Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Wednesday - December 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   12/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:224 :472       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAM'S GAL 4 3 2nk     1nk 1 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 4.00 9% 10.10 2.70 W
TOUGH ONE 5 4 4     4 2 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 11% 8.40 4.20 P
HOLY PINK 1 6 1nk     2nk 3 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 21% 3.90 6.20 S
AMERICAS WOMAN 2 7 7     5 45 (barr h)THORPE DARIUS 122 1.80 33% 2.00 1.90  
BALLYMENA (GB) 3 5 32     33 5 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 113 15.00 11.90  
SUPERSNAKE 7 2 6     6 611¾ (sandoval michae)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00 6.90  
NINE MAST 6 1 5     7 715½ (joy j)RIOS-CONDE A 122 8.00 12.70  
SCR  JESS FOR KICKS               (joy j)BAEZ M 113 12.00    
 
CT-2   12/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:131     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUBURN MILL 3 1 1½ 11   12 1 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.40 33% 2.00 0.30 W
SARGENT KOBE 7 7 31 21   22 2 (lane j)LEWIS M 115 15.00 13.80  
AARON'S TAP 4 4 63 3   3 3 (keller chri)RAMGEET R 120 8.00 20% 3.90 7.70 S
GOLDEN APPEAL 2 3 42 53   5 4 (craig e)PELTROCHE F 124 4.50 9.70  
CAYENNE CREEK 1 2 2½ 42   4 5 (davis russe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00 10% 8.90 9.30  
TAPPIN FOR GLORY 5 6 7 77   610½ 614 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00 15.50  
JEFFERY SCOTT 6 5 53 6   712 721¾ (perry lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 47.60  
SCR  MARTIN MAN               (sanderson s)BAEZ M 113 5.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  NOT A TRICK               (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
 
CT-3   12/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:153     1:30   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUT ENSEMBLE 7 5 2nk 1nk   1½ 14 (viands grego)MORALES KELVIN 123 4.50 62% 0.60 2.70 W
JACCACI 6 2 1nk 2nk   2½ 24 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 0.60 0.50 P
I LOVE MARIA 3 6 6 6   56 3 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 10.10 S
GILDED QUEST 5 7 5 4   3 46 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00 13.10  
LINDA'S TAJ 2 1 32 3   44 510½ (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 6.00 8.20  
RIGHT TO ASSEMBLE 1 3 4 5   67 614 (dillon l)BAEZ M 116 15.00 37.20  
VARSITY KICKLINE (IRE) 4 4 710¾ 713¼   712 715¼ (parra hernan)ARAUJO DENIS 124 20.00 54.90  
SCR  MYRA FLEENER               (maymo jorge )LEWIS M 117 15.00    
 
CT-4   12/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:144     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M THE MONEY MAN 4 1 5 3   3 1hd (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 1.80 44% 1.30 1.10 W
ZIGGY STARDUST 7 6 1nk 1½   12 2hd (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 4.00 28% 2.50 2.20 P
DENIZETTI 8 7 3½ 2½   22 3¾ (casey jam)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 13.80 S
TOBI WAN KENOBI 5 4 8 9   7 45 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00 55.20  
DE'S CASTLE 2 3 2nk 4   4 5 (casey jame)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00 12.80  
KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE 6 8 10 87   5 6 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00 76.90  
GRUMPY'S BUDDY 9 9 6 5   68 7 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 10.70  
WINDSOR'S STAR 1 2 41 64   8 812 (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 122 5.00 7% 13.90 9.30  
DON'T GET CAUGHTUP 3 5 9 1011¼   910½ 920 (boykins kevin)ADAMS L 115 30.00 79.60  
10  LITTLE ROO ROO 10 10 73 7   1011 1021¼ (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00 16.00  
SCR  TIME TO CHOOSE               (casey a)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
 
CT-5   12/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:133     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTIPOISON 4 4 31 3   2½ 1¼ (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 122 8.00 8.60  
TRUSTYOURINSTINCT 7 7 5 43   4 2¼ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 23% 3.30 1.50 P
PROTA 1 2 2nk 1nk   1½ 3 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 5.00 19% 4.20 6.10 S
YABBA DABBA DUDE 5 5 77 67   7 4 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 6% 16.20 19.10  
NICK THE CARDSHARK 8 8 66 7   8 5 (simone mic)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00 25% 2.90 7.70  
CONFUSION BABY BOY 3 3 42 54   5 6 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00 21.40  
TRINGALE 2 1 1nk 2nk   31 7 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 2.70  
NORTHERN RIDGE 6 6 88 811½   6 8 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 6.00 9.80  
 
CT-6   12/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:221 :464       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALSA RITA 3 3 3     2 1¾ (grullon rique)SIMPSON JASON 122 6.00 8% 11.40 12.70 W
CAPTAIN SAM 4 2 1nk     1 2¾ (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 120 10.00 9% 10.40 4.30 P
WINDSOR'S CHAMPION 1 4 44     4 3 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 25% 3.00 1.30 S
MS HEADLEY 5 1 2nk     33 4 (pickett crys)LEWIS M 115 5.00 2.50  
MISSING LINK 2 5 5     55 5 (hillegass)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 8% 11.50 3.00  
SCR  DING DING               (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 1.80 25% 2.90    
SCR  HAD THE NOTION               (harting r)HESS SARA 112 8.00    
SCR  MY EXPENSIVE GIFT               (sandoval michae)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
SCR  TIME'S ON MY SIDE               (hillega)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 20.00    
 
CT-7   12/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:14 1:41   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATE IN THE GAME 7 6 6 6 5 2 1 (casey w)LARROSA G 118 3.50 34% 1.90 1.50 W
MISSIONSNINETYNINE 6 2 1nk 1nk 1nk 1 2 (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 4.40 P
FREEDOM RIDER 3 3 2nk 2nk 2nk 3 3 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 35% 1.90 3.20 S
SHANGHAI CANDY 2 7 7 712 610¼ 610 4 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 118 12.00 8.50  
NIGHT BOSS 1 1 3.2 3 33 4 511¼ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 10.00 4.60  
PURPLE SHIRT 4 5 5 4 47 5 612 (reynolds jo)RAMGEET R 120 10.00 8.50  
POLITICAL DECISION 5 4 4 59 710¼ 717 726¼ (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 120 30.00 52.70  
SCR  CLOSE THE CASE               (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 120 6.00    
SCR  KRACHENWAGEN               (mcmahon hugh)BATISTA A 120 4.00 10% 8.80    
 
CT-8   12/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
See original race card.
:222 :463       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOSTLY SQUALL 2 8 1½     1 1¾ (mckee d)MONTANO JOSE 118 15.00 14.60  
EMBERLY 5 6 2½     2 2¾ (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.50 11% 8.20 5.70 P
TIMETOGETUP 3 9 8     6 3 (casey a)LARROSA G 118 10.00 31.90  
CEDAR'S WISH 1 10 5     3 4 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 20.00 12.30  
ALL CAPS 9 3 3     4 5 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 118 1.20 42% 1.40 0.90  
WINDSOR'S PLAY 8 2 6     5 64 (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 118 8.00 4.90  
SLEWING 7 5 9     7 7 (groves janice)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 15.80  
AIM'S JUBILEE 4 7 7     8 8 (reggetts ste)MARRERO CARLOS 118 12.00 8.10  
SHENANDOAH CAT 6 4 10     1010¾ 913½ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 10.00 23.70  
10  CHARITABLE ANY 10 1 4     9 1015¾ (pearson michae)RIOS-CONDE A 120 30.00 85.50  
SCR  JACKS SISTER JILL               (clement rolan)THORPE DARIUS 120 1.40 22% 3.50    
SCR  NATURAL SONDE               (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 120 30.00    
 
CT-9   12/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
See original race card.
:25 :501 1:164 1:434   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SULEMAN 3 5 4¾ 4 2nk 12 1 (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 122 2.50 37% 1.70 1.50 W
CAIRO BOOGIE 2 2 5¾ 6 5 32 2 (demario charle)ARAUJO DENIS 120 5.00 5.60  
RICKYS REVENGE 1 1 2nk 31 1nk 22 3 (hillegass a)RAMGEET R 122 12.00 19.20  
DOMINANT FACTOR 8 4 1nk 1nk 3½ 46 412 (hillegass alexa)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 74.80  
THATZA ALPHA 9 7 3.2 2nk 41 5 518¾ (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 118 15.00 30.20  
CHESAPEAKE CHARLIE 4 9 6 7 7 610 622 (schottroffe e)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00 19.80  
10  LIGHT WORK 10 10 8 8 9 913½ 724 (simone mic)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 10.40  
CITIZEN'S FIRE 7 8 10 1012½ 10 812 824¼ (sewell lenwo)LEWIS M 113 20.00 60.20  
KID BOURBON 5 6 7 5 6 710½ 925 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 41% 1.40 1.50  
CHAMPAGNE JAM 6 3 9 97 8 10100 10100 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00 38.40  
SCR  SIMILAR TASTE               (gladden damon)HO WESLEY 118 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.