Handicappers' Race Results
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Penn National
Friday - January 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
PEN-1   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
PEN-2   Win (8/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
PEN-3   Win (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $20.20 $20.20 14.20
PEN-4   Win (6/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $11.60  
PEN-5   Win (6/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $30.40  
PEN-6   Win (7/4/6/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $13.40 $13.40 3.40
PEN-7   Win (3/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $14.80  
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:223 :462 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ALL THAT MAGIC 4 3 1½ 11   14 18 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 28% 2.60 1.70 W
1  SUNSHINE LINDA 1 4 2½ 32   24 28 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 2.50 40% 1.50 1.70 P
2  DUST BUNNY 2 7 55 55½   37 38½ (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 10.00 38.50  
5  LET'S GO MO 5 1 65¼ 67   510½ 410½ (miller a)CONNER TYLER 124 10.00 17.90  
3  BABY BLUE 3 6 76¾ 79   712 514¼ (rodriguez frankli)RODRIGUEZ E 124 10.00 ★ 17.60  
6  SCOREBOARD LILY 6 2 31 21   47½ 615¾ (lucas bonni)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 8% 11.10 2.40  
7  HOLLI THE DOLLY 7 5 45 45½   610½ 716¼ (grusmark karl)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 ★ 13.80  
 
PEN-2   01/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:133 1:264   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ONCE A GIANT 8 1 33 34½ 2nk 13½ 15½ (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 2.00 34% 1.90 0.70 W
6  BUFF AND SHINE 6 2 2½ 22½ 1nk 23½ 25½ (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 27% 2.70 16.80 P
3  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 3 4 64 58 53¼ 35 36¾ (albright ge)VARGAS L 122 8.00 22.90  
4  JUMP FREE 4 5 1½ 12½ 3½ 45 48¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 16.80  
2  ICHIGO 2 3 53½ 69 68¼ 59 510 (meister s)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 25.30  
1  BLACK IRISH 1 7 74½ 811 78¾ 710¾ 616 (sells rachel)INIRIO J 122 15.00 9% 10.20 26.70  
5  HAYROLL 5 6 43½ 47 43 610½ 717¾ (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 ★ 2.70  
7  WHATA GUY 7 8 84¾ 79½ 89¼ 814¼ 821 (lake a)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 ★ 5.80  
 
PEN-3   01/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:143 1:413   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FORECLOSURE 4 5 53 45 33 1nk 11¾ (houghton th)VARGAS L 124 10.00 13% 6.80 9.10 W
4  RUN AWAY EMPIRE 3 1 11½ 12 12½ 2nk 21¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 36% 1.80 1.70 P
7  BENCH PRESS 5 7 74¾ 76½ 43½ 34 37 (agnew naoise)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 24% 3.20 1.50 S
9  MR. REDOLFO 7 4 63¼ 65½ 54½ 45 47¼ (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 10.00 11.60  
3  FLAT BUSTED 2 2 21½ 22 22½ 55¼ 510¼ (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 124 8.00 10.80  
8  FINNOGGINDUDE 6 3 32 34½ 68½ 615¼ 622 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 15.00 39.40  
2  FIRE D'ROCKET 1 6 43 55½ 719½ 739¼ 771 (colgan a)CHIAPPE R 124 6.00 5.10  
SCR  COMMANDING               (rodriguez frankli)RODRIGUEZ E 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  HUSHEMUP               (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 119 4.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  AGGRANDIZE 7 1 45 41¾   12½ 14¼ (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00 4.80  
5  MONEYONTHELINE 5 4 33½ 31½   32½ 24¼ (cooper stacey)CHIAPPE R 122 4.50 ★ 8.40 P
2  D'STORM 2 3 11 11½   22½ 38¾ (stites flint )INIRIO J 122 20.00 34.90  
6  MISCHIEVIOUSBUD 6 2 21 21½   44½ 49 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00 34% 2.00 1.20  
8  DIXIE CANNONBALL 8 5 56 69¼   611¾ 513½ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 30% 2.40 3.70  
3  BUSTER BRUNO 3 8 66½ 57¾   511½ 614¾ (bentley fenneka)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 12% 7.60 4.60  
4  GERONIMO (CHI) 4 7 87 811¼   813¾ 716¾ (stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 10.00 ★ 19.60  
1  NOTORIOUS REY 1 6 76½ 711¼   713¾ 818 (ippolito ma)VARGAS L 122 20.00 60.60  
 
PEN-5   01/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:123 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  STRAIGHT UP GUY 3 7 77 75¾ 41 11 13¾ (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00 14.20  
8  DAKOTA OUTLAW 8 4 32½ 33 3½ 21 23¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 ★ 3.60 P
1  ALPHA SIXTY SIX 1 5 22 22 2nk 33 35¾ (crook-demas)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 19% 4.30 6.00 S
2  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY 2 1 12 12 1nk 45 46 (salinas jose)FLORES E 120 15.00 17.60  
7  ELEVATED FOREVER 7 8 810½ 88¼ 66 68 58½ (garrido raul)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 7% 13.00 5.60  
5  MIDDLE EARTH 5 2 64½ 54 52½ 57½ 611¼ (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 17% 4.80 4.20  
9  MASTER OF WAR 9 9 911½ 911¾ 911½ 711 711¾ (castillo sanche)RANGEL JOEZER 120 10.00 13.20  
4  DEVIOUS BANKER 4 6 54½ 44 77½ 812½ 818¾ (grusmark karl)INIRIO J 120 10.00 10.00  
6  WICKED CRAZY 6 3 44 65½ 810½ 916½ 928½ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 27% 2.60 3.40  
 
PEN-6   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  AMERICAN PYRAMID 7 4 1nk 11   1½ 1¼ (coletti edw)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 22% 3.60 5.70 W
4  MOONSAFE 4 6 31½ 21   2½ 2¼ (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 18% 4.60 3.90 P
2  TIMELY TRADITION 2 3 51¾ 63¾   34½ 35 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 12% 7.40 9.40 S
5  BRAMBLE BUSH 5 7 75¼ 53½   44½ 46½ (maymo j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 6% 14.80 11.40  
3  HONORABLE LILLY 3 1 41¾ 43½   54¾ 57 (sells rachel)INIRIO J 120 10.00 31.00  
6  JACKIE THE JOKER 6 5 62¼ 31½   66¼ 69½ (mosco robe)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 2.50 17% 4.80 0.90  
1  BETTY'S SMILE 1 2 2nk 73¾   79¾ 714 (grusmark karl)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 7.20  
 
PEN-7   01/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:114 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEE JAY 1 4 2½ 11 14 16½ 19¾ (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 6.40  
3  LTL BEAR SALOON 3 1 3½ 42 24 26½ 29¾ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 33% 2.00 8.10 P
8  SIR REX 7 6 65¼ 54½ 35½ 39½ 312¼ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 31% 2.20 1.90 S
5  OVER AND THUNDER 5 5 4¾ 21 46 512 415¾ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 ★ 3.30  
4  E T'S SUPER STAR 4 3 54¾ 69½ 610 615 516 (bouchard lesl)DE KEMICH 113 12.00 5.50  
2  FED CHAIR 2 2 1½ 31½ 56½ 411½ 616½ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 ★ 6.00  
6  LOUIE'S LAW 6 7 77¼ 710 714 721 718¼ (lake a)INIRIO J 115 10.00 9.50  
SCR  RISEN SAVIOR               (kulp brandon )CORUJO LEONARDO 120 8.00 9% 10.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.