Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Delta Downs
Wednesday - December 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   12/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:171     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RYAN'S GRACE 3 4 5 5   3 1½ (flint steve)MCMAHON J 122 5.00 4.10  
I GOT WINGS 6 2 23 21   1½ 2½ (zeno benjami)BARRERA J 118 4.00 26% 2.80 3.50 P
MARIA GONE WILD 1 8 814½ 712½   4 3 (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 122 3.00 26% 2.80 2.20 S
RIPTIDE ROSE 7 5 3 31   2½ 4 (silva walter)TORRES HUGO 114 5.00 2.30  
SLOOPY HANG ON 5 1 4 43   6 5 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 123 6.00 13.40  
IT'S TIME BABY 8 7 710½ 610½   76 611¼ (zeno benjamin)VARGAS P 123 12.00 43.10  
ROSE OF CIMARRON (FR) 4 3 13 11   55 717¼ (dunn r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00 18.50  
LUCKY CAJUN 2 6 6 814   818 844 (zenon shelton)RIVERA JOSEAN 119 8.00 6% 16.40 23.40  
SCR  AETNAMAE               (prediu)RUIZ GARCIA 120 8.00 16% 5.10    
 
DED-2   12/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
See original race card.
:241 :493 1:15 1:281   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT NIGHTMARE 5 2 11 13 12 11 1½ (larrosa a)BACA L 120 8.00 3.40  
ALIGNED INTEREST 4 5 21 23 22 21 2½ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 4.50 4.30 P
CALLINGINTHENIGHT 6 3 48 510 6 4 3 (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 120 4.50 10% 9.30 13.80 S
TOO MUCH CROWN 3 1 510 410 36 35 4 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 1.80 64% 0.60 1.60  
ANDIAMO GIACOMO 1 4 34 37 58 5 5 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 6.00 9.30  
BOURBON ST TAPPIN 2 6 610½ 610½ 4 68 611½ (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.00 2.90  
 
DED-3   12/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:16     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUE HAPPY 7 5 44 3   22 13 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00 16% 5.10 1.20 W
CALIFORNIA CALI 2 3 1 1½   12 23 (latour nicholas)STOKES J 122 5.00 20% 4.00 9.40 P
GOTTEMINABIND 4 2 2 2½   36 311½ (baker cebur)RAMIREZ PAULINA 119 3.50 1.10  
GRACE'S VISION 6 7 714 714   511 413¾ (senegal dalto)VARGAS P 120 6.00 6% 15.20 20.10  
MILU ROCKET 3 6 56 4   48 514½ (clark casey)FLORES S 122 8.00 26% 2.90 7.70  
CRAPAUD 1 1 68 68   611½ 619¼ (toups brent)FUSILIER C 120 10.00 33.00  
CIRCLEOFSOUL 5 4 3 55   719½ 735½ (zeno benjamin)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 20.00 88.50  
SCR  CAUGHT MY HEART               (kanhai josep)BARRERA J 118 2.50    
 
DED-4   12/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:19
See original race card.
:222 :463       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY BREAK 8 6 6 2½   2nk 1¾ (degeyter jr)STOKES J 123 2.50 12% 7.50 1.10 W
10  MOVE IT 9 2 7 3   3½ 2¾ (cox l)THORNTON G 120 8.00 6.60  
HOT ARTIE 1 8 8 85   6 3 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00 25.60  
LAUGHINGSAINTSSONG 6 5 1nk 1½   1nk 4 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 4.00 26% 2.80 1.50  
I'M LOOKING UP 7 1 5 5   53 5 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 115 15.00 21.90  
SOURNOIS 2 9 9 9   7 6 (shamsie mik)FLORES S 117 10.00 36.30  
INVINCIBILITY 3 4 3.2 42   42 710¼ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
B B MOODY 5 3 4¾ 6   8 820¾ (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 117 20.00 5% 17.80 28.00  
WAR ROGUE 4 7 2nk 7   910 921¾ (roberts kennet)BACA L 117 10.00 33.50  
SCR  BETTER WATCH OUT               (singh )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00    
SCR  GOLDEN PASSAGE               (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  IRISH EXPECTATIONS               (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 4.00    
 
DED-5   12/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:47
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:133     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUMOHR REIGNS 3 7 57 3   12 1 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 3.00 42% 1.40 2.30 W
DREWMAZING 9 3 7 65   22 2 (briley lonnie)STOKES J 116 6.00 5.80 P
NATE'S REVENGE 2 9 917½ 912   6 310¾ (mojica a)MCMAHON J 119 12.00 41.70  
CRIMSON STORM 7 8 8 76   46 411½ (mojica a)THORNTON G 120 5.00 11% 8.20 6.40  
HIGHTAIL COWBOY 4 2 6 86   89 519 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50 6% 16.70 10.10  
OCEOLA 6 5 2 21   57 619½ (schultz rob)FLORES S 116 12.00 11.90  
PRIDEOFDIXIECREED 5 4 3 4   7 720½ (guillory henry )POMPELL L 120 8.00 20% 4.10 2.60  
JUSTIN SPEIGHT 1 1 1 11   36 826¾ (cangem)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 6.30  
TRAFFIC CONTROL 8 6 4 54   915 931 (cangemi dani)EDISON JOCELYN 115 6.00 38.50  
 
DED-6   12/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :462       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTABE BOURBON 6 1 1 1nk   1 1 (landry ray)STOKES J 122 1.60 52% 0.90 0.90 W
R T'S WILDCAT 5 2 2 2nk   2 2 (sam w)STOKES A 119 5.00 8.90 P
THUNDERTAKESDALEAD 3 4 5 48   44 38 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 10.00 27.20 S
WILLIE THE MAN 4 5 3 32   3 414 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 119 4.00 4.90  
MEET KEVIN 1 6 611½ 512   510 514½ (romero john )BARRERA J 115 6.00 31.60  
SMOOTH RIVER 2 3 4 612½   612 619¾ (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.00 18% 4.60 1.70  
 
DED-7   12/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:152     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEDINGTON 7 2 2 2nk   12 11 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 10.00 6.20  
LOUIS LE GRANDE 1 1 43 4   43 21 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 4.50 0.90 P
BODE'S LIGHT 4 8 33 31   22 3 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 20% 3.90 2.70 S
BIG RESULTS 8 7 8 7   56 42 (washington richard)STOKES J 116 8.00 14.80  
U COMPLETE ME 2 4 5 6   6 5 (ward ronnie)HERNANDEZ V 120 20.00 5% 19.00 97.80  
10  PAT ME DOWN 9 9 9 8   810 6 (west henry)STOKES A 117 15.00 32.90  
TEXAS GOLD RUSH 5 6 65 53   79 7 (butler w)TORRES HUGO 115 6.00 8% 11.00 10.60  
BALKY 3 3 1 1nk   3 88 (melancon do)FLORES S 120 12.00 36.80  
CARIBE NIGHTS 6 5 79 9   912 910½ (cox edward )RAMIREZ PAULINA 119 20.00 14.40  
SCR  SMOKING GUN (GB)               (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 3.50 46% 1.20    
 
DED-8   12/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:11
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:14     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASEYS MEMORY 3 9 911 8   6 1¼ (gustafson austin)BIRZER E 117 4.00 8% 11.60 3.70 W
1A  CLEAR HUMOR 7 6 5 5   21 2¼ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 5.00 9% 10.10 2.30 P
JAZZY JUSTIN 6 2 3 3   11 3¼ (toups brent)POMPELL L 118 5.00 16.60  
LOVETHATCAUSE 2 3 6 43   31 4 (hibdon n)THORNTON G 123 10.00 17% 4.80 8.20  
SPEEDY FELLAR 5 8 710½ 7   5 5 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.00 23% 3.40 4.40  
FRANK THE MAYOR 4 7 811 9   8 6 (alberto antonio)STOKES J 120 12.00 12.10  
MASTERLY (ARG) 1 1 44 6   7 7 (broberg kar)RAMIREZ PAULINA 115 5.00 2.30  
PARLAY PETE 9 4 1½ 2nk   4 8 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 8.00 14% 6.30 5.20  
FEARLESS WILL 8 5 2½ 1nk   9 914½ (gustafson aust)BACA L 118 12.00 7.90  
SCR  PLATINUM EQUITY               (lorefi)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 6.00    
 
DED-9   12/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:39
See original race card.
:23 :472       1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SADIE'S RANSOM 1 3 1nk 1½   12 1 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 20.00 2.60  
OUR CLOVER GAL 3 4 2nk 2½   22 2 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 123 4.50 2.60 P
10  VALID BREAK 8 1 3.2 31   35 3 (washington ri)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 4.00 27% 2.70 1.90 S
FIRE VISION 4 5 4 44   4 4 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 114 8.00 14.80  
MAYWON 2 8 5 5   56 512½ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 122 15.00 17% 5.00 10.90  
BALTIMORE BABE 7 2 7 6   715 626 (trahan walter)BOURQUE J 123 2.00 7.40  
MORO MOLLY 5 6 6 79   614 726¼ (butler w)TORRES HUGO 118 15.00 31.40  
MORO DRAMA QUEEN 6 7 8 812   818 832¼ (cezar )RUIZ GARCIA 123 15.00 61.70  
SCR  BANI               (woodley j)THORNTON G 122 4.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  DON'T LOOK ETHEL               (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 120 6.00    
SCR  MORO DANDY               (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 122 6.00    
SCR  ROADSIDE GIRL               (fontenot curle)BACA L 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.