Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - January 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3/6/1)-(5/4/3/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(5/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(5/1/4/3)-(2/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3/2)-(5/1/4/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/4/3)-(2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/3)-(2/6/4)-(1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4/3/1)-(2/6/4/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(1/7)-(1/3/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/7)-(1/3/5/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(1/3/5/8)-(8/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/8)-(1/3/5/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/8)-(1/3/5/8/7)-(1/3/5/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/5/8)-(8/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/8)-(8/2/7)-(3/1/5/4/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-6   WIN (8/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/7)-(8/2/7/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7)-(8/2/7/9/5)-(8/2/7/9/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/2/7)-(3/1/5/4/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7)-(3/1/5/4/2)-(1/4/3/6/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
AQU-7   WIN (3/1/5/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/4/2)-(1/3/5/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/4/2)-(1/3/5/4/2)-(1/3/5/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/5/4/2)-(1/4/3/6/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/4/3/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/6/9)-(1/4/3/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/6/9)-(1/4/3/6/9)-(1/4/3/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED D G P Apr23 Mar18       (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 ★    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SANDRA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  TREVOR BARDETTE Dec15         (donk davi)VARGAS A 122 8.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of HATTA'S APPEAL by MIRACLE MAN)
3  DREAMPOINT Dec15 Nov18 Oct21 Sep24 Sep02 (sci)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00 9% 10.40    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of DREAMED TO DREAM by DEPUTY WILD CAT)
4  EMPIRE SKY Nov18 Sep25 Aug27 Aug07 Jul17 (crook-demasi ka)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by KLIMT out of ILLUSIONAL SKY by SKY MESA)
5  MY MAN MATTY Nov27         (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 122 0.80 42% 1.40    
  (by KANTHAROS out of BEDSIDE POSSE by POSSE)
6  CALLALOO Dec15 Nov13       (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.50 ★    
  (by TRINNIBERG out of LEAPING LADY by MASS MEDIA)
 
AQU-2   01/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD SKATE Dec16 Sep29 Aug07 Jul04 May21 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80 12% 7.30    
2  AMEDEUS MUSIC Dec31 Dec04 Nov10 Sep17 Aug09 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 ★    
3  ONE MORE SCORE Apr08 Mar28 Mar02 Feb06   (brow)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 4.50 9% 9.70    
4  KING JAMES (IRE) Dec01 Nov04 Jan08     (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 11% 7.90    
5  WIN FOR GOLD Dec11 Nov18 Nov12 Oct08 Aug20 (miceli michae)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 45% 1.20    
6  CATCHING CUPID Dec16 Dec02 Sep24 Aug11 Jul14 (arriaga )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
 
AQU-3   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOHENGRIN TWO Nov02 Oct24 Aug24 Aug02 Jul11 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 2.00 ★    
2  POPPY'S PRIDE Dec10 Oct21 Jun17 May20 Apr30 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
3  CASALSA Dec10 Sep01 Aug17 Jul10 May19 (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 ★    
4  MR. PETE Dec09 Nov02 Sep08 Aug05 Jun23 (sells ra)DAVIS A 120 8.00 6% 14.50    
5  CAVARADOSSI Dec16         (engl)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00    
6  MUSICAL AMERICA Dec29 Dec16 Dec04 Nov10 Oct27 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 8.00 12% 7.60    
7  MIAMI CHROME Jan05 Dec10 Nov28 Nov15 Oct24 (loaiza ilmar)GOMEZ O 123 10.00    
 
AQU-4   01/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOWZYOURCASHFLOW         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 52% 0.90    
1A  AUNT BERRA Dec18         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.00    
2  MY GORGEOUS Oct23 Sep25       (reynolds)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
3  INDYAN PENNY Dec11 Nov25 Oct27     (johnson clev)HARKIE K 120 20.00    
4  GERMANY JAYVO Dec04 Nov27       (per)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 ★    
5  WILL BE FAMOUS Dec06 Oct22 Oct08 Sep22 Aug07 (brow)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.50 ★    
SCR  NIGHTSABER (GB) Dec18 Nov06 Oct08 Sep22   (trites land)OLVER MADISON 110 10.00    
7  MISS MIA LIA Oct16         (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  TAP IT UP Nov27 Nov04 Oct08 Sep22   (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 ★    
 
AQU-5   01/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APEROL SPRITZ         (breen j)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 51% 1.00    
2  QUEENS OVER THREES Nov27 Oct30       (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
3  AERON WARRIOR         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  GOOD MORNING KISS Nov19 Oct28       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50    
5  SHASI         (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 12.00 8% 12.10    
6  MIDNIGHT ROSIE Dec03         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
7  BLANCHIMENT Dec02 Nov04 Sep25 Aug10   (dipr)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 10.00 ★    
8  PAUCILOQUENT         (bond jam)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 8% 12.10    
 
AQU-6   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAHEEL Dec10 Nov22 Nov09 Oct03 Sep14 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 15.00    
2  TURNSANDCONDITIONS Aug14 May29 May14 Apr15 Mar11 (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  EXXTOP Dec16 Nov20 Oct23 Oct10 Sep27 (thompson marc)PANAIJO JORGE 120 30.00    
4  EL MAYOR Dec18 Oct28 Oct13 Aug20 May05 (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
5  BRUNATE Dec10 Nov20 Oct27 Jul17 Jun04 (bond ja)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 ★    
6  BINGO JOHN Oct27 Sep24 May29 May14 Apr28 (pregman john)SAMUEL L 120 20.00    
7  STORM SHOOTER Dec10 Nov13 Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 (rice linda)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00 11% 8.00    
8  QUICKFLASH Dec07 Sep22 Aug26 Jul30 Jun11 (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.00 33% 2.00    
9  MAJESTIC TIGER Dec10 Oct28 Oct06 Sep04 Aug07 (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 4.00 ★    
 
AQU-7   01/12/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Dec16 Nov25 Oct28 Jul23 Jun02 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
1A  BABY MAN Dec30 Nov12 Sep22 Aug12 Jul10 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 ★    
2  BYHUBBYHELLOMONEY Dec11 Dec01 Oct15 Sep25 Jul22 (dunham g)OLVER MADISON 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SPIKED Nov25 Oct02 Jul29 Jun09 Mar12 (terranova joh)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 38% 1.60    
4  CARAGATE Dec01 Oct30 Sep24 Aug18 Jul21 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  MERCY MERCY Dec21 Oct10 Aug11 Jun03 May14 (jones michael )ADORNO ABNER 123 5.00 12% 7.40    
6  INTO HAPPINESS Dec11 Sep23 Jan14     (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00    
7  VIENNA CODE Dec16 Nov25 Oct28 Sep30 Sep05 (wil)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 30.00    
8  MOMMASGOTTARUN Dec31 Nov13 Oct06 Aug17 Jul17 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
 
AQU-8   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET AS SUGAR Sep23 Aug15 Jul13 Jun14 May16 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
2  MORE MANGO Dec18 Dec01 Oct13 Sep18 Jul29 (ferra)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00    
3  KNOT ANYMORE Dec15 Jul27 Jun10 May27 Apr22 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 110 4.50 17% 4.80    
4  LEFT LEANING LUCY Dec18 Nov16 Nov02 Oct10 Sep12 (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 4.00 17% 4.70    
5  LONDON GOLD Dec18 Dec01 Nov04 Oct13 Sep23 (persaud )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00    
6  PRINCESS PINKY Dec02 Oct22 Oct13 Aug17 Jun19 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 7% 14.10    
SCR  EXFILTRATION Dec18 Dec02 Aug04 Feb11 Jan06 (pregman john)SAMUEL L 120 30.00    
8  IDAKA Nov17 Oct08 Aug13 Jun04 May22 (bar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 10.00    
9  CARLY HUSTLE Dec01 Aug29 Jul19 Jul06 Jun14 (toscano john )FUENTES ERICK 110 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.