The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Aqueduct
Thursday - January 19, 2023
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AQU-1   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($70K) 3 F PT-12:50
:232 :472 1:13     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CAIRO SUGAR 6 1 2nk 1½ 12½ 14½ 15 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 2.50 49% 1.00 1.25 W
1  TWO REDHEADS 1 6 41½ 41½ 22½ 24½ 25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 19% 4.30 2.15 P
2  DREAM ON CARA 2 4 53½ 66 46 46 35¼ (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 4.30  
4  THE SPLENDID ONE 4 2 31 31½ 33 36 48 (hennig mark)HARKIE K 120 10.00 ★ 13.60  
3  LAVON 3 5 64 53 56 56½ 59¼ (coffey marialice)DAVIS A 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
6  BERNING HONOR 5 3 1nk 2½ 616 618½ 624½ (schettino a)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 ★ 8.00  
SCR  LA CONQUISTADORA               (breen j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00    
 
AQU-2   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:18
:233 :471 1:121     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 3 2 3.2 3½ 11 13 12 (barrera s)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.60 29% 2.50 0.45 W
5  MIA BEA STAR 4 4 42¾ 43 45 35 22 (persaud randi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.50 ★ 3.20 P
3  BUSTIN BAY 2 1 2nk 2½ 21 23 36¾ (arriaga antonio)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.00 25% 3.00 4.30 S
2  CARAMOCHA 1 3 1nk 1½ 34 49 422¾ (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 ★ 12.10  
SCR  VALLARAND               (martin f)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 13% 6.90    
 
AQU-3   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:47
:233 :47 1:12     1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NORGAY 4 3 21 2½ 11½ 12½ 15 (jacobson david)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00 26% 2.90 1.90 W
3  PROVEN HOPE 3 8 43½ 42 31½ 22½ 25 (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00 14% 6.10 4.00 P
2  GOLDEN PURCHASE 2 7 32½ 31 21½ 38 314 (jones e)DAVIS A 122 20.00 35.50  
8  OLD POINT 8 5 54 52 45½ 414 416¾ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.80 37% 1.70 2.15  
6  TIGER TOWN BOY 6 1 74½ 78½ 713 719 520¾ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 3.75  
5  PAPI ON ICE 5 6 64 65 68 517 621¾ (persaud randi)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00 ★ 14.80  
1  GRAND AGAIN 1 2 11 1½ 57 618 722¾ (shivmangal lolita)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 30.00 ★ 51.25  
7  RED JET 7 4 88 813 821 831 842¾ (younghans william)HOWELL TALBERT 122 50.00 63.75  
 
AQU-4   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3 ALL PT- 2:17
:232 :471 1:132     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WINNING CONNECTION 1 4 42 42 2½ 12 13¼ (reynolds j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 36% 1.80 1.75 W
7  PLEASE BABY 7 5 66 64½ 33 32½ 23¼ (rodriguez r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 21% 3.80 1.45 P
4  NIEUWENDYK 4 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 22 33¼ (begg bentley)VARGAS A 120 4.00 ★ 3.40 S
1  STEADY PROGRESS 2 3 2½ 2½ 43½ 48 414¼ (chatterpaul naipaul)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00 14% 6.00 14.90  
3  DISTURBED 3 7 78 76 79½ 613½ 515½ (ryerson t)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00 39.00  
6  PRACTICALLYMINE 6 6 31 31 54 510 619 (kantarmaci mertkan)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 15.00 9.40  
5  BEAR'S CORRECT 5 2 52 54 69 717 730 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 30.00 77.50  
SCR  SIXWILLBERICH               (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  SWAY'SINMYDNA               (chatterpaul naipaul)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00    
 
AQU-5   01/19/2023 4620ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:47
:241 :48 1:124     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DOUBLE SHOT 3 4 31½ 31½   31½ 1¼ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 4.50  
8  MASKED MARAUDER 5 1 42 41¾   1nk 2¼ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 ★ 1.65 P
4  MICROSECOND 2 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 32¾ (rodriguez r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 20% 4.00 1.90 S
7  BREAKING STONES 4 5 58½ 55¼   45 411½ (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00 7.40  
1  DADDY KNOWS 1 3 1½ 1nk   59½ 531¾ (englehart s)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00 12% 7.60 4.50  
SCR  GANDY DANCING               (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
SCR  QUICKFLASH               (johnson cleveland)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.00 ★    
SCR  RUNNINGWSCISSORS               (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 44% 1.30    
 
AQU-6   01/19/2023 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
:231 :462 1:12     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CAERUS 3 2 76 78   44 1½ (persaud randi)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00 5.10  
2  MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI) 2 1 1½ 12   13½ 2½ (englehart s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 39% 1.60 1.75 P
4  MOUNT TRAVERS 4 3 54 67½   64¾ 34 (kantarmaci mertkan)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 6% 15.10 10.40 S
6  F F ROCKET 5 4 43½ 57   75¼ 45¾ (shivmangal lolita)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 ★ 4.10  
8  WINNING DRIVE 7 5 31½ 22   23½ 56¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 12% 7.40 2.95  
7  MAGNIFICENT CHROME 6 6 2½ 32   33½ 67½ (younghans william)HARKIE K 120 15.00 14.90  
1  STRIKING SPEED 1 7 64 43   54½ 77½ (jones e)FUENTES ERICK 110 20.00 12.30  
SCR  RAGTIME BLUES               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.60 20% 4.00    
 
AQU-7   01/19/2023 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
:224 :46 1:11     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DR ARDITO 3 4 41½ 55   3½ 1nk (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 27% 2.70 1.85 W
6  NABOKOV 5 3 1½ 1½   1nk 2nk (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 21% 3.80 1.70 P
1A  GAGETOWN 2 5 52 31   2nk 31¾ (cash l)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.40 S
9  HERO TIGER 7 1 31½ 43½   54½ 48 (kirby t)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00 24.25  
3  NUCLEAR OPTION 4 2 2½ 2½   44 59¼ (penaloza miguel)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 12.00 9.10  
1  GOING TO THE LEAD 1 6 63½ 67½   69½ 615¼ (cash l)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 8.00 9.40  
8  SAINT TAPIT 6 7 74 78½   717½ 745 (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 7% 12.50 3.15  
SCR  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN               (rodriguez gustavo)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00    
SCR  GLORY ROAD               (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
SCR  GULFSTREAM WAY               (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 18% 4.50    
 
AQU-8   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
:24 :474 1:131     1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CALLALOO 6 3 1½ 11½ 1½ 1½ 13¾ (donk david)VARGAS A 122 2.00 30% 2.40 2.65 W
4  REFUAH 4 5 63½ 43 2½ 2½ 23¾ (walder r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 3.00 23% 3.40 2.30 P
3  CENTRAL PRIDE 3 1 31½ 21½ 32½ 32½ 37¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 23% 3.30 5.70 S
8  OLYMPIC DREAMS 8 8 85½ 75¼ 48½ 48½ 413¾ (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 ★ 8.60  
2  VALENTINO'S HERE 2 6 74½ 86¼ 814½ 612½ 517¼ (brown r)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 8.00 16.10  
5  RED D G P 5 2 53½ 65 711½ 712½ 621½ (ferraro w)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 ★ 13.60  
1  QUACKENBUSH 1 4 42 53½ 59½ 511 728¼ (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00 18.50  
7  LEM ME DRINK 7 7 2½ 33 611 816½ 835¼ (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 117 8.00 4.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.