Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Tuesday - December 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   12/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:131 1:393   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BELENTIME 4 4 75 74 41 1nk 11 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 15% 5.60 2.60 W
5  CHROME DIXIE 5 3 2½ 2½ 1½ 2nk 21 (falcone rob)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 11% 8.40 4.70 P
7  MYSTIFIED 7 7 63 52½ 71¾ 44½ 36¼ (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 46% 1.20 1.30 S
3  FACTOTUM 3 6 52½ 63½ 51¼ 34 48¼ (chircop steve)DAVID MICHAEL 121 6.00 ★ 5.80  
2  HE CAME TRUE 2 5 42 42 61¾ 55 58¼ (graci a)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00 37.60  
1  KEEPING IT COUNTRY 1 1 1½ 1½ 2½ 65½ 614¼ (mcclellan e)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 6.00 ★ 9.70  
6  ADY'S MUNNY 6 2 31½ 32 31 76 718 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 8.00 15.20  
 
PEN-2   12/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:133 1:264   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TURNS 4 1 31 31½ 2½ 2½ 12¾ (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 119 4.00 ★ 4.90  
2  BRACES 2 7 610 67½ 64¾ 43½ 22¾ (mcmahon)ORTIZ ORLANDO 114 3.00 12% 7.70 2.30 P
5  CAPTAIN CARDO 5 3 2½ 2½ 1½ 1½ 34¼ (volpe john)RIVERA D 120 8.00 10% 8.70 4.60 S
3  BOSSY CAT 3 5 55 55½ 43½ 32½ 45¼ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 26.10  
1  BOOM BOOM KABOOM 1 4 1½ 1½ 3½ 55½ 510¼ (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 48% 1.10 1.40  
7  PEAKY BLINKERS 7 2 43 43½ 53¾ 69½ 610½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 4.50 7% 14.10 10.50  
6  PRINCIPALITY 6 6 711½ 712 78¾ 710 712½ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 119 8.00 28.90  
 
PEN-3   12/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:124 1:373   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HOT N SPICY LOVE 3 7 64¼ 42¾ 1nk 12 12¾ (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 ★ 8.80  
4  COUSTEAU 4 3 1nk 12½ 2nk 22 22¾ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 8% 12.10 0.90 P
2  LOST MY VOWCHER 2 8 85¼ 53¾ 32 34½ 36 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 10.00 ★ 11.60 S
7  HOLD THE IRISH 6 4 53¾ 64¼ 43 48½ 49¾ (martinez a)AGUILAR M 120 15.00 53.00  
1  CAN'T PASS IT UP 1 2 74¾ 84½ 55 511½ 515¼ (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 10.00 3.80  
8  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY 7 6 2nk 22½ 615 641½ 650¾ (salinas jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00 56.90  
10  UNCLE JEROME 8 5 41¾ 74¼ 717 743 750¾ (smith law)VARGAS L 120 10.00 41.10  
6  BOURBON FRONTIER 5 1 31½ 32½ 837 8100 8100 (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 17% 5.00 2.90  
SCR  EVENT PARTY               (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 8.00    
SCR  SHANE'S JEWEL               (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 52% 0.90    
 
PEN-4   12/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:123 1:38   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CLOSER LOOK 5 2 11 12½ 12½ 15½ 14½ (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 ★ 1.40  
4  MOTI 4 6 53½ 44½ 34 36 24½ (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 3.20  
2  SICILIA MIKE 2 3 31½ 54¾ 54½ 56½ 34½ (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 53% 0.90 2.40 S
1  LAKE NAKURU 1 5 64½ 67¼ 65 46½ 44¾ (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00 ★ 17.80  
3  CURLINGTON 3 4 41½ 22½ 22½ 25½ 55 (mcmahon)ORTIZ ORLANDO 115 2.50 11% 8.20 4.20  
6  O K GAME ON 6 1 21 32½ 44½ 610 612 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 8.00 8% 12.10 34.70  
 
PEN-5   12/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:13 1:383   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SAILOR SPEED 4 4 41½ 22 13 13½ 12½ (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 5.00 16% 5.20 3.40 W
8  ONCE A GIANT 6 3 2½ 32 23 23½ 22½ (graci a)CHIAPPE R 121 2.50 ★ 1.20 P
1  TRIPLE TITOS 1 6 55½ 44 33 34½ 36½ (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 8.00 8% 11.00 2.10 S
3  ICHIGO 3 1 31½ 54½ 57½ 414½ 416 (meister wil)INIRIO J 122 15.00 29.70  
2  BOOK OF DELANCEY 2 5 66 610½ 610½ 515½ 519¼ (hillegass ale)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 30.00 18.70  
6  HOFBURG PALACE 5 2 1½ 12 43½ 618½ 629¾ (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 3.50 7.30  
SCR  BLACK IRISH               (sells rac)VARGAS L 122 20.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  MAXIM MOMENT               (geist dav)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
PEN-6   12/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  QUEEN ROSEMARY 2 7 88¼ 76¾   55 11¼ (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00 ★ 2.80  
9  ECLIPTICALS SARAH 8 5 1nk 2nk   1½ 21¼ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 30.00 22.00  
8  ALWAYS MIA 7 1 3.2 1nk   2½ 31¼ (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 1.60 50% 1.00 1.30 S
4  DWELLER 4 3 61¼ 41¾   42½ 41½ (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 3.50 18% 4.60 3.70  
1  NO EASY ANSWER 1 4 2nk 3.2   3½ 51¾ (mcclellan eri)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 6.00 ★ 6.60  
6  PHANCY PHILLY 6 6 76¼ 55¼   66 64 (houghton )RODRIGUEZ R 121 8.00 12.30  
3  GUSSIE'S NOTION 3 2 51¼ 66¼   710 711¼ (shea lydee)INIRIO J 120 20.00 36.40  
5  SHANIA SEA 5 8 4¾ 816¾   836 843¾ (mcclellan e)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00 43.40  
SCR  BOWTOTHEQUEEN               (stites w)AGUILAR M 119 12.00 5% 17.90    
 
PEN-7   12/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:222 :454 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SOUTH HOUSE 4 1 21 21   2½ 1¾ (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 12% 7.10 1.90 W
3  ONE TOUGH ROSE 3 2 11 11   1½ 2¾ (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 5.10  
1  MAGIC IN ME 1 3 32 32½   32 34 (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 17% 5.10 4.00 S
2  FAIRY DUST 2 4 43 44½   44½ 48 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 ★ 6.40  
6  HUFFLEPUFF 6 5 53½ 56½   58½ 511½ (brown ronney )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 1.90  
5  GLOSSY MADRINA 5 6 65 68½   610½ 612 (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 120 15.00 ★ 33.50  
SCR  SERENE WARRIOR               (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 4.50 42% 1.40    
 
PEN-8   12/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:222 :454 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DON'T TALK 7 1 11½ 12   12½ 12¼ (lucas bon)VARGAS L 123 2.00 31% 2.20 1.40 W
3  MISCHIEF MELODY 3 4 32 22   22½ 22¼ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 4.00 ★ 4.00 P
5  WIN FOR LAILA 5 6 65½ 46½   36 38 (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 6.00 11.00  
1  CEREAL I D 1 7 78 68½   47 48¼ (boyer j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00 32.30  
4  MISS CONVEYOR 4 9 911 810   610 510¼ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 5.00 17% 5.00 2.00  
10  RIPPA 9 8 88½ 910½   711½ 612 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 123 8.00 10.90  
2  THATSJUSTLOVELY 2 3 21½ 33   58½ 719½ (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 20.00 81.90  
7  GOLD DOLL 6 2 55 78½   813½ 820¼ (stites flin)INIRIO J 123 15.00 73.30  
9  LILYSGOTACLUE 8 5 42½ 58   913½ 921½ (mick r)LLOYD W 123 10.00 15% 5.80 17.70  
SCR  KATHY ONLY               (martinez jo)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 15.00 15% 5.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.