Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - December 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   12/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY PINK Nov23 Oct21 Jul29 Jun17 May06 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 21% 3.90    
2  AMERICAS WOMAN Nov27 Nov13 Oct27 Sep18 Jan22 (barr h)THORPE DARIUS 122 1.80 33% 2.00    
3  BALLYMENA (GB) Nov23 Nov11 Nov04 Oct28 Oct14 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 113 15.00    
SCR  JESS FOR KICKS Nov23 Nov02 Sep30 Sep14 Jul29 (joy j)BAEZ M 113 12.00 ★    
5  GRAM'S GAL Nov23 Nov09 Nov02 Oct13 Sep22 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 4.00 9% 10.10    
6  TOUGH ONE Nov23 Nov09 Oct29 Oct15 Aug13 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 11% 8.40    
7  NINE MAST Nov11 Oct29 Jun26 Jun12   (joy j)RIOS-CONDE A 122 8.00    
8  SUPERSNAKE Nov23 Nov11 Nov02 Oct13 Sep14 (sandoval michae)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00    
 
CT-2   12/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAYENNE CREEK Nov10 Oct13 Aug20 Aug06 May27 (davis russe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00 10% 8.90    
2  GOLDEN APPEAL Nov24 Nov03 Oct12 Sep23 Sep14 (craig e)PELTROCHE F 124 4.50 ★    
3  AUBURN MILL Nov19 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug27 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.40 33% 2.00    
4  AARON'S TAP Nov17 Oct27 Sep30 Sep09 Apr27 (keller chri)RAMGEET R 120 8.00 20% 3.90    
5  TAPPIN FOR GLORY Nov03 Oct22 Oct05 Sep09 Jul20 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00    
SCR  MARTIN MAN Oct08 Sep17 Aug20 Jul28 Jun25 (sanderson s)BAEZ M 113 5.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  NOT A TRICK Oct28 Oct11 Aug31 Aug10 Jul31 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
8  JEFFERY SCOTT Nov10 Sep29 Jul16 Jun25 May28 (perry lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
9  SARGENT KOBE Nov26 Oct27 Oct19 Sep23 Sep07 (lane j)LEWIS M 115 15.00    
 
CT-3   12/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHT TO ASSEMBLE Nov25 Aug30 Aug24     (dillon l)BAEZ M 116 15.00    
SCR  MYRA FLEENER Dec06 Nov13 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 (maymo jorge )LEWIS M 117 15.00    
3  LINDA'S TAJ Dec02 Nov02 Oct07 Sep16 Sep03 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 6.00 ★    
4  I LOVE MARIA Nov23 Jun09 May25     (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  VARSITY KICKLINE (IRE) Nov26 Apr16 Mar26 Feb26 Feb13 (parra hernan)ARAUJO DENIS 124 20.00    
6  GILDED QUEST Dec02 Oct28 Oct05 Sep16 Aug26 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  JACCACI Nov18 Nov02 Jul01 Jan23 Jan01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 0.60 ★    
8  TOUT ENSEMBLE Dec02 Oct14 Sep23 Aug14   (viands grego)MORALES KELVIN 123 4.50 62% 0.60    
 
CT-4   12/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDSOR'S STAR Nov05 Oct12 Sep24 Sep03   (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 122 5.00 7% 13.90    
2  DE'S CASTLE Nov26 Nov05 Oct15 Sep03   (casey jame)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
3  DON'T GET CAUGHTUP Dec08         (boykins kevin)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
4  I'M THE MONEY MAN Nov19 Nov02       (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 1.80 44% 1.30    
5  TOBI WAN KENOBI Oct15         (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00    
6  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Nov23         (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
7  ZIGGY STARDUST Nov23 Nov02 Oct12 Sep14 Sep03 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
8  DENIZETTI Nov02 Oct12 Sep24     (casey jam)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 ★    
9  GRUMPY'S BUDDY Nov26         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 ★    
10  LITTLE ROO ROO Nov23         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
SCR  TIME TO CHOOSE Nov23 Nov02 Sep14 Sep03 Aug13 (casey a)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
 
CT-5   12/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROTA Oct29 Oct06 Aug27 Jul16 Jun03 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 5.00 19% 4.20    
2  TRINGALE Nov19 Nov03 Oct06 Sep09 Jul14 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 ★    
3  CONFUSION BABY BOY Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Sep25 Sep04 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00    
4  ANTIPOISON Nov25 Nov14 Oct28 Oct15 Oct08 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 122 8.00    
5  YABBA DABBA DUDE Nov03 Oct13 Oct01 Sep14 Aug31 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 6% 16.20    
6  NORTHERN RIDGE Oct29 Oct06 Sep29 Aug20 Aug04 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 6.00    
7  TRUSTYOURINSTINCT Nov24 Nov02 Oct22 Oct08 Sep22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
8  NICK THE CARDSHARK Nov29 Nov23 Oct26 Oct14 Oct05 (simone mic)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00 25% 2.90    
 
CT-6   12/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DING DING Oct01 Jul07 May21 Apr06 Mar23 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 1.80 25% 2.90    
2  WINDSOR'S CHAMPION Oct13 Sep02 Jun11 May21 Apr27 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  HAD THE NOTION Nov18 Oct27 Oct15 Sep23 Sep09 (harting r)HESS SARA 112 8.00    
4  MISSING LINK Dec02 Nov05 Aug14 Aug04 Jul08 (hillegass)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 8% 11.50    
5  SALSA RITA Nov16 Nov08 Oct20 Oct07 Sep16 (grullon rique)SIMPSON JASON 122 6.00 8% 11.40    
6  CAPTAIN SAM Nov23 Nov02 Oct12 Aug28 Aug22 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 120 10.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  MY EXPENSIVE GIFT Nov24 Oct13 Sep24 Jul22 Jul17 (sandoval michae)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
8  MS HEADLEY Nov23 Nov10 Oct12 Sep21 Sep02 (pickett crys)LEWIS M 115 5.00    
SCR  TIME'S ON MY SIDE Nov16 Oct31 Oct11 Sep20 Sep06 (hillega)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 20.00    
 
CT-7   12/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHT BOSS Nov23 Nov02 Oct22 Sep09 Aug21 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 10.00 ★    
2  SHANGHAI CANDY Nov16 Oct29 Oct12 Sep05 Aug23 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 118 12.00    
3  FREEDOM RIDER Nov23 Nov02 Oct13 Sep15 Aug25 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  KRACHENWAGEN Nov29 Oct28 Oct09 Sep23 Jul31 (mcmahon hugh)BATISTA A 120 4.00 10% 8.80    
5  PURPLE SHIRT Nov15 Oct20 Sep26 Aug17 Jul21 (reynolds jo)RAMGEET R 120 10.00    
SCR  CLOSE THE CASE Nov24 Sep29 Sep09 Aug17 Jul07 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 120 6.00    
7  POLITICAL DECISION Nov24 Nov11 Oct21 Oct07 Sep30 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 120 30.00    
8  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Nov10 Oct13 Sep17 Aug25 Aug06 (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 ★    
9  LATE IN THE GAME Nov11 Oct26 Oct08 Sep16 Jul23 (casey w)LARROSA G 118 3.50 34% 1.90    
 
CT-8   12/14/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEDAR'S WISH Nov30 Nov09 Oct13 Sep30 Aug19 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 20.00    
2  GHOSTLY SQUALL May21 Apr27 Mar17     (mckee d)MONTANO JOSE 118 15.00    
3  TIMETOGETUP Oct22 Oct08 Sep15 Aug25 Aug05 (casey a)LARROSA G 118 10.00    
4  AIM'S JUBILEE Nov30 Nov02 Oct08 Jul23 Jun24 (reggetts ste)MARRERO CARLOS 118 12.00 ★    
5  EMBERLY Oct26 Aug18 Aug04 Jul02 Jun02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.50 11% 8.20    
6  SHENANDOAH CAT Nov16 Oct26 Jul23 Jun30 May27 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 10.00    
7  SLEWING Nov11 Oct26 Jun04 Apr23 Mar17 (groves janice)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 ★    
8  WINDSOR'S PLAY Nov30 Nov19 Oct22 Oct08 Sep21 (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 118 8.00    
9  ALL CAPS Sep29 Aug11 Jul21 Jun02   (walters l)PELTROCHE F 118 1.20 42% 1.40    
10  CHARITABLE ANY Oct18 Sep19 Aug18 Jul27 Jul02 (pearson michae)RIOS-CONDE A 120 30.00    
SCR  JACKS SISTER JILL         (clement rolan)THORPE DARIUS 120 1.40 22% 3.50    
SCR  NATURAL SONDE         (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 120 30.00    
 
CT-9   12/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RICKYS REVENGE Dec03 Nov14 Oct13 Sep18 Aug26 (hillegass a)RAMGEET R 122 12.00    
2  CAIRO BOOGIE Dec02 Nov11 Oct18 Sep11 Aug26 (demario charle)ARAUJO DENIS 120 5.00    
3  SULEMAN Dec06 Nov22 Nov09 Oct28 Oct12 (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
4  CHESAPEAKE CHARLIE Nov23 Nov10 Sep21 Aug26 Aug12 (schottroffe e)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00 ★    
5  KID BOURBON Nov04 Oct15 Sep25 Aug23 Jul20 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 41% 1.40    
6  CHAMPAGNE JAM Nov24 Nov03 Oct12 Sep01 May26 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
7  CITIZEN'S FIRE Nov23 Oct07 Sep08 Aug18 Jul16 (sewell lenwo)LEWIS M 113 20.00    
8  DOMINANT FACTOR Oct04 Sep21 Aug10 Jul20 Jul11 (hillegass alexa)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
9  THATZA ALPHA Nov23 Nov03 Oct28 Oct12 Aug24 (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 118 15.00    
10  LIGHT WORK Nov29 Nov03 Oct22 Oct08 Sep05 (simone mic)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  SIMILAR TASTE Nov11 Nov02 Oct19 Oct06 Sep21 (gladden damon)HO WESLEY 118 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.