Handicappers' Racing Form
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Penn National
Friday - January 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
PEN-1   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-2   Win (8/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-3   Win (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-4   Win (6/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-5   Win (6/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-6   Win (7/4/6/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
PEN-7   Win (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
PEN-1   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNSHINE LINDA Dec27 Nov23 Nov01     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
2  DUST BUNNY Dec27 Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 Oct21 (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 10.00    
3  BABY BLUE Oct01 Sep11       (rodriguez frankli)RODRIGUEZ E 124 10.00 ★    
4  ALL THAT MAGIC Dec14         (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  LET'S GO MO Dec14 Nov22 Sep14 Aug18   (miller a)CONNER TYLER 124 10.00    
6  SCOREBOARD LILY Oct05 Sep16 Aug18 Jul20   (lucas bonni)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 8% 11.10    
7  HOLLI THE DOLLY         (grusmark k)DAVIS A 122 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   01/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK IRISH Dec02 Nov23 Nov08 Jun28 May18 (sells rachel)INIRIO J 122 15.00 9% 10.20    
2  ICHIGO Dec20 Dec02 Mar09 Mar01 Jan25 (meister s)AGUILAR M 122 12.00    
3  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Dec09 Nov25 Nov08 Oct12 Sep22 (albright ge)VARGAS L 122 8.00    
4  JUMP FREE Dec30 Dec14 May21 Apr27 Apr06 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
5  HAYROLL Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 Sep23 Sep05 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 ★    
6  BUFF AND SHINE Dec30 Nov18 Nov02 Oct14 Sep07 (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
7  WHATA GUY Jan02 Dec13 Nov22 Nov07 Oct17 (lake a)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 ★    
8  ONCE A GIANT Dec20 Dec02 Oct14 Sep01 Jul24 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
PEN-3   01/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HUSHEMUP Dec09 Nov24 Nov04 Oct20 Sep29 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 119 4.00 ★    
2  FIRE D'ROCKET Dec09 Nov05 Sep18 Aug21   (colgan a)CHIAPPE R 124 6.00    
3  FLAT BUSTED Dec09 Nov25 Nov08 Jan25   (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 124 8.00    
4  RUN AWAY EMPIRE Nov25 Oct12 Sep22 Sep07 Aug25 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
5  FORECLOSURE Dec28 Dec09 Nov25     (houghton th)VARGAS L 124 10.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  COMMANDING Dec13 Nov09       (rodriguez frankli)RODRIGUEZ E 124 8.00 ★    
7  BENCH PRESS Jun24 May13 Mar23 Feb16 Jan28 (agnew naoise)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
8  FINNOGGINDUDE Dec19 Nov22 Nov08     (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 15.00    
9  MR. REDOLFO Dec09 Sep06 Aug16     (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 10.00    
 
PEN-4   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTORIOUS REY Dec07 Nov18 Oct14 Sep21 Aug04 (ippolito ma)VARGAS L 122 20.00    
2  D'STORM Dec09 Nov08 Oct14     (stites flint )INIRIO J 122 20.00    
3  BUSTER BRUNO Aug10 Jul13 Jun24 May11   (bentley fenneka)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 12% 7.60    
4  GERONIMO (CHI) Dec09 Jun02       (stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 10.00 ★    
5  MONEYONTHELINE Oct28 Oct07 Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 (cooper stacey)CHIAPPE R 122 4.50 ★    
6  MISCHIEVIOUSBUD Dec09 Nov03 Oct24 Sep22 Sep01 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00 34% 2.00    
7  AGGRANDIZE Nov29 Nov18 Nov02 Oct19 Sep30 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00    
8  DIXIE CANNONBALL Sep19 Aug04 May26 Apr08 Mar16 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 30% 2.40    
 
PEN-5   01/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALPHA SIXTY SIX Dec06 Nov09 Oct07 Sep09 Aug24 (crook-demas)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
2  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY Dec20 Dec13 Nov22 Nov08 Oct28 (salinas jose)FLORES E 120 15.00    
3  STRAIGHT UP GUY Dec27 Nov23 Nov10 Oct28 Sep17 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00    
4  DEVIOUS BANKER Nov21 Oct31 Oct19 Sep14 Aug16 (grusmark karl)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00    
5  MIDDLE EARTH Nov25 Nov04 Aug28 Jul07 Jun09 (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 17% 4.80    
6  WICKED CRAZY Dec21 Nov25 Oct24 Oct03 Aug29 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 27% 2.60    
7  ELEVATED FOREVER Dec21 Dec02 Nov12 Oct14 Aug30 (garrido raul)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 7% 13.00    
8  DAKOTA OUTLAW Dec21 Nov15 Oct26 Oct12 Sep22 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 ★    
9  MASTER OF WAR Dec13 Nov29 Nov09 Oct20 Oct11 (castillo sanche)RANGEL JOEZER 120 10.00    
 
PEN-6   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETTY'S SMILE Nov08 Oct17 Sep28 Sep14 May24 (grusmark k)DAVIS A 120 8.00    
2  TIMELY TRADITION Dec14 Nov15 Oct21 Oct07 Sep07 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 12% 7.40    
3  HONORABLE LILLY Dec14 Nov16 Oct26 Oct17 Jun08 (sells rachel)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
4  MOONSAFE Dec14 Nov15 Oct21 Sep25 Aug19 (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
5  BRAMBLE BUSH Dec14 Nov04 Aug29 Aug03 Jul01 (maymo j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 6% 14.80    
6  JACKIE THE JOKER Dec12 Nov23 Oct28 Oct04 Sep27 (mosco robe)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 2.50 17% 4.80    
7  AMERICAN PYRAMID Nov28 Oct01 Sep03 Jul02 Jun11 (coletti edw)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
 
PEN-7   01/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEE JAY         (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
2  FED CHAIR Dec07 Oct04 Aug18 Jul01 Jun03 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 ★    
3  LTL BEAR SALOON Dec28 Dec02 Oct19 Oct07 Sep15 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 33% 2.00    
4  E T'S SUPER STAR Jan02 Dec19 Dec06 Nov28 Oct31 (bouchard lesl)DE KEMICH 113 12.00    
5  OVER AND THUNDER Dec13 Nov02 Oct12     (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 ★    
6  LOUIE'S LAW Dec12 Nov08 Oct28 Sep21 Aug23 (lake a)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 10.00    
SCR  RISEN SAVIOR Jul01 Jun01 May11 Feb16 Feb01 (kulp brandon )CORUJO LEONARDO 120 8.00 9% 10.40    
8  SIR REX Dec13 Nov15 Oct18 Sep16   (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 31% 2.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.