Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - January 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/6/2/4)-(5/7/6/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2)-(2)-(2/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/4/3/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2)-(2/1/6/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2)-(2/1/6/7)-(8/7/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/7)-(2/1/6/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/7)-(2/1/6/7/4)-(2/1/6/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/6/7)-(8/7/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/7)-(8/7/9/1)-(2/6/8/1/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-4   WIN (8/7/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/9/1)-(8/7/9/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/7/9/1)-(8/7/9/1/3)-(8/7/9/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/7/9/1)-(2/6/8/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/7/9/1)-(2/6/8/1/3)-(2/6/5/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/6/8/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/1/3)-(2/6/8/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/1/3)-(2/6/8/1/3)-(2/6/8/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/8/1/3)-(2/6/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8/1/3)-(2/6/5/4)-(3/2/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/4)-(2/6/5/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/4)-(2/6/5/4/3)-(2/6/5/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/5/4)-(3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/4)-(3/2/6)-(4/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(4/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(4/6/7)-(3/5/10/2/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
AQU-8   WIN (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/7/3/5)-(4/6/7/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/6/7)-(3/5/10/2/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
AQU-9   WIN (3/5/10/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/10/2/4)-(3/5/10/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/10/2/4)-(3/5/10/2/4)-(3/5/10/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOTTA CONNECT         (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
  (by CONNECT out of ARISIA by DECLARATION OF WAR)
2  ASMODEUS         (more)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SPANISH POST by FLATTER)
3  PAROS Nov19 Oct22 Sep24     (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of KALABAKA by TRAPPE SHOT)
4  BIG ELM         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 ★    
  (by KANTHAROS out of HOKEY OKEY by LONHRO (AUS))
5  REGISTER Jan06         (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 2.00 51% 1.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of CHAMPAGNE SUE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  MR. SWAGGER         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 120 4.00 ★    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of TEE OFF by THUNDER GULCH)
7  TREATY OBLIGATION         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 16% 5.30    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of HEAVENLY TAP by TAPIT)
 
AQU-2   01/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOP OF THE MINT Nov12 Oct02 Aug19 Jun16 May05 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 8% 11.20    
2  COUSIN ANDREW Jan01 Dec16 Dec01 Aug10 Jul28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.50 63% 0.60    
3  CHARGER Jan07 Dec06 Oct13 Sep04 Aug13 (rodriguez rud)OLVER MADISON 110 3.50 ★    
4  TURNSANDCONDITIONS Jan12 Aug14 May29 May14 Apr15 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00 ★    
5  DATESFREEDOM Jan05 Dec15 Nov16 Nov01 Oct18 (delau)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 12.00 ★    
6  ALITE Jan14 Dec11 Nov05 Oct14 Oct02 (pringle edmun)FUENTES ERICK 110 30.00    
7  FENWAY Jan20 Dec31 Nov19 Oct20 Oct01 (jones ed)DAVIS A 123 10.00    
 
AQU-3   01/28/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKYLANDER Jan07 Dec03 Oct22 Oct08 Aug10 (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 6% 14.60    
2  GUT FEELING Dec18 Sep25 Aug24 Jul29 Jun03 (jones michae)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 1.40 60% 0.70    
3  ACHILLES HEEL Jan07 Dec02 Nov05 Sep28 Aug29 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
4  CURBSTONE Dec09 Nov19 Jul27 Jul02 Jun09 (morley thomas)OLVER MADISON 113 2.00 ★    
SCR  OPEN TIL MIDNIGHT Jan08 Dec11 Oct30 Feb11   (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
6  HIGHER QUALITY Aug28 Jul16 Jun11 Apr16   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 6.00 6% 17.10    
7  HANG TIGHT Jan08 Dec02 Oct16 Aug19 Jul25 (thompson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 5% 18.30    
SCR  CAGNEY (BRZ) Jan05 Oct29 Aug17 Jun23 May20 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
 
AQU-4   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLOW DOWN SUMMER Dec16 Nov19 Sep30 Jul28   (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 6% 14.60    
2  SHAMAN PRINCESS         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
3  KARA PARA Dec16 Nov18 Nov04 Oct06 Sep05 (ryerson james )PENNINGTON F 120 6.00 ★    
4  BLANCHIMENT Jan12 Dec02 Nov04 Sep25 Aug10 (diprima )DAVIS A 120 12.00    
5  CAUSE I'M ELEGANT Nov19         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00    
6  LADY BANKER         (gargan da)VARGAS A 120 5.00    
7  FLAT OUT PHYLLY Nov23 Nov08       (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
8  BUSTIN HOT Nov27 Oct30       (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
9  DERWIN'S PAYNTER Dec18         (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 16% 5.20    
 
AQU-5   01/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVILLY Dec17 Dec02 Nov04 Sep22 Aug19 (ferraro )DAVIS A 123 15.00 11% 8.20    
2  GLOWSITY Dec18 Nov19 Oct29 Oct06 Sep24 (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 2.00 24% 3.10    
3  FREDDYMO FACTOR Jun25 Apr29 Apr02 Mar11 Feb12 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 20.00 7% 13.20    
4  GAME THEORY Jan08 Dec16 Dec01 Nov04 Oct13 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 10.00    
5  DIVINE WINE Dec31 Dec08 Nov17 Oct21 Sep22 (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00    
6  REIGNING CHICK Jan15 Dec10 Nov27 Oct25 Sep22 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 21% 3.70    
7  TRUE EMPRESS Dec17 Dec02 Oct20 Sep18 Jul22 (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00    
8  CUPIDS GIRL Dec02 Oct06 Aug11 Jul16 Jun23 (ryerson james )PENNINGTON F 120 4.00 12% 7.10    
 
AQU-6   01/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONED UP Dec30 Dec01 Oct28 Sep05 Aug06 (hills )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 4.00    
2  LIAM'S KISS Dec14 Mar03 Jan22     (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50 33% 2.00    
3  DAME CINCO Jan07 Dec10 Oct28 Oct06 Sep23 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 ★    
4  FLASHNDYNAMITE Jan09 Dec16 Nov15 Oct26 Oct01 (moore mi)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 10.00 8% 11.00    
5  MASHNEE GIRL Dec17 Oct30 Sep05 Aug12 Jul10 (henn)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 3.00 15% 5.50    
6  MY SWEET WIFE Dec16 Nov10 Oct13 Aug04 Jun26 (nevin michelle)PENNINGTON F 120 4.50 18% 4.60    
7  CAIRONI Jan07 Nov18 Oct29 Sep30 Aug19 (miceli m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00    
 
AQU-7   01/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC12 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREE TWO ZONE Dec30 Aug27 Jul17 Jun17 May21 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of STAR RATING by DANSILI (GB))
2  PIRATE RICK Jan22 Dec30 Dec14 Nov28 Nov12 (cash nor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 14% 6.30    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DADDY LOVES GOLD by SCAT DADDY)
3  DRAFTED Dec30 Oct29 Oct08 Aug27 Jul02 (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 4.00 46% 1.20    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of KEEP THE PROFIT by DARN THAT ALARM)
SCR  WENDELL FONG Jan04 Nov21 Oct24 Sep10 Jul20 (lynch nat)VARGAS A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of AUGUSTA QUEEN by FORESTRY)
SCR  DOUBLE CROWN Jan07 Dec17 Dec03 Oct29 Oct22 (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 20.00 7% 13.90    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of TWO COLUMBUS by TWO PUNCH)
6  REPO ROCKS Jan04 Nov23 Oct29 Oct03 Aug10 (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 4.50 10% 9.30    
  (by TAPITURE out of HAWAIIAN LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  MILTON THE MONSTER Jan01 Dec03 Oct24 Sep24 Aug14 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of RAGING STORM by ILLINOIS STORM)
8  LITTLE VIC Dec30 Nov26 Oct20 Sep24 Aug23 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 122 3.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ROCK AND GLORY by ROCK HARD TEN)
9  SYNTHESIS Dec09 Nov26 Sep30 Sep14 Jun26 (jacobson da)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 10.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of TRUST IN HOPE by BERNARDINI)
 
AQU-8   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HONORABLE LILLY Jan13 Dec14 Nov16 Oct26 Oct17 (sel)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 15.00    
2  JET SET JULIET Oct22 Sep25 Sep04 Aug05 Jun25 (dunham g)OLVER MADISON 110 10.00    
3  FANCY FELINE Nov18 Oct22 Sep05 Jul22 Apr30 (bond ja)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 ★    
4  ROYAL CURRENCY Jan06 Nov17 Sep17 Aug20 Jul31 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80 58% 0.70    
5  STEAL MY HEART Dec30 Dec15 Nov06 Oct03 May11 (clarke dylan)ALPANDER B 123 20.00 ★    
6  BACKED BY GOLD Jan13 Dec18 Nov02 Oct10 Sep12 (qui)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 3.50 10% 9.20    
7  BANKERS DAUGHTER Jan15 Dec15 Nov16 Sep05 Aug09 (d'al)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 12.00 6% 16.90    
8  TRY IT AGAIN Jan05         (maker j)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
 
AQU-9   01/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN GRANT Jan07 Dec10       (brow)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 12.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of AMERICAN PRAYER by QUIET AMERICAN)
2  DUDLEY DICKERSON Jan03 Nov21       (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of PRETTY LADY by SCAT DADDY)
3  BOURBON CHASE Jan06 Dec08 Nov13 Oct09   (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of UTANA by CURLIN)
4  FOUR EYES Dec31 Dec10 Nov02     (d'alessandro ra)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of EYE TO EYE by NOONMARK)
5  FACTUALLY CORRECT Dec31 Nov26 Oct21     (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by TOURIST out of KACY LAUREN by UTOPIA)
6  INCANTATION Dec17         (bond haro)VARGAS A 120 20.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of STRANGE MAGIC by LAWYER RON)
7  WHO ME Dec30 Nov27 Oct22 Sep23 Aug04 (tho)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of YOU GO TO MY HEAD by SUPER SAVER)
8  OLLIE CAN DANCE         (nevin mi)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of TOKEN BAY by GOLD TOKEN)
9  WYNN GIANT Jan06 Nov11 Oct27     (englehart jef)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
  (by FREUD out of ELROSE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
10  MAKER'S CANDY Dec31         (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00 7% 14.30    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PURPLE CAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.