The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Aqueduct
Saturday - January 28, 2023

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AQU-1   01/28/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT-12:10
:233 :48 1:124     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. SWAGGER 6 2 21 21   1nk 1¾ (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 120 4.00 3.70  
REGISTER 5 1 11 11   2nk 2¾ (donk david)VARGAS A 120 2.00 51% 1.00 1.75 P
TREATY OBLIGATION 7 5 5 54   43(brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 16% 5.30 2.50 S
ASMODEUS 2 7 42 43   346 (morey )HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
PAROS 3 3 32 3   55(rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 10.80  
GOTTA CONNECT 1 4 66 6   614¼ 627½ (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 8.40  
BIG ELM 4 6 7 78   714¾ 728½ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 11.20  
 
AQU-2   01/28/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT-12:40
:231 :461 1:133     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DATESFREEDOM 4 5 4 410½   1nk 1¼ (delauro)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 12.00 28.75  
CHARGER 2 2 24 28   2nk 2¼ (rodriguez rudy )OLVER MADISON 110 3.50 5.00 P
COUSIN ANDREW 1 4 58 511½   3½ 31 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.50 63% 0.60 0.45 S
TURNSANDCONDITIONS 3 3 3 38   42 4(persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00 5.30  
ALITE 5 6 69 614   6510 (pringle edmund)FUENTES ERICK 110 30.00 41.50  
FENWAY 6 1 14 18   55 623¾ (jones edua)DAVIS A 123 10.00 6.40  
SCR  TOP OF THE MINT               (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 8% 11.20    
 
AQU-3   01/28/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
:243 :49 1:133 1:392   1:523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURBSTONE 4 1 21 1nk 1½ 1112¼ (morley thomas)OLVER MADISON 113 2.00 1.65  
GUT FEELING 2 4 11 2nk 2½ 2212¼ (jones michael )LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 1.40 60% 0.70 1.50 P
ACHILLES HEEL 3 3 3 3 3 312½ 317¾ (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 10.90  
HANG TIGHT 6 6 610½ 613 619½ 521½ 423¼ (thompson m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 5% 18.30 19.80  
SKYLANDER 1 5 54 4 4 416½ 524¼ (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 6% 14.60 6.00  
HIGHER QUALITY 5 2 44 53 5 627 636 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 6.00 6% 17.10 5.70  
SCR  CAGNEY               (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
SCR  OPEN TIL MIDNIGHT               (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
 
AQU-4   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 1:41
:231 :472 1:003     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTIN HOT 8 2 53 4   31¾ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 29% 2.50 1.05 W
SHAMAN PRINCESS 2 6 3 31   21 2¾ (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 22.00  
SLOW DOWN SUMMER 1 1 1½ 11   11 3(rodriguez r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 6% 14.60 3.70 S
KARA PARA 3 3 74 7   546 (ryerson t)PENNINGTON F 120 6.00 9.10  
LADY BANKER 6 5 2½ 21   44 5(gargan dann)VARGAS A 120 5.00 10.90  
CAUSE I'M ELEGANT 5 8 910½ 912¼   86(donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00 39.75  
FLAT OUT PHYLLY 7 7 8 6   67(dugga)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 22% 3.60 10.40  
DERWIN'S PAYNTER 9 9 6 8   9811¼ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 16% 5.20 6.60  
BLANCHIMENT 4 4 42 5   79 919½ (diprima gr)DAVIS A 120 12.00 29.75  
 
AQU-5   01/28/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:19
:233 :472 1:124     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLOWSITY 2 5 5 4   11(ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 2.00 24% 3.10 1.90 W
CUPIDS GIRL 8 1 3½ 31   22(ryerson t)PENNINGTON F 120 4.00 12% 7.10 4.70 P
REIGNING CHICK 6 3 4¾ 5   4311½ (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 21% 3.70 2.75 S
DIVINE WINE 5 4 2nk 2nk   3413½ (rodriguez gusta)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 6.20  
TRUE EMPRESS 7 8 8 7   58 513¾ (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00 4.40  
GAME THEORY 4 2 1nk 1nk   68 615 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 10.00 22.20  
DEVILLY 1 6 6 65   79 715 (ferraro ja)DAVIS A 123 15.00 11% 8.20 36.50  
FREDDYMO FACTOR 3 7 7 810½   815 823¼ (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 20.00 7% 13.20 42.25  
 
AQU-6   01/28/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:53
:232 :47 1:131     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY SWEET WIFE 6 5 62 5 32 32 11 (nevin michelle)PENNINGTON F 120 4.50 18% 4.60 3.00 W
DAME CINCO 3 1 3½ 3 1nk 1½ 21 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 2.15 P
TONED UP 1 6 78 78 76 54 3(hills ti)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 4.00 9.70  
LIAM'S KISS 2 2 1nk 2½ 2nk 2½ 4(pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50 33% 2.00 3.80  
FLASHNDYNAMITE 4 4 41 4 4 45(moore mich)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 10.00 8% 11.00 22.70  
CAIRONI 7 3 5 6 6 66(miceli mic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00 12.30  
MASHNEE GIRL 5 7 2nk 1½ 5 7715½ (hennig)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 3.00 15% 5.50 3.75  
 
AQU-7   01/28/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
:224 :454 1:102     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REPO ROCKS 4 3 32 3   14 1(ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 4.50 10% 9.30 10.20 W
LITTLE VIC 6 1 21 2½   24 2(avila carlos)OLIVERO A 122 3.50 3.70  
DRAFTED 3 5 65 55   43(dugga)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 4.00 46% 1.20 5.00 S
PIRATE RICK 2 2 11 1½   34 410¼ (cash norma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 14% 6.30 1.30  
THREE TWO ZONE 1 6 7 7   514 518 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 8.10  
SYNTHESIS 7 7 4 4   714¾ 620¼ (jacobson davi)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 10.00 24.50  
MILTON THE MONSTER 5 4 5 66   614½ 720¼ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 5.70  
SCR  DOUBLE CROWN               (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 20.00 7% 13.90    
SCR  WENDELL FONG               (lynch natal)VARGAS A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-8   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
:232 :48 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKED BY GOLD 5 3 2½ 2½   11 1hd (quick)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 3.50 10% 9.20 4.50 W
ROYAL CURRENCY 3 4 42 3   21 2hd (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80 58% 0.70 1.40 P
JET SET JULIET 1 1 1½ 1½   31 3(dunham g)OLVER MADISON 110 10.00 9.90  
BANKERS DAUGHTER 6 6 6 52   448 (d'ales)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 12.00 6% 16.90 12.40  
TRY IT AGAIN 7 2 32 42   5511 (maker j)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 6.50  
FANCY FELINE 2 7 7 6   67 613¼ (bond jame)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 2.45  
STEAL MY HEART 4 5 53 74   7719¼ (clarke dylan)ALPANDER B 123 20.00 69.50  
SCR  HONORABLE LILLY               (sells)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 15.00    
 
AQU-9   01/28/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
:234 :474 1:13     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MAKER'S CANDY 10 2 3½ 3½ 1 16 1(maker mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00 7% 14.30 2.30 W
BOURBON CHASE 3 8 52 4 34 26 2(pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 39% 1.60 2.40 P
DUDLEY DICKERSON 2 9 98 9 511 415½ 314 (linder j)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 15.00 5% 19.00 40.50 S
FACTUALLY CORRECT 5 1 1nk 1½ 2 310½ 415½ (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 30% 2.40 2.55  
WHO ME 7 4 2nk 2½ 410 517½ 518¾ (thomp)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00 32.25  
WYNN GIANT 9 3 6 6 712½ 621½ 624 (englehart jeffr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 8.90  
AMERICAN GRANT 1 7 41 5 612 722½ 730 (brown )HUAYAS (JASON) 113 12.00 23.20  
OLLIE CAN DANCE 8 10 1018 1021¾ 1028½ 933 838¼ (nevin mich)DAVIS A 120 20.00 43.25  
FOUR EYES 4 5 7 7 818 832½ 947¼ (d'alessandro ralp)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
INCANTATION 6 6 8 8 926½ 1036½ 1051½ (bond harold)VARGAS A 120 20.00 24.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.