Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Tuesday - December 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPING IT COUNTRY Nov15 Oct14       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 6.00 ★    
2  HE CAME TRUE Oct28 Oct07 Sep15 Aug25 Aug17 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00    
3  FACTOTUM Dec08 Oct30 Oct14 Sep04 Aug14 (chircop steve)DAVID MICHAEL 121 6.00 ★    
4  BELENTIME Nov25 Oct16 Oct02 Sep05 Aug12 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 15% 5.60    
5  CHROME DIXIE Nov21 Oct29 Sep30 Jul19 Jul01 (falcone rob)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 11% 8.40    
6  ADY'S MUNNY Nov16 Oct26 Oct04 Sep20 Aug17 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 8.00    
7  MYSTIFIED Nov24 Oct15 Sep21 Aug29 Aug12 (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
PEN-2   12/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOM BOOM KABOOM Dec05 Nov22 Sep18 Aug18 Jul01 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
2  BRACES Nov27 Oct22 Oct01 Sep15 Aug17 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 3.00 12% 7.70    
3  BOSSY CAT Dec06 Nov18 Nov04 Oct21 Aug17 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
4  TURNS Nov09 Oct18 Sep21 Aug26 Aug03 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 119 4.00 ★    
5  CAPTAIN CARDO Nov29 Nov05 Oct21 Oct02 Aug21 (volpe john)RIVERA D 120 8.00 10% 8.70    
6  PRINCIPALITY Dec06 Nov23 Oct21 Sep29 Sep08 (bobadilla)VARGAS L 119 8.00    
7  PEAKY BLINKERS Dec06 Nov23 Nov09 Sep01 Aug17 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 4.50 7% 14.10    
 
PEN-3   12/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN'T PASS IT UP Dec03         (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 10.00    
2  LOST MY VOWCHER Oct28 Oct09 Sep23 Sep04 Jul31 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 10.00 ★    
3  HOT N SPICY LOVE Dec06 Nov02 Oct19 Sep24 Aug26 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 ★    
4  COUSTEAU Nov18 Sep04 Jul04 Jun04 Apr07 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  EVENT PARTY Nov25 Oct14 Sep29 Sep07 Aug06 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 8.00    
6  BOURBON FRONTIER Dec06 Nov18 Aug14 Jun25 May28 (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 17% 5.00    
7  HOLD THE IRISH Nov25 Oct11 May19 Apr20 Mar30 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
8  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY Dec13 Nov22 Nov08 Oct28 Oct21 (salinas jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00    
SCR  SHANE'S JEWEL Oct10 Feb02 Jan17     (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 52% 0.90    
10  UNCLE JEROME Nov26 Oct15 Sep30 Aug27 Aug06 (smith la)DAVIS A 120 10.00    
 
PEN-4   12/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAKE NAKURU Nov29 Nov09 Oct04 Sep21 Sep06 (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 124 8.00 ★    
2  SICILIA MIKE Nov25 Nov11 Oct28 Oct08 Sep17 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 53% 0.90    
3  CURLINGTON Nov25 Oct11 Sep16 Aug27 Aug19 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 2.50 11% 8.20    
4  MOTI Nov29 Nov12 Oct25 Oct06 Sep14 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50    
5  CLOSER LOOK Nov29 Oct21 Sep30 Aug27 Aug06 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 ★    
6  O K GAME ON Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 Sep22 Sep07 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 8.00 8% 12.10    
 
PEN-5   12/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIPLE TITOS Nov05 Oct22 Oct05 Sep17 Aug24 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 122 8.00 8% 11.00    
2  BOOK OF DELANCEY Dec09 Nov23 Oct12 Sep21 Sep13 (hillegass ale)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 30.00    
3  ICHIGO Dec02 Mar09 Mar01 Jan25 Jan07 (meister wil)INIRIO J 122 15.00    
SCR  BLACK IRISH Dec02 Nov23 Nov08 Jun28 May18 (sells rac)VARGAS L 122 20.00 6% 14.60    
5  SAILOR SPEED Dec02 Sep29 Sep11 Aug31 Aug13 (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 5.00 16% 5.20    
6  HOFBURG PALACE Nov16 Oct04 Sep12 Aug22 Jul25 (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 3.50    
SCR  MAXIM MOMENT Dec07 Nov10 Oct16 Oct08 Aug19 (geist dav)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
8  ONCE A GIANT Dec02 Oct14 Sep01 Jul24 Jun04 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 121 2.50 ★    
 
PEN-6   12/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO EASY ANSWER Nov29 Nov08 Oct12 Sep16 Sep01 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 119 6.00 ★    
2  QUEEN ROSEMARY Nov25 Nov08 Oct18 Sep15 Aug17 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00 ★    
3  GUSSIE'S NOTION Nov18 Apr29 Apr06 Jan28   (shea lydee)INIRIO J 120 20.00    
4  DWELLER Nov29 Nov02 Oct12 Sep08 Aug05 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 119 3.50 18% 4.60    
5  SHANIA SEA Nov09 Oct24 Aug18 Jul22   (mcclellan e)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00    
6  PHANCY PHILLY Nov29 Oct26 Oct12 Sep07 Aug02 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 8.00    
SCR  BOWTOTHEQUEEN Nov29 Nov02 Oct12 Sep27   (stites w)AGUILAR M 119 12.00 5% 17.90    
8  ALWAYS MIA Nov29 Nov12 May05 Apr14 Mar05 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 1.60 50% 1.00    
9  ECLIPTICALS SARAH Nov29 Sep16 Jul28 Jul07   (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 30.00    
 
PEN-7   12/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC IN ME Nov12 Oct19 Sep28 Sep15 Aug26 (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 17% 5.10    
2  FAIRY DUST Nov04 Oct05 Sep09 Aug19 Jul21 (graci a)CORA D 120 5.00 ★    
3  ONE TOUGH ROSE Nov08 Oct19 Sep08 Jul29 Jul11 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00    
4  SOUTH HOUSE Dec02 Nov18 Oct19 Oct03 Sep08 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 12% 7.10    
5  GLOSSY MADRINA Dec06 Nov22 Nov02 Oct18 Sep02 (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 120 15.00 ★    
6  HUFFLEPUFF Nov24 Oct21 Oct09 Sep18 Aug13 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
SCR  SERENE WARRIOR Dec13 Oct24 Oct10 Sep22 Sep08 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 4.50 42% 1.40    
 
PEN-8   12/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEREAL I D Dec06 Nov16 Oct05 Sep26 Sep07 (boyer j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00    
2  THATSJUSTLOVELY Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Jul26 Jul01 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 20.00    
3  MISCHIEF MELODY Dec06 Nov16 Oct18 Oct04 Sep23 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 4.00 ★    
4  MISS CONVEYOR         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 5.00 17% 5.00    
5  WIN FOR LAILA Aug17 Aug05 Jul20     (zalalas michael)CORA D 123 6.00    
SCR  KATHY ONLY         (martinez jo)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 15.00 15% 5.80    
7  GOLD DOLL Oct21 Oct11 Sep23     (stites flin)INIRIO J 123 15.00    
8  DON'T TALK Dec06 Nov01 Jul24 May21   (lucas bonnie)CONNER TYLER 123 2.00 31% 2.20    
9  LILYSGOTACLUE         (mick r)RODRIGUEZ E 123 10.00 15% 5.80    
10  RIPPA Nov30 Oct28 Oct11 Aug26 Jun15 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 123 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.