Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Thursday - January 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-8   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.30 $1.30 22%
    SFT (6/3/4)-(6/3/4/5/8)-(6/3/4/5/8)-(6/3/4/5/8) 72 $0.10 $7.20  6-4-3-8 $12.90 $5.70 79%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:13     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAIRO SUGAR 6 1 2nk 1½ 1 1 15 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 2.50 49% 1.00 1.25 W
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SPUN SUGAR by AWESOME AGAIN)
TWO REDHEADS 1 6 4 4 2 2 25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 19% 4.30 2.15 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of TWO SUSANS by PURGE)
DREAM ON CARA 2 4 5 66 46 46 3 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 4.30  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DREAMING OF CARA by NORTH LIGHT)
THE SPLENDID ONE 4 2 31 3 33 36 48 (hennig mark)HARKIE K 120 10.00 13.60  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of BLISSFULLY by COX'S RIDGE)
LAVON 3 5 64 53 56 5 5 (coffey m)DAVIS A 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
  (by PAYNTER out of LEGALLY BAY by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
BERNING HONOR 5 3 1nk 2½ 616 618½ 624½ (schettino domin)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 8.00  
  (by HONOR CODE out of BERNING ROSE by FREUD)
SCR  LA CONQUISTADORA               (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of COURT DRESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
AQU-2   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:121     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 3 2 3.2 3½ 11 13 12 (barrera oscar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.60 29% 2.50 0.45 W
MIA BEA STAR 4 4 4 43 45 35 22 (persaud )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.50 3.20 P
BUSTIN BAY 2 1 2nk 2½ 21 23 3 (arriaga antonio)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.00 25% 3.00 4.30 S
CARAMOCHA 1 3 1nk 1½ 34 49 422¾ (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 12.10  
SCR  VALLARAND               (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 13% 6.90    
 
AQU-3   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:47
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:12     1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORGAY 4 3 21 2½ 1 1 15 (jacobson david)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00 26% 2.90 1.90 W
PROVEN HOPE 3 8 4 42 3 2 25 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00 14% 6.10 4.00 P
GOLDEN PURCHASE 2 7 3 31 2 38 314 (jones ed)DAVIS A 122 20.00 35.50  
OLD POINT 8 5 54 52 4 414 416¾ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.80 37% 1.70 2.15  
TIGER TOWN BOY 6 1 7 7 713 719 520¾ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 3.75  
PAPI ON ICE 5 6 64 65 68 517 621¾ (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00 14.80  
GRAND AGAIN 1 2 11 1½ 57 618 722¾ (shiv)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 30.00 51.25  
RED JET 7 4 88 813 821 831 842¾ (younghans wi)HOWELL TALBERT 122 50.00 63.75  
 
AQU-4   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3 ALL PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:132     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINNING CONNECTION 1 4 42 42 2½ 12 1 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 36% 1.80 1.75 W
PLEASE BABY 7 5 66 6 33 3 2 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 21% 3.80 1.45 P
NIEUWENDYK 4 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 22 3 (begg jame)VARGAS A 120 4.00 3.40 S
STEADY PROGRESS 2 3 2½ 2½ 4 48 414¼ (cha)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00 14% 6.00 14.90  
DISTURBED 3 7 78 76 7 613½ 515½ (ryer)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00 39.00  
PRACTICALLYMINE 6 6 31 31 54 510 619 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 15.00 9.40  
BEAR'S CORRECT 5 2 52 54 69 717 730 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 30.00 77.50  
SCR  SIXWILLBERICH               (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
SCR  SWAY'SINMYDNA               (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00    
 
AQU-5   01/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:124     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE SHOT 3 4 3 3   3 1¼ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 4.50  
MASKED MARAUDER 5 1 42 4   1nk 2¼ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 1.65 P
MICROSECOND 2 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 3 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 20% 4.00 1.90 S
BREAKING STONES 4 5 5 5   45 411½ (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00 7.40  
DADDY KNOWS 1 3 1½ 1nk   5 531¾ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00 12% 7.60 4.50  
SCR  GANDY DANCING               (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
SCR  QUICKFLASH               (john)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.00    
SCR  RUNNINGWSCISSORS               (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 44% 1.30    
 
AQU-6   01/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:12     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAERUS 3 2 76 78   44 1½ (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00 5.10  
MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI) 2 1 1½ 12   1 2½ (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 39% 1.60 1.75 P
MOUNT TRAVERS 4 3 54 6   6 34 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 6% 15.10 10.40 S
F F ROCKET 5 4 4 57   7 4 (shi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 4.10  
WINNING DRIVE 7 5 3 22   2 5 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 12% 7.40 2.95  
MAGNIFICENT CHROME 6 6 2½ 32   3 6 (younghans wi)HARKIE K 120 15.00 14.90  
STRIKING SPEED 1 7 64 43   5 7 (jones eduardo)FUENTES ERICK 110 20.00 12.30  
SCR  RAGTIME BLUES               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.60 20% 4.00    
 
AQU-7   01/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:11     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR ARDITO 3 4 4 55   3½ 1nk (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 27% 2.70 1.85 W
NABOKOV 5 3 1½ 1½   1nk 2nk (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 21% 3.80 1.70 P
1A  GAGETOWN 2 5 52 31   2nk 3 (cash nor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.40 S
HERO TIGER 7 1 3 4   5 48 (kirby t)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00 24.25  
NUCLEAR OPTION 4 2 2½ 2½   44 5 (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 12.00 9.10  
GOING TO THE LEAD 1 6 6 6   6 615¼ (cash norman)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 8.00 9.40  
SAINT TAPIT 6 7 74 7   717½ 745 (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 7% 12.50 3.15  
SCR  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN               (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00    
SCR  GLORY ROAD               (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
SCR  GULFSTREAM WAY               (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 18% 4.50    
 
AQU-8   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:131     1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALLALOO 6 3 1½ 1 1½ 1½ 1 (donk davi)VARGAS A 122 2.00 30% 2.40 2.65 W
  (by TRINNIBERG out of LEAPING LADY by MASS MEDIA)
REFUAH 4 5 6 43 2½ 2½ 2 (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 3.00 23% 3.40 2.30 P
  (by DAREDEVIL out of SMITTEN CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
CENTRAL PRIDE 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 23% 3.30 5.70 S
  (by LORD NELSON out of COREY'S HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
OLYMPIC DREAMS 8 8 8 7 4 4 413¾ (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 8.60  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of KIROV by DISTORTED HUMOR)
VALENTINO'S HERE 2 6 7 8 814½ 612½ 517¼ (brow)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 8.00 16.10  
  (by LAOBAN out of NEVER MISS A TRICK by ANASHEED)
RED D G P 5 2 5 65 711½ 712½ 621½ (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 13.60  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SANDRA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
QUACKENBUSH 1 4 42 5 5 511 728¼ (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00 18.50  
  (by BEAUTYINTHEPULPIT out of ANY VALID SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
LEM ME DRINK 7 7 2½ 33 611 816½ 835¼ (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 117 8.00 4.30  
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of FIGHTER WING by EMPIRE MAKER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.