The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Aqueduct
Saturday - January 21, 2023
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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AQU-1   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
:233 :48       1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CHIEF ENGINEER 7 1 43 44   31½ 1¼ (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.00 16% 5.20 4.10 W
3  TREVOR BARDETTE 3 2 2½ 2½   1nk 2¼ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 3.00 9% 10.00 2.95 P
1  MAKART 1 4 55½ 56   54 32¼ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 21% 3.70 3.25 S
2  ESCAPE MISSION 2 5 1½ 1½   2nk 43¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 ★ 5.10  
5  PATRICK THE GREAT 5 3 3½ 33   43½ 56¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 32% 2.10 2.35  
6  TIZA BROWN 6 6 65¾ 66½   68½ 611¼ (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00 29.50  
4  IGOTTAHAVEIT 4 7 77¾ 710   79½ 711½ (dunham g)OLVER MADISON 112 20.00 47.25  
 
AQU-2   01/21/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
:234 :491 1:153 1:423   1:562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PHOEBE'S FROSTY 2 3 1nk 1nk 1½ 12½ 18½ (baker )HUAYAS (JASON) 116 2.00 27% 2.70 4.20 W
1  KONG LOVES A FIGHT 1 6 67 54 52½ 33 28½ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80 1.40  
4  B C GLORY DAYS 4 5 42½ 42½ 2½ 22½ 311¼ (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 120 3.50 28% 2.60 3.45 S
3  CENTAVO 3 4 2nk 2nk 3½ 49 415½ (chatter)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00 5% 19.00 32.25  
5  GIRAMONTE 5 2 32 31½ 42 516 519 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 120 3.50 ★ 2.30  
6  LORD BROWNIE 6 1 54 64¼ 67 619½ 630¼ (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 120 12.00 10% 9.10 25.25  
 
AQU-3   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 1:18
:231 :47 :59     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MAMA'S GOLD 4 2 11 13   19 121¼ (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40 24% 3.20 0.40 W
8  WEST STAR 7 8 77½ 57¾   312 221¼ (kantarmaci me)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 8.00 ★ 18.30 P
9  CAMM' DUKE 8 5 21 23   29 322½ (ryerson t)ADORNO ABNER 120 12.00 9.30  
2  LIEUTENANT SAM 2 6 66½ 79¼   514½ 424¼ (bond harol)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00 10.20  
6  MILAGROSO 5 3 33½ 37½   413 525¾ (brown r)OLVER MADISON 110 20.00 57.00  
1  HOT ROD LINCOLN 1 7 88½ 812¾   817 630 (rodrigu)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 6.00 ★ 4.60  
3  THE CATILLAC KID 3 4 54½ 68¾   715 731½ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00 16.50  
1A  M. C. DOUBLE R 6 1 44 47½   614½ 835¼ (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 4.60  
SCR  CENTRAL LOVE               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  SOMAMA BEACH               (davis d)HARKIE K 120 20.00    
 
AQU-4   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:47
:234 :48 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFLEET ARLENE 1 4 1½ 1½   16 19½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40 43% 1.30 0.80 W
2  DARN THAT SONG 2 5 2½ 2½   26 29½ (sells rachel)HARKIE K 123 6.00 ★ 7.10 P
4  HANDLE THE TRUTH 4 3 31 33   37 311¾ (metivie)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 12.00 16.50  
5  AMERICA'S PRIDE 5 6 52½ 43½   49 416¾ (morley)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.00 7% 12.90 1.85  
6  SHEZA RAJUN CAJUN 6 1 41 54½   510½ 518¼ (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 110 10.00 23.40  
3  PREDETERMINED 3 7 64½ 67½   614 622¼ (sciacca )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 21.20  
8  MIDMON 7 2 75½ 714½   734 777 (clarke dyl)DAVIS A 120 20.00 5% 19.00 33.50  
SCR  BEN'S SUNNY ISLAND               (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 23% 3.30    
 
AQU-5   01/21/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
:232 :471 1:133     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS 1 8 813½ 810¼ 88¼ 72¾ 12 (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00 9.30  
1  CRYPTO CASH 2 5 77 75¾ 43 21 22 (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 120 10.00 6% 14.50 16.50  
3  COOL QUARTET 3 6 54 54 64¼ 52 32 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 18% 4.40 6.10 S
6  MY FRIENDS BEER 6 4 66½ 65½ 54 42 42¾ (bernardini juan )LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 3.45  
8  OPTIC WAY 8 2 31½ 21 2nk 11 54 (camejo j)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 2.50 17% 4.90 1.80  
4  AIR SHOW 4 3 1½ 11 1nk 31½ 610 (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 8.00 7% 12.40 10.70  
5  DARK STORM 5 7 43 42 32½ 62¼ 710 (kantarmaci me)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 4.00 21% 3.80 4.90  
7  BALLYDOOLEY (GB) 7 1 2½ 31 77¾ 812¾ 826½ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 15.00 13.60  
SCR  CARIBBEAN (AUS)               (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 113 10.00 ★    
 
AQU-6   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($33K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:47
:231 :47 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  O'TROUBLE 2 2 41¼ 12   13½ 12 (jacobson d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 1.80 33% 2.00 2.45 W
6  DURKIN'S CALL 6 8 86¼ 33   23½ 22 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 17% 4.80 2.90 P
4  ALARM CLOCK 4 5 51¾ 43½   36 36½ (follett norman)DAVIS KATIE 115 12.00 ★ 14.50 S
1  QUICK RETURN 1 4 31 22   47 48¾ (arriaga antonio)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 2.95  
5  YES SIR ROBERT 5 7 63¼ 64   58 59¼ (maldonado j)VARGAS A 123 15.00 9% 10.30 13.50  
3  LOST IN ROME 3 6 73¾ 87½   710 610½ (younghans will)HARKIE K 120 6.00 4.60  
8  CASH NOW 8 1 1nk 54   610 714½ (skelton dawn)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 18.60  
7  POPPY'S PRIDE 7 3 2nk 75½   811½ 815½ (sciacc)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 15.00 13% 6.90 26.25  
 
AQU-7   01/21/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
:231 :461 1:113     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WHO HOO THATS ME 4 7 42½ 31½   21 1½ (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 30% 2.30 1.40 W
7  EXCELLENT TIMING 6 2 1nk 11½   11 2½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.80 ★ 1.50 P
5  BIG ENGINE 5 3 78 711   58 34¼ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 5.00 4.90  
1  LISTENTOYOURHEART 1 1 32 43½   35 47 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00 24% 3.20 11.30  
8  BREW PUB 7 5 64 68½   68½ 57½ (arenas marcelo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 15.00 29.25  
2  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS 2 4 2nk 21½   45 614¼ (kantarmaci me)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 8.00 9% 9.70 13.20  
3  CHOWDA 3 6 53½ 58   716½ 731 (sciacca gary)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00 28.00  
SCR  ARTHUR'S HOPE               (salazar marco)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 14% 6.40    
 
AQU-8   01/21/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:47
:233 :471 1:123     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BETSY BLUE 5 5 41½ 52   32 11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 0.60 32% 2.10 0.30 W
3  PIECE OF MY HEART 3 1 52½ 41½   21 21 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 16% 5.10 5.10 P
2  MISS T TOO 2 2 1nk 1½   11 32 (mccarthy michael )CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00 25% 2.90 8.40 S
1  SELF ISOLATION 1 4 3½ 2½   46 410 (jacobson david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 8.90  
4  FLIGHT TO SHANGHAI 4 3 2nk 31   511½ 524¼ (de hora)VARGAS A 118 10.00 6% 15.50 12.80  
SCR  EASY TO BLESS               (ferraro ja)DAVIS A 118 20.00 ★    
 
AQU-9   01/21/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 4:16
:233 :473 1:131     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLIP MAHONEY 1 2 2½ 1nk 11 1nk 1nk (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 34% 2.00 0.90 W
7  CRUPI 7 10 107¾ 64¾ 21 2nk 2nk (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 24% 3.20 2.60 P
2  GOOD RAPPORT 2 3 3½ 31 31½ 35 315 (rodriguez rudy)HARKIE K 120 20.00 74.75  
4  ALTERNATE REALITY 4 5 72¾ 87¼ 710½ 612 415¾ (englehart )DAVIS A 120 20.00 20% 3.90 24.75  
8  MERCANTE 8 6 41½ 43 55 511½ 520¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 ★ 10.80  
10  LIGHT THE WAY 10 7 51¾ 53¼ 66 712¼ 620¾ (nevin mi)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 27.25  
9  FAST BOAT TO SKYE 9 1 1½ 2nk 42 49½ 721½ (donk david)VARGAS A 120 12.00 13.20  
5  WAVE ACTION 5 8 94¼ 98¼ 923½ 824¼ 838¼ (serpe )HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00 39.25  
3  YORKSHIRE PRINCE 3 4 83¼ 1010¼ 822½ 925¾ 954¼ (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 ★ 13.60  
6  WEDNESDAYNIGHT LAD 6 9 62¼ 76¾ 1030½ 1034¾ 1056¾ (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00 16.70  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.