Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Tuesday - December 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SMOKIN CLASS Oct25 Oct14 Sep14 Sep02 Aug11 (bobadilla j)INIRIO J 124 5.00    
2  RAISETONEW HEIGHTS Dec13 Oct28 Sep15 Aug24 Aug05 (fields kevi)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 ★    
3  SHEMADEMELUCKY Nov05 Oct07 Jan23     (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 3.50 30% 2.30    
4  MIA ANGELINA Dec07 Oct14 May19 Apr21 Apr06 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  JUSTIN TIME Dec07 Aug24 Aug03 May06 Mar29 (moreno tito)LLOYD W 124 4.00 24% 3.10    
6  FLOWER'S FORTUNE Dec07 Nov18 Mar22 Mar04 Feb16 (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 15% 5.90    
7  PRIDE IN THE BIZ Dec07 Oct25 Sep14 Aug26 Jul20 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 15.00    
 
PEN-2   12/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OUR STACY LAUREN         (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 17% 4.70    
2  APRILS LUCK Dec02 Nov15 Oct22 Oct12 Aug31 (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
3  SAMETIMENEXTYEAR Oct22 Oct06 Sep16     (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 17% 4.70    
4  CIRCUITT Nov12 Oct28 Sep01 Jul23   (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 3.50    
SCR  FOREVER FIFI Dec02         (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 15.00    
6  DOCTOR ABBIE         (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  NANASQUAN Dec07 Oct21 Sep11 Jul31   (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  NOT LIKE MY ROAD Oct21 Aug30       (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00    
9  Z KITTY         (mick r)LLOYD W 122 15.00 17% 4.70    
10  LET'SGOSHAGDANCIN Nov16 Oct21       (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00    
 
PEN-3   12/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PECOS BILL Aug31 Jul20 Jun22 May25 Apr27 (bartoni wayn)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 12.00    
2  WOLFINBARGER Dec09 Nov16 Oct14 Sep23 Aug19 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  KADENS COURAGE Oct28 Oct03 Sep05 Aug11 Jun06 (arce josue)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 6.00    
4  TORAZO Dec09 Oct28 Oct05 Sep15 Sep01 (ecker danielle)LLOYD W 124 20.00 7% 14.20    
5  BERHANU Dec09 Nov04 Oct11 Sep15 Sep01 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  WHO YOU SAY I AM Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 Aug04 Jul21 (smith thoma)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 20.00    
7  BAND ON TOUR Dec09 Nov15 Nov02 Sep29 Sep02 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 15% 5.70    
8  SHADOW BOAT Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 Sep01 Aug10 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 20.00    
9  KUDURO Dec09 Nov15 Oct19 Sep23 Aug31 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 4.50 ★    
SCR  ONE MORE FACTOR Oct28 Oct05 Sep14 Aug06 Jul07 (maldonado j)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 12.00    
 
PEN-4   12/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOIS'S CAUSE Nov23 Oct26 Jun11 Apr21 Feb22 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00 20% 4.10    
2  SALLY'S MUSTANG Nov08 Oct08 Sep20 Sep10 Jul11 (rogers michael)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 13% 6.90    
3  MAMBA QUEEN Nov23 Nov09 Oct16 Sep11 Aug15 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 2.50 37% 1.70    
4  SAKARI Dec16 Nov30 Nov09 Oct29 Oct15 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 121 3.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  ULTIMATE BREEZE Dec10 Nov09 Oct28 Sep23 Sep14 (hillegass)HERNANDEZ A 121 12.00    
SCR  SUPERSNAKE Dec14 Nov23 Nov11 Nov02 Oct13 (hillegass a)RAMGEET R 121 8.00 ★    
7  SHASHKA Dec16 Apr20 Mar11 Feb18   (albright ge)INIRIO J 121 6.00    
 
PEN-5   12/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRAIGHT UP GUY Nov23 Nov10 Oct28 Sep17 Sep07 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00    
2  LORD WINSALOT Nov23 Nov01 Oct12 Sep07 Aug03 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 14% 6.40    
SCR  HOBE SOUND (IRE) Dec08 Oct19 Sep10 Aug20 Aug04 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
4  FIRE DOWN BELOW Dec13 Nov23 Oct25 Aug27 Jul16 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 ★    
5  ACE NINE NINE Dec06 Nov14 Aug17 Jul15 Jun17 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 4.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  COLONEL MOORHEAD Nov23 Nov02 Oct14 Sep16 Aug26 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
7  HASHTAG WINNING Dec06 Nov18 Oct25 Oct04 Sep08 (kravets bru)INIRIO J 120 8.00 ★    
8  TRENDING UP Nov01 Oct12 Sep07 Aug19 Jul21 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
 
PEN-6   12/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUST BUNNY Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 Oct21 Sep14 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00    
2  SEEKINGARRANGEMENT Nov22 Nov02 Oct07 Aug26   (allard ed)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
3  SKIPOVER Nov05 Oct22 Sep22 Sep09 Jul21 (cooper stacey)CONNER TYLER 123 10.00 ★    
4  LIL BOSS         (stites flin)INIRIO J 123 10.00    
5  HIGH CLASS DIVA Nov22 Oct21       (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 123 10.00    
6  SUNSHINE LINDA Nov23 Nov01       (kravets bruc)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.00 43% 1.30    
7  COSMOLOGICAL Dec14 Nov23 Feb01     (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 123 4.00 ★    
8  SGT RECKLESS USMC         (schoenthal phi)CEDENO CAROL 123 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   12/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMPMASTER Nov30 Nov18 Oct18 Oct04 Sep09 (lucas bonnie)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 ★    
SCR  DR. STEVE Oct25 Sep29 Aug15     (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 6.00 62% 0.60    
3  SUNSHINE MAX Nov30 Nov04 Oct05 Sep09 Aug24 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 ★    
SCR  VENOMOUS STATE Nov25 Nov04 Sep23 Sep14 Aug19 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 5.00 9% 10.00    
5  LITERALLY Dec13         (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 ★    
6  MEET ME AT MUNDIS May19 Apr27 Mar02 Jan19   (simoff an)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHTCHARLY Oct11 Sep10 Aug22 Jul19 Jul12 (penaloza migu)RIVERA D 120 15.00    
8  TRADERS LUCK Nov30 Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep09 (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 12.00    
9  ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT Nov30 Oct26 Oct05 Jul27 Jun30 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
 
PEN-8   12/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JOURNEY OF FIVE         (sells rachel)TUNON JORDANO 123 15.00 11% 7.90    
2  MRS BELL Dec14 May12 Apr26 Mar25   (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 2.50 18% 4.40    
3  ELEGANT TASTE Nov21         (sells rac)HERNANDEZ A 123 10.00    
4  AMAZINGMAE Nov23 Oct11       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00    
5  RENT CONTROL Nov12 Oct09 Sep03 Jul04 Jun17 (chichakly )MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 8.00    
SCR  BABY BLUE Oct01 Sep11       (rodriguez)VARGAS L 123 8.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  HOPEFULLY ICU         (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 12.00 11% 7.90    
8  JO AMY Nov23         (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 8.00    
SCR  HOLLI THE DOLLY         (grusmark)DAVIS A 123 8.00 11% 8.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.