Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - February 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4/3/2)-(1/5/4/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(1/2)-(3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(2/4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(2/4/3/6)-(2/4/3/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/2)-(3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(3/4)-(1/3/6/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-3   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/2/1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/2/1/5)-(3/4/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4)-(1/3/6/7/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(1/3/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/3/6/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
    DD (1/3/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2)-(2/6) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/2)-(2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/2)-(2/6)-(6/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/6)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(6/3/5)-(5/6/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-7   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5/1/2)-(6/3/5/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(5/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(5/6/4/7)-(1/7/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-8   WIN (5/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/7)-(5/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/7)-(5/6/4/7)-(5/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/4/7)-(1/7/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4/7)-(1/7/6/5)-(2/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-9   WIN (1/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/5)-(1/7/6/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/5)-(1/7/6/5/2)-(1/7/6/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/6/5)-(2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-10   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1/7/5)-(2/6/1/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT-11:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CHECK ENGINE LIGHT Dec04 Jul31       (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 35% 1.80    
  (by UNCLE MO out of BOYNE BEAUTY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  ALICE KRAMDEN Jul27         (abreu r)OLVER MADISON 113 1.80    
  (by ACCELERATE out of LAUDATION by CONGRATS)
2  GIFTED Nov25 Aug07       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 ★    
  (by TAPIT out of WITH HONORS by WAR FRONT)
3  TRYINMYHEARTOUT Jan07         (camejo m)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MISS HOLLYWOOD by MALIBU MOON)
4  RIVER OAKS Oct01         (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 13% 6.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of NOT IN JEST by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  BALPOOL Dec15         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 24% 3.10    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of REMINGTON ROSE by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
 
AQU-2   02/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APRIL ANTICS Jan13 Dec08 Nov10 Aug26 Jul09 (falcon)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 1.20 61% 0.60    
SCR  FREUDIAN Jan20 Dec18 Oct13 Aug20 Jul15 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 ★    
2  AMERICA'S PRIDE Jan21 Jul31 May19     (morl)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.50 11% 8.50    
3  TEKILA Jan13 Dec15 Nov25 Oct15 Sep10 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50 ★    
4  SWEET SENSATION Jan20 Dec09 Nov25 Nov05 Oct16 (sells ra)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.50 ★    
5  CRYSTAL ORB Jan20 Dec29 Dec01 Oct27 Sep28 (pringle edmun)FUENTES ERICK 110 20.00    
6  SYNONYMOUS Jan13 Dec08 Nov06 Oct20 Sep25 (pregman john )PANAIJO JORGE 120 12.00 ★    
 
AQU-3   02/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENIOR PRANK Jan07         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of THUNDERING SKY by SKY MESA)
2  INTERPOLATE Jan03 Oct14 Aug14     (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of KEESHA by TAPIT)
3  MALIBU MOONSHINE Dec30 Dec03 Sep11     (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SUNDAY IN MALIBU by MALIBU MOON)
4  GIRL TROUBLE Jan03 Nov29 Nov01 Oct14 Sep26 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.80 24% 3.20    
  (by FAST ANNA out of ADORABELLA by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  ROYAL POPPY Dec15 Nov20 Oct14 Sep17 Aug14 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 ★    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of M'DEAREST by MACHO UNO)
 
AQU-4   02/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($47K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SYNTHESIS Jan28 Dec09 Nov26 Sep30 Sep14 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.20 30% 2.30    
SCR  O'TROUBLE Jan21 Jan01 Dec08 Oct08 Aug17 (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 1.20 ★    
2  ALCOOLS Jan22 Sep17 Aug18 Jul16 Jun19 (jone)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MONEY IN THE BANK Jun19 May22 Mar31 Mar19 Jan01 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 26% 2.80    
4  CAERUS Jan19 Jan01 Nov25 Nov08 Oct06 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00    
5  JAKE ROCKS Jan14 Dec11 Oct23 Oct02 Aug24 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50    
6  FAMISHED Jan15 Dec15 Nov04 Oct01 Aug06 (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.00 11% 8.30    
7  QUICKFLASH Jan12 Dec07 Sep22 Aug26 Jul30 (johnson )DAVIS A 118 10.00 6% 16.60    
 
AQU-5   02/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAGLER Jan22 Dec18 Dec01 Sep24 Aug03 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 113 3.50    
1A  PERCEIVED Jan07 Dec18 Dec02 Oct29 Sep03 (rodriguez)VARGAS A 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
2  BUSTIN THE RULES Jan14 Jan05 Dec10 Nov18 Jul04 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 5% 18.80    
3  WARRIOR IN CHIEF Dec29 Nov17 Oct21 Aug25 Jul14 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.50    
SCR  SICILIA MIKE Jan27 Dec20 Nov25 Nov11 Oct28 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 8.00 14% 6.20    
5  BINGO JOHN Jan22 Jan12 Oct27 Sep24 May29 (pregman john )PANAIJO JORGE 120 20.00    
6  COOL QUARTET Jan21 Dec18 Nov14 Oct24 Oct05 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 23% 3.40    
7  DARK STORM Jan21 Oct21 Sep17 Aug05 Jul14 (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 4.50 10% 9.50    
 
AQU-6   02/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHNSELECTRICRIDE May22 Apr22 Apr01 Feb12 Jan20 (klesaris rob)TORRES A 113 8.00 ★    
2  OUTASITE Dec16 Nov18 Feb20     (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 41% 1.50    
SCR  JOHN'S PROTEGE Jan15 Dec29 Dec09 Apr24 Mar12 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 5.00 9% 10.10    
4  VOLKERT Jun14 May21 Apr23     (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 ★    
5  PER DIEM Jan25 Jan07 Dec30 Sep24 Aug17 (cash l)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00    
6  BRACIOLE Jan13 Dec31 Aug03 Jun16 Jun05 (noda orl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.50 26% 2.90    
7  PERSISTENT DANGER Jan13 Dec29 Dec11 Nov23 Nov08 (sel)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
 
AQU-7   02/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGGAE MUSIC MAN Jan08 Nov26 Nov05 Aug12 Jul01 (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00 ★    
2  UNCLE MOONLIGHT Jan06 Jun11 Apr22     (nevin mic)VARGAS A 118 5.00 ★    
3  WINIT Jan06 Nov27 Oct29 Sep29 Aug18 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 22% 3.60    
4  BOURBONIC Jan07 Dec03       (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50    
5  BACK RING LUCK Nov05 Sep09 Aug07 May15 Apr17 (jacobson dav)TORRES A 111 12.00 9% 10.70    
6  SHERIFF BIANCO Dec30 Dec17 Nov17 Oct01 Sep04 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.40 45% 1.20    
 
AQU-8   02/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FENWAY Jan28 Jan20 Dec31 Nov19 Oct20 (jone)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 15.00    
2  HANG TIGHT Jan28 Jan08 Dec02 Oct16 Aug19 (tho)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 12.00    
SCR  MAJORITY PARTNER Sep23 Aug27 Jul14 Apr30 Mar12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 0.80 44% 1.30    
4  ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE Jan20 Dec29 Dec04 Oct20 Sep18 (bar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00 6% 14.90    
5  FUNNY JOKE Dec16 Dec01 Oct08 Sep24 Aug28 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 15% 5.60    
6  WINNERS LAUGH Jan07 Apr16 Feb20     (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 8% 11.00    
7  TURNSANDCONDITIONS Jan28 Jan12 Aug14 May29 May14 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-9   02/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Jan08 Oct07 Jul31 Jul03 May05 (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 24% 3.30    
2  TIN PAN ALLEY May30 Mar19       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 ★    
3  AGILITY Dec29 Nov26 Oct30 Jul08 May30 (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
4  BASIS RISK Dec09 Nov13 Oct22 Aug31 Apr30 (coffey m)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
5  GOLDEN CODE Apr09 Mar05 Feb05     (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 15% 5.50    
6  MY MAN MATTY Jan12 Nov27       (levine b)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 17% 5.00    
7  WRITER'S REGRET Jan08 Jul25 Jun27 May30 May16 (d'alessandro ra)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 18% 4.50    
 
AQU-10   02/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALLELUJAH Jan08 Dec11 Nov20 Oct23 Sep24 (davis ro)DAVIS A 120 5.00 7% 12.40    
2  KANT HURRY LOVE Jan06 Nov18 Oct22 Oct01 Aug26 (duggan david )FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 41% 1.40    
3  SHINFULL Jan13 Dec16 Nov17 Sep17 Aug20 (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50    
4  CARAMOCHA Jan19 Jan08 Dec15 Nov04 Oct09 (friedman)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00    
5  QUALITY STONES Dec03 Nov20 Oct14 Sep18 Aug06 (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 6.00 ★    
6  KHALI MAGIC Dec29 Dec11 Oct23 Sep25 Sep02 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 25% 2.90    
7  HAPPY SOPHIA Jan08 Dec29 Dec11 Nov26 Nov20 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 120 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.