Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Thursday - January 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-4   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $6.30 $2.30 58%
AQU-5   WIN (1/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $43.60 $35.60 445%
    DD (1/7)-(1/8/3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00  1-5 $49.00 $41.00 513%
AQU-6   TRI (8/2/7)-(8/2/7/9/5)-(8/2/7/9/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  8-9-5 $18.62 $0.62 3%
    SFT (8/2/7)-(8/2/7/9/5)-(8/2/7/9/5)-(8/2/7/9/5) 72 $0.10 $7.20  8-9-5-7 $13.72 $6.52 91%
    DD (1/8/3/5)-(8/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-8 $57.50 $45.50 379%
    PK3 (1/7)-(1/8/3/5)-(8/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00  1-5-8 $173.00 $149.00 621%
AQU-8   EXA (1/4/3/6/9)-(1/4/3/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-1 $23.40 $3.40 17%
    TRI (1/4/3/6/9)-(1/4/3/6/9)-(1/4/3/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-1-9 $215.75 $185.75 619%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :462 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY MAN MATTY 5 6 11 12   1 1¾ (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 122 0.80 42% 1.40 0.40 W
  (by KANTHAROS out of BEDSIDE POSSE by POSSE)
CALLALOO 6 2 21 22   2 2¾ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.50 10.50 P
  (by TRINNIBERG out of LEAPING LADY by MASS MEDIA)
EMPIRE SKY 4 4 4 32   34 3 (crook-demasi ka)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 26% 2.90 5.40 S
  (by KLIMT out of ILLUSIONAL SKY by SKY MESA)
DREAMPOINT 3 3 67 5   4 4 (sci)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00 9% 10.40 18.30  
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of DREAMED TO DREAM by DEPUTY WILD CAT)
RED D G P 1 5 55 6   610½ 510¾ (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 6.60  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SANDRA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
TREVOR BARDETTE 2 1 31 44   510 614¼ (donk davi)VARGAS A 122 8.00 16.30  
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of HATTA'S APPEAL by MIRACLE MAN)
 
AQU-2   01/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:113     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD SKATE 1 5 2½ 2nk   14 1 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80 12% 7.30 2.15 W
AMEDEUS MUSIC 2 6 65 4   3 2 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 4.90 P
KING JAMES (IRE) 4 1 31 33   46 310¼ (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 11% 7.90 2.50 S
WIN FOR GOLD 5 2 1½ 1nk   24 411¾ (miceli michae)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 45% 1.20 2.70  
ONE MORE SCORE 3 4 5 68   512½ 520 (brow)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 4.50 9% 9.70 15.20  
CATCHING CUPID 6 3 41 5   613½ 621 (arriaga )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 9.40  
 
AQU-3   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:47
See original race card.
:221 :46 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASALSA 3 2 3 33   1nk 11 (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 2.55  
POPPY'S PRIDE 2 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 21 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 52% 0.90 1.90 P
LOHENGRIN TWO 1 1 1½ 1nk   3.2 3 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 2.00 2.95 S
MIAMI CHROME 7 5 510½ 510   4 4 (loaiza ilmar)GOMEZ O 123 10.00 19.50  
MR. PETE 4 6 711 611   6 5 (sells ra)DAVIS A 120 8.00 6% 14.50 5.80  
MUSICAL AMERICA 6 7 611 711½   7 610 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 8.00 12% 7.60 16.20  
CAVARADOSSI 5 4 47 4   5 710¼ (engl)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 13.80  
 
AQU-4   01/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:114     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOWZYOURCASHFLOW 1 3 2½ 22   15 1 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 52% 0.90 2.15 W
WILL BE FAMOUS 6 1 1½ 12   25 2 (brow)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.50 2.10 P
1A  AUNT BERRA 5 2 31 3   315 316¾ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.00 2.15  
GERMANY JAYVO 4 5 58 514   419 421 (per)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 5.70  
MY GORGEOUS 2 7 69 413   519½ 522¾ (reynolds)DAVIS A 120 20.00 15.30  
MISS MIA LIA 7 4 713 721   626 628¼ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 24% 3.10 2.10  
INDYAN PENNY 3 6 47 615   726½ 736¼ (johnson clev)HARKIE K 120 20.00 37.00  
SCR  NIGHTSABER (GB)               (trites land)OLVER MADISON 110 10.00    
SCR  TAP IT UP               (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50    
 
AQU-5   01/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:132     1:202   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHASI 4 4 5 31   2nk 1¼ (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 12.00 8% 12.10 20.80 W
QUEENS OVER THREES 2 1 11 1½   1nk 2¼ (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 3.25  
AERON WARRIOR 3 2 21 41   44 3 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00 8% 12.10 26.50 S
PAUCILOQUENT 7 6 65 7   66 4 (bond jam)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 8% 12.10 5.30  
APEROL SPRITZ 1 5 42 5   5 5 (breen j)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 51% 1.00 2.10  
BLANCHIMENT 6 3 3 2½   3 6 (dipr)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 10.00 15.60  
MIDNIGHT ROSIE 5 7 75 6   7 710¼ (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 1.95  
SCR  GOOD MORNING KISS               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50    
 
AQU-6   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:224 :46 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICKFLASH 8 1 11 1   1 1 (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.00 33% 2.00 2.05 W
MAJESTIC TIGER 9 7 6 3   2 2 (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 4.00 5.10 P
BRUNATE 5 3 4 6   5 3 (bond ja)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 3.70 S
STORM SHOOTER 7 2 31 2   37 410 (rice linda)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00 11% 8.00 8.40  
EL MAYOR 4 6 5 47   48 512 (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 8.70  
WAHEEL 1 4 7 7   611 612½ (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 15.00 25.25  
BINGO JOHN 6 9 9 912½   814 716 (pregman john)SAMUEL L 120 20.00 28.25  
EXXTOP 3 8 8 812   914¼ 816¼ (thompson marc)PANAIJO JORGE 120 30.00 89.75  
TURNSANDCONDITIONS 2 5 21 5   711 917¼ (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 120 3.50 25% 3.00 4.00  
 
AQU-7   01/12/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:251 :501 1:15 1:403   1:54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIKED 2 2 31 2½ 2½ 12 1nk (terranova joh)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 38% 1.60 1.40 DQ↓3
MOMMASGOTTARUN 7 4 4 41 66 4 2nk (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 5.70  
SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 8 7 9 8 5 34 31 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 18% 4.50 4.30  
CARAGATE 3 8 5 52 33 5 46 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 5% 19.00 2.85  
1A  BABY MAN 9 1 11 1½ 1½ 22 57 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 4.30  
INTO HAPPINESS 5 9 8 9 78 6 69 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00 29.25  
MERCY MERCY 4 3 21 3½ 4 710½ 717½ (jones michael )ADORNO ABNER 123 5.00 12% 7.40 10.10  
VIENNA CODE 6 6 6 6 8 813½ 820¼ (wil)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 30.00 64.25  
BYHUBBYHELLOMONEY 1 5 7 7 910½ 917 926¼ (dunham g)OLVER MADISON 113 20.00 5% 19.00 21.00  
 
AQU-8   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEFT LEANING LUCY 4 1 3½ 3.2   1½ 1 (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 4.00 17% 4.70 4.20 W
SWEET AS SUGAR 1 4 2nk 1nk   2½ 2 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 36% 1.80 2.30 P
CARLY HUSTLE 8 7 7 7   5 34 (toscano john )FUENTES ERICK 110 30.00 5% 19.00 53.50 S
LONDON GOLD 5 6 5 4   34 46 (persaud )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00 8.20  
PRINCESS PINKY 6 8 6 6   77 57 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 7% 14.10 1.90  
KNOT ANYMORE 3 3 1nk 2nk   45 67 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 110 4.50 17% 4.80 7.90  
IDAKA 7 2 41 5   6 7 (bar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 10.00 9.50  
MORE MANGO 2 5 811¾ 810¼   810 8 (ferra)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00 36.00  
SCR  EXFILTRATION               (pregman john)SAMUEL L 120 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.