The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Aqueduct
Sunday - February 05, 2023

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AQU-1   02/05/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($80K) 3 F PT-11:50
:241 :481 1:134 1:271   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALPOOL 5 4 31 31 2½ 1nk 1hd (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 24% 3.10 3.75 W
1A  CHECK ENGINE LIGHT 3 1 2½ 2½ 1½ 2nk 2hd (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 35% 1.80 0.90 P
GIFTED 1 2 4 42 42 3½ 32 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 2.95 S
TRYINMYHEARTOUT 2 3 1½ 1½ 31 4413¾ (camejo j)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.50 7.30  
RIVER OAKS 4 5 56 510 516 518½ 526¼ (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 13% 6.50 10.00  
SCR  ALICE KRAMDEN               (abreu r)OLVER MADISON 113 1.80    
 
AQU-2   02/05/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT-12:20
:244 :483 1:15 1:282   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SYNONYMOUS 6 2 3½ 3½ 11 11(pregman jr)PANAIJO JORGE 120 12.00 7.00  
APRIL ANTICS 4 1 4 4 21 22(falcone )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 1.20 61% 0.60 1.05  
SWEET SENSATION 3 6 65 6 57 412½ 320¼ (sells rach)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.50 5.70 S
CRYSTAL ORB 5 3 1nk 2nk 31 310 421½ (pringle edmund)FUENTES ERICK 110 20.00 42.25  
TEKILA 2 4 5 56 6 618 527¾ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 4.40  
AMERICA'S PRIDE 1 5 2nk 1nk 4 516½ 628½ (morley)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.50 11% 8.50 3.40  
SCR  FREUDIAN               (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20    
 
AQU-3   02/05/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 3 F PT-12:52
:243 :483 1:131     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTERPOLATE 2 2 4 31   11(brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.50 4.90  
GIRL TROUBLE 4 1 2nk 2½   22(reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.80 24% 3.20 1.50 P
MALIBU MOONSHINE 3 5 5 5   43(baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 2.00 46% 1.20 2.20 S
ROYAL POPPY 5 3 1nk 1½   33 4(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 4.70  
SENIOR PRANK 1 4 31 42   56 58 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 5.90  
 
AQU-4   02/05/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($47K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
:231 :463 1:121     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAKE ROCKS 4 3 2nk 2nk   1nk 1¾ (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 2.70  
SYNTHESIS 6 2 3 3½   31 2¾ (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.20 30% 2.30 1.50 DH
FAMISHED 5 7 6 4   42¾ (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.00 11% 8.30 3.05 P
QUICKFLASH 7 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 41 (johnson cl)DAVIS A 118 10.00 6% 16.60 10.70  
ALCOOLS 1 5 54 63   55(jones )HUAYAS (JASON) 111 15.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
MONEY IN THE BANK 2 4 4 52   66(englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 26% 2.80 8.20  
CAERUS 3 6 79 79   778 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 28.75  
SCR  O'TROUBLE               (jacobson d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 1.20    
 
AQU-5   02/05/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
:24 :48 1:133 1:27   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOL QUARTET 6 4 32 31 1½ 11(atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 23% 3.40 1.65 W
1A  PERCEIVED 3 2 4 4 4 22(rodriguez r)VARGAS A 120 3.50 24% 3.20 4.30 P
BINGO JOHN 5 5 5 53 5 56 38 (pregman jr)PANAIJO JORGE 120 20.00 26.25  
WARRIOR IN CHIEF 4 1 21 2½ 2½ 33 4(nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.50 2.55  
DARK STORM 7 7 11 1½ 3½ 4510 (kantarmaci me)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 4.50 10% 9.50 3.65  
HAGLER 1 3 67 65 710¼ 614 625¾ (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 113 3.50 4.30  
BUSTIN THE RULES 2 6 7 7 610 714½ 7100 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 5% 18.80 9.00  
SCR  SICILIA MIKE               (lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 8.00 14% 6.20    
 
AQU-6   02/05/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
:231 :471 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRACIOLE 5 5 6 3   1½ 1(noda orlan)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.50 26% 2.90 1.20 W
PER DIEM 4 4 2 2nk   3½ 2(cash l)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00 10.50  
VOLKERT 3 3 43 42   436 (hennig mark)VARGAS A 120 6.00 12.50 S
OUTASITE 2 2 1 1nk   2½ 46 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 41% 1.50 1.45  
PERSISTENT DANGER 6 1 3 58   57 59 (sells)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 9.60  
JOHNSELECTRICRIDE 1 6 5 612   612½ 620½ (klesaris rober)TORRES A 113 8.00 10.80  
SCR  JOHN'S PROTEGE               (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 5.00 9% 10.10    
 
AQU-7   02/05/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
:243 :481 1:13 1:254   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBONIC 4 6 65 6 5 1nk 1½ (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 3.95  
SHERIFF BIANCO 6 3 31 3 2nk 2nk 2½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.40 45% 1.20 1.25 P
UNCLE MOONLIGHT 2 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 32 3(nevin miche)VARGAS A 118 5.00 6.70 S
WINIT 3 5 42 42 42 44 47 (kimmel c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 22% 3.60 2.45  
REGGAE MUSIC MAN 1 2 5 5 6 6510¼ (reynolds p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00 17.10  
BACK RING LUCK 5 4 1½ 1½ 3½ 5610¼ (jacobson david)OLVER MADISON 111 12.00 9% 10.70 12.70  
 
AQU-8   02/05/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:24
:223 :454 :59     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUNNY JOKE 4 5 55 511½   51(atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 15% 5.60 0.55 W
ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE 3 3 21 2   22(barre)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00 6% 14.90 6.10 P
TURNSANDCONDITIONS 6 4 45 4   46 3(persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 5% 19.00 28.75 S
FENWAY 1 1 11 1   14(jones )HUAYAS (JASON) 116 15.00 16.70  
HANG TIGHT 2 6 625 623½   614¼ 55 (thomp)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 12.00 8.80  
WINNERS LAUGH 5 2 3 38   36 6(de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 8% 11.00 3.60  
SCR  MAJORITY PARTNER               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 0.80 44% 1.30    
 
AQU-9   02/05/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
:223 :453 1:114     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WRITER'S REGRET 7 1 21 22   21 1(d'alessandro ralp)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 18% 4.50 4.60 W
AGILITY 3 4 3 3   33 2(abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 8.50  
MY MAN MATTY 6 3 11 12   11 3(levine bru)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 17% 5.00 5.80 S
GOLDEN CODE 5 6 6 610   610½ 4(pletcher to)VARGAS A 123 2.50 15% 5.50 2.70  
BASIS RISK 4 7 7 712   710½ 5(coffey mar)DAVIS A 120 30.00 38.00  
TIN PAN ALLEY 2 5 4 4   45 611½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 2.15  
DAUFUSKIE ISLAND 1 2 5 56   5713 (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 24% 3.30 5.30  
 
AQU-10   02/05/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:26
:234 :472 1:122     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KANT HURRY LOVE 2 4 2nk 2nk   11(duggan p)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 41% 1.40 2.50 W
KHALI MAGIC 6 6 5 4   42(englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 25% 2.90 2.75 P
HAPPY SOPHIA 7 2 42 34   33(persaud randi)LUZZI J 120 3.50 4.00 S
SHINFULL 3 3 3 5   57 48 (donk david)VARGAS A 123 4.50 5.90  
QUALITY STONES 5 1 1nk 1nk   2511¾ (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 6.00 7.20  
CARAMOCHA 4 5 7 7   6612 (friedman m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00 21.80  
VALLELUJAH 1 7 6 6   710 712¾ (davis robb)DAVIS A 120 5.00 7% 12.40 6.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.