Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Tuesday - December 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   12/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:131 1:393   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELENTIME 4 4 75 74 41 1nk 11 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 15% 5.60 2.60 W
CHROME DIXIE 5 3 2½ 2½ 1½ 2nk 21 (falcone rober)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 11% 8.40 4.70 P
MYSTIFIED 7 7 63 5 7 4 3 (farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 46% 1.20 1.30 S
FACTOTUM 3 6 5 6 5 34 4 (chircop steven)DAVID MICHAEL 121 6.00 5.80  
HE CAME TRUE 2 5 42 42 6 55 5 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00 37.60  
KEEPING IT COUNTRY 1 1 1½ 1½ 2½ 6 614¼ (mcclellan eri)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 6.00 9.70  
ADY'S MUNNY 6 2 3 32 31 76 718 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 8.00 15.20  
 
PEN-2   12/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:133 1:264   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURNS 4 1 31 3 2½ 2½ 1 (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 119 4.00 4.90  
BRACES 2 7 610 6 6 4 2 (mcmahon d)ORTIZ ORLANDO 114 3.00 12% 7.70 2.30 P
CAPTAIN CARDO 5 3 2½ 2½ 1½ 1½ 3 (volpe john)RIVERA D 120 8.00 10% 8.70 4.60 S
BOSSY CAT 3 5 55 5 4 3 4 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 26.10  
BOOM BOOM KABOOM 1 4 1½ 1½ 3½ 5 510¼ (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 48% 1.10 1.40  
PEAKY BLINKERS 7 2 43 4 5 6 610½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 4.50 7% 14.10 10.50  
PRINCIPALITY 6 6 711½ 712 7 710 712½ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 119 8.00 28.90  
 
PEN-3   12/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:124 1:373   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT N SPICY LOVE 3 7 6 4 1nk 12 1 (synnefias panagi)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 8.80  
COUSTEAU 4 3 1nk 1 2nk 22 2 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 8% 12.10 0.90 P
LOST MY VOWCHER 2 8 8 5 32 3 36 (gonzalez )ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 10.00 11.60 S
HOLD THE IRISH 6 4 5 6 43 4 4 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 120 15.00 53.00  
CAN'T PASS IT UP 1 2 7 8 55 511½ 515¼ (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 10.00 3.80  
FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY 7 6 2nk 2 615 641½ 650¾ (salinas jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00 56.90  
10  UNCLE JEROME 8 5 4 7 717 743 750¾ (smith lawre)VARGAS L 120 10.00 41.10  
BOURBON FRONTIER 5 1 3 3 837 8100 8100 (lucas bonni)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 17% 5.00 2.90  
SCR  EVENT PARTY               (mcmahon demelz)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 8.00    
SCR  SHANE'S JEWEL               (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 52% 0.90    
 
PEN-4   12/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:123 1:38   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOSER LOOK 5 2 11 1 1 1 1 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 1.40  
MOTI 4 6 5 4 34 36 2 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 3.20  
SICILIA MIKE 2 3 3 5 5 5 3 (lucas bonni)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 53% 0.90 2.40 S
LAKE NAKURU 1 5 6 6 65 4 4 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00 17.80  
CURLINGTON 3 4 4 2 2 2 55 (mcmahon d)ORTIZ ORLANDO 115 2.50 11% 8.20 4.20  
O K GAME ON 6 1 21 3 4 610 612 (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 122 8.00 8% 12.10 34.70  
 
PEN-5   12/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:13 1:383   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAILOR SPEED 4 4 4 22 13 1 1 (lucas bonnie)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 5.00 16% 5.20 3.40 W
ONCE A GIANT 6 3 2½ 32 23 2 2 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 121 2.50 1.20 P
TRIPLE TITOS 1 6 5 44 33 3 3 (allen f)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 8.00 8% 11.00 2.10 S
ICHIGO 3 1 3 5 5 414½ 416 (meister willi)INIRIO J 122 15.00 29.70  
BOOK OF DELANCEY 2 5 66 610½ 610½ 515½ 519¼ (hillegass alexa)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 30.00 18.70  
HOFBURG PALACE 5 2 1½ 12 4 618½ 629¾ (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 3.50 7.30  
SCR  BLACK IRISH               (sells rache)VARGAS L 122 20.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  MAXIM MOMENT               (geist david)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
PEN-6   12/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN ROSEMARY 2 7 8 7   55 1 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00 2.80  
ECLIPTICALS SARAH 8 5 1nk 2nk   1½ 2 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 30.00 22.00  
ALWAYS MIA 7 1 3.2 1nk   2½ 3 (gonzalez )ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 1.60 50% 1.00 1.30 S
DWELLER 4 3 6 4   4 4 (kulp brandon )SALGADO ANTHONY 119 3.50 18% 4.60 3.70  
NO EASY ANSWER 1 4 2nk 3.2   3½ 5 (mcclellan erin )DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 6.00 6.60  
PHANCY PHILLY 6 6 7 5   66 64 (houghton th)RODRIGUEZ R 121 8.00 12.30  
GUSSIE'S NOTION 3 2 5 6   710 711¼ (shea lydee)INIRIO J 120 20.00 36.40  
SHANIA SEA 5 8 4¾ 816¾   836 843¾ (mcclellan eri)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00 43.40  
SCR  BOWTOTHEQUEEN               (stites w)AGUILAR M 119 12.00 5% 17.90    
 
PEN-7   12/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:222 :454 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTH HOUSE 4 1 21 21   2½ 1¾ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 12% 7.10 1.90 W
ONE TOUGH ROSE 3 2 11 11   1½ 2¾ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 5.10  
MAGIC IN ME 1 3 32 3   32 34 (farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 17% 5.10 4.00 S
FAIRY DUST 2 4 43 4   4 48 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 6.40  
HUFFLEPUFF 6 5 5 5   5 511½ (brown w)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 1.90  
GLOSSY MADRINA 5 6 65 6   610½ 612 (ferreira fern)INIRIO J 120 15.00 33.50  
SCR  SERENE WARRIOR               (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 4.50 42% 1.40    
 
PEN-8   12/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:222 :454 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T TALK 7 1 1 12   1 1 (lucas bonni)VARGAS L 123 2.00 31% 2.20 1.40 W
MISCHIEF MELODY 3 4 32 22   2 2 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 4.00 4.00 P
WIN FOR LAILA 5 6 6 4   36 38 (zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 6.00 11.00  
CEREAL I D 1 7 78 6   47 4 (boyer jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00 32.30  
MISS CONVEYOR 4 9 911 810   610 510¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 5.00 17% 5.00 2.00  
10  RIPPA 9 8 8 910½   711½ 612 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 123 8.00 10.90  
THATSJUSTLOVELY 2 3 2 33   5 719½ (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 20.00 81.90  
GOLD DOLL 6 2 55 7   813½ 820¼ (stites flint )INIRIO J 123 15.00 73.30  
LILYSGOTACLUE 8 5 4 58   913½ 921½ (mick r)LLOYD W 123 10.00 15% 5.80 17.70  
SCR  KATHY ONLY               (martinez jose)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 15.00 15% 5.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.