00    
SCR  VENOMOUS STATE               (graci a)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 5.00 9% 10.00    
 
PEN-8   12/27/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
:224 :472 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMAZINGMAE 3 4 42 2½   13 12 (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00 1.30  
MRS BELL 1 5 5 56   422 (lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 2.50 18% 4.40 2.10 P
ELEGANT TASTE 2 3 31 41   33(sells rachel)HERNANDEZ A 123 10.00 5.60  
RENT CONTROL 4 1 2nk 1½   23 4(chichakly amira)VARGAS L 123 8.00 5.40  
JO AMY 5 2 1nk 31   5513½ (stites w)INIRIO J 124 8.00 4.90  
SCR  BABY BLUE               (rodriguez franklin)VARGAS L 123 8.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  HOLLI THE DOLLY               (grusmark karl)DAVIS A 123 8.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  HOPEFULLY ICU               (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 12.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  JOURNEY OF FIVE               (sells rachel)TUNON JORDANO 123 15.00 11% 7.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.